Cnotes 2020-2021 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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NBA DECEMBER RECORD:


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


12/27/2020 10-10-0 50.00% -500 Detail
12/26/2020 11-7-0 68.75% +2750 Detail
12/25/2020 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
12/23/2020 5-7-0 41.66% -1350 Detail
12/22/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail



Total..............33-31-0.......51.56%....+5.50
 

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Monday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads:

— Washington @ Philadelphia (-1.5)
— Jacksonville @ Indianapolis (-14)
— Green Bay (-4.5) @ Chicago
— Dallas (-2.5) @ NJ Giants
— Pittsburgh @ Cleveland (-7)
— Tennessee (-7) @ Houston


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 331,732
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.



Quote of the Day
“When I threw it, I didn’t see it. As you saw, my facemask got basically ripped off. I didn’t know he caught it. And everybody on the sideline was all excited. … It was pretty incredible.”
Ryan Fitzpatrick, on his pass Saturday that set up Miami’s game-winning FG


Late baseball trade: Tampa Bay is trading P Blake Snell to San Diego for prospects.


Monday’s quiz
Before moving to Tennessee, where did the Titans call home?


Sunday’s quiz
Robert Wuhl played the pitching coach in the baseball movie, Bull Durham.


Saturday’s quiz
Stan Kroenke owns the Los Angeles Rams; he also owns the NBA’s Denver Nuggets and the NHL’s Colorado Avalanche.


********************


Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday


Jets 23, Browns 16
— Browns were missing their three best WR’s (contact tracing)
— Cleveland in first half: 38 plays, 113 yards, 3 points.
— Cleveland was outrushed 131-45; they threw 53 passes, ran ball only 18 times.
— Browns are in a massive tie for AFC Wild Card; one of six teams will miss out.


— Jets won their second straight game after an 0-13 start.
— Jets are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.
— Jets are 14-9-2 ATS in last 25 games as a home dog
— Jets have a +2 turnover ratio this season.


Cincinnati 37, Texans 31
— Second straight win for Cincinnati, scoring 27-37 points.
— QB Allen threw for 371 yards; he is now 2-5 as an NFL starter.
— Bengals in 2nd half: 35 plays, 305 yards, three TD’s, two FG’s.
— Bengals trailed at halftime only twice in last ten games.


— Texans lost last four games, giving up 31.5 ppg.
— Houston has zero takeaways in last three games (-7).
— Texans allowed 11 TD’s on opponents’ last 29 drives.
— Total yardage in game: 540-488, Cincinnati.


Steelers 28, Indianapolis 24
— Colts led 24-7 with 4:00 left in third quarter.
— Indy’s last five drives: 25 plays, 97 yards, zero points.
— Colts are 8-0 when they score 27+ points. 2-5 when they do not.
— Eight of their last 11 games went over the total.


— Pittsburgh snaps a 3-game losing streak, clinches AFC North title.
— Steelers’ last four drives: 24 plays, 232 yards, 21 points.
— Pittsburgh still ran for only 20 yards on 14 carries.
— Steelers won last seven series games, last three by total of 9 points.


Bears 41, Jacksonville 17
— Jaguars had ball in 10-10 game with 0:24 left in first half; they threw INT, Bears kicked FG, and the was the end of that.
— Chicago’s first four 2nd half drives: 30 plays, 204 yards, four TD’s.
— Bears are in playoffs if they beat Green Bay next week.
— Last five games, Chicago scored 33.0 ppg.


— Jaguars lost their last 14 games; they clinched 1st pick in 2021 draft.
— Jacksonville gave up 27+ points in 12 of their last 13 games.
— Jaguars in 2nd half: 24 plays, 84 yards, four first downs. No bueno.
— Jaguars are 8-11-2 ATS in last 21 games as a home dog.


Baltimore 27, NY Giants 13
— Giants lost last three games, outscored 73-26.
— Giants are 2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS outside their division.
— Last four games, Giants were outscored 51-6 in first half.
— Despite all that, Giants win NFC East if they win and Eagles win next week.


— Baltimore won last four games, scoring 37 ppg.
— Baltimore scored 18 TD’s on their last 37 drives.
— Ravens won field position by 18 yards in this game.
— Right now, Baltimore is odd-man out in playoff logjam.


