Cnotes 2023 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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MLB DIVISION PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

10/20/2023......................1 - 3...............................25.00%.........................- 12.45
10/19/2023......................2 - 2...............................50.00%.........................- 0.75
10/18/2023......................0 - 2...............................00.00%.........................- 11.70
10/17/2023......................2 - 0.............................100.00%.........................+ 10.00
10/16/2023......................2 - 2...............................50.00%..........................- 0.15
10/15/2023......................1 - 1..............................50.00%..........................+ 0.35

TOTALS.......................... 8 - 10
- 0 .........................44.44%...........................- 14.70
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
lowest scoring teams in college football:
13.4— Sam Houston State
13.4— Kent State
15.0— Ball State
15.3— Charlotte
15.6— Akron
16.4— Texas-El Paso

Quote of the Day
“Success consists of going from failure to failure, without a loss of enthusiasm.”
Winston Churchill

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie 21, about six MIT students who become trained to be experts in card counting in blackjack, what famous actor played the guy who trained the students?

Friday’s quiz
Bob Brenly managed the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their one World Series title.

Thursday’s quiz
In the first three years (1960-62) of the AFL, the Kansas City Chiefs played in a different city; back then, they were the Dallas Texans.

********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

Astros 10, Rangers 3
Altuve hit a 3-run homer in top of the 9th.
game was 1-1 after five innings.
Astros used three relievers to get 10 outs.
Astros lead series, 3-2; road team won all five games.

Diamondbacks 6, Phillies 5
Alek Thomas hit a pinch-hit, 2-run HR in bottom of 8th
Phillies led 5-2 in seventh inning.
Arizona amazingly used eight pitchers in a 9-inning game.
series is tied, 2-2; home side won all four games.

SMU 55, Temple 0
Mustangs led 24-0 at halftime.
SMU QB Stone was 23-36/300 passing, with two TD’a.
Temple QB EJ Warner (concussion) didn’t play

— Dillon Gabriel was the quarterback at Central Florida from 2019-21; last year he transferred to Oklahoma, and since then, UCF jumped to the Big X, because next year, Texas/Oklahoma are jumping to the SEC.
This week, Central Florida visits Oklahoma, in what will be their only meeting as conference rivals. Dillon Gabriel gets to play against some of his old teammates.

— Will Venable is associate manager for the Texas Rangers; this week he turned down a chance to interview for the vacant managing job with the Mets. Who turns down an interview for a managing job, especially in a big market with a really rich owner?
Only a cynical person would read into this and guess that Venable has a promise to become the Rangers’ manager when Bruce Bochy retires.

— This week, Astros’ 1B Jose Abreu became the oldest player in the last 100 years to hit a home run and steal a base in the same playoff game.

— This made me feel old; kid named Johnny Backus just signed to play baseball for Michigan Wolverines. His mother is actress Mira Sorvino, his grandfather was Paul Sorvino.

— Word of the Day: karma— effects of one’s actions that determine his or her destiny.
In other words, right actions produce good results while wrong actions produce bad ones.

— Modern baseball: Arizona-Phillies are 0-0 in 6th inning, and Brandon Pfaadt is breezing thru the Phillies’ lineup, but as soon as he faces his 18th batter they yank him, because over-educated nerds in the Arizona front office said so. Pfaadt had only thrown 70 pitches.
If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. At least let him allow a baserunner before you take the guy out.

— Lot of college basketball teams took foreign trips this summer; this is a big advantage in the transfer portal age, since foreign trips let teams have 10 extra practices before the trip, and those practices are very valuable.
Lot of teams are just totally re-booting their rosters, which makes handicapping November games virtually impossible (if you want to win). Coaches don’t even know what’s up; they use the pre-conference games to establish their rotations for conference play.

— People kept saying how Jaguars’ QB Trevor Lawrence had a bad leg, might not play Thursday night; he wore a brace on his knee, and then the game started, and Lawrence ran the ball eight time for 59 yards and he looked pretty nimble and Jacksonville won. Go figure.
In a perfect world, where I make all decisions…….

