Cnotes 2022 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
If you bet $100 on every baseball game this year, these would be the six most profitable teams before the All-Star break:

+$1,759— Baltimore
+$1,205— New York (N)
+$1,188— New York (A)
+$1,121— Houston
+$775— Seattle
+$293— San Diego

Quote of the Day
“It’s going to be fun. No one thinks anything of us, and I think that’s what makes it fun is you always have to put the ball down and play the football games.”
Raiders QB Derek Carr

Friday’s quiz
What team did Hank Aaron hit his 715th home run against?

Thursday’s quiz
Nick Saban coached the Miami Dolphins for two seasons, going 15-17, before he went to Alabama.

Wednesday’s quiz
On the old game show Hollywood Squares, Paul Lynde sat in the center square most of the time.

*************************************

Friday’s Den: Big 14 football knowledge

Illinois

— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 74 starts return on offensive line; QB started 18 games at Syracuse.
— Last three years, they’re 9-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last 10 years, they’re 39-79 SU
— Last bowl win was in 2011.

Indiana
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 61 starts return on offensive line; QB 20 starts at Missouri
— Since 2016, they’re 5-13 ATS as a road underdog.
— Allen is 11-2 ATS as a home favorite; 4-11 as home underdog.
— Lost last five bowls, last four by total of 12 points.

Iowa
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 44 starts return on offensive line; junior QB has 19 starts
— Last four years, they’re 21-13 ATS as a favorite.
— Since 2015, Iowa is +63 in turnovers (88 games)
— won three of last four bowls (4-0 ATS)

Maryland
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 94 starts return on offensive line; junior QB has 17 starts
— Locksley is 19-30 ATS as an underdog.
— Last year was their first bowl since 2016; they beat Va Tech 54-10.
— Average total in their last five bowls: 63.6.

Michigan
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 85 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 15 starts
— Last four years, they’re 13-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last 10 years, they’re 15-23-1 ATS in non-conference games.
— lost last five bowls; allowed 36.7 ppg in last three

Michigan State
— 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 90 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 14 starts
— 11-2 SU LY (16-17 SU previous three years)
— Tucker is 7-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— won three of last four bowls (4-0 ATS)

Minnesota
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 64 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 39 starts
— since 2014, they’re 11-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— since 2013, they’re 9-4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— won last five bowls (were underdog in 3 of 5 games)

Nebraska
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 78 starts return on offensive line; junior QB started 10 games at Texas
— Last five years, they’re 19-37 SU.
— Under Frost, they’re 8-15 ATS when favored, 13-7-1 as an underdog.
— Nebraska’s last bowl was in 2016

Northwestern
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 110 starts return on offensive line; junior QB has 16 starts
— Under Fitzgerald: 32-48-2 ATS as favorite, 37-21 as road underdog.
— Since 2014, they’re 10-16-2 ATS out of conference
— won last four bowls (were underdog in 2 of 4 bowls)

Ohio State
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 45 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 12 starts
— Day is 20-10-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Last 10 years, Ohio State is 117-13 SU.
— average total in their last three bowls: 82.0.

Penn State
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 36 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 33 starts
— Under Franklin, they’re 9-12 ATS as an underdog.
— Since 2016, they’re 12-8 ATS as a road favorite.
— Since 2014, they’re 8-23 ATS coming off a loss.

Purdue
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 77 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 15 starts
— Since 2018: 3-9 ATS as home favorite, 8-4 as home underdog.
— Last year was their second winning season in last decade.
— 3-2 SU last five bowls, despite giving up 46.6 ppg.

Rutgers
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 73 starts return on offensive line; senior QB has 20 starts; another QB is freshman who threw 5 passes LY.
— Last two years: 1-7 ATS as home underdog, 6-1 as road underdog.
— Last two years, they’re +8 in turnovers (previous two years, they were minus-27)
— lost 3 of last 4 bowls (were double digit underdog in 2 of last 3). Last bowl win: 2014

Wisconsin
— 5 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 57 starts return on offensive line; soph QB has 20 starts
— 17-24 ATS last 41 games as HF; 19-7 last 26 as road favorite.
— since 2013, they’re 23-13 ATS out of conference
— won four of last five bowl games.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Friday, July 22


Z0oWUdE.png
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 SU (6.8 Units) in home games after a win by 4 runs or more in the current season.

CINCINNATI is 6-21 SU (-18.4 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 36-22 SU (11.8 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 13-2 SU (10.8 Units) in the second half of the season in the current season.

NY METS are 69-94 SU (-34.4 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 7-1 SU (5.9 Units) in home games after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings in the current season.

ATLANTA is 19-6 Over (12.4 Units) in home games when playing on Friday in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 12-3 SU (8.7 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last ...