Kansas City 17, Falcons 14
— Atlanta missed 39-yard FG with 0:09 left.
— Falcons lost five of their last six games.
— Atlanta trailed in only two of last 10 games at halftime.
— Nine of their last 12 games stayed under the total.


— Chiefs won their last ten games, are 0-6-1 ATS in last seven.
— KC won its last seven games by 6 or fewer points, longest-such streak in NFL history.
— Chiefs scored game-winning TD with 1:55 left.
— Kansas City clinched #1-seed in AFC with win here.


Panthers 20, Washington 13
— Carolina won for only second time in last ten games.
— Panthers in second half: 29 plays, 79 yards, zero points.
— Carolina is 5-0 when they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-10 when they allow 23+.
— Panthers won field position in this game by 10 yards.


— QB Haskins was relieved by Heinicke, playing in NFL for first time in two years.
— Somehow, Washington still leads the NFC East.
— Washington outscored last seven opponents 130-37 in second half.
— Last six weeks, Washington allowed 16.2 ppg.


Seahawks 20, Rams 9
— Seattle wins AFC West fir fifth time under Pete Carroll.
— Seattle won five of its last six games overall.
— Last five games, Seahawks allowed 12.2 ppg.
— Last seven Seattle games stayed under the total.


— Down 13-6 in 3rd quarter, Rams had 1st-and-goal on 1-yard line, did not score.
— In their six losses, Rams were outscored 96-31 in first half.
— QB Goff dislocated his right thumb in 3rd quarter, finished the game.
— Ten of LA’s last 12 games stayed under the total.


Dallas 37, Eagles 17
— Eagles lost six of last seven games; they were 1-7 SU on road.
— Philly gained 413-422-477 yards in Hurts’ first three starts at QB.
— Last four games, Philly allowed 458.5 yards/game.
— Eagles are 4-0 if they allow 21 or fewer points, 0-10-1 if they allow more than 21.


— Dallas won its last three games, scoring 30-41-37 points.
— Dalton threw for 377 yards and three TD’s.
— Cowboys have ten takeaways in those three games (+9)
— Dallas was leading at halftime in six of last eight games.


LA Chargers 19, Denver 16
— Broncos had ball in red zone four times, scored only 10 points.
— Denver lost seven of their last nine games.
— Broncos turned ball over 21 times (-13) in their last ten games.
— Denver outgained the Chargers 396-316, but the red zone killed them.


— Badgley kicked 37-yard FG with 0:37 left for the win.
— Chargers won their last three games, all in last minute.
— Bolts won five of eight games in their new home.
— Four of last five Charger games stayed under the total.


Green Bay 40, Tennessee 14
— Tennessee was outgained 448-260 on a snowy night at Lambeau.
— Titans are still tied for first with Indy in AFC South.
— Tennessee gave up 234 rushing yards.
— Over is 10-3-1 in Titans’ last fourteen games.


— Green Bay won five in row, seven of last eight games.
— Packers scored 32.8 ppg in their last six games,
— Green Bay has converted 85-173 third down plays (49.1%)
— Davante Adams caught 11 passes for 142 yards, three TD’s.


2) Halftime score of the day: Mavericks 77, Clippers 27. Really. 77-27. Dallas wound up winning by 51.


1) College hoop scores of note:
— Providence 95, DePaul 90 (2OT)
— Cal-Irvine 75, UCSB 56
— Drake 81, Indiana State 63 (Drake is 10-0)
— Southern Illinois 63, Evansville 57


 

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541MEMPHIS -542 BROOKLYN
MEMPHIS are 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.


543DETROIT -544 ATLANTA
DETROIT is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) when the total >=220 in the last 3 seasons.


543DETROIT -544 ATLANTA
Dwane Casey is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) when the total >=220 (Coach of DETROIT)


545UTAH -546 OKLAHOMA CITY
UTAH is 103-60 ATS (37 Units) after 2 straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more since 1996.


547HOUSTON -548 DENVER
DENVER is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.