— NBA needs to sponsor a 32-person (or 64) 1-on-1 tournament in the summer, with each player posting a charity that he is playing for. This would be wildly popular: can you imagine?
Steph Curry vs Lebron James
James Harden vs Kevin Durant
Giannis Antetokounmpo vs Jayson Tatum
This needs to happen; the league had a 1-on-1 tournament for two years back in the 70’s, but it died because Julius Erving’s agent wouldn’t let him play in it.

— NFL officials need to call fewer holding penalties; league says they want more scoring, then call fewer holding penalties.

— We need more game shows on TV, and fewer of these talk programs with contrived arguments; bring back Hollywood Squares. That was an excellent gameshow.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Saturday, October 22


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MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, October 22


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MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 22


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, October 22

Philadelphia @ Arizona
Game 5 (series is tied, 2-2)

Wheeler is 2-0, 2.74 in his last four starts.
Phillies are 4-2 in his last six starts.
Over is 5-3-2 in his last ten starts.
He is 3-3, 3.63 in nine playoff starts.
He is 6-3, 2.96 in 11 starts vs Arizona.

Phillies won 15 of their last 21 games overall.
Philly is 42-43 on road.
Over is 7-4-1 in their last dozen games.
Seven relievers pitched last nite, getting 17 outs.
Phillies are in playoffs for second year in a row.
Before last year, last time they were in playoffs was 2011.
Thomson’s playoff record: 18-9


Gallen is 3-2, 3.45 in his last five starts.
Arizona is 21-16 in his starts.
Under is 3-1 in his last four starts.
He is 2-1, 4.96 in three playoff starts.
He is 3-1, 2.22 in five starts vs Philly.


Arizona is 7-2 in the playoffs this year.
Diamondbacks are 46-38 at home.
Arizona used eight relievers to win last night’s game.
Diamondbacks are in playoffs for first time since 2017.
Lovullo’s playoff record: 8-5


Phillies are 6-5 vs Arizona this season.
Home team is 4-0 in this series.




MLB

Saturday, October 22


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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Arizona
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Arizona
Arizona is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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ARIZONA is 14-4 SU (9.6 Units) after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings in the current season.
 

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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 21

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PHI at ARI08:07 PMPHI -128
O 8.0
+500 +500
 

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MLB DIVISION PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

10/21/2023......................1 - 1...............................50.00%.........................- 0.50
10/20/2023......................1 - 3...............................25.00%.........................- 12.45
10/19/2023......................2 - 2...............................50.00%.........................- 0.75
10/18/2023......................0 - 2...............................00.00%.........................- 11.70
10/17/2023......................2 - 0.............................100.00%.........................+ 10.00
10/16/2023......................2 - 2...............................50.00%..........................- 0.15
10/15/2023......................1 - 1..............................50.00%..........................+ 0.35

TOTALS.......................... 9 - 11
- 0 .........................45.00%...........................- 15.20
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in receiving yards:
814— Tyreek Hill, Mia
672— AJ Brown, Phil
620— Stefon Diggs, Buff
598— Puka Nacua, Rams
582— DJ Moore, Chi
571— Justin Jefferson, Minn

Quote of the Day
“………I think the spot was horrible. I think we got the first down. It was first-and-nine at the nine. I don’t understand review. Every time I think something is reviewable, I can’t get them to review it. They say they’re looking at it, but I don’t know that.”
Houston Cougars’ coach Dana Holgorsen, after his team’s 31-24 loss to Texas

Sunday’s quiz
Where was the first Super Bowl played?

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie 21, about six MIT students who become trained to be experts in card counting in blackjack, Kevin Spacey played the guy who trained the students.

Friday’s quiz
Bob Brenly managed the Arizona Diamondbacks when they won their one World Series title.

****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday……..

— Utah 34, USC 32
Game was 14-14 at halftime.
Utah led 28-14 with a minute left in third quarter.
USC scored TD after long punt return to take 32-31 lead with 1:46 left.
Utes kicked a 38-yard FG at the gun for a dramatic win.

