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Weather Report

Wednesday, July 27


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NY METS are 70-96 SU (-35.6 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 13-4 Over (8.6 Units) in road games against division opponents in the current season.

DETROIT is 49-32 SU (13.8 Units) as a home underdog of +125 or more in the last 3 seasons.

LA ANGELS are 32-38 SU (-9.8 Units) in road games as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 94-138 SU (-56.7 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 143-177 SU (-51.7 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 34-16 Under (16.4 Units) in an inter-league game in the last 3 seasons.

OAKLAND is 5-17 SU (-13.7 Units) in home games as an underdog of +125 to +175 in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 27-11 Over (14.9 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

SEATTLE is 8-0 SU (8 Units) when playing with a day off in the current season.

MIAMI is 16-3 SU (12.7 Units) in road games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 16-3 SU (12.7 Units) in July games in the current season.

BET ON : Any team (TORONTO) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game

BOSTON is 20-11 SU (9.9 Units) vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the current season.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, July 27

National League
Atlanta (59-40) @ Philadelphia (50-47)

— Morton is 1-1, 2.52 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 11-8 in his starts.
— over 16-3
— allowed run in first inning: 9-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-2
— He is 0-0, 5.40 in two starts vs Philly TY.

— Braves are 36-13 in their last 49 games.
— Atlanta is 26-19 on road.
— over 8-0 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 29-99
— record in first 5 innings: 55-33-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-2-3

— Gibson is 1-1, 6.75 in his last five starts.
— Philly is 11-8 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-12-1
— He is 1-1, 4.42 in three starts vs Atlanta.

— Phillies are 4-8 in last dozen games.
— Philly is 25-25 at home.
— under 13-8-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-97
— record in first 5 innings: 37-42-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-3

San Francisco (48-49) @ Arizona (44-53)
— Webb is 2-0, 1.38 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 12-8 in his starts
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-3
— He is 3-0, 1.17 in four starts vs Arizona.

— Giants are 0-6 in their last six games.
— San Francisco is 22-27 on road.
— under 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 22-97
— record in first 5 innings: 38-41-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.2-2

— Gallen is 1-0, 1.32 in his last two starts.
— Arizona is 10-8 in his starts
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-5
— He is 1-4, 5.05 in eight starts vs San Francisco.

— Diamondbacks are 5-1 in last six games.
— Arizona is 26-27 at home.
— under 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 27-97
— record in first 5 innings: 39-35-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-1-5

Washington (34-65) @ Dodgers (64-32)
— Corbin is 0-3, 8.44 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 1-6 in his last seven starts
— under 10-7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 5-13-2
— He is 3-5, 3.60 in 12 starts in Los Angeles.

— Washington won its last three games.
— Nationals are 19-29 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-99
— record in first 5 innings: 27-61-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5-4

— Heaney is 1-0, 1.76 in three starts.
— His last start was June 19.
— Dodgers are 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 0-0, 5.14 in two games (1 start) vs Washington.

— Dodgers are 25-8 in their last 33 games, but lost last two.
— Los Angeles is 34-15 at home.
— under 16-10-2 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-96
— record in first 5 innings: 55-25-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-3

Miami (46-51) @ Cincinnati (37-59)
— Garrett is 1-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
— Miami is 5-4 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 0-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Miami is 7-11 in its last 18 games.
— Marlins are 24-28 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-97
— record in first 5 innings: 36-42-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-2

— Castillo is 1-0, 1.00 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 7-6 in his starts.
— under 9-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-4
— He is 4-0, 1.73 in five starts vs Miami.

— Reds are 9-5 in last 14 games.
— Cincinnati is 21-30 at home.
— over 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 22-96
— record in first 5 innings: 29-52-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2.2
 

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American League
Angels (41-56) @ Kansas City (39-58)

— bullpen game

— Angels are 14-39 in their last 53 games.
— Angels are 19-29 on road.
— over 8-5 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-97
— record in first 5 innings: 46-39-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-3.2

— Keller is 3-1, 3.75 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 7-11 in his starts.
— under 10-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-2
— He is 2-3, 3.72 in six games (5 starts) vs Anaheim

— Kansas City won three of last four games.
— Royals are 22-29 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 28-97
— record in first 5 innings: 35-46-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-5

Houston (64-34) @ A’s (37-63)
— Javier is 0-2, 6.08 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 8-6 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-2
— He is 1-2, 5.63 in six starts vs Oakland.