NBA


Monday, December 28



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Detroit @ Atlanta
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home


Memphis @ Brooklyn
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games


Utah @ Oklahoma City
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Houston @ Denver
Houston
Houston is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home


Portland @ LA Lakers
Portland
Portland is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland's last 10 games on the road
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home




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NBA
Dunkel


Monday, December 28



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NBA
Long Sheet


Monday, December 28



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MEMPHIS (0 - 2) at BROOKLYN (2 - 1) - 12/28/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (0 - 2) at ATLANTA (2 - 0) - 12/28/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 233-283 ATS (-78.3 Units) after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (1 - 1) at OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 0) - 12/28/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (0 - 1) at DENVER (0 - 2) - 12/28/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (1 - 1) at LA LAKERS (2 - 1) - 12/28/2020, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Hoop Trends for Monday Dec. 28
Vince Akins


ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Denver (9:05 p.m. ET)


-- The Rockets are 14-0-1 ATS (11.27 ppg) as a dog off a loss in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint.


ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Memphis at Brooklyn (7:35 p.m. ET)


-- The Nets are 0-14-1 ATS (-9.53 ppg) with no rest after allowing 50-plus points in the paint.


OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. ET)


-- The Hawks are 10-0 OU (22.95 ppg) at home coming off a road game.


OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Utah at Oklahoma City (8:05 p.m. ET)


-- The Jazz are 0-11-1 OU (-13.42 ppg) as a road favorite when they lost 2+ straight matchups vs this opponent.


Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

Active member
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MONDAY, DECEMBER 28
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



MEM at BK 07:30 PM
MEM +5.5
O 233.5



DET at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL -10.0
O 223.0



UTA at OKC 08:00 PM
OKC +8.5
U 218.0



HOU at DEN 09:00 PM
HOU +6.5
O 222.5



POR at LAL 10:00 PM
POR +3.0
O 225.0




***************************************


NBA DECEMBER RECORD:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD



12/28/2020 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
12/27/2020 10-10-0 50.00% -500 Detail
12/26/2020 11-7-0 68.75% +2750 Detail
12/25/2020 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
12/23/2020 5-7-0 41.66% -1350 Detail
12/22/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail



Total.......38-36-0.......51.35%....+3.00
 

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Messages
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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads:

— New Orleans (-6.5) @ Carolina
— NJ Jets @ New England (-3.5)
— Minnesota (-6.5) @ Detroit
— Atlanta @ Tampa Bay (-6.5)
— Baltimore (-11.5) @ Cincinnati
— Seattle (-4.5) @ San Francisco


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 334,116
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.



Quote of the Day
“He is going to stand on his beliefs and he’s certainly not going to be politically correct. To be honest, I’m certainly paying attention, but it doesn’t affect us at all. Whether or not he upset (people), Ohio State is going to be excited to play because it’s the Playoff, it’s a great opportunity. I mean, that’s what it’s all about. Just making the most of your opportunity. Certainly this year, everybody has worked hard, struggled, made a lot of sacrifice”
Clemson defensive coordinator Brent Venables, talking about Dabo Swinney voting Ohio State 11th in the last coaches’ poll


Tuesday’s quiz
When was the last time an NFL team went 0-16 for a season?


Monday’s quiz
Before moving to Tennessee, the Titans were the Houston Oilers.


Sunday’s quiz
Robert Wuhl played the pitching coach in the baseball movie, Bull Durham.


****************************


Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……


13) An ethical question to start off today: if you owned an NFL team (an average NFL team is worth $3B), and your team had the worst record in the league in December, would you to tell the coach to make sure the squad kept losing, to make sure you get the #1 pick in the draft?


Drafting Trevor Lawrence will sell a lot of tickets, when fans can go to games again; trading the first pick would bring a back a big haul of draft picks, which would fill a lot of holes that a bad team obviously has.


Lot of money at stake; these conversations would have been interesting to hear.


12) CBS analyst/former NFL QB Rich Gannon had the Bears-Jaguars game Sunday; he was very critical of the Jacksonville coaches as Chicago pulled ahead and routed the Jaguars, but it has to be a possibility that Doug Marrone was doing his job, making sure Jacksonville lost and clinched the #1 pick in the draft, which they did Sunday.


For the long-term success of the Jaguars, having that #1 pick is probably the best way for them to become good again.


11) An unnamed someone bet $500,000 on the Carolina Panthers’ money line Sunday; that person mustn’t think much of Dwayne Haskins as a quarterback. Panthers won 20-13, and the gambler had a big day, just in time, too. Washington released Haskins Monday.