— Alabama 34, Tennessee 20
Tennessee led 20-7 at halftime.
Last year, Alabama had 17 penalties for 130 yards vs Tennessee.
In this game, Crimson Tide had one penalty for five yards.

— Oklahoma 31, Central Florida 29
UCF scored TD with 1:16 left, but failed on 2-point conversion.
Former Knight Gabriel was 25-38/253 passing, with three TD’s.
Central Florida is 0-4 in its first year in the Big X.

— UNLV 25, Colorado State 23
Rebels are 6-1, bowl eligible for first time since 2013.
UNLV kicked FG, took 22-20 lead with 1:27 left.
Colorado State kicked FG, took 23-22 lead with 0:44 left.
UNLV kicked 28-yard FG to win the game with 0:03 left.

— Ohio State 20, Penn State 12
Buckeyes outgained Penn State, 365-240
Nittany Lions converted 1-16 third down plays.
HC James Franklin is 1-9 against Ohio State.

— Air Force 17, Navy 6
Air Force threw a 94-yard TD pass, longest play in school history.
Other Air Force TD was a pick-6 with 3:51 left.
Under is now 25-3 in the last 28 Armed Forces games.

— Upsets of the Week:
Virginia (+23.5) 31, North Carolina 27
Jacksonville State (+7.5) 20, Western Kentucky 17
Charlotte (+7) 10, East Carolina 7
Utah (+6.5) 34, USC 32
Old Dominion (+6.5) 28, Appalachian State 21
Mississippi State (+6) 7, Arkansas 3
Florida International (+5) 33, Sam Houston State 27, OT
Boston College (+4.5) 38, Georgia Tech 23
Ball State (+4.5) 24, Central Michigan 17
BYU (+4.5) 27, Texas Tech 14

— Word of the Day: Chicanery— the use of trickery to achieve a goal.
Arkansas could use some more chicanery in their offense.

— Mississippi State 7, Arkansas 3
Arkansas has lost six games in a row; the natives are restless.
Five of the six losses were by 7 or fewer points.

— Miami 28, Clemson 20, OT
Clemson led 17-7 after three quarters.
Miami was 9-18 on third down, Tigers 4-14
Clemson ran ball 34 times for 31 yards.
Clemson is 4-3; they’re not used to being 4-3.

— Wake Forest 21, Pittsburgh 17
Deacons threw 15-yard TD pass with 0:07 for the win.
Marucci was 12-21/151 passing; he is/was Wake’s 3rd-string QB.
Pitt outgained Wake 414-323, was +2 in turnovers, still lost.

— Texas 31, Houston 24
Longhorns led 21-0 with 7:00 left in first half.
Houston tied game twice after that; their last drive ended on Texas 10-yard line.
Texas QB Ewers (shoulder) left game early in 4th quarter.

— Tulane 35, North Texas 28
Tulane led 28-7 with 4:00 left in third quarter.
North Texas tied game, scoring 21 points in 8:57.
Green Wave drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 2:34 left.

— Minnesota 12, Iowa 10
Hawkeyes led 10-3 at halftime.
Minnesota snaps 8-game losing skid vs Iowa.
This was Gophers’ first win in Iowa City since 1999.

— Wisconsin 25, Illinois 21
Illinois led 21-7 after three quarters.
Freshman QB Locke threw two 4th quarter TD’s, in his first college start.
Badgers converted 10-17 third down plays.

— Phillies 6, Diamondbacks 1
Wheeler tossed seven strong innings to get the win.
Schwarber, Realmuto homered for Philadelphia.
Phillies lead series, 3-2.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Sunday, October 22


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TEXAS are 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse in the current season.




MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 22


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MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 22


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 22

Texas
@ Houston
Game 6 (Astros lead, 3-2)
Eovaldi is 3-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
Rangers are 7-1 in his last eight starts (3-0 in playoffs).
Under 2-0-2 last four starts
He is 7-3, 2.87 in 14 playoff games (9 starts).
He is 3-4, 4.42 in ten starts vs Houston.