— Astros are 28-11 in their last 39 games.
— Houston is 34-20 on road.
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-98
— record in first 5 innings: 59-27-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-2.1

— Irvin is 3-1, 2.00 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 6-11 in his starts.
— under 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-3
— He is 1-1, 2.04 in three starts vs Houston TY.

— A’s are 11-8 in their last 19 games.
— Oakland is 16-33 at home.
— under 25-12-2 last 39 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-100
— record in first 5 innings: 32-53-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-4

Texas (43-53) @ Seattle (53-45)
— Gray is 3-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 10-7 in his starts.
— over 10-7
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-3
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in three starts vs Seattle.

— Rangers are 7-16 in last 23 games.
— Texas is 22-27 on road.
— over 17-9 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-96
— record in first 5 innings: 35-43-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-3.2

— Gonzales is 1-1, 6.38 in his last two starts.
— Seattle is 7-12 in his starts.
— under 11-5 last 16
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-4
— He is 0-1, 7.13 in three starts vs Texas TY.

— Mariners are 16-3 in their last 19 games.
— Seattle is 26-23 at home.
— under 8-4 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 39-43-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-4

Tampa Bay (52-45) @ Baltimore (49-48)
— Rasmussen is 1-0, 2.75 in his last four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 11-5 in his starts.
— over 9-2-1 last eleven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 12-4
— He is 1-0, 2.19 in four games (2 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay lost its last four games.
— Rays are 21-27 on road.
— over 17-11-2 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-97
— record in first 5 innings: 45-33-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-1

— Wells is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
— Baltimore is 10-4 in his last 14 starts.
— over 7-1-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-1
— He is 0-2, 7.50 in three starts vs Tampa Bay TY.

— Orioles won 14 of their last 18 games.
— Baltimore is 28-19 at home.
— over 6-4-1 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-97
— record in first 5 innings: 37-47-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-6-3.2

Cleveland (49-47) @ Boston (49-49)
— Quantrill is 3-0, 3.18 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 7-3 in his last ten starts.
— over 9-0-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He is 0-1, 4.00 in three starts vs Boston

— Guardians are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Cleveland is 24-28 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-96
— record in first 5 innings: 36-40-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-6.2

— Eovaldi is 1-1, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 7-7 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-6
— He is 3-2, 3.47 in eight games (5 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Red Sox lost 14 of last 18 games.
— Boston is 24-24 at home.
— over 13-5 last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 38-36-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-6

Interleague games
San Diego (55-45) @ Detroit (39-59)

— Darvish is 2-0, 2.14 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 11-7 in his starts.
— under 12-6
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 13-2-3
— He is 7-0, 3.47 in seven starts vs Detroit.

— Padres are 11-17 in last 28 games.
— San Diego is 30-23 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-99
— record in first 5 innings: 46-30-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4.2-3

— Skubal is 2-2, 5.16 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 9-10 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Tigers are 3-12 in their last 15 games.
— Detroit is 24-27 at home.
— over 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 21-98
— record in first 5 innings: 31-53-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-4.2-5

Minnesota (52-45) @ Milwaukee (54-44)
— Archer is 1-1, 3.29 in his last three starts.
— Minnesota is 7-9 in his starts.
— under 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-3
— He is 1-2, 5.88 in five starts vs Milwaukee.

— Minnesota is 3-2 in its last five games.
— Twins are 25-23 on road.
— over 12-3 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-96
— record in first 5 innings: 49-33-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-4.2

— Burnes is 4-0, 1.97 in his last seven starts.
— Milwaukee is 10-3 in his last 13 starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-2
— He is 1-1, 1.46 in three games (2 starts) vs Minnesota.