CHI WHITE SOX is 109-109 SU (-10.9 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 20-6 Over (13.4 Units) in road games after a win by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 10-2 SU (7.8 Units) in home games after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span in the current season.

OAKLAND is 41-34 SU (3.6 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

LA DODGERS are 111-77 SU (26.3 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) in road games after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 2 seasons.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, July 22

National League
St Louis (50-44) @ Cincinnati (34-57)

— Wainwright is 1-2, 2.00 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 10-8 in his starts
— over 4-2-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-2
— He is 7-7, 5.43 in 19 starts at Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 7-10 in their last 17 games.
— St Louis is 21-24 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 33-94
— record in first 5 innings: 42-37-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Ashcraft is 0-1, 8.10 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 7-3 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 5-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He gave up four runs in 4.2 IP in a June 12 start vs St Louis.

— Reds won six of last nine games.
— Cincinnati is 18-28 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 22-91
— record in first 5 innings: 26-50-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Cubs (35-57) @ Philadelphia (49-43)
— Steele is 1-1, 4.63 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 6-11 in his starts.
— over 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Cubs lost nine of last ten games.
— Cubs are 17-25 on road.
— under 10-3-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-43-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Gibson is 1-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
— Philly is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-1
— He is 0-2, 5.40 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Phillies won their last three games.
— Philly is 24-21 at home.
— under 12-5 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-92
— record in first 5 innings: 37-38-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Miami (43-49) @ Pittsburgh (39-54)
— Garrett is 0-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 4-4 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He blanked Pittsburgh for 6 IP July 14.

— Miami is 4-9 in its last 13 games.
— They haven’t scored a run in 34 innings.
— Marlins are 21-26 on road.
— under 12-6-2 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-41-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4

— Pittsburgh hasn’t named a starter.

— Pirates lost four of last five games.
— Pittsburgh is 20-23 at home.
— under 10-5 last fifteen games
— scored run in first inning: 20-93
— record in first 5 innings: 32-45-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

San Diego (52-42) @ NY Mets (58-35)
— Darvish is 1-1, 4.15 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 10-7 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-2-3
— He is 4-0, 2.76 in seven starts vs New York.

— Padres are 8-15 in last 23 games.
— San Diego is 27-21 on road.
— under 11-7 last eighteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-94
— record in first 5 innings: 44-29-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Scherzer is 1-0, 1.40 in three starts this month.
— Mets are 8-3 in his starts.
— under 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-4
— He is 6-2, 2.87 in 16 starts vs San Diego.

— Mets are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— Mets are 28-15 at home.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-93
— record in first 5 innings: 49-25-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Colorado (43-50) @ Milwaukee (50-43)
— Senzatela is 1-2, 4.32 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 1-7 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-1
— He is 1-0, 3.12 in five starts vs Milwaukee.

— Colorado won eight of last 11 games.
— Rockies are 15-27 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-92
— record in first 5 innings: 27-47-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Burnes is 4-0, 1.79 in his last six starts.
— Milwaukee is 11-7 in his starts
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-2
— He is 1-1, 5.71 in six games (2 starts) vs Colorado.

— Brewers are 3-9 in their last 12 games.
— Milwaukee is 21-19 at home.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 31-93
— record in first 5 innings: 40-36-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Washington (31-63) @ Arizona (40-52)
— Washington hasn’t named a starter.

— Washington lost 15 of last 17 games.
— Nationals are 16-27 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-94
— record in first 5 innings: 26-57-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Gallen is 0-0, 4.79 in his last six starts.
— Arizona is 2-6 in his last eight starts
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-5
— He is 0-1, 6.43 in two starts vs Washington.

— Diamondbacks are 5-10 in last fifteen games.
— Arizona is 22-26 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 25-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-35-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

San Francisco (48-44) @ Dodgers (61-30)
— Webb is 2-0, 1.35 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 12-7 in his starts
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-2
— He is 1-2, 3.64 in six starts vs Los Angeles.

— Giants are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— San Francisco is 22-22 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-92
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3

— Anderson is 2-0, 1.86 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 12-3 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-1
— He is 1-3, 4.40 in eight starts vs San Francisco.

— Dodgers are 22-6 in their last 28 games.
— Los Angeles is 31-13 at home.
— under 13-8-2 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-91
— record in first 5 innings: 53-24-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4
 

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American League
New York (64-30) @ Baltimore (46-46)

— Taillon is 1-1, 6.61 in his last three starts.
— New York is 14-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-3
— He is 1-0, 3.91 in five starts vs Baltimore.

— New York lost seven of last ten games.
— New York is 27-18 on road.
— over 11-2 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 32-94
— record in first 5 innings: 49-24-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-6.2

— Wells is 5-1, 2.92 in his last seven starts.
— Baltimore is 10-3 in his last 13 starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-1
— He is 0-2, 3.32 in nine games (3 starts) vs New York.