It takes a lot of onions to wager $500,000 on the Panthers to win straight up- they had lost eight of their previous nine games.


10) Haskins was Washington first round draft pick LAST YEAR, the 15th pick in the draft, and they freakin’ cut him before his second year was over, making him the only QB in the last 20 years who was drafted in the first round, then cut before his second year was over.


Four 1st round QBs in the last twenty years were traded/cut after their second year in the NFL: Paxton Lynch, Johnny Manziel, Josh Rosen and Brandon Weeden.


9) Mike Glennon played QB for Jacksonville Sunday; he’s had a nomadic career:
2009-12: NC State, started last two years, replacing Russell Wilson
2013-16: Tampa Bay- Was 5-13 as a starter, with 30 TD’s, 15 INTs
2017: Chicago- Went 1-3 as a starter, with 4 TD’s, 5 INT’s
2018: Arizona- Threw 21 passes in two relief stints.
2019: Oakland: Threw 10 passes in two relief stints.
2020: Jacksonville: 0-4 as a starter, with 5 TD’s, 5 INT’s


6-20 as a starter, still making seven figures a year ($1.19M this year)


8) Was a little odd Sunday, watching NFL games on the dish, and CBS get doing promos for the Ball State-San Jose State bowl game, but both teams have really good years. San Jose is actually undefeated; good for them!!!


7) Baseball stuff:
— Texas Rangers signed Japanese P Kohei Arihara.
— San Diego signed Korean IF Ha-seong Kim


6) RIP to Phil Niekro, the knuckleballer pitcher who won 318 games in a 24-year career, mostly for the Braves. Niekro pitched until he was 48 years old; he passed away this weekend. RIP, sir.


5) College hoop scores of note:
— Maryland 70, Wisconsin 64
— Drake 66, Indiana State 63 (Drake is 11-0)
— Evansville 84, Southern Illinois 72


4) In their 52-33 win over Minnesota Christmas Day, the Saints had 11 first downs on their first 14 plays, which is incredibly bad defense by the Vikings (and good offense by the Saints).


52 points the Saints scored are the most points the Vikings gave up since 1963, when the Cardinals drilled them 56-14.


3) Rams’ QB Jared Goff had his broken right thumb surgically repaired Monday, is out for this week’s game with Arizona. Backup QB John Wolford will get his first NFL start; he started for four years at Wake Forest, then played for the Arizona Hotshots in the AAF in 2018- they were 5-3 when the league stopped playing, and Wolford was leading the league in TD passes.


2) Minnesota Timberwolves’ star Karl-Anthony Towns dislocated his left wrist, will be evaluated every week. Timberwolves are obviously hoping for a short absence for their star.


Nets’ Spencer Dinwiddie partially tore his ACL, is out for the season.


1) Bills 38, New England 9
— Bills sweep New England for first time since 1999.
— Buffalo won eight of last eight games, covered last seven.
— Bills outscored last six opponents 128-61 in first half.
— Over is 11-4 in their games this season.


— New England lost last three games, are out of playoffs for first time since ‘08.
— Last three games, Patriots scored only one touchdown.
— Patriots converted only 9 of last 34 third down plays.
— This was Buffalo’s 7th win in last 42 series games.
 

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NBA


Tuesday, December 29



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


New York @ Cleveland
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


Golden State @ Detroit
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State


Boston @ Indiana
Boston
Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Indiana
Boston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home


Toronto @ Philadelphia
Toronto
Toronto is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home


Chicago @ Washington
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Washington's last 25 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Chicago


Milwaukee @ Miami
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home


Orlando @ Oklahoma City
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Orlando's last 16 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando


Minnesota @ LA Clippers
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home


New Orleans @ Phoenix
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Denver @ Sacramento
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games




-----------------------------------------------------------




551BOSTON -552 INDIANA
BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


551BOSTON -552 INDIANA
BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.


553CHICAGO -554 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.


555GOLDEN STATE -556 DETROIT
GOLDEN STATE is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.


557TORONTO -558 PHILADELPHIA
TORONTO is 147-110 ATS (26 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1996.


559NEW YORK -560 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 44-75 ATS (-38.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 since 1996.


561MILWAUKEE -562 MIAMI
MIAMI is 45-26 ATS (16.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.