— Brewers won four of last five games.
— Milwaukee is 26-20 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 32-98
— record in first 5 innings: 43-37-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2-5.1

White Sox (49-48) @ Colorado (44-54)
— Giolito is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 6-11 in his starts.
— over 9-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-4
— He is 0-1, 7.20 in one start vs Colorado.

— White Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— Chicago is 28-21 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 23-97
— record in first 5 innings: 42-44-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3.2

— Senzatela is 0-2, 7.50 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 5-9 in his starts.
— over 10-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-1
— He gave up a run in one IP vs Chicago.

— Colorado lost five of last six games.
— Rockies are 28-24 at home.
— over 7-3 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-97
— record in first 5 innings: 28-51-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-2-3

St Louis (51-47) @ Toronto (54-43)
— No Goldschmidt/Arenado in this series
— Wainwright is 0-3, 4.62 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 10-9 in his starts
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-2
— He is 1-1, 6.97 in two starts vs Toronto.

— Cardinals are 8-13 in their last 21 games.
— St Louis is 22-27 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-98
— record in first 5 innings: 43-39-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4

— Gausman is 2-1, 2.25 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 4-8 in his last 12 starts
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-2
— He is 1-3, 3.14 in eight games (4 starts) vs St Louis.

— Blue Jays won nine of their last ten games.
— Toronto is 31-19 at home.
— over 39-17 last 56 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-97
— record in first 5 innings: 40-34-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-3.1

Bronx (66-32) @ NY Mets (59-37)
— German allowed five runs in 3 IP in his first ‘22 start.
— New York is 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 1-1, 4.60 in three starts vs New York.

— New York is 5-9 in its last 14 games.
— New York is 29-20 on road.
— over 14-3 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 34-98
— record in first 5 innings: 52-25-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-5.2

— Scherzer is 1-1, 1.78 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 8-4 in his starts.
— under 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-4
— He is 4-4, 3.93 in nine starts vs Bronx.

— Mets are 2-3 in their last five games.
— Mets are 30-17 at home.
— under 7-4-1 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-97
— record in first 5 innings: 50-26-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3
 

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MLB

Wednesday, July 27


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

San Diego @ Detroit
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games

LA Angels @ Kansas City
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Chi White Sox @ Colorado
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Colorado
Colorado is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Colorado is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games

Washington @ LA Dodgers
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 18 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
LA Dodgers is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games

Houston @ Oakland
Houston
Houston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Oakland
Oakland
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

San Francisco @ Arizona
San Francisco
San Francisco is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Texas @ Seattle
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Texas's last 16 games
Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Texas

Miami @ Cincinnati
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Cincinnati is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay

St. Louis @ Toronto
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Cleveland @ Boston
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games
Boston
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

NY Yankees @ NY Mets
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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WEDNESDAY, JULY 27​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ATL at PHI12:35 PMATL -154
U 9.0
+500 +500
SD at DET01:10 PMSD -140
O 7.0
+500 +500
MIN at MIL02:10 PMMIN +178
U 8.0
+500 +500
LAA at KC02:10 PMLAA +121
O 8.5
+500 +500
WAS at LAD03:10 PMWAS +260
O 9.0
+500 +500
CHW at COL03:10 PMCOL +121
U 11.5
+500 +500
HOU at OAK03:37 PMHOU -198
O 7.0
+500 +500
SF at ARI03:40 PMSF -116
U 8.0
+500 +500
TEX at SEA03:40 PMTEX -108
O 8.0
+500 +500
MIA at CIN06:40 PMMIA +130
U 8.0
+500 +500
TB at BAL07:05 PMTB -110
O 8.0
+500 +500
STL at TOR07:07 PMSTL +228
U 8.0
+500 +500
CLE at BOS07:10 PMBOS -126
U 8.5
+500 +500
NYY at NYM07:10 PMNYY +156
O 7.5
+500 +500
 

Don't assume people in charge know what they are d
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Thanxs CNOTES and Udog, read ya everyday.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

Major league leaders in batting average:
.335— Paul Goldschmidt, StL
.333— Luis Arraez, Minn
.324— Rafael Devers, Bos
.323— Freddie Freeman, Atl
.320— Andrew Benintendi, KC
.317— Xander Bogaerts, Bos

Quote of the Day
“I know that winning a preseason game doesn’t help you get to the playoffs. I’ll always keep that in mind.”
Denver Broncos coach Nathaniel Hackett

Thursday’s quiz
Last time the Dallas Cowboys won a playoff game, who did they beat?