Rangers are 7-3 so far in the playoffs, 6-0 on road.
Texas is 46-41 on road.
Texas is in the playoffs for first time since 2016.
Bochy won three World Series when he managed the Giants.
His postseason record: 51-36


Valdez is 0-3, 11.02 in his last four starts.
Houston is 4-7 in his last 11 starts.
Over is 4-0 in his last four starts.
He is 7-4, 4.16 in 14 playoff starts.
He is 7-5, 2.90 in 13 starts vs Texas.


Houston won 11 of its last 15 games (3-2 in this series).
Astros are 39-45 at home this season.
Astros won the World Series LY, lost WS in 2019, 2021.
Houston is in the playoffs for 7th year in a row.
Baker’s playoff record: 57-49


Astros are 12-6 vs Texas this season.
Road team is 5-0 in this series
Teams had Saturday off, so bullpens are fairly rested.




MLB

Sunday, October 22


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas @ Houston
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games when playing Texas



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SUNDAY, OCTOBER 22

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TEX at HOU08:03 PMHOU -118
U 8.5
+500 +500
 

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MLB DIVISION PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

10/22/2023......................0 - 2...............................00.00%.........................- 11.40
10/21/2023......................1 - 1...............................50.00%.........................- 0.50
10/20/2023......................1 - 3...............................25.00%.........................- 12.45
10/19/2023......................2 - 2...............................50.00%.........................- 0.75
10/18/2023......................0 - 2...............................00.00%.........................- 11.70
10/17/2023......................2 - 0.............................100.00%.........................+ 10.00
10/16/2023......................2 - 2...............................50.00%..........................- 0.15
10/15/2023......................1 - 1..............................50.00%..........................+ 0.35

TOTALS.......................... 9 - 13
- 0 .........................40.90%...........................- 26.60
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack:

Interesting spreads for this week’s college football:
— Tennessee -5 @ Kentucky
— Duke @ Louisville -4
— West Virginia @ Central Florida -4
— Clemson -9 @ NC State
— Oklahoma -10 @ Kansas
— UNLV @ Fresno State -9

Quote of the Day
“They whooped our ass. Plain and simple. Gotta be better………….I’m f—ing tired of this shit. F—ing tired of this bullshit. It’s been seven f—ing years of the same shit. I’m tired of this shit.”
Washington Commanders’ DT Jonathan Allen

Monday’s quiz
Who coached the Philadelphia Eagles, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

Sunday’s quiz
The first Super Bowl was played in the Los Angeles Coliseum; Packers 35, Chiefs 10.

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie 21, about six MIT students who become trained to be experts in card counting in blackjack, Kevin Spacey played the guy who trained the students.

****************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..

Browns 39, Colts 38

Browns drove 80 yards, scored winning TD with 0:15 left.
Cleveland outscored the Colts 16-0 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Watson left game in first quarter (concussion), didn’t return.
since 2013, Cleveland is 4-12 ATS as a road favorite (0-2 TY).

Colts outgained Cleveland, 456-316, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
Colts gave up 31-29-37-38 points in losses; 20-19-16 in wins.
Over is 5-2 in Indy’s games this season.
Last four weeks, Colts were outscored 74-37 in first half.

Patriots 29, Bills 25
Bills in first half: 30 plays, 113 yards, 3 points.
Bills in second half: 38 plays, 232 yards, 22 points.
Last three games, Buffalo scored one first half TD on 15 drives.
Bills allowed 10-3-20-9 points in wins, 22-25-29 in losses.

Patriots drove 69 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:12 left.
Mac Jones was 25-30/272 passing, with two TD’s.
Only nine of New England’s 55 plays came on third down.
Just 2nd win for Patriots in last nine games with Buffalo.

Falcons 16, Buccaneers 13
Atlanta kicked a 51-yard FG at the gun for the road win.
They won, despite QB Ridder losing three fumbles, all in red zone.
Falcons are 4-3, but haven’t led (0-5-2) at halftime yet.
Under is 13-2 in their last 15 games overall, 6-1 TY.