— Orioles won 11 of their last 13 games.
— Baltimore is 25-17 at home.
— over 4-1-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-92
— record in first 5 innings: 35-43-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Toronto (50-43) @ Boston (48-45)
— Gausman is 1-1, 1.71 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 1-6 in his last seven starts
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 3-4, 4.01 in eight starts at Boston.

— Blue Jays won five of their last six games.
— Toronto is 20-24 on road.
— over 36-16 last 52 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-93
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Eovaldi is 3-0, 2.22 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 7-6 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-6
— He is 1-2, 4.13 in ten starts vs Toronto.

— Red Sox lost 10 of last 13 games.
— Boston is 23-20 at home.
— over 10-3 last thirteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 38-32-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Cleveland (46-44) @ White Sox (46-46)
— Quantrill is 2-1, 4.66 in his last five starts.
— Cleveland is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— over 8-0-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-4
— He is 1-1, 2.76 in five starts vs Chicago

— Guardians are 10-16 in their last 26 games.
— Cleveland is 21-25 on road.
— under 13-8 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-90
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Giolito is 2-1, 3.24 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— over 8-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He is 5-3, 1.77 in 12 starts vs Cleveland.

— White Sox are 5-1 in their last six games.
— Chicago is 19-25 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 23-92
— record in first 5 innings: 39-42-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Tampa Bay (51-41) @ Kansas City (36-56)
— Rasmussen is 0-0, 3.14 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 10-5 in his starts.
— over 8-2-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4
— He threw 2 scoreless IP in two relief stints vs Kansas City

— Tampa Bay won six of last seven games.
— Rays are 20-23 on road.
— over 15-8-2 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-92
— record in first 5 innings: 43-30-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Royals haven’t named a starter.

— Kansas City lost its last three games.
— Royals are 19-27 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-92
— record in first 5 innings: 33-44-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Houston (61-32) @ Seattle (51-42)
— Urquidy is 3-1, 2.43 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 11-6 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5
— He is 1-3, 6.25 in six starts vs Seattle.

— Astros are 25-9 in their last 34 games.
— Houston is 31-18 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 31-93
— record in first 5 innings: 56-25-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-8

— Gonzales is 1-1, 4.82 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 7-11 in his starts.
— under 10-5 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-4
— He is 2-8, 4.63 in 12 starts vs Houston.

— Mariners won their last 14 games.
— Seattle is 24-20 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 37-40-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

Texas (42-49) @ A’s (33-62)
— Howard is 1-0, 3.60 in his last two starts.
— Texas is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in two games (1 start) vs Oakland.

— Rangers are 6-12 in last 18 games.
— Texas is 21-23 on road.
— over 14-7 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-91
— record in first 5 innings: 34-40-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3

— Irvin is 2-1, 1.80 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 5-11 in his starts.
— under 5-0-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-3
— He is 3-2, 3.35 in seven starts vs Texas.

— A’s are 7-7 in their last 14 games.
— Oakland is 12-32 at home.
— under 24-8-2 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-95
— record in first 5 innings: 29-52-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-9

Interleague game
Angels (39-53) @ Atlanta (56-38)

— Ohtani is 6-0, 0.68 in his last six starts.
— Angels are 9-6 in his starts.
— under 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Angels are 12-36 in their last 48 games.
— Angels are 17-26 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 27-92
— record in first 5 innings: 44-38-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Morton is 1-1, 2.56 in his last six starts.
— Atlanta is 9-4 in his last 13 starts.
— over 15-3
— allowed run in first inning: 9-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 4-1, 4.34 in nine starts vs Anaheim.

— Braves are 33-11 in their last 44 games.
— Atlanta is 31-20 at home.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 53-32-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x
 

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MLB

Friday, July 22


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

St. Louis @ Cincinnati
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Chi Cubs @ Philadelphia
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Miami @ Pittsburgh
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

San Diego @ NY Mets
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
San Diego is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Mets is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego

LA Angels @ Atlanta
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

Cleveland @ Chi White Sox
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Tampa Bay @ Kansas City
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Colorado @ Milwaukee
Colorado
Colorado is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Colorado

Washington @ Arizona
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Texas @ Oakland
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Texas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games

Houston @ Seattle
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

San Francisco @ LA Dodgers
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Tokens