563ORLANDO -564 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 76-57 ATS (13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.


565MINNESOTA -566 LA CLIPPERS
MINNESOTA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher in the last 3 seasons.


567NEW ORLEANS -568 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more in the last 3 seasons.




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NBA
Dunkel


Tuesday, December 29



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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 29
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



CHI at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -6.5
O 237.0



BOS at IND 07:00 PM
IND -1.0
U 218.0



GS at DET 07:00 PM
DET +4.5
O 226.0



NY at CLE 07:00 PM
NY +3.0
O 214.5



TOR at PHI 07:00 PM
TOR +1.5
U 218.5



MIL at MIA 07:30 PM
MIA +5.5
O 226.0



ORL at OKC 08:00 PM
ORL -5.0
O 218.0



MIN at LAC 10:00 PM
LAC -10.0
U 227.5



DEN at SAC 10:00 PM
DEN -2.0
U 226.0



NO at PHO 10:00 PM
NO +2.5
O 222.0
 

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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 29


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BOSTON (1 - 2) at INDIANA (3 - 0) - 12/29/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (0 - 3) at WASHINGTON (0 - 3) - 12/29/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 348-408 ATS (-100.8 Units) as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (1 - 2) at DETROIT (0 - 3) - 12/29/2020, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 74-95 ATS (-30.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-56 ATS (-24.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 72-106 ATS (-44.6 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DETROIT is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-0 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (0 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-7 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-5 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (1 - 2) at CLEVELAND (3 - 0) - 12/29/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (1 - 2) at MIAMI (1 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 100-79 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-5 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (3 - 0) at OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at LA CLIPPERS (2 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (2 - 1) at PHOENIX (2 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (1 - 2) at SACRAMENTO (2 - 1) - 12/29/2020, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 191-235 ATS (-67.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Hoop Trends for Tuesday December 29
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Orlando at Oklahoma City (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Thunder are 12-0 ATS (7.25 ppg) as a dog with less than two days rest off a game as a dog.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Clippers are 0-10 ATS (-8.45 ppg) as a home favorite with less than two days rest after they scored fewer than 85 points last game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 19-0 OU (15.84 ppg) after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Raptors are 0-11 OU (-13.59 ppg) off a loss as a favorite in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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NBA DECEMBER RECORD:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD



12/29/2020 7-13-0 35.00% -3650 Detail
12/28/2020 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
12/27/2020 10-10-0 50.00% -500 Detail
12/26/2020 11-7-0 68.75% +2750 Detail
12/25/2020 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
12/23/2020 5-7-0 41.66% -1350 Detail
12/22/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail



Total.......45-49-0.......47.87%....-33.50
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Money made by Nevada casinos in November:

— Penny slots: $224.3M
— Sports betting: $61.8M
— Blackjack: $58.1M
— Baccarat: $42M
— Dollar slots: $36M
— Roulette: $14.2M


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 336,529
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.



Quote of the Day
“They should be in the KGB stealing communications, they’re that good.”
Ohio State football coach Ryan Day, talking about Clemson


Wednesday’s quiz
In the last 40 years, Ohio State has had two QB’s picked in the first round of the NFL Draft: Dwayne Haskins is one. Who was the other?


Tuesday’s quiz
2017 Cleveland Browns were the last NFL team that went 0-16 for a season; Detroit Lions went 0-16 in 2008.


Monday’s quiz
Before moving to Tennessee, the Titans were the Houston Oilers.


***************************


Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……


13) Buffalo Bills’ QB Josh Allen is having a great season, which makes college football recruiting gurus look even dumber. Recruiting/drafting are fascinating, because no one KNOWS. They THINK they know, but no one knows for sure.


When Allen was coming out of Reedley College, a JC in California, he got two scholarship offers; Eastern Michigan and Wyoming. Now he’s an All-Pro quarterback; go figure.


12) Washington told QB Dwayne Haskins to take a hike Monday, then he went unclaimed on the waiver wire. SOMEONE will take a chance on him; he was a first-round draft pick last year, so someone will take a shot at developing him as a QB of the future. Good luck there.


— It is an underreported thing how many totally obscure guys are backup QBs in the NFL:


11) John Wolford is making his NFL debut when he starts for the Rams Sunday; he started for four years at Wake Forest, starting as a true freshman, which ain’t easy. He went 15-11 the last two years at a school that isn’t a football factory. Not a lot of QB’s are 4-year college starters.