Wednesday’s quiz
Former Dodger shortstop Bill Russell replaced Tommy Lasorda as Dodgers’ manager.

Tuesday’s quiz
Drew Bledsoe holds the Buffalo Bills’ single season record for passing yards (4,359 in 2002).

**************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— NFL preseason games start a week from tonight; here are stats from how many passes some starting QB’s threw in last summer’s exhibition games:

Zero passes: Carr, Herbert, Prescott, Rodgers, Ryan, Stafford, Tannehill, Wentz, Wilson
1— Joe Burrow
4— Kyler Murray, Lamar Jackson
9— Jared Goff
10— Baker Mayfield, Ben Roethlisberger
14— Kirk Cousins
16— Tom Brady, Jimmy Garoppolo
22— Daniel Jones
26— Josh Allen
29— Patrick Mahomes
34— Tua Tagliavoa

— How is former Green Bay/Seattle coach Mike Holmgren not in the Pro Football Hall of Fame?

Holmgren was 161-111 in regular season games, 13-11 in playoff games; won three NFC titles, one Super Bowl and also won two Super Bowl rings as an assistant coach with San Francisco.

This seems like a pretty big oversight.

— Tampa Bay Buccaneers signed WR Julio Jones, who is 33 years old and has played in only 19 of 33 games the last two seasons. He’s led the league in receiving yards/game five times.

Jones played for the Falcons for 10 years; Atlanta-Tampa Bay tilts just got a little more interesting.

— Falcons named Marcus Mariota their starting QB after the first day of camp; rookie Desmond Ridder will be the backup. Mariota is 30-33 as an NFL starter, but his last start was in 2019. He was Derek Carr’s backup in Las Vegas the last couple years.

— San Francisco named Trey Lance their starting QB; they become the ninth NFL team with a new starting QB this season. Lance started twice last year (1-1); the year before, his North Dakota State played only one game because of the pandemic. He needs experience.

— Of the 53 guys who were on the Chicago Bears’ roster on Week 1 last year, only 23 are still with the Bears, fewest of any NFL team. Eagles/Lions still have 43 guys from Week 1 last year, tied for most in the league.

— There have been only four players in the Super Bowl era who led the NFL in touches in their rookie season:
1983— Eric Dickerson, Hall of Famer
1999— Edgerrin James, Hall of Famer
2001— LaDanian Tomlinson, Hall of Famer
2021— Najee Harris

— Saw this headline on the Interweb today: “US offers deal to Russia for Brittney Griner”; for a split second, it crossed my mind that Joe Biden and Putin were in the same WNBA fantasy league. Apparently they’re not.

US is offering to trade Viktor Bout, a convicted Russian arms trafficker, as part of a potential deal with Russia to release Griner and corporate security director Paul Whelan.

I didn’t realize stuff like this happened; countries trading prisoners, sounds like it would’ve made a good episode of The West Wing.

— Hall of Fame pitcher Jim Kaat won 16 Gold Gloves during his great career; someone asked him last week what he did with all of them.

Turns out Kaat sold most of the Gold Gloves, to help fund the Bob Allison Ataxia Research Center of the University of Minnesota, in honor of his former teammate with the Twins.

— Since start of last season, Seattle Mariners are 56-31 in one-run games; 33-19 last year, 23-12 so far this year.

— Mark McGwire’s son Mason was picked in the 8th round of the draft by the Cubs last week; he banks a $200,000 signing bonus.

Apparently three years ago, when Mark McGwire was inducted into the Oakland A’s Hall of Fame, Mason McGwire met Rollie Fingers, and the Hall of Fame reliever showed the kid how he threw his splitter. It must be working.