FRIDAY, JULY 22​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
STL at CIN06:40 PMCIN +126
U 10.0
+500 +500
CHC at PHI07:05 PMPHI -135
O 9.0
+500 +500
MIA at PIT07:05 PMPIT +109
O 8.5
+500 +500
NYY at BAL07:05 PMBAL +138
O 9.0
+500 +500
TOR at BOS07:10 PMTOR -126
U 9.0
+500 +500
SD at NYM07:10 PMNYM -188
U 7.0
+500 +500
LAA at ATL07:20 PMLAA +127
U 7.0
+500 +500
CLE at CHW08:10 PMCLE +128
O 8.5
+500 +500
TB at KC08:10 PMTB -141
U 9.0
+500 +500
COL at MIL08:10 PMMIL -291
U 7.5
+500 +500
WAS at ARI09:40 PMARI -161
U 8.5
+500 +500
TEX at OAK09:40 PMOAK -101
O 7.5
+500 +500
SF at LAD10:10 PMSF +127
U 8.0
+500 +500
HOU at SEA10:10 PMSEA -101
U 8.5
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack

Odds to win the Big X in football this year:
9-5— Oklahoma
3-1— Texas
5-1— Oklahoma State
6-1— Baylor
10-1— Kansas State
20-1— Iowa State, TCU
25-1— Texas Tech
30-1— West Virginia
1,000-1— Kansas

Quote of the Day
“Do the work. That’s all the productivity advice you need…….when you do the work, everything else optimizes itself.”
Slava Akhmechet

Saturday’s quiz
Who has the most career hits, of all the players who played their entire career for the Cincinnati Reds?
Hint: He is in the Hall of Fame

Friday’s quiz
Hank Aaron hit his 715th home run against Al Downing of the Dodgers.

Thursday’s quiz
Nick Saban coached the Miami Dolphins for two seasons, going 15-17, before he went to Alabama.

******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

Lot of money flying around this week……
13) Arizona Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray signed a 5-year, $230.5M contract extension that guarantees him $160M. Murray has a 22-24-1 record in three years with Arizona, losing his only playoff game 34-11 last season.

12) Speaking of QBs and contracts, here are Baker Mayfield’s contract incentives:
If Mayfield plays 75% of regular season snaps AND
— 10+ wins— $250K
— divisional round win (with 50% snaps) $500K
— NFC championship win (with 50% snaps) $600K
— Super Bowl win (with 50% snaps) $750K

Playing time/team’s total offense:
— 75% of snaps and top 5 in NFC or top 10 in NFL in total offense— $300K
— 75% of snaps and top 5 in NFC or top 10 in NFL in points scored— $300K

Completion percentage: (minimum 224 attempts)
— 75% of snaps and top 5 in NFC or top 10 in NFL— $300K
— making Pro Bowl— $500K

11) Georgia football coach Kirby Smart signed a 10-year contract extension worth $112.5M.

10) Last year, Georgia became the fifth team in big-time college football history to win 13 games by 15+ points and just the second team to do it over the last 100 years. 2018 Clemson Tigers also did that; before them, Minnesota in 1903 was the last team to do it.

9) Philadelphia 76ers’ star James Harden signed a 2-year deal worth $68.6M.

8) Charles Barkley makes $10M a year working on TNT; that’s a pretty good gig.

7) Word of the Day— Quisling— a traitor who collaborates with an enemy force.

6) Couple notes about the NFL red zone:
— Only 22.4% of touchdowns in the NFL last year came on plays longer than 20 yards, the lowest percentage in the last ten years.
— Teams scored TD’s 58.2% of the time they got inside the 20-yard line, the 3rd-highest %age in the last decade.

5) New Mexico Lobos’ football team used five different QB’s in each of the last two years; things got so bad for them last year, a student manager played QB in three games, starting in a 35-10 loss to Utah State.

A long time ago, I was a student manager for our college basketball team; things wouldn’t have gone too well if I had to play in a real game.

August 1980, we took a 16-day trip to Sweden and played in some exhibitions; somehow, I got in one of the games, and proceeded to shoot most of the time they threw me the ball. I was subbed out for pretty quickly. Go figure.

4) It feels weird typing this, but over the last four years, Florida State’s football team is 19-27.

3) Houston 3, New York 2— Astros’ first two batters in first inning of Thursday’s twinbill opener reached base with a bunt single. It is the 41st time it has happened in MLB history; Astros are first team to do it since the Colorado Rockies on September 15, 2015.

2) Los Angeles Dodgers are 60-30, only 7-9 in one-run games. If you wagered on the Dodgers, would it be smart to play them -1.5 runs? 53 of their 60 wins are by 2+ runs.

1) Suggestions for TV coverage of the All-Star Game:
— There are 64 All-Stars; only 10 of them are on the field at once.
— Interview one of the other 54 All-Stars in each dugout, in the bullpens, wherever.
— Interview the managers.
— Do NOT interview players who are on the field, playing the game.
— For better or worse, people bet on this stuff, and you’ve got pitchers/batters miked. It isn’t good.
 