Wolford also played for the Arizona Hotshots in the AAF in the spring of 2018; he was leading the AAF in touchdown passes when the league shut down. Rick Neuheisel was his coach, an old QB himself. Wolford is mobile; will be fascinating to see how he does Sunday.


10) Rams have other issues; two of their three running backs have ankle injuries, WR Cooper Kupp is on the COVID list (status unknown). LA signed QB Blake Bortles to back up Wolford.


9) Social media is funny; people are so damn fickle; everyone is either great or needs to be cut, no middle ground. The typical fan is like “We’re with you win or tie and we aren’t crazy about ties”


But when I woke up Tuesday morning, and I’m scrolling thru Instagram, someone had posted these film packages on Wolford playing in the AAF— I probably saw 30-40 of his plays, which was interesting.


8) Arizona Cardinals’ backup QB is Chris Streveler, who helped the Winnipeg Blue Bombers win the Grey Cup before coming to Arizona; he played college ball at Minnesota for two years, where he threw 11 passes, ran ball 40 times, before he transferred to I-AA South Dakota. Reading about him, he seems like the Taysom Hill of Canada; he played some WR for Winnipeg.


7) Tennessee Titans’ backup QB is Logan Woodside, who was a 3-year starter at Toledo; he’s thrown three passes this season, landing with Tennessee after hanging around with the Bengals for a while in 2018.


6) Seattle’s backup is Geno Smith, who went 12-19 as a starter in New Jersey. Smith had a great college career at West Virginia, where his WR’s were Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey, both of whom wound up with the Rams (Austin is with Green Bay now).


5) I’m going to do a whole thing pretty soon on how Ohio State quarterbacks have fared in the NFL; the results, up to now, have not been good. Justin Fields could turn the whole thing around, but so far, the best Buckeye to play QB in the NFL seems to be Joe Burrow, who transferred out of Columbus and starred at LSU.


4) NFL stuff:
— Washington outscored its last ten opponents in 2nd half (total 152-44)
— Last three weeks, Buffalo outscored opponents 58-14 in second half.
— Last three weeks, New England was outscored 43-6 in second half.


3) Until couple days ago, I had no idea that Ron Reiner was the director of A Few Good Men, which is a great movie. I usually associate the Reiner family with comedies, but that movie is no comedy. The courtroom scene at the end with Jack Nicholson is a classic.


2) Oklahoma State 37, Miami 34:
— OSU stormed out to a 21-0 lead, had to hang on for dear life.
— WR Presley caught six passes for 118 yards, three TD’s for the Cowboys.
— Miami QB King (knee) got hurt in 2nd quarter, didn’t return.
— Backup QB Perry threw for 228 yards, two TD’s; Miami gained 512 yards.


1) Alamo Bowl was in San Antonio last night; I was in San Antonio for a couple days, maybe in 2003, anyway it was a while ago, but San Antonio is a cool place. There is a river that goes right thru part of the city, and they have restaurants with patios where you can sit by the water on either side and watch boats go by while you eat.


The actual Alamo is very small; it looks like an old convenience store. People were nice enough, I enjoyed my brief time there. Should’ve gone during basketball season, I guess.
 

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571MEMPHIS -572 BOSTON
BOSTON is 29-50 ATS (-26 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.


573MILWAUKEE -574 MIAMI
MIAMI is 48-29 ATS (16.1 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.


575ATLANTA -576 BROOKLYN
ATLANTA is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.


575ATLANTA -576 BROOKLYN
Lloyd Pierce is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 (Coach of ATLANTA)


577CHARLOTTE -578 DALLAS
CHARLOTTE is 58-90 ATS (-41 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.


579LA LAKERS -580 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 284-217 ATS (45.3 Units) in home games after playing a road game since 1996.


581PORTLAND -582 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 51-34 ATS (13.6 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.




******************************




NBA


Wednesday, December 30



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Memphis @ Boston
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis


Atlanta @ Brooklyn
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta


Milwaukee @ Miami
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


Charlotte @ Dallas
Charlotte
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
Dallas is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Charlotte


LA Lakers @ San Antonio
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


Portland @ LA Clippers
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Portland's last 19 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing Portland
 

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Hoop Trends for Wednesday Dec. 30
Vince Akins


ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)


-- The Trail Blazers are 9-0 ATS (8.83 ppg) off a game as a dog in which Damian Lillard had at least 5 turnovers.


ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at L.A. Clippers (10:05 p.m. ET)


-- The Clippers are 0-14 ATS (-8.50 ppg) at home with no rest when they won at least 2 straight vs current opponent.


OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Charlotte at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)


-- The Mavericks are 12-0 OU (19.29 ppg) at home off a road game in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.


OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Charlotte at Dallas (8:35 p.m. ET)


-- The Hornets are 0-10-1 OU (-16.91 ppg) with rest after they had less than 10%


Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
 

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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 30
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



ATL at BK 07:30 PM
BK -6.0
O 240.0



MIL at MIA 07:30 PM
MIL -5.0
U 227.5



MEM at BOS 07:30 PM
BOS -6.0
O 218.0

LAL at SA 08:30 PM
SA +5.0
O 229.5



CHA at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -8.0
O 224.5



POR at LAC 10:00 PM
LAC -3.5
U 225.5
 

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NBA DECEMBER RECORD:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD



12/30/2020 5-7-0 41.66% -1300 Detail
12/29/2020 7-13-0 35.00% -3650 Detail

12/28/2020 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
12/27/2020 10-10-0 50.00% -500 Detail
12/26/2020 11-7-0 68.75% +2750 Detail
12/25/2020 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
12/23/2020 5-7-0 41.66% -1350 Detail
12/22/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail



Total.......50-56-0.......47.16%....-49.50
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
— Wisconsin 42, Wake Forest 28: Deacons led 14-0 after first quarter.
— Nets 145, Hawks 141— Kyrie Irving scored 17, just in 4th quarter.
— Indiana 87, Penn State 85 OT— Hoosiers get first conference win.
— LaSalle 67, Dayton 65— Explorers were a 12-point underdog.
— Richmond 80, Davidson 74— Fun game to watch in A-14.
— Oklahoma 55, Florida 20: Sooners racked up 684 total yards.


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 340,956
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.



Quote of the Day
“I’m not your best friend. I’m your only friend. I don’t make anything? I’m making you money. And lest we forget, that’s the only reason any of you became stockholders in the first place. You want to make money! You don’t care if they manufacture wire and cable, fried chicken, or grow tangerines! You want to make money! I’m the only friend you’ve got. I’m making you money. Take the money. Invest it somewhere else. Maybe, maybe you’ll get lucky and it’ll be used productively.”
Danny DeVito, from Other People’s Money


Thursday’s quiz
When the ABA folded in 1976, which four of its teams were absorbed into the NBA?


Wednesday’s quiz
In the last 40 years, Ohio State has had two QB’s picked in the first round of the NFL Draft: Dwayne Haskins is one. Art Schlichter was the other; he went 0-6 starting for the Colts.


Tuesday’s quiz
2017 Cleveland Browns were the last NFL team that went 0-16 for a season; Detroit Lions went 0-16 in 2008.


*****************************


Thursday’s Den: Our last den of 2020……


13) We’ll start today with a pet peeve of mine; don’t mean to end 2020 with a complaint, but I’m going to. Too many people mistake kindness for weakness; just because I’m nice to you doesn’t mean you can label me as a sucker. It happens way too often.


12) I read Monday where 90% of Americans live within ten miles of a Wal-Mart; surprised the hell out of me, but it seems to be true.


11) Clemson Tigers covered 10 of their last 12 bowls; they were an underdog in 10 of those 12 games. Quite a juggernaut Dabo Swinney has built; ironically, he is an Alabama graduate.


10) Ben Roethlisberger will sit out this week’s game in Cleveland; Mason Rudolph will play in his place. Will be interesting to see what teams do, if they’re already in the playoffs. Steelers are already in the playoffs; they’re letting some regulars rest up.


9) Odd stat of the day: Last nine times someone on the Knicks had a triple/double, it was nine different guys. Julius Randle had one Tuesday in the Knicks’ win at Cleveland.


8) Michigan State is off to an 0-3 conference start, first time since 2002 that they lost their first three Big 14 games. Spartans did make the MCAA’s back in 2002.