— Minnesota Twins lead the AL Central with a 52-46 record, but they’re only 8-18 in games where the winning run scores from the 7th inning on. Will Minnesota trade for relief help at the trading deadline next week?

— Toronto Blue Jays are 10-0 when Jose Berrios starts at home (5-4 on road)

Texas Rangers are 0-10 on the road when Dane Dunning starts (4-5 at home).

— Rockies-Royals-Nationals are only three teams without a grand slam this season; Rockies had 11 of them last year.

— Luis Castillo is the first Cincinnati starting pitcher to pitch in 2+ All-Star games since Mario Soto did it, in 1982, 1984.

— Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow had an appendectomy this week; if I remember right, it’ll be 3-4 weeks before he is allowed to have any physical contact. Doubtful he plays in any of the Bengals’ three exhibition games- their season opener is September 11, 45 days from now.

In case you were wondering, Brandon Allen/Jake Browning are Cincinnati’s backup QB’s.

— Long time ago, summer of 1993, I had an emergency appendectomy in the middle of the night; they said it had become gangrenous, which sounded bad (I had no idea what it meant until the next week). Luckily I lived across the street from a hospital and it got taken care of.

After my surgery, they wheel me into a room; I can’t see for squat without my glasses, but it looked like there was a picture of a clown on the wall.

I ask the nurse about the clown’s picture: “We don’t have much room; we put you in the pediatric ward” That was a fun few days.

— Speaking of which, read a story this week about a guy who took his 8-year old daughter to “Take Your Kid to Work Day”

Father/daughter walk into the office and a few minutes later, the daughter starts to cry.

The father asks what’s wrong, some of the people in the office gathered around her; she looks at her father and asks: “Daddy, where are all the clowns you said you worked with?”
 

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MIAMI is 44-25 Over (16.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 13-2 SU (10.8 Units) in home games in day games in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 11-4 SU (6.6 Units) in home games after scoring 2 runs or less in the current season.

KANSAS CITY is 20-30 SU (-15.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

TORONTO is 10-2 Over (7.8 Units) in home games after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span in the current season.

BOSTON is 51-32 Over (15.8 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 22-6 SU (19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

COLORADO is 10-2 SU (7.8 Units) in home games in July games in the current season.

LA ANGELS are 9-3 SU (5.7 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 in the current season.

SAN FRANCISCO is 81-53 SU (22.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 28

National League
Miami (46-52) @ Cincinnati (38-59)

— Miami hasn’t named a starter.

— Miami is 7-12 in its last 19 games.
— Marlins are 24-29 on road.
— over 4-3 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-98
— record in first 5 innings: 36-43-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-3

— Ashcraft is 0-1, 8.00 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 8-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

— Reds are 10-5 in last 15 games.
— Cincinnati is 22-30 at home.
— over 7-5 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-97
— record in first 5 innings: 30-52-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-2

Philadelphia (51-47) @ Pittsburgh (40-58)
— Wheeler is 2-1, 2.81 in his last five starts.
— Philly is 9-6 in his last 15 starts.
— over 9-7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-2
— He is 2-0, 2.22 in four starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Phillies are 5-8 in last thirteen games.
— Philly is 25-22 on road.
— under 13-8-2 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-98
— record in first 5 innings: 38-42-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-3

— Thompson is 0-3, 4.91 in his last five starts.
— Pittsburgh is 6-10 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10
— He is 1-0, 0.00 in five games (1 start, 8.1 IP) vs Philly.

— Pirates lost eight of last ten games.
— Pittsburgh is 21-25 at home.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 20-98
— record in first 5 innings: 32-47-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-x

Los Angeles (65-32) @ Colorado (45-54)
— Anderson is 2-0, 1.78 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 13-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in two games (1 start) vs Colorado TY.

— Dodgers are 26-8 in their last 34 games.
— Los Angeles is 30-17 on the road.
— under 17-10-2 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-97
— record in first 5 innings: 56-25-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-5

— Urena is 1-2, 3.38 in four starts.
— Colorado is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 1-2, 2.52 in four starts vs Los Angeles.