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CLEVELAND is 12-2 Over (9.8 Units) in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seas...

SEATTLE is 39-13 SU (23.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last ...

BOSTON is 41-34 SU (11.9 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons...

CHICAGO CUBS are 330-265 Over (38.5 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1996.

DETROIT is 20-8 SU (11.2 Units) in home games when playing on Saturday in the last 3 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 16-5 Over (10.5 Units) in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 14-2 SU (11.8 Units) in July games in the current season.

SAN DIEGO is 106-71 Over (27.9 Units) after allowing 3 runs or less 4 straight games since 1996.

MILWAUKEE is 23-43 SU (-24.3 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

KANSAS CITY is 31-41 SU (-14.1 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 SU (7.8 Units) in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs in the current season.

CHI WHITE SOX is 3-17 SU (-15.5 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current s...

LA ANGELS are 45-50 SU (-10 Units) as a road underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games in the current season.

OAKLAND is 17-27 SU (-12.7 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the last 3 seasons.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, July 23

National League
Cubs (36-57) @ Philadelphia (49-44)

— Stroman is 1-0, 2.18 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 3-8 in his starts.
— over 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-2
— He is 4-4, 2.62 in 10 games (8 starts) vs Philly.

— Cubs lost nine of last 11 games.
— Cubs are 18-25 on road.
— under 10-4-2 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-93
— record in first 5 innings: 35-43-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4

— Wheeler is 2-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
— Philly is 9-5 in his last 14 starts.
— over 6-4 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2
— He is 2-2, 4.54 in six starts vs Chicago.

— Phillies won three of last four games.
— Philly is 24-22 at home.
— under 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-93
— record in first 5 innings: 37-39-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4.2

St Louis (50-45) @ Cincinnati (35-57)
— Matz is 3-3, 5.72 in nine starts.
— His last start was May 23.
— St Louis is 6-3 in his starts
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3
— He is 2-0, 2.95 in three starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 7-11 in their last 18 games.
— St Louis is 21-25 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 33-95
— record in first 5 innings: 42-38-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-2.2

— Minor is 0-4, 6.83 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 1-7 in his starts.
— under 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-3
— He is 2-4, 5.88 in seven starts vs St Louis.

— Reds won seven of last ten games.
— Cincinnati is 19-28 at home.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 22-92
— record in first 5 innings: 27-50-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4.1

Miami (44-49) @ Pittsburgh (39-55)
— Meyer allowed five runs in 5.1 IP (79 PT) in his first MLB start.
— Miami is 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— Miami is 5-9 in its last 14 games.
— Marlins are 22-26 on road.
— under 12-7-2 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-93
— record in first 5 innings: 35-41-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3

— Quintana is 1-1, 5.31 in his last four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 9-9 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-3
— He is 2-1, 3.32 in three starts vs Miami.

— Pirates lost five of last six games.
— Pittsburgh is 20-24 at home.
— under 10-6 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 20-94
— record in first 5 innings: 32-46-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3.2

Colorado (43-51) @ Milwaukee (51-43)
— Urena is 1-1, 1.45 in three starts for Colorado.
— Colorado is 1-2 in his those games.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 0-1, 5.84 in three starts vs Milwaukee.

— Colorado won eight of last 12 games.
— Rockies are 15-28 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-93
— record in first 5 innings: 27-48-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-7

— Woodruff is 2-0, 2.38 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 8-5 in his starts
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-1
— He is 0-1, 9.24 in three starts vs Colorado.

— Brewers are 4-9 in their last 13 games.
— Milwaukee is 23-19 at home.
— under 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 31-94
— record in first 5 innings: 41-36-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-8

San Diego (53-42) @ NY Mets (58-36)
— Snell is 1-1, 5.03 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 1-9 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 1-6-3
— He is 2-3, 3.21 in five starts vs New York.

— Padres are 9-15 in last 24 games.
— San Diego is 28-21 on road.
— under 12-7 last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-95
— record in first 5 innings: 45-29-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-2

— Bassitt is 3-2, 2.41 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 10-7 in his starts.
— over 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-2
— He is 0-1, 10.13 in two starts vs San Diego.

— Mets are 10-6 in their last 16 games.
— Mets are 28-16 at home.
— under 6-2-1 last nie games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-94
— record in first 5 innings: 49-26-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3

Washington (31-64) @ Arizona (41-52)
— Anibel Sanchez allowed four runs in five IP, in his first ‘22 start.
— Washington is 0-1 in his starts
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 01-1
— He is 5-1, 4.13 in ten starts vs Arizona.