Down 13-10 in last 1:00, Bucs had ball on Atlanta 8-yard line, but could only kick FG.
Bucs have 13 takeaways in six games (+7 turnovers)
Tampa Bay is 2-6-1 ATS in last nine games as home favorites.
Tampa Bay scored 20-27-26 points in wins, 11-6-13 in losses.

Bears 30, Raiders 12
Rookie QB Bagent won his first NFL start (21-29/162 passing, one TD)
Chicago was 8-13 on 3rd down, Raiders 2-9.
Last four games, Bears outscored opponents 68-25 in first half.
Six of their seven games went over the total.

Bears outgained Raiders 323-235, were +3 in turnovers.
Raiders ran the ball 14 times for only 39 yards.
Last 2+ years, Las Vegas is 0-7 ATS as a road favorite.
AFC West teams are 7-12 ATS outside the division.

Ravens 38, Lions 6
Ravens’ first four drives: 32 plays, 315 yards, 28 points.
Baltimore averaged 12.8 yards/pass attempt.
Only eight of Ravens’ 55 plays were on third down.
Baltimore is 15-2 ATS in last 17 games with spread of 3 or less.

Detroit in first half: 25 plays, 65 yards, 4 punts, no points.
Lions were 5-16 on third down, Baltimore 4-8.
Ravens outgained Detroit, 503-337.
NFC North teams are 7-12-1 ATS outside the division.

Giants 14, Commanders 7
Washington went 3/out on eight of 14 drives.
Commanders were 1-15 on third down, Giants 5-16.
Last five weeks, Commanders were outscored 77-37 in 1st half.
Commanders’ TD drives last two weeks: 11-47-24-21 yards.

Giants scored 9-14 points in Taylor’s first two starts.
Giants are 6-2-1 SU in last nine series games.
Under is 7-1 in last eight meetings.
Last five games, Giants have three TD’s, 17 3/outs on 51 drives.

Seahawks 20, Cardinals 10
Arizona averaged only 3.2 yard/pass attempt.
Arizona is 0-4 SU/ATS last four games, losing by 19-14-17-10 points.
Cardinals lost 17 of last 20 games SU (7-10 ATS in last 17).
Cardinals have been outscored 104-30 in 2nd half of games.

Seattle was 7-13 on third down, Arizona 5-15.
Seahawks won/covered four of last five games.
Seahawks scored 37-37-24-20 points in wins, 13-13 in losses.
Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Steelers 24, Rams 17
Steelers in first half: 25 plays, 66 yards, 3 points.
Steelers in second half: 31 plays, 189 yards, 21 points.
Pitt is 29-15-1 ATS in last 45 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
Steelers scored 26-23-17-24 points in wins, 7-6 in losses.

Stafford was 8-12/154 throwing to Pacua, 6-17/77 to everyone else.
LA scored 30-29-26 points in its wins, 23-16-14-17 in losses.
Rams were 9-16 on third down, Steelers 4-12.
Rams are 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.

Chiefs 31, Chargers 17
Chargers’ first four drives: 26 plays, 200 yards, 17 points.
Chargers rest of game: 35 plays, 143 yards, 2 INT’s, no points.
Opponents are 5-25 on 3rd down in LA wins, 21-46 in losses (6-11 this game).
Bolts are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 AFC West road games.

Mahomes was 32-43/424 passing, with four TD’s.
Chiefs won last six games, by 8-31-3-7-11-14 points (5-1 ATS).
Chiefs converted 36 of last 65 third down plays.
Kansas City won 16 of last 19 series games SU.

Broncos 19, Packers 17
Green Bay in first half: 26 plays, 100 yards, no points.
Green Bay in second half: 37 plays, 236 yards, 17 points.
Last four weeks, Packers were outscored 63-6 in first half.
Packers are 6-9-1 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC opponents.

Lutz kicked 52-yard FG with 3:54 left for game-winning points.
Denver ran ball 25 times for 145 yards (5.8 yards/carry).
Broncos are 2-5, but led four of seven games at halftime.
Denver has been outscored 116-72 in 2nd half of games.