— Colorado lost five of last seven games.
— Rockies are 29-24 at home.
— over 7-4 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-98
— record in first 5 innings: 29-51-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-2.1

Cubs (40-57) @ San Francisco (48-50)
— Steele is 2-1, 2.78 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 7-11 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-4
— He is 0-1, 7.20 in one start vs San Francisco.

— Cubs won their last six games.
— Cubs are 20-25 on road.
— under 13-4-3 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-97
— record in first 5 innings: 38-43-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-2

— Wood is 1-1, 2.61 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 9-10 in his starts
— over 10-6 last 16
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10-4
— He is 3-2, 3.87 in seven starts vs Chicago.

— Giants are 0-7 in their last seven games.
— San Francisco is 26-22 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 22-98
— record in first 5 innings: 38-41-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-1.2
 

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American League
Tampa Bay (52-45) @ Baltimore (49-48)

— Yarbrough is 0-5, 5.61 in 10 games (7 starts) TY.
— Tampa Bay is 1-6 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-3
— He is 5-2, 3.89 in 15 games (9 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay lost four of last five games.
— Rays are 22-27 on road.
— over 18-11-2 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-98
— record in first 5 innings: 46-33-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-5.1

— Lyles is 2-1, 4.33 in his last five starts.
— Baltimore is 8-12 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-12-1
— He is 0-2, 12.91 in two starts vs Tampa Bay TY.

— Orioles won 14 of their last 19 games.
— Baltimore is 28-20 at home.
— over 7-4-1 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-98
— record in first 5 innings: 37-48-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3.2-5.2

Kansas City (39-59) @ Bronx (66-33)
— Singer is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
— Royals are 7-5 in his starts.
— under 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-2
— He is 0-1, 8.59 in two starts vs New York.

— Kansas City got shut out the last two days.
— Royals are 17-29 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 35-47-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-3

— Taillon is 1-1, 6.63 in his last four starts.
— New York is 15-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-2
— He is 1-0, 0.47 in three starts vs Kansas City.

— New York is 5-10 in its last 15 games.
— New York is 37-12 at home.
— over 14-4 last eighteen games
— scored run in first inning: 34-99
— record in first 5 innings: 52-26-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.2-4

Detroit (40-59) @ Toronto (54-44)
— Alexander is 0-3, 10.22 in four starts.
— Tigers are 0-4 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 0-0, 2.16 in three games (2 starts) vs Toronto.

— Tigers are 4-12 in their last 16 games.
— Detroit is 15-32 on road.
— over 9-4 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 21-99
— record in first 5 innings: 31-54-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-5-3

— Kikuchi is 1-3, 8.20 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 6-10 in his starts
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-2
— He is 0-1, 5.63 in three starts vs Toronto.

— Blue Jays won nine of their last 11 games.
— Toronto is 31-20 at home.
— over 39-18 last 57 games
— scored run in first inning: 36-98
— record in first 5 innings: 40-35-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-4.1

Cleveland (50-47) @ Boston (49-50)
— McKenzie is 3-0, 0.34 in his last four starts.
— Guardians are 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston

— Guardians are 7-3 in their last ten games.
— Cleveland is 25-28 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-97
— record in first 5 innings: 37-40-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6.2-3.2

— Crawford is 0-2, 3.81 in five starts.
— Red Sox are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He gave up five runs in 2 IP, in one start vs Cleveland.

— Red Sox lost 15 of last 19 games.
— Boston is 24-25 at home.
— over 14-5 last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-99
— record in first 5 innings: 38-37-24
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-6-3

Seattle (54-45) @ Houston (64-35)
— Gilbert is 1-1, 3.63 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 9-2 in his last 11 starts.
— under 11-8-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-1
— He is 2-1, 2.37 in three starts vs Houston TY.

— Mariners are 17-3 in their last 20 games.
— Seattle is 27-22 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 28-99
— record in first 5 innings: 39-43-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-2

— Urquidy is 3-1, 2.73 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 12-6 in his starts.
— over 9-8-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5
— He is 1-3, 8.53 in four starts vs Seattle TY.