7) 13 of Louisville’s 16 basketball players are freshmen/sophomores, which helps explain why the Cardinals have been struggling. This is a particularly bad year to have such a young team.


6) Arizona Wildcats self-imposed a one-year postseason ban on themselves, hoping to soften the blow that will eventually come down from the NCAA. Auburn did the same thing earlier this fall; we’ll see if LSU/Kansas follow suit, since they’re both headed towards probation.


5) Toronto Raptors are playing home games in Tampa this season; they’re off to an 0-3 start, first time since 2006 they lost their first three games.


4) Conference USA teams went 0-6 in bowl games this season; no bueno.


3) NBA injuries:
— Kevin Love (Cavaliers) is out 3-4 weeks (calf)
— Ja Morant (Grizzlies) is out 3-5 weeks (ankle)


2) Phil Niekro started 716 games in his 24-year major league career; the knuckleballer was difficult to catch, since knuckleballs float around a lot. These two catchers caught the most Niekro starts:


— Bruce Benedict caught 145 of the games; he later became an SEC basketball ref.
— Biff Pocoroba (a 1978 All-Star) caught 92; he was also one of my boyhood heroes, since we have the same first name. Sadly, Biff Pocoroba passed away last May.


1) 2020 has been a tough year for all of us; glad it is ending. Hopefully 2021 will be the start of our recovery as a country, and that all of us can be healthy going forward. Some suggestions:


— Lets be nicer to each other. Every day.
— We should be more tolerant of people who disagree with us
— If it isn’t fatal, its no big deal.


Happy New Year, everyone.
 

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511CLEVELAND -512 INDIANA
CLEVELAND is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.


513CHICAGO -514 WASHINGTON
CHICAGO is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.


515PHILADELPHIA -516 ORLANDO
PHILADELPHIA is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.


517SACRAMENTO -518 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more in the last 3 seasons.


519NEW YORK -520 TORONTO
TORONTO is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.


521NEW ORLEANS -522 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-23 ATS (18.7 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

523PHOENIX -524 UTAH

PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.


*************************


NBA


Thursday, December 31



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Cleveland @ Indiana
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland


Chicago @ Washington
Chicago
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Washington's last 25 games when playing at home against Chicago
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games


Philadelphia @ Orlando
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


Sacramento @ Houston
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Sacramento


New York @ Toronto
New York
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New York's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New York's last 15 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York


New Orleans @ Oklahoma City
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games at home


Phoenix @ Utah
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Phoenix is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Utah
Utah is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Phoenix




----------------------------------------------------


NBA
Dunkel


Thursday, December 31



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NBA
Long Sheet


Thursday, December 31



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CLEVELAND (3 - 1) at INDIANA (3 - 1) - 12/31/2020, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (1 - 3) at WASHINGTON (0 - 4) - 12/31/2020, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 348-409 ATS (-101.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (3 - 1) at ORLANDO (4 - 0) - 12/31/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (3 - 1) at HOUSTON (0 - 2) - 12/31/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 118-153 ATS (-50.3 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (2 - 2) at TORONTO (0 - 3) - 12/31/2020, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (2 - 2) at OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 2) - 12/31/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (3 - 1) at UTAH (2 - 1) - 12/31/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 31
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



CLE at IND 03:00 PM
IND -7.5
U 220.5



CHI at WAS 05:00 PM
CHI +6.5
O 237.0



PHI at ORL 06:30 PM
ORL +2.5
U 219.5



SAC at HOU 07:00 PM
SAC +5.5
O 231.5

NY at TOR 07:30 PM
NY +9.5
U 217.0



NO at OKC 08:00 PM
NO -5.5
O 215.5



PHO at UTA 09:00 PM
PHO +3.5
U 221.0
 

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Joined
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Messages
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NBA DECEMBER RECORD:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD



12/31/2020 11-3-0 78.57% +3850 Detail
12/30/2020 5-7-0 41.66% -1300 Detail
12/29/2020 7-13-0 35.00% -3650 Detail

12/28/2020 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
12/27/2020 10-10-0 50.00% -500 Detail
12/26/2020 11-7-0 68.75% +2750 Detail
12/25/2020 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
12/23/2020 5-7-0 41.66% -1350 Detail
12/22/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail



Total.......61-59-0.......50.83%....-11.00
 

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