Eagles 31, Dolphins 17
Game was tied 17-17 late in 3rd quarter, after Miami got pick-6.
Eagles’ next two drives: 21 plays, 158 yards, 14 points.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 10-4-1 ATS as home favorites
Hurts was 23-31/279 passing, with two TD’s.

Miami’s five wins are vs teams with combined record of 8-25
Eagles outgained Miami, 355-244.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 3-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Last four games, Miami is minus-5 in turnovers (2-7).

Rangers 9, Astros 2
Eovaldi got 19 outs, allowed two runs.
Garcia broke game open with 9th inning grand slam.
Garver and Heim also homered for Texas.
Road team has won all six series games; Game 7 is tonight.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Monday, October 23


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PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 SU (8.9 Units) in home games in October games over the last 2 seasons.

HOUSTON is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) in home games when playing on Monday in the current season.




MLB
Dunkel

Monday, October 23


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MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, October 23


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 23

Philadelphia
@ Arizona
Game 6 (Phillies lead, 3-2)
Kelly is 2-2, 2.35 in his last five starts.
Arizona is 17-15 in his starts.
Over is 4-2 in his last six starts.
He is 1-1, 3.00 in two playoff starts.
He is 1-1, 2.75 in three starts vs Philly.


Arizona is 7-3 in the playoffs this year.
Diamondbacks are 45-42 on road.
Under 4-2-1 last seven games
Diamondbacks are in playoffs for first time since 2017.
Lovullo’s playoff record: 8-6


Nola is 3-0, 1.44 in his last five starts.
Phillies won his last seven starts.
Over is 6-1-1 in his last eight starts.
He is 5-2, 3.25 in eight playoff starts.
He is 2-2, 7.67 in five starts vs Arizona.

Phillies won 16 of their last 22 games overall.
Philly is 55-32 at home.
Under is 3-2-1 in their last six games.
Phillies are in playoffs for second year in a row.
Before last year, last time they were in playoffs was 2011.
Thomson’s playoff record: 19-9


Phillies are 7-5 vs Arizona this season.
Home team is 4-1 in this series.


Texas @ Houston
Game 7 (series is 3-3)
Scherzer is 1-2, 4.97 in his last five starts.
He’s started one game since September 12th.
Rangers are 2-4 in his last six starts.
Over 3-0 last three starts
He is 7-8, 3.80 in 23 playoff starts.
He is 5-2, 3.84 in nine starts vs Houston.


Rangers are 8-3 so far in the playoffs, 7-0 on road.
Texas is 47-41 on road.
Ranger bullpen got eight outs in last night’s win.
Texas is in the playoffs for first time since 2016.
Bochy won three World Series when he managed the Giants.
His postseason record: 52-36


Javier is 3-0, 1.08 in his last three starts.
Houston is 9-3 in his last 12 starts.
Over is 8-3-1 in his last 12 starts.
He is 6-1, 2.08 in 16 playoff games (4 starts).
He is 5-1, 3.84 in ten starts vs Texas.


Houston won 11 of its last 16 games (3-3 in this series).
Astros are 40-46 at home this season.
Five relievers got a combined 12 outs last night.
Astros won the World Series LY, lost WS in 2019, 2021.
Houston is in the playoffs for 7th year in a row.
Baker’s playoff record: 57-50


Astros are 12-7 vs Texas this season.
Road team is 6-0 in this series




MLB

Monday, October 23


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona @ Philadelphia
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Arizona's last 18 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Arizona is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Texas @ Houston
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Texas


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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MONDAY, OCTOBER 23

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ARI at PHI05:07 PMPHI -180
O 8.0
+500 +500
TEX at HOU08:03 PMHOU -124
U 9.0
+500 +500
 

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MLB DIVISION PLAYOFF BEST BETS !