— Astros lost their last three games.
— Houston is 30-14 at home.
— under 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-99
— record in first 5 innings: 59-28-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-3

Texas (43-54) @ LA Angels (42-56)
— Howard is 1-1, 7.48 in five starts.
— Texas is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 0-1, 11.57 in one start vs Anaheim.

— Rangers are 7-17 in last 24 games.
— Texas is 22-28 on road.
— over 17-10 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-97
— record in first 5 innings: 35-43-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.2-1.2

— Ohtani is 6-1, 1.76 in his last seven starts.
— Angels are 9-7 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-3
— He is 3-1, 4.26 in six starts vs Texas.

— Angels are 15-39 in their last 54 games.
— Angels are 22-27 at home.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 28-98
— record in first 5 innings: 47-39-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3.2-4
 

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MLB

Thursday, July 28


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami @ Cincinnati
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Cincinnati is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

Kansas City @ NY Yankees
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Philadelphia is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games

Detroit @ Toronto
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing Detroit

Cleveland @ Boston
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games at home

Seattle @ Houston
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
Houston is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Colorado
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Colorado is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games

Texas @ LA Angels
Texas
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 11 games when playing Texas
LA Angels is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Chi Cubs @ San Francisco
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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THURSDAY, JULY 28​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TB at BAL12:35 PMBAL -122
O 9.0
+500 +500
MIA at CIN12:35 PMMIA +118
U 9.0
+500 +500
PHI at PIT07:05 PMPHI -187
O 8.0
+500 +500
KC at NYY07:05 PMNYY -230
U 8.5
+500 +500
DET at TOR07:07 PMTOR -222
U 9.5
+500 +500
CLE at BOS07:10 PMCLE -117
O 9.5
+500 +500
SEA at HOU08:10 PMSEA +123
O 8.5
+500 +500
LAD at COL08:40 PMCOL +184
U 12.0
+500 +500
TEX at LAA09:38 PMLAA -217
U 7.5
+500 +500
CHC at SF09:45 PMSF -139
U 8.0
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
Week 1 spreads in the NFL:
— Kansas City (-3) @ Arizona
— Green Bay (-2) @ Minnesota
— Las Vegas @ LA Chargers (-3.5)
— NJ Giants @ Tennessee (-6.5)
— Tampa Bay (-2) @ Dallas
— Denver (-5) @ Seattle

Quote of the Day
“I feel it’s necessary (to talk), with what’s going on regarding me, and the things that have been said about me. To think that I can accomplish everything that I’ve accomplished in my career and not be a student of the game, and not have passion and not take this serious, is almost disrespectful, and it’s almost a joke.”
Kyler Murray

Friday’s quiz
Which NFL team has gone the longest, since the last time they were in the playoffs?

Thursday’s quiz
Last time the Dallas Cowboys won a playoff game, they beat Seattle 24-22 in 2018.

Wednesday’s quiz
Former Dodger shortstop Bill Russell replaced Tommy Lasorda as Dodgers’ manager.

*******************************

Friday’s Den: ACC football knowledge

Boston College

— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 29 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 16 starts
— Last six years, they’re 38-35 SU
— Since 2014, they’re 18-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last five years, they’re 27-14-1 ATS in ACC games.
— lost last two bowls; their last bowl win was in 2016.

Clemson
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 75 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
— Lost both coordinators from LY; replaced from within.
— Last ten years, they’re 121-17 SU
— Since 2017, they’re 14-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since 2017, they’re 7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last four years, they’re 4-2 SU in bowl/playoff games.

Duke
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 124 starts back on offensive line; 4th year in row they’ll have new QB
— New coach was defensive coordinator at Texas A&M
— Last three years, they’re 10-19 SU, with minus-27 turnover ratio.
— Last two years, Rams are 4-12 ATS as an underdog.
— Won last three bowls, but last one was in 2018
— Average total in last five bowls: 77.