— Washington lost 16 of last 18 games.
— Nationals are 16-28 on road.
— over 4-0 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-95
— record in first 5 innings: 26-58-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3

— Bumgarner is 2-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 3-7 in his last ten starts
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 12-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-12-1
— He is 4-6, 2.45 in 12 starts vs Washington.

— Diamondbacks are 6-10 in last sixteen games.
— Arizona is 23-26 at home.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 25-93
— record in first 5 innings: 35-35-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-2

San Francisco (48-45) @ Dodgers (62-30)
— Wood is 1-0, 2.16 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 3-5 in his last eight road starts
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-4
— He is 2-3, 3.35 in seven starts vs Los Angeles.

— Giants are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— San Francisco is 22-23 on road.
— over 6-4 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-93
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-2

— Urias is 5-0, 3.34 in his last six starts.
— Dodgers won his last six starts.
— under 7-2-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He is 3-4, 2.45 in 16 starts vs San Francisco.

— Dodgers are 23-6 in their last 29 games.
— Los Angeles is 32-13 at home.
— under 14-8-2 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-92
— record in first 5 innings: 53-24-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3
 

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American League
Cleveland (47-44) @ White Sox (46-47)

— McKenzie is 3-0, 0.00 in his last three starts (21 IP).
— Cleveland is 11-5 in his starts.
— under 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7
— He is 0-2, 8.63 in six starts vs Chicago

— They haven’t named a starter for the nightcap

— Guardians are 4-0 in their last four games.
— Cleveland is 22-25 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-91
— record in first 5 innings: 34-38-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4

— Cueto is 3-0, 2.08 in his last four starts.
— White Sox are 6-5 in his starts.
— under 7-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6
— He is 4-0, 2.28 in seven starts vs Cleveland.

— Lynn is 0-3, 8.44 in his last five starts.
— White Sox are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
— He is 4-4, 4.33 in nine starts vs Cleveland.

— White Sox are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Chicago is 19-26 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 23-93
— record in first 5 innings: 39-43-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-6

Houston (62-32) @ Seattle (51-43)
— Verlander is 4-0, 1.00 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 13-4 in his starts.
— under 14-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-4
— He is 19-10, 3.20 in 35 starts vs Seattle.

— Astros are 26-9 in their last 35 games.
— Houston is 32-18 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 32-94
— record in first 5 innings: 57-25-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-8-3

— Gilbert is 3-0, 4.50 in his last five starts.
— Seattle is 9-1 in his last 10 starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 12-6-1
— He is 2-1, 4.67 in five starts vs Houston.

— Mariners won 14 of last 15 games.
— Seattle is 24-21 at home.
— under 6-2 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 37-41-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3.1

Toronto (51-43) @ Boston (48-46)
— Manoah is 1-1, 1.88 in his last two starts.
— Blue Jays are 11-7 in his starts
— under 12-6
— allowed run in first inning: 2-18
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-4
— He is 2-0, 1.80 in four starts vs Boston.

— Blue Jays won six of their last seven games.
— Toronto is 21-24 on road.
— over 37-16 last 53 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-94
— record in first 5 innings: 38-34-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4

— Crawford is 0-1, 3.60 in four starts.
— Red Sox are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Red Sox lost 11 of last 14 games.
— They were outscored 55-8 in last three games.
— Boston is 23-21 at home.
— over 11-3 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-94
— record in first 5 innings: 38-33-23
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-6.1

Minnesota (50-44) @ Detroit (38-56)
— Ryan is 0-0, 2.76 in his last three starts.
— Minnesota is 9-5 in his starts.
— under 9-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-4
— He is 1-0, 4.63 in two starts vs Detroit.

— Minnesota is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Twins are 23-22 on road.
— over 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 33-93
— record in first 5 innings: 47-33-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-x

— Pineda is 1-3, 8.31 in his last four starts.
— He pitched for Minnesota in 2019-21.
— Tigers are 4-5 in his starts.
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5
— He is 1-2, 4.09 in six starts vs Minnesota.

— Tigers are 2-9 in their last 11 games.
— Detroit is 23-24 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 21-94
— record in first 5 innings: 30-50-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-x

New York (65-30) @ Baltimore (46-47)
— Cole is 3-0, 3.12 in his last four starts.
— New York is 14-5 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 12-1-6
— He is 5-2, 2.11 in nine starts vs Baltimore.

— New York lost seven of last 11 games.
— New York is 28-18 on road.
— over 12-2 last fourteen games
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— scored run in first inning: 32-95
— record in first 5 innings: 50-24-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6.2-6.1

— Lyles is 2-1, 4.09 in his last four starts.
— Baltimore is 3-7 in his last 10 starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
— He is 2-2, 4.18 in five starts vs New York.

— Orioles won 11 of their last 14 games.
— Baltimore is 25-18 at home.
— over 5-1-1 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-93
— record in first 5 innings: 35-44-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4

Tampa Bay (52-41) @ Kansas City (36-57)
— Patino is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts.
— Tampa Bay is 1-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City

— Tampa Bay won seven of last eight games.
— Rays are 21-23 on road.
— over 16-8-2 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-93
— record in first 5 innings: 44-30-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4

— Singer is 1-0, 3.06 in his last three starts.
— Tampa Bay is 6-5 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-2
— He gave up six runs in 2.2 IP, in one start vs Tampa Bay

— Kansas City lost its last four games.
— Royals are 19-28 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 33-45-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-5

Texas (42-50) @ A’s (34-62)
— Hearn is 1-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 7-6 in his starts.
— over 7-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-1
— He is 2-1, 4.42 in seven games (3 starts) vs Oakland.

— Rangers are 6-13 in last 19 games.
— Texas is 21-24 on road.
— over 15-7 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-92
— record in first 5 innings: 34-41-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3.1

— Kaprielian is 1-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— over 7-2-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-3
— He is 1-2, 5.01 in eight starts vs Texas.

— A’s are 8-7 in their last 15 games.
— Oakland is 13-32 at home.
— under 24-9-2 last 35 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-96
— record in first 5 innings: 30-52-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-9-2

Interleague game
Angels (39-54) @ Atlanta (57-38)

— Sandoval is 0-3, 5.60 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 1-7 in his last eight starts.
— under 8-5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Angels are 12-37 in their last 49 games.
— Angels are 17-27 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 44-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-1.2

— Wright is 3-0, 2.52 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 8-1 in his last nine starts.
— under 9-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 12-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.

— Braves are 34-11 in their last 45 games.
— Atlanta is 32-20 at home.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 27-95
— record in first 5 innings: 53-32-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-3
 

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MLB

Saturday, July 23


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland @ Chi White Sox
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Toronto is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games

Houston @ Seattle
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Chi Cubs @ Philadelphia
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

St. Louis @ Cincinnati
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games
Baltimore
Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Baltimore is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Miami @ Pittsburgh
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

San Diego @ NY Mets
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
NY Mets is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Kansas City
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Kansas City's last 22 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

Colorado @ Milwaukee
Colorado
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Colorado

Cleveland @ Chi White Sox
Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

San Francisco @ LA Dodgers
San Francisco
San Francisco is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

LA Angels @ Atlanta
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games

Washington @ Arizona
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington

Texas @ Oakland
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Texas


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SATURDAY, JULY 23​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLE at CHW01:10 PMCHW -119
U 8.5
+500 +500
TOR at BOS04:10 PMTOR -153
U 9.0
+500 +500
HOU at SEA04:10 PMHOU -141
U 7.0
+500 +500
CHC at PHI06:05 PMPHI -166
O 8.0
+500 +500
MIN at DET06:10 PMMIN -178
O 8.5
+500 +500
STL at CIN06:40 PMCIN +131
O 10.5
+500 +500
MIA at PIT07:05 PMPIT -105
U 8.5
+500 +500
NYY at BAL07:05 PMBAL +197
O 8.0
+500 +500
TB at KC07:10 PMKC -104
O 10.0
+500 +500
SD at NYM07:10 PMNYM -156
O 7.5
+500 +500
COL at MIL07:10 PMMIL -276
U 7.5
+500 +500
CLE at CHW07:15 PMCHW -179
U 9.0
+500 +500
SF at LAD07:15 PMLAD -175
U 8.0
+500 +500
LAA at ATL07:20 PMATL -203
U 8.5
+500 +500
WAS at ARI08:10 PMARI -156
U 9.0
+500 +500
TEX at OAK09:07 PMOAK +107
O 7.5
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack

Over/under win totals for college football:
— Air Force 8.5
— Alabama 11.5 (under -150)
— Arizona 3 (over -120)
— Arizona State 5.5 (over -120)
— Arkansas 7 (over -130)
— Auburn 6 (over -120)

Quote of the Day
“I feel like the game has changed. I feel like the people have changed in a sense. Maybe it’s because I got spoiled when I came in. The team was so important. It was all about the team. Now, it’s about me and this, that and the other. I might be standing on a soapbox a little bit, but that’s my biggest takeaway from when I started to the end. It turned from a team-first to a me-type attitude. It was hard. It’s hard for these young guys, too. Social media. They’re treated so well in college. Now, this new NIL stuff, which is unbelievable. They’re treated so special. They’re coddled at a young age because college coaches need them to win, too. ”
Ben Roethlisberger

Sunday’s quiz
What team did Drew Brees began his NFL career with?

Saturday’s quiz
Barry Larkin has the most career hits (2,340), of all the players who played their entire career for the Cincinnati Reds.