10/23/2023......................0 - 4...............................00.00%.........................- 26.20
10/22/2023......................0 - 2...............................00.00%.........................- 11.40
10/21/2023......................1 - 1...............................50.00%.........................- 0.50
10/20/2023......................1 - 3...............................25.00%.........................- 12.45
10/19/2023......................2 - 2...............................50.00%.........................- 0.75
10/18/2023......................0 - 2...............................00.00%.........................- 11.70
10/17/2023......................2 - 0.............................100.00%.........................+ 10.00
10/16/2023......................2 - 2...............................50.00%..........................- 0.15
10/15/2023......................1 - 1..............................50.00%..........................+ 0.35

TOTALS.......................... 9 - 17 - 0 .........................34.61%...........................- 52.80
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting spreads for this week’s NFL:
— Buccaneers @ Buffalo (-8)
— Saints @ Indianapolis (-1)
— Jaguars (-1.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Texans (-3) @ Carolina
— Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington
— Patriots @ Miami (-10.5)

Quote of the Day
“In anger, we should refrain both from speech and action.”
Pythagoras

Tuesday’s quiz
What is the only NFC team that has never played in a Super Bowl?

Monday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Dick Vermeil coached the Philadelphia Eagles, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Sunday’s quiz
The first Super Bowl was played in the Los Angeles Coliseum; Packers 35, Chiefs 10.

*****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— Giannis Antetokounmpo signed a 3-year, $186M contract with the Milwaukee Bucks, meaning he will earn $62M a year, which works out to $756,097 per game.
Antetokounmpo averaged 32.1 minutes/game last year; if he does that this year, it works out to $23,554.44 per minute played.

— NFL Films and HBO also hit the jackpot; Miami Dolphins will be the featured in-season team for Hard Knocks this year, it was announced
Monday. Coach Mike McDaniel should be interesting to see in action.
Colts/Cardinals were the in-season teams on Hard Knocks the last two years. Dolphins were last featured on Hard Knocks in the summer of 2012.

Vikings 22, 49ers 17
Kirk Cousins was 35-45/378 passing, with two TD’s.
Vikings on their first six drives: 52 plays, 377 yards, 22 points.
Minnesota converted 8-13 third down plays.
All seven Viking games have been decided by 8 or fewer points.
Both teams turned the ball over on their first possession.
49ers were outgained 786-540 in their last two games.
McCaffrey carried ball 15 times for only 45 yards.
49ers are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in last five visits to Minnesota.

— College football conference trends:
AAC— home favorites 4-10 ATS, home underdogs 2-7
ACC— home underdogs 8-3 ATS
Big X— home underdogs 8-3 ATS
Big 14— home favorites 7-9 ATS, home underdogs 2-10 ATS
C-USA— home favorites 5-6 ATS, home underdogs 2-5
MAC— home favorites 6-7 ATS
Mountain West— home favorites 4-7 ATS
Pac-12— home underdogs 6-3 ATS
SEC— home favorites 11-7 ATS, home underdogs 4-8
Sun Belt— home favorites 7-8 ATS

— NFL divisional trends:
NFC East teams are 12-9-1 ATS outside the division
NFC North teams are 9-11-1 ATS outside the division
NFC South teams are 4-14 ATS outside the division
NFC West home teams are 5-2 ATS outside the division
AFC East home teams are 6-4 ATS outside the division
AFC North home teams are 6-2-1 ATS outside the division
AFC South teams are 11-5-1 ATS outside the division
AFC West teams are 6-12 ATS outside the division

— Saturday afternoon, the 4:00-7:00 window, I’m watching four games on one screen on my YouTube TV account; one game each from the Big 14, Big X, SEC, Pac-12.
Big 14— Minnesota-Iowa— Both teams should’ve punted on first down.
Big X— Texas-Houston— Teams that jumped from AAC to the Big X have some catching up to do.
SEC— Ole Miss-Auburn— Rebels are lucky to have Lane Kiffin as coach; he’s been a head coach in the NFL.
Pac-12— Washington State-Oregon— Wazzu QB Ward threw for 438 yards in a losing cause.
Interesting contrast in styles between the leagues.

— Utah declared that QB Cam Rising is out for the year with a knee injury; Utes are 6-1 with backup QB Barnes under center.

— When baseball free agency starts, obviously Shohei Ohtani will be a big topic, but there is another Japanese pitcher, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who is expected to draw lot of interest from teams with lot of $$$ who need pitching.

— Word of the Day: Focus— the ability to concentrate attention or to sustain concentration.
If you’re easily distracted, you lack focus.

— Long time ago, there was a 2B named Nellie Fox; he is a Hall of Famer who played 19 years in the major leagues. In his career, Fox struck out only 216 times in 10,351 plate appearances.
This season, Kyle Schwarber struck out 215 times in 720 plate appearances.

— Outside Camden Yards in Baltimore, there is a statue of the great 3B Brooks Robinson, who passed away recently. It is a pretty normal statue of Robinson playing the field, except that his glove is gold, as it should be.

— Last week was the 50th anniversary of the day when Rams’ DE Fred Dryer got two safeties in the same game, a 22-5 win over Green Bay. Both safeties were in the 4th quarter and it was two different QB’s he sacked for the safeties (Scott Hunter, Jim Del Gaizo).

— What bowl game is going to get stuck with the Iowa Hawkeyes? Iowa is 6-2, but their offense is putrid; they’ve gained 300+ yards in only one game this year- they lost 12-10 to Minnesota Saturday, gaining a total of 127 yards, on 56 plays. Not good.
Former Rams’ coach Mike Martz is out there somewhere; why wouldn’t Iowa call a guy like Martz and hire him to jazz up their offense? Iowa’s last two games were 15-6/12-10; if they hired a real offensive coordinator like Martz, 15-6/12-10 would be a thing of the past.

— Monday was the first time since 2004 that the baseball playoffs had a Game 6 and a Game 7 on the same day.

Diamondbacks 5, Phillies 1
Arizona scored three runs in top of the second inning.
Pham and Gurriel hit back-to-back home runs.
Merrill Kelly tossed 5 IP, giving up a run; they took him out after 90 pitches.
Game 7 is tonight in Philadelphia.

Rangers 11, Astros 4
Adolis Garcia homered twice; he hit five home runs in the last four games.
Texas scored 20 runs in winning Games 6-7 of this series.
Road team won all seven games in this series.
Rangers host the World Series, starting Friday night.

— Baseball is a fascinating business; on February 10, 2021, the Rangers designated Adolis Garcia for assignment and cleared a spot on the 40-man roster for P Mike Foltynewicz.
All 29 of the other teams let Garcia clear waivers, and on February 13, 2021, Texas invited him as a non-roster player to camp. Lucky for them they did.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, October 24


9gyGyI0.png





MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 24


DqeZC5E.png





MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 24

Arizona
@ Philadelphia
Game 7 (series is 3-3)
Pfaadt is 1-0, 1.47 in his last four starts.
Arizona is 11-10 in his starts, 4-5 on road.
Under is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
He is 0-0, 2.13 in three playoff starts.
He threw 5.2 shutout IP in his first start vs Philly last week.


Arizona is 8-3 in the playoffs this year.
Four relievers got 12 outs last night.
Diamondbacks are 46-42 on road.
Under 5-2-1 last eight games
Diamondbacks are in playoffs for first time since 2017.
Lovullo’s playoff record: 9-6


Suarez is 1-0, 0.64 in his last three starts.
Phillies are 5-1 in his last six starts.
Under is 3-0 in his last three starts.
He is 3-0, 0.94 in six playoff starts.
He is 1-3, 5.09 in six starts vs Arizona.

Phillies won 16 of their last 23 games overall.
Four relievers got 14 outs last night.
Philly is 55-33 at home.
Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.
Phillies are in playoffs for second year in a row.
Before last year, last time they were in playoffs was 2011.
Thomson’s playoff record: 19-10


Phillies are 7-6 vs Arizona this season.
Home team is 4-2 in this series.




MLB

Tuesday, October 24


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona @ Philadelphia
Arizona
Arizona is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Arizona is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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ARIZONA is 13-2 Over (10.8 Units) in road games when playing on Tuesday in the current season.




MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 24


54OIi2n.png
 

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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 24

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ARI at PHI08:07 PMARI +149
U 8.0
+500 +500
 

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