Florida State
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 13 starts
— Last four years, they’re 19-27 SU
— Since 2016, they’re 11-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last two years, they’re 3-9 ATS coming off a loss.
— 2-3 SU in last five bowls, with last bowl win in 2017

Georgia Tech
— 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 37 starts back on offensive line; soph QB has 16 starts
— Since 2016, Tech is 5-12 ATS as a home underdog.
— Since 2019, they’re 5-7 ATS as a road underdog.
— Collins is 15-19 ATS as an underdog, 4-11-1 as home favorite.
— Last bowl was in 2018; last bowl win 2016.

Louisville
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 116 starts back on offensive line; senior QB has 38 starts
— since 2017, they’re 3-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— were +2 in turnovers LY (from 2018-20, were minus-25)
— Over last decade, they’re 29-42-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Lost three of last four bowls (average total on last three: 61)

Miami
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 9 games
— Cristobal is 13-22-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— since 2016, Miami is 1-7 ATS on neutral fields.
— Since 2019, they’re 5-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Since 2012, they’re 7-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— 0-4 SU/ATS last four bowls, allowing 30 ppg.

North Carolina
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 104 starts back on offensive line; new QB
— Lost last nine times they scored less than 34 points.
— Last two years, they’re 8-4 ATS as home favorites, 1-5 as road favorites.
— lost four of last five bowls, giving up 33.2 ppg; they were favored in 3 of 5 games.
— average total in last three bowls: 65.0

NC State
— 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 20 starts
— 17-7 SU last two years
— Under Doeren, they’re 14-24 ATS as a favorite.
— Last six years, they’re 6-9 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last five years, they’re 3-8-1 ATS as a road dog.
— Last bowl win was in 2017- their bowl LY was cancelled.

Pittsburgh
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— have 145 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 26 games at USC; his OC in high school was Kurt Warner.
— Since 2019, they’re 8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since 2015, they’re 27-11 ATS on the road.
— Since 2015, they’re 22-15 ATS as an underdog.
— 1-4 SU/ATS in last five bowl games.

Syracuse
— 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 13 starts
— 10-4 ATS in last 14 games as a favorite.
— since 2016, they’re 15-11 ATS as an underdog.
— were minus-6 in turnovers LY (+25 from 2018-20)
— won their last four bowls SU (were favored in only one of the four)

Virginia
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 22 starts back on offensive line; brought in OL from Harvard/Georgetown
— junior QB has started 20 games.
— covered 8 of last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Last four years, they’re 12-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Last two years, they’re 8-3 ATS coming off a win.
— 10-5 ATS in last 15 non-conference games.
— lost three of last four bowls; their last bowl win was 2018.

Virginia Tech
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line; soph QB started 23 games at Marshall
— Last four years, they’re 25-25 SU, which is why there is a new coach.
— Since 2016, Hokies are 5-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— Last two years, they’re 1-9 ATS coming off a win.
— lost last four bowls SU, giving up 39 ppg (lost 54-10 in bowl LY)

Wake Forest
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 104 starts back on offensive line; junior QB has 33 starts
— 23-13 SU last three years (+27 turnover ratio)
— under Clawson, Deacons are 18-13 ATS as a road underdog.
— since 2015, they’re 4-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— played in a bowl the last six years, unusual for Wake.
 

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SAN FRANCISCO is 175-151 SU (8.9 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 86-121 SU (-47.1 Units) after a game where their bullpen blew a save since 1996.

BALTIMORE is 52-31 Over (17.9 Units) against NL Central opponents since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 50-64 SU (-20.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 12-4 Under (7.6 Units) after allowing 8 runs or more in the current season.

NY YANKEES are 32-16 Under (14.4 Units) in home games after a win by 2 runs or less in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 28-16 SU (10.4 Units) as an underdog of +200 or more in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) at home when the total is 6 to 6.5 over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 40-21 Under (16.9 Units) in road games against AL East opponents since 1996.

ATLANTA is 9-1 SU (7.9 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

CHI WHITE SOX is 172-126 Over (33.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive road games since 1996.

HOUSTON is 44-34 SU (6.6 Units) in home games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

COLORADO is 11-3 SU (7.7 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the current season.

LA ANGELS are 5-22 SU (-19.2 Units) in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 34-66 SU (-38.6 Units) against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.
 

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