Cnotes 2019-2020 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY OCTOBER 28, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:05 PM Chicago Bulls New York Knicks Madison Square Garden
7:05 PM Indiana Pacers Detroit Pistons Little Caesars Arena
7:35 PM Orlando Magic Toronto Raptors Scotiabank Arena
7:35 PM Philadelphia 76ers Atlanta Hawks State Farm Arena
8:05 PM Cleveland Cavaliers Milwaukee Bucks Fiserv Forum
8:05 PM Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans Smoothie King Center
8:05 PM Oklahoma City Thunder Houston Rockets Toyota Center
8:35 PM Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs AT&T Center
10:05 PM Denver Nuggets Sacramento Kings Golden 1 Center
10:05 PM Utah Jazz Phoenix Suns Talking Stick Resort Arena
10:35 PM Charlotte Hornets Los Angeles Clippers Staples Center




*****************************




CNOTES OCTOBER/NOVEMBER BEST BETS AND OPINIONS


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD




10/27/2019............7-2-1..........77.78%.........+24.00
10/26/2019..........11-7-0..........61.11%.........+16.50
10/25/2019............8-9-0..........47.06%..........-9.50
10/24/2019............2-4-0..........33.33%..........-12.00
10/23/2019..........8-11-0..........42.11%..........-20.50
10/22/2019 ...........2-2-0 .........50.00%......... -1.00


TOTALS............. 38-35-0.......... 52.05%........ -2.50




BEST BETS




DATE..........................ATS...............UN ITS..............O/U...............UNITS..............TOTALS




10/27/2019................1 - 1..............-0.50...............2 - 0..............+10.00.............+9.50
10/26/2019................4 - 2..............+9.00..............4 - 0..............+20.00.............+29.00
10/25/2019................4 - 3..............+3.50..............2 - 3...............-6.50................-3.00
10/24/2019................2 - 1..............+4.50...............0 - 3..............-16.50..............-12.00
10/23/2019................1 - 6..............-28.00..............5 - 1..............+19.50..............-8.50
10/22/2019................1 - 1..............-0.50................1 - 1..............-0.50................-1.00


TOTALS....................13 - 14............-12.00.............14 - 8.............+26.00.............+14.00
 

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Monday’s 6-pack


Top six picks for Week 8 in Westgate Super Contest:


6) Bills -1.5 (691)- L


5) Eagles +1.5 (697)- W


4) Buccaneers +2.5 (705)- L


3) Seahawks -6.5 (920)- W


2) Indianapolis -5.5 (1,409)- L


1) Carolina +5.5 (1,418)- L


2019 record: 25-22-1




Quote of the Day
“We have more in common than what separates us.”
The late Elijah Cummings. RIP, sir


Monday’s quiz
Before moving to Washington, where did the Nationals call home?


Last Tuesday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.


Monday’s quiz
There are no left-handed quarterbacks in the NFL right now.


********************


Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……


Lions 31, Giants 26:

— Giants scored only 13 points on three trips into the red zone.
— Big Blue scored with 1:19 left for the backdoor cover.
— Giants lost their last four games, allowing 30.3 ppg.


— Detroit opened scoring with a defensive TD 7:12 into the game.
— Six of Lions’ seven games were decided by 5 or fewer points.
— Giants converted 7-12 third down plays;; Detroit 8-14.


Titans 27, Buccaneers 23
— Evans caught 11 balls for 198 yards and two TD’s.
— Bucs outgained Tennessee 389-246; their last five games went over total.
— Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in last seven post-bye tilts, 5-8-3 in last 16 games as road dog


— Titans drove 90 yards on 12 plays for winning TD with 6:55 left.
— Tennessee scored 23+ points in its four wins, 17 or less in their losses.
— Titans had two takeaways in first quarter; their first two TD drives were only 10-6 yards.


Chargers 17, Bears 16:
— Chargers’ first five drives: 16 plays, 34 yards, one first down.
— Chargers’ last five drives: 28 plays, 179 yards, 17 points.
— Under Lynn, Bolts are 7-2-1 ATS as road underdogs.


— Chicago missed a 41-yard FG on last play of the game.
— Bears scored only 16 points on five red zone drives.
— Chicago outgained LA 388-231, running 77 plays, to 42 for Chargers.


Seahawks 27, Falcons 20:
— Seattle’s first five drives: 36 plays, 215 yards, 24 points.
— Seahawks were +3 (3-0) in turnovers, won field position by 13 yards.
— Seattle scored 28.5 ppg in winning all four of its road games.


— Atlanta lost its last six games, has bye now; will they fire Quinn?
— 38-year old Schaub threw for 460 yards; his last start was in 2015.
— Game was 24-nil at the half; Falcons kicked FG for backdoor cover with 1:17 left.


Jaguars 29, Jets 15:
— Jets drove 93 yards on first drive; next four drives: 11 plays, minus-9 yards.
— Gang Green converted only 11 of last 70 (15.7%) third down plays.
— Jets’ last five losses were all by 14+ points- they’re 7-14-2 ATS in last 23 games as road underdogs.


— Jaguars converted 8-17 third down plays, Jets only 2-9.
— All four teams in AFC South are .500 or better.
— Jaguars are +8 in turnovers in their four wins, minus-7 in losses.


Eagles 31, Bills 13:
— Eagles ran ball for 218 yards, outgained Buffalo 371-253.
— First two Philly drives of 3rd quarter: eight plays, 135 yards, two TD’s.
— Eagles were 8-15 on third down (7-21 in previous two games).