Friday’s quiz
Hank Aaron hit his 715th home run against Al Downing of the Dodgers.

******************************

Sunday’s Den: Random thoughts on a hot summer day

13) Last year, all 32 NFL teams got $347.2M each in revenue sharing from the league; the salary cap last year was $182.5M per team. NFL is a thriving business.

12) Cleveland Browns signed QB Josh Rosen this week; Rosen was the 10th player taken in the 2018 draft, but lasted only one year in Arizona, going 3-10 as a starter. He went 0-3 as a starter in Miami the next year, then re-surfaced as a backup in Atlanta LY.

Rosen started for three years at UCLA; after his third season, they fired the coach; Arizona also fired their coach after Rosen’s rookie season.

With Deshaun Watson expected to be suspended soon, Cleveland’s QB’s figure to be Jacoby Brissett, Joshua Dobbs and Rosen. They’re only NFL team with no QB’s back from last season.

11) Eight NFL teams are expected to have new starting QB’s this season; if the 49ers start Trey Lance, that’ll be nine new starters this season.

10) Last 19 years, defending Super Bowl champ is 11-5-3 ATS in their first game the next season. Rams open this season at home against Buffalo. Matthew Stafford’s brother-in-law is the WR coach for the Bills.

9) Was watching a replay of the 2018 Rams-Chiefs game the other night; interesting how many players from that team are no longer with the Rams. Players/coaches come and go quickly from year to year; sometimes change is good. With the salary cap, not everyone can get paid what they want, so they have to switch teams to maximize their value.

8) Mempbis Tigers have a QB named Ryan Glover who is on his fourth college:
— He played for the Penn Quakers from 2017-19
— He played at Western Carolina in 2020
— He was with the Cal Bears LY, starting one game, a 10-3 loss to Arizona that was the Wildcats’ only win last season.

7) Toronto Blue Jays won 28-5 in Boston Friday night, scoring 11 runs in the 5th inning— their first two guys that inning both made out, then 12 straight guys reached base.

6) Baltimore Orioles signed high school SS Jackson Holliday to a contract worth $8.19M; he was the first pick in the MLB Draft last week.

5) Houston Astros are scoring only 3.1 runs/game when Jordan Alvarez is out of the lineup; they’re scoring 4.7 runs/game when he plays.

4) Los Angeles Angels are 5-17 this season in games where the winning run scores from the 7th inning on. Teams have called the Angels to see if Shohei Ohtani is available for a trade, but word is, the Angels aren’t interested in dealing him.

3) Mets acquired lefty slugger Daniel Vogelbach from Pittsburgh Friday, in exchange for rookie reliever Colin Holderman.

Vogelbach is a platoon player; he is 9-64 (.141) this season against lefties, .137 for his career, but he does have good pop against righties (.896 OPS this year)

2) Utah Jazz star Donovan Mitchell scored 25.9 ppg last year; he is also a big baseball fan— his dad works in the New York Mets’ front office, as director of public relations and community engagement. The elder Mitchell played minor league ball, getting as high as the AAA level, and has also managed in the minor leagues.

1) July 20, 1973, Chicago White Sox played a doubleheader in the Bronx, Knuckleballer Wilbur Wood started the first game for Chicago, but gave up six runs without getting anyone out. For some reason, White Sox also started Wood in the nightcap; he gave up seven runs in 4.1 IP.

Wood was a very good pitcher; he went 24-20, 3.46 in 48 starts that year, going on short rest a lot because he threw the knuckleball. A full work load in modern times is 32 starts and he had 48, making the bullpen’s job a lot easier.

He is the last major league pitcher to start both games of a doubleheader.
 

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Messages
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NY METS are 7-23 SU (-18.3 Units) in home games in July games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO CUBS are 330-265 Over (38.5 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1996.

PITTSBURGH is 15-3 Under (11.7 Units) in home games when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.

TORONTO is 50-27 Under (20.3 Units) in road games when the money line is +125 to -125 in the last 3 seasons.

BALTIMORE is 13-1 SU (11.9 Units) in home games in day games in the current season.

LA ANGELS are 45-50 SU (-10 Units) in road games as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

CINCINNATI is 47-28 Over (16.2 Units) in home games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 27-14 SU (11.6 Units) in home games as an underdog of +150 or more in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 23-43 SU (-24.3 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

TAMPA BAY is 76-42 SU (30.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.

CHI WHITE SOX is 9-25 SU (-16.2 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in the current season.

TEXAS are 18-38 SU (-23.8 Units) in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

SAN FRANCISCO is 15-4 SU (10.6 Units) as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 115-77 Under (30.3 Units) in road games in July games since 1996.

SEATTLE is 8-0 SU (8 Units) when playing with a day off in the current season.
 

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