— Allen completed only 16-34 passes, 4.1 yards/attempt.
— First five games. Bills allowed total of 70 points; last two games: 21-31 points.
— Buffalo’s last six drives: 20 plays, 32 yards, two first downs.


Rams 24, Bengals 10:
— Cincy got into LA territory on six of nine drives.
— Bengals were only 6-18 on 3rd down, but 4-6 on 4th down.
— Under is 4-1-1 in last six Cincy games.


— Goff to Kupp: 7-10, 220 yards; Goff to everyone else: 10-21, 152 yards.
— LA is 6-1 ATS in last seven games as a double digit favorite.
— Rams’ first five drives: 40 plays, 363 yards, 24 points.


Saints 31, Cardinals 9:
— Cardinals had only 40 rushing yards; Murray ran only twice (11 yards)
— Arizona’s last three losses were all by 17+ points.
— Cardinals lost last five visits to Bourbon Street- their last win here was in ’96.


— Brees returned to action, was 34-43/373 passing, with three TD’s.
— New Orleans won/covered its last six games.
— Saints outgained Arizona 510-237; first downs were 28-10.


Colts 15, Broncos 13:
— This was Denver’s third loss this season by two points.
— Broncos scored only three TD’s on their last 35 drives.
— Denver’s last six drives: 20 plays, 129 yards, five punts.


— Vinatieri kicked a 51-yard FG with 0:22 left for the win.
— Colts won five of their last six games.
— Indy allowed 30-31 points in their two losses, 24 or less in their five wins.


Texans 27, Raiders 24:
— Oakland is 2-3 in its last five games, giving up 29.6 ppg.
— Raiders improve to 5-14-1 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.— Hunter Renfrow scored his first NFL TD on a 65-yard pass; there is also a Hunter Renfroe who plays outfield for the San Diego Padres. Go figure.


— Houston drove 75 yards in nine plays for winning score with 6:26 left.
— Hopkins caught 11 balls for 109 yards
— Texans ran 74 plays, to only 53 for Oakland.


49ers 51, Panthers 13:
— Despite the ugly loss, McCaffery still had 18 touches for 155 yards.
— NFC South teams are 9-14 ATS outside the division.
— At one point in this game a punt went out-of-bounds; a cheerleader caught the ball easily, while not dropping her pom-poms. Pretty impressive, actually.


— Coleman touched ball 13 times, scored four TD’s.
— 49ers are 7-0 for first time since 1990.
— Niners won their last four games by combined score of 113-23.


Patriots 27, Browns 13:
— Cleveland turned ball over on three consecutive snaps in first half.
— Browns are 2-5 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Why only three games at 4:00? Need more viewing choices.


— New England is 8-0, with one win by less than 14 points
— Patriots are 31-14-3 ATS in last 48 games as a home favorite, 3-1 TY.
— New England is 18-4 ATS in last 22 games as a double digit favorite.


Packers 31, Chiefs 24:
— Jones had 20 touches for 226 yards, including the GW 67-yard TD.
— Green Bay drives in 2nd half: FG-TD-TD-ran out clock.
— Packers are 12-9 ATS in last 21 games as a road favorite


— Moore did well in his first KC start, only his 6th start since 2011.
— Chiefs lost their 3rd straight home game; they host Minnesota next.
— Both teams converted over half their 3rd down plays; Pack 8-13, Chiefs 6-11
 

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511INDIANA -512 DETROIT
INDIANA is 26-9 ATS (16.1 Units) in road games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite since 1996.


513CHICAGO -514 NEW YORK
CHICAGO is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game since 1996.


515PHILADELPHIA -516 ATLANTA
PHILADELPHIA is 44-26 ATS (15.4 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.


517ORLANDO -518 TORONTO
TORONTO is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games after allowing 90 points or less in the last 3 seasons.


519GOLDEN STATE -520 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 35-21 ATS (11.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.


521CLEVELAND -522 MILWAUKEE
CLEVELAND is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.


523OKLAHOMA CITY -524 HOUSTON
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents in the last 3 seasons.


525PORTLAND -526 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.


527UTAH -528 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.


529DENVER -530 SACRAMENTO
DENVER is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in road games after a win in the last 3 seasons.


531CHARLOTTE -532 LA CLIPPERS
CHARLOTTE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA


Monday, October 28



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


New York Knicks
New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
New York is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
New York is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
New York is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games at home
New York is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Chicago
New York is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Chicago
New York is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
New York is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing New York
Chicago is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing New York
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New York
Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New York


Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Detroit's last 18 games at home
Detroit is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Indiana
Detroit is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing at home against Indiana
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Indiana is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Detroit
Indiana is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit


Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
Toronto is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Orlando
Toronto is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 9 games on the road
Orlando is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Orlando is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Orlando is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Toronto


Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta


Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Milwaukee is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 18 games when playing Cleveland
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Milwaukee is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Cleveland is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cleveland's last 18 games when playing Milwaukee
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Cleveland is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee


Houston Rockets
Houston is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
Houston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Houston
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Oklahoma City is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston


New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games
New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home
New Orleans is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 18 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Golden State
New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
New Orleans is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Golden State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Golden State is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Golden State's last 18 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans


San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Antonio is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games
San Antonio is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Portland
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
San Antonio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Portland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Portland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio


Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Denver
Sacramento is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Denver
Sacramento is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 13 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Nuggets
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games on the road
Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Sacramento
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Denver is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 13 games when playing on the road against Sacramento


Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games at home
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Utah
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing at home against Utah
Utah Jazz
Utah is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
Utah is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix


Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
LA Clippers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Clippers is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
LA Clippers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 12 games at home
LA Clippers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Charlotte
LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte
LA Clippers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Charlotte
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
Charlotte is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing LA Clippers
Charlotte is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
 

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NBA
Dunkel


Monday, October 28




Indiana @ Detroit


Game 511-512
October 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
114.198
Detroit
109.546
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-2); Over


Chicago @ New York



Game 513-514
October 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
108.995
New York
104.746
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 4
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 1
223
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-1); Over


Philadelphia @ Atlanta



Game 515-516
October 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
125.074
Atlanta
117.966
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 7
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 4
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-4); Under


Orlando @ Toronto



Game 517-518
October 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
117.398
Toronto
128.382
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 11
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-4 1/2); Under


Oklahoma City @ Houston



Game 523-524
October 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
122.089
Houston
123.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 10 1/2
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+10 1/2); Under


Cleveland @ Milwaukee



Game 521-522
October 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
110.782
Milwaukee
123.273
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 12 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 15
222
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+15); Over


Golden State @ New Orleans



Game 519-520
October 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
118.484
New Orleans
113.031
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 5 1/2
242
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3
235 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(+3); Over


Portland @ San Antonio



Game 525-526
October 28, 2019 @ 8:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Portland
120.296
San Antonio
118.193
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 5 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+5 1/2); Under


Utah @ Phoenix



Game 527-528
October 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Utah
124.903
Phoenix
116.540
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 8 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 4 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-4 1/2); Under


Denver @ Sacramento



Game 529-530
October 28, 2019 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Denver
122.145
Sacramento
107.847
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 14 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 6
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-6); Under


Charlotte @ LA Clippers



Game 531-532
October 28, 2019 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
112.118
LA Clippers
120.837
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 8 1/2
244
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 16
225 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+16); Over
 

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Long Sheet


Monday, October 28



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


INDIANA (0 - 2) at DETROIT (1 - 2) - 10/28/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (1 - 2) at NEW YORK (0 - 3) - 10/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 35-48 ATS (-17.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (2 - 0) at ATLANTA (2 - 0) - 10/28/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (1 - 1) at TORONTO (2 - 1) - 10/28/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-6 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (0 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 3) - 10/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-60 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (1 - 1) at MILWAUKEE (1 - 1) - 10/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 80-104 ATS (-34.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 2) at HOUSTON (1 - 1) - 10/28/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (2 - 1) at SAN ANTONIO (2 - 0) - 10/28/2019, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1094-961 ATS (+36.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 862-738 ATS (+50.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (2 - 1) at PHOENIX (2 - 1) - 10/28/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (2 - 0) at SACRAMENTO (0 - 3) - 10/28/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (1 - 2) at LA CLIPPERS (2 - 1) - 10/28/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 188-239 ATS (-74.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Monday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers


Magic at Raptors (-4 ½, 212 ½) – 7:35 PM EST


The first opponent that Toronto eliminated in the playoffs on its way to its first championship in franchise history was Orlando last April. After the Magic shocked the Raptors in the series opener, Toronto grabbed the next four games to advance to the second round. In spite of Kawhi Leonard venturing west, the Raptors have won two of their first three games, including a 24-point blowout of the Bulls on Saturday night. Toronto rebounded off a loss at Boston on Friday as five Raptors finished with double-figures on Saturday, led by Pascal Siakam’s 19 points.


The Magic are fresh off a Southeast division title, but Orlando is coming off its first loss of the season in a 103-99 defeat at Atlanta as 2 ½-point road favorites on Saturday. Orlando has failed to bust the 100-point mark in two games, as the Magic converted only 5-of-31 three-point attempts against the Hawks, including the starting five shooting a dreadful 1-of-16 from long distance. In two games, Orlando has shot 14-of-61 from three-point range, as the Magic are listed in the underdog role for the first time this season after going 0-2 ATS as a favorite.


The Raptors captured six of nine meetings from the Magic last season, including a 3-2 SU/ATS record at home. Orlando has hit the UNDER in each of its first two games, while Toronto is coming off its first UNDER after hitting the OVER in the first two contests.


Jazz (-5, 217 ½) at Suns – 10:05 PM EST


Both these teams have started 2-1 on the young season, but Phoenix is the bigger surprise out of these two squads hooking up on Monday night. The Suns have won each of their first two games at Talking Stick Resort Arena against the Kings and Clippers, while shocking Los Angeles on Saturday night as a 10-point underdog, 130-122. Phoenix shot 50% from the floor, led by Devin Booker’s 30 points, while Kelly Oubre, Jr. chipped in 20 points for the Suns.


The Jazz picked up their first cover of the season on Saturday night in a wire-to-wire blowout of the Kings, 113-81 as 9 ½-point home favorites. Utah rebounded from a nine-point road loss to the Lakers the night before by jumping out to a 25-point halftime lead and never looking back. Bojan Bogdanovic paced the Jazz with 26 points, as Utah drilled 18 three-pointers after hitting a combined 14 treys in it first two games of the season.


Utah has cashed the UNDER in all three games this season, while limiting all three opponents to 95 points or less. Phoenix hit its first OVER in the win over Los Angeles, as the Suns are the only team to start 3-0 ATS. The Jazz have captured seven consecutive meetings with the Suns dating back to 2018 with every win in this span coming by double-digits.


Nuggets (-6, 218) at Kings – 10:05 PM EST


Sacramento was expected to be in the mix for a playoff spot in the Western Conference this season and even though the Kings have played three games, they haven’t looked a postseason squad. The Kings were outscored, 70-36 in the second half of a season opening rout at the hands of the Suns, 124-95. Sacramento hung with Portland in its home opener, but the Blazers outscored the Kings by 10 points in the third quarter of a 122-112 defeat.


Game 3 was a clunker for the Kings in a 113-81 setback at Utah with no rest on Saturday as De’Aaron Fox and Buddy Hield combined for 12 points on 4-of-16 shooting. The night before against Portland, Fox and Hield put up 49 points, as their production hinges on the success for Sacramento, who begins a three-game homestand that continues with Charlotte on Wednesday and Utah on Friday.


The Nuggets finished one victory shy of the Western Conference Finals last season, but picked up a modicum of revenge against the Blazers in the season opener. Denver pulled away from Portland, 108-100, highlighted by 18 three-pointers from the Nuggets, including three from big man Nikola Jokic, who scored a team-high 20 points. The Nuggets edged the Suns as a heavy favorite on Friday, 108-107 in overtime, as Jokic produced a triple-double in spite of Denver shooting 39% from the floor.


Denver swept Sacramento last season in the three-game regular season series, as two of those victories came by four points or less. All three matchups sailed OVER the total, while the Kings squandered double-digit leads in two of the three losses.
 

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MONDAY, OCTOBER 28
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



IND at DET 07:00 PM
DET +1.5 *****
O 212.5


CHI at NY 07:00 PM
CHI -2.0 *****
O 224.5


PHI at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL +5.5 *****
O 222.0 *****



ORL at TOR 07:30 PM
TOR -5.0 *****
U 211.0 *****



OKC at HOU 08:00 PM
OKC +10.0 *****
U 227.5


GS at NO 08:00 PM
GS +5.0
O 237.0 *****


CLE at MIL 08:00 PM
O 224.0


POR at SA 08:30 PM
POR +6.0 *****
O 222.0 ******



UTA at PHO 10:00 PM
PHO +4.5
U 214.5 *****


DEN at SAC 10:00 PM
O 217.5 *****


CHA at LAC 10:30 PM
O 227.0 *****
 

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Hot & Not Report
October 28, 2019
By Matt Blunt



Week of October 28th


Last week's focus on the World Series got off to a rocky start with Washington winning the first two games on the road and bucking the trend of LCS 'sweepers' rarely winning more than one game in the World Series. But with Houston righting the ship on the plane ride to Washington and now returning home up 3-2 in the series, the historical trend of teams who needed more LCS games to get here is back in the driver's seat to cash.


The World Series will be over in a few days now, and with plenty of stuff going on last week with the start of the World Series and the usual college and pro football schedule, there was no time to touch on the start of the NBA season.


We are now about a week into it with every team having at least two games under their belt. Obviously we are a long ways away from viewing what should be a highly intriguing playoff season for the first time in years, but there are two season-long situations I always like to keep in mind in the NBA each year. And while they can't be blindly followed each night the long-term results speak for themselves.


Who's Hot


Fading the defending NBA Champions


Approx. +34 units blind since the start of the 2004-05 campaign and +31 blind units the past three seasons
Only five of 15 teams finished the next year with a winning ATS record
As exciting as it was for basketball fans north of the border to see their beloved Toronto Raptors go the distance last year – and be the example of why teams in all sports should “go for it” in terms of roster moves when they are close to being a championship title team – from a betting perspective, it was going to be tough to look great this year; with or without Kawhi Leonard.


Defending NBA champs have not been good from a season-long ATS perspective the following year and this year is likely going to be no different. Sure, the easy answer in terms of looking at that is that Toronto did lose some exceptional talent from last year's squad, but that's generally accounted for in point spreads each night and will be sharper numbers as the year goes on.


Raptors fans will be quick to quote Toronto's 17-5 SU record without Kawhi Leonard as “evidence” as to why they will be just fine this year, but that number without context isn't complete. They beat up on a lot of bad teams in those games without Leonard – they were 4-5 SU against teams that finished with a winning record – and it's not like the rest of the Eastern Conference didn't get better for the most part.


Sure, there are still those tanking teams in the East, but the talent pool has been spread out through so many more teams this year that to expect Toronto have similar-type success is just irresponsible. There competition will be better on nearly a nightly basis, and as the champs they are always going to get an opponent's best shot. With Toronto now having the “champions tax” levied on their point spreads now, and while the tax rate may not be as high as what the Warriors and Cavaliers were dealing with in year's past, it's still out there attached to lines.


Furthermore, while there have been defending champions who were strong bets ATS-wise the following year since 2004, there are some extenuating circumstances surrounding those that actually turned a profit.


The 2015-16 Golden State Warriors were the most recent (and tied for the best record at 45-35-2 ATS) to do it, but that came during the season they achieved the regular season win total record. That team was phenomenal from top to bottom and it was still in the early stages of the dynasty years for the Warriors before the market could really catch up in terms of how good they were.


The 2012-13 Miami Heat were also 10 games above .500 ATS-wise when coming off a championship campaign at 46-36 ATS, but they were also en route to a return trip to the Finals and another title with LeBron James at his peak athletically and mentally in his 28-year-old season. This year's Toronto team isn't comparable with that nor the 15-16 Warriors, so keep that in mind.


The other three teams that managed a winning ATS record after a championship win were the 2014-15 San Antonio Spurs (41-39-2 ATS), the 2008-09 Boston Celtics (43-39) and the 2006-07 Dallas Mavericks (41-37-4).


As you can see, not one of them finished more than four games over the .500 mark in terms of point spread wins, and when you break down the best of the bunch – 2008-09 Boston – from a monetary standpoint, you would have won $4300 betting $110 to win 100 on -110 lines, while losing $4290 at -110 prices in those 39 defeats for a whopping $10 profit. Not exactly the best path to profit is it.


So while the big winners a few months ago were the Raptors players, organization, and their fans – and adult diaper companies because bathroom breaks must have been a bitch for the masses that could barely move at that parade – bettors should be on the lookout to be big winners themselves this year by taking the other side in Toronto games.




Who's Not


Backing the NBA Finals losers from a year ago


One winning ATS season in last five years for approx -35 units
Sorry Warriors fans, nobody in the NBA is going to cry for you over the pain you are likely in for this year. And while the answer can be similarly as easy to Toronto's in terms of them missing Kawhi and the Warriors without Durant and Klay Thompson this year, recent history isn't on the runner's up from a betting perspective either.


Over the past five years, teams that lost in the finals have a 181-216-13 ATS record the following season as they've been a great team to fade as well. That's played out so far this year with the Warriors getting smoked in their first two games as they've lost both by 19+, and chances are more pain is in store. After all, Golden State was lined at -1 and +1 for those games as it is.


Now, obviously the bulk of this recent history concerns LeBron James-led teams and his squads are always going to have somewhat inflated point spreads as it is. And if you do take this line of thought back much further, to say the start of the century, there are plenty of favorable results – eight of 13 teams in this role from 2001 through 2013 finished with winning ATS records the following year – so this trend might be something that gets cast aside in a month or two when the market catches up to what true numbers for this year's Warriors team should be.


But it's still going to take some time for perception and reality to meet up in the market, as it's still easy to think of how dominant Golden State has been the past five years and have that infect one's handicapping process regarding this year's squad. We've seen that with how awful the point spreads looked in their first two games, and the Warriors may be best to fade more often now, then down the line on a full-season basis like say the Raptors.
 

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Portis, Knicks beat Bulls 105-98 for 1st win of season
October 28, 2019
By The Associated Press



NEW YORK (AP) Bobby Portis scored a season-high 28 points against his former team, including a go-ahead 3-pointer with 1:47 remaining, and the New York Knicks beat the Chicago Bulls 105-98 on Monday night for their first victory of the season.


Portis hadn't scored in double digits yet in his first season with the Knicks, but was superb in bringing New York back from an 18-point deficit. The reserve was 10 for 14, making all four 3-pointers, and added 11 rebounds.


The Knicks needed all of it on a night when they fell behind with a dreadful start and stayed that way until the fourth quarter. They never even led until Portis' go-ahead 3, which he followed with another 3 that pushed it to 103-98 during a 15-0 run to finish the game.


Rookie RJ Barrett added 19 points and 15 rebounds for the Knicks, who had dropped their first three games. Kevin Knox II scored 14 points, and Julius Randle finished with 13 points, 14 rebounds and five assists.


Zach LaVine scored 21 points for the Bulls, who fell to 1-3. Wendell Carter Jr. had 20 points and 10 rebounds.


The Knicks missed 13 of their first 15 shots and quickly fell behind by double digits.

ROCKETS 116, THUNDER 112



HOUSTON (AP) - James Harden scored 40 points and Russell Westbrook scored 21 and fell an assist shy of a triple-double against his former team, as Houston beat Oklahoma City.


Westbrook had 12 rebounds and nine assists after notching his 139th triple-double in his last game to pass Magic Johnson for second-most all-time.


A 3-pointer by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander with 19 seconds left got Oklahoma City within 3. Westbrook made 1 of 2 free throws before fouling Nerlens Noel, who made both free throws.


But Harden, who was 21 of 22 from the line, made two free throws with 13.2 seconds to go to make it 114-110.


Gilgeous-Alexander cut it to 2 with a basket, but Harden made two more free throws to secure the victory.


It was the first game between these teams since a summer trade reunited Westbrook with Harden and sent Chris Paul to Oklahoma City.


Paul had 15 points, four assists and five rebounds.


Gilgeous-Alexander had 22 points and Dennis Schroder added 22 points to lead the Thunder.


PISTONS 96, PACERS 94


DETROIT (AP) - Derrick Rose made a driving layup with 28.3 seconds left to give Detroit the lead and the Pistons beat winless Indiana for the second time in a week.


Rose shot just 4 of 16 from the field and was having a tough time in the fourth quarter, but his left-handed layup went in to put Detroit up 95-94. Malcolm Brogdon missed at the other end, but Indiana got an offensive rebound. T.J. Warren then missed badly on a tough shot from the corner, and the Pistons came up with the ball.


Luke Kennard made one of two free throws for Detroit, and Indiana had one more chance with 2 seconds left. Warren missed a 3-pointer from the left wing.


Andre Drummond had 18 points and 18 rebounds for the Pistons, and Christian Wood had 19 points and 12 rebounds.


Domantas Sabonis had 21 points and 14 rebounds for Indiana, and Brogdon contributed 15 points and 11 assists.


RAPTORS 104, MAGIC 95


TORONTO (AP) - Kyle Lowry scored 10 of his 26 points in the fourth quarter, Pascal Siakam added 24 and Toronto withstood a late rally to beat Orlando for its their third win in four games.


Marc Gasol had 10 points and 10 rebounds, Fred VanVleet scored 14 and OG Anunoby added 12 as the Raptors won for the 10th time in 15 regular-season meetings with Orlando.


Jonathan Isaac scored a career-high 24 points, Evan Fournier had 18 and Markelle Fultz 13 for the Magic, who have lost two straight.


Ex-Raptor Terrence Ross scored 11 for Orlando, and D.J. Augustin had 10.


BUCKS 129, CAVALIERS 112


MILWAUKEE (AP) - Khris Middleton scored 21 points, George Hill added 19 and seven Milwaukee players finished in double figures in a win over Cleveland.


Giannis Antetokounmpo had 14 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists in 29 minutes, Pat Connaughton added 17 points, Brook Lopez 16, and Wesley Matthews and Eric Bledsoe each finished with 14 points for Milwaukee.


Collin Sexton paced the Cavaliers with 18 points, while Jordan Clarkson and Tristan Thompson each added 17.


WARRIORS 134, PELICANS 123


NEW ORLEANS (AP) - Stephen Curry had 26 points and 11 assists, and Golden State won for the first time this season, beating winless New Orleans.


Draymond Green had 16 points, 17 rebounds and 10 assists for the injury-riddled Warriors, who dropped their first two games by 19 or more points before dominating a Pelicans squad that was missing three injured starters, including top overall draft choice Zion Williamson.


D'Angelo Russell added 24 points and Damion Lee finished with 23 for Golden State, which led wire-to-wire.


Brandon Ingram had 27 points and 10 rebounds for the Pelicans.


The Pelicans were playing a second straight game without veteran guard Jrue Holiday, who has a sprained left knee, and also were without starting center Derrick Favors because of right knee soreness.


First-round draft pick Jaxson Hayes had 19 points for the Pelicans.


76ERS 105, HAWKS 103


ATLANTA (AP) - Joel Embiid scored 36 points, including the winning free throws with 5.3 seconds left, and Philadelphia 76ers won its third straight game to begin the season.


Philadelphia made things tough for Trae Young and dominated down the stretch to deny the young Hawks their first 3-0 start in three seasons.


Tobias Harris had eight of his 13 points in the final quarter as the 76ers outscored the Hawks 15-5 over the final five minutes. Josh Richardson chipped in with 14 points, and Ben Simmons also had 14.


But this was all about Embiid, who made 12 of 19 shots from the field and knocked down all 10 of his free throws. He also had 13 rebounds, five assists and three steals.


Young had 25 points on 7-of-20 shooting. John Collins added 16 points and De'Andre Hunter 14.


SPURS 113, TRAIL BLAZERS 110


SAN ANTONIO (AP) - DeMar DeRozan scored 27 points and San Antonio overcame a sluggish start and beat Portland to remain undefeated.


Portland point guard Damian Lillard had 28 points, including 18 in the fourth quarter. Lillard's 3-pointer from the right corner bounced in and out as time expired.


Derrick White scored 21 points, LaMarcus Aldridge had 15 and Bryn Forbes 14 as the Spurs capped a three-game homestand to open the season.


CJ McCollum added 27 points for the Blazers (2-2).


CLIPPERS 111. HORNETS 96
 

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SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY OCTOBER 29, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:35 PM Atlanta Hawks Miami Heat AmericanAirlines Arena
9:05 PM Dallas Mavericks Denver Nuggets Pepsi Center
10:35 PM Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Staples Center




**********************************




CNOTES OCTOBER/NOVEMBER BEST BETS AND OPINIONS


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD




10/28/2019..........12-7-0..........63.16%.........+21.50
10/27/2019............7-2-1..........77.78%.........+24.00
10/26/2019..........11-7-0..........61.11%.........+16.50
10/25/2019............8-9-0..........47.06%..........-9.50
10/24/2019............2-4-0..........33.33%..........-12.00
10/23/2019..........8-11-0..........42.11%..........-20.50
10/22/2019 ...........2-2-0 .........50.00%......... -1.00


TOTALS............. 50-42-0.......... 54.34%..........+19.00




BEST BETS




DATE..........................ATS...............UN ITS..............O/U...............UNITS..............TOTALS




10/28/2019................3 - 2.............+4.00...............4 - 3..............+3.50..............+7.50
10/27/2019................1 - 1..............-0.50...............2 - 0..............+10.00.............+9.50
10/26/2019................4 - 2..............+9.00..............4 - 0..............+20.00.............+29.00
10/25/2019................4 - 3..............+3.50..............2 - 3...............-6.50................-3.00
10/24/2019................2 - 1..............+4.50..............0 - 3..............-16.50..............-12.00
10/23/2019................1 - 6..............-28.00..............5 - 1..............+19.50..............-8.50
10/22/2019................1 - 1..............-0.50................1 - 1..............-0.50................-1.00


TOTALS....................16 - 16............-8.00...............18 - 11...........+29.50.............+21.50
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack


college basketball coaches:


— Mike Krzyzewski, Duke $8.98M/year


— John Calipari, Kentucky $8.04M


— Mick Cronin, UCLA $5.5M


— Rick Barnes, Tennessee $4.7M


— Bill Self, Kansas $4.48M


— Chris Beard, Texas Tech $4.2M


Quote of the Day
“That’s the worst offense I’ve ever seen. He (Malzahn) has no idea how to throw the football. Zero. Zero. All he does is scream at the players. He has no idea how to throw the football. He has no passing game.”
Former NFL GM Mike Lombardi, talking about Auburn coach Gus Malzahn, who is 59-29 at Auburn, 31-22 in SEC games


Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Miami Dolphins’ coach last time they made the playoffs?


Monday’s quiz
Before moving to Washington, the Nationals called Montreal home; they were known as the Expos.


Last Tuesday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.


**********************


Tuesday’s List of 13: Glad to be back……


13) Here is a pro tip if you’re having surgery; go to the right bleepin’ hospital.


Thats right, I show up 20 minutes early for my operation last Tuesday, but turns out I’m at Albany Medical Center when I’m supposed to be at Albany Memorial Hospital, which according to Mapquest, is 2.6 miles away. Not good, but we got there and the staff at Memorial couldn’t have been nicer.


12) Backtracking a little bit, couple of Saturdays ago I’m sitting in the sportsbook at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, watching college football and talking with a buddy, when the vision in my right eye became foggy. Had no idea what the problem was, but it didn’t get better, and after flying home that Tuesday, it got way worse. Turns out the retina in my right eye had detached.


On October 22 (the 47th anniversary of the Oakland A’s first World Series title), I had my right eye operated on, and now I wait and hope it bounces back to where it was. In the meantime, I’d like to thank anyone who sent a text, e-mail or called to offer help/best wishes. Much appreciated.


— Thanks to Dr Mallick, who was my eye surgeon; appreciate you answering all my questions, and obviously, thanks a lot for putting my eye back together. Thanks isn’t really enough to say, but I really appreciate your work.


11) Part of rehabbing your re-attached retina is having your head pointed down a lot, so I’m listening to TV more than watching it; two observations:


a) Joe Buck is very good at baseball play-by-play.
b) 86-year old Hubie Brown is still great fun to listen to on NBA games.


10) When Washington Nationals’ OF Juan Soto was 10 years old, he played on an all-star team in the Dominican Republic that was coached by Robinson Cano’s father.


9) Since the start of last season, 56.4% of NBA players have changed teams, an amazing stat. NBA is the only league where the preseason is more interesting than the regular season.


8) A friend of mine here in Albany is opening a bar/golf simulator soon in Guilderland, out on Route 20 by Western Turnpike golf course. It is going to be called The Bunker, and once I get out and about more, I’ll give you an in-person report, but it sounds like an excellent place to hang out and have fun with friends.


7) Major league managerial hirings:
— Cubs hired David Ross, who was an active player only three years ago.
— Phillies hired Joe Girardi, an excellent hire.
— Angels announced hiring of Joe Maddon; he worked for the Halos for 30 years before he became a big league skipper in Tampa Bay.
— Maddon hired former Mets’ skipper Mickey Callaway as his pitching coach.
— Padres hired 38-year old Jayce Tingler, who worked for years in the Texas Rangers’ system.


6) Last Wednesday, the first full night of NBA games, 22 Kentucky alums played and first thing Thursday morning, John Calipari posted all their stats on Twitter. Effective recruiting tool.


5) NFL knowledge:
— Denver QB Joe Flacco (neck) is out for this week’s game with Cleveland. Brandon Allen is the new starter; he has never taken an NFL snap. Allen started for 2.5 years at Arkansas, where the Hogs went 15-11 his junior/senior seasons.
— Chargers fired OC Ken Whisenhunt Monday night.
— Texans’ star DE JJ Watt is done for the season (torn pectoral muscle).


4) From ESPN stats: New Jersey Jets are first NFL team since the ’91 Colts who, through seven games, have fewer than 450 yards rushing, while giving up 200+ yards in sacks.


3) Of the 64 teams who trailed a World Series 3-2, 20 of them came back to win the Series.


2) Good news/bad news after my eye surgery:
Bad news: Had to cancel my annual Christmas trip to Las Vegas; can’t fly for a couple months after the surgery. I’ll survive, but I’ve enjoyed spending my birthday/Christmas in the desert.


Good news: Looking like a March trip instead; second weekend of NCAA tournament, and first week of baseball season.
 

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Weekly Essentials
October 28, 2019
By Tony Mejia



The Timberwolves beat everyone to three wins this season, which is a piece of trivia you can surprise your friends with a few weeks from now to enjoy a hearty laugh.


Andrew Wiggins hit clutch shots – three 3-pointers in succession – to help derail a Heat squad that looks awfully competitive despite missing Jimmy Butler due to the birth of his daughter. That could be a real knee-slapper if Wiggins regresses to what we’ve seen from 2014’s No. 1 pick thus far in his career.


The Canadian has teased with promise since bursting on the scene and left us wanting more time after time, topping out in 2017 with an impressive 23.6 points-per-game average bolstered by a 35 percent shooting clip from beyond the arc that remains his career-best. Those who forecasted that he’d lead the league in scoring have grown frustrated by him solely it in questionable shots as his efficiency has tanked over the past few years.


So, sure, Minnesota is 3-0. Wiggins played hero and scored 25 points, finishing 4-for-10 from 3-point range after knocking down the last four he took. He’d started the season 0-for-13. That’s amazing, but can also be described as simply being basketball, especially when you’re as gifted as the 24-year-old wing can be. The Timberwolves didn’t hand him a max contract for charity’s sake. We might be talking about the end of that win over the Heat as the beginning of Wiggins figuring something out, but that would be a naïve take given what we’ve seen thus far.


Karl-Anthony Towns playing like there’s no tomorrow after opening last season a little listless due to all the Butler drama is far more predictable than Wiggins’ streaky swings and is the No. 1 reason they’ve fared so well out of the gate. Although beating the Nets and Hornets on the road isn’t walking on water, just navigating opposing arenas early on does deserve credit, especially after surviving Kyrie Irving’s 50-point Brooklyn debut in a game he desperately wanted to win. Towns enters the week averaging 32 points, 13 rebounds and five assists, so if he gets sufficient help from Wiggins, the Timberwolves can return to the playoffs for just the second time since Kevin Garnett left in ’05.


Hearing Towns say that Wiggins knows when “he has to kick it up” sounds like one of those things you say in the moment, because if he’d truly have time to think about it enough to offer an honest take, that hasn’t been the case. The Timberwolves have a healthy Robert Covington back and glue guys like Jeff Teague, Josh Okogie and Treveon Graham to put in work, but Towns needs Wiggins to take a superstar turn right alongside him or Minnesota is going nowhere in the loaded Western Conference.


The Wolves continue on the road this week in games at the 76ers on Wednesday and Wizards on Saturday, so it will be interesting to see what their record is when the Bucks come through Target Center for the team’s next home game on Nov. 4. Which Wiggins will show up in Philly and D.C.? That matchup with the Wizards is one in which they’ll likely enter as a road favorite, a role they handled nicely in a 121-99 rout in Charlotte.


Who’s Kendrick Nunn?
That question sounds absurd to me, but if you’re new to this column you probably don’t know that I consume college basketball the way koalas roll with eucalyptus, so I recognize why many are asking this and have probably never heard of the 24-year-old rookie leading the Heat in scoring (22.3 ppg).


Nunn dominated at Oakland the way a few players have over the past few decades, thriving in an up-tempo system that thrives on conditioning and scoring in spurts. He’s a high-school legend in Chicago, having played ball alongside Jabari Parker at Simeon, the same school where Derrick Rose and Benji Wilson once walked the halls. Things didn’t work out at Illinois after he caught a misdemeanor battery charge, so he ended up playing for the aforementioned Golden Grizzlies, lighting up the Horizon League.


Nunn led the nation in 3-pointers per made and was second only to Trae Young in scoring as a senior, but he went undrafted. He got himself a G-League gig with the Warriors and seemed like a natural fit but ended up getting scooped up by the Heat this past Spring and they’ve sprung him on the league with a bit of a “look what we found” feel, starting him ahead of Goran Dragic.


Butler hasn’t played yet but should return this week and the Heat have gotten off to slow starts that required them to rally from 21 points down to post a 131-126 upset in Milwaukee and put them in an early bind in Minnesota, so Erik Spoelstra may ultimately have a decision to make as far as keeping Dunn in the starting lineup, but his early success is no fluke. He can play, is a natural scorer and fearless shooter and upgrades the talent level on the wing alongside rookie Tyler Herro, who has blended in nicely in his own right. Miami looks to be much improved after entering the season as a co-favorite in the Southeast alongside last season’s surprise winner, Orlando.


What’s going on with…?


Markelle Fultz:
The 2017 No. 1 pick who forgot how to shoot is off to a productive start in Orlando despite opening 2-for-9 from beyond the arc over his first two games. He scored 12 points in each and showed a willingness to get to the basket that the Magic badly need, so it’s only a matter of time before he replaces D.J. Augustin in the starting lineup.


Orlando needs to develop him into being its closer because attempting to win games on Nikola Vucevic fadeaways or whatever Evan Fournier comes up with isn’t going to consistently deliver games in a division that has closers like Atlanta’s Young, Miami’s Butler and Washington’s Bradley Beal. The Magic squandered a huge lead and failed to cover in their opener against Cleveland and then came up short down the stretch because no one could be relied upon to score in the latter stages against the Hawks, who picked up a valuable early 103-99 win on Saturday night.


Keep an eye on Fultz’s development as the x-factor in whether Orlando is able to defend its division title and make some noise. Former lottery picks Jonathan Isaac and Mo Bamba also have to make strides, but Fultz can most impact this group if he gains Steve Clifford’s trust. After visiting Toronto on Monday, the Magic settle in for home games against the Knicks, Bucks and Nuggets this week, thrusting them into the spotlight.


The Warriors: After trailing by 31 points at the break in Oklahoma City on Sunday, Golden State fell behind by 42 in a game it never led, falling to 0-2 on the young season. They entered Monday’s visit to New Orleans looking for not just their first win of the season, but their first lead. The 141 points the Clippers scored to christen the brand-new Chase Center were the most ever surrendered under Steve Kerr.


Stephen Curry has struggled, but it’s the defense that has really brought about Golden State’s downfall. Namely, outside of Draymond Green, no one is doing it well. Kevon Looney is dealing with a hamstring issue and Willie Cauley-Stein sprained a foot and will likely be sidelined another week, so the team has been forced to throw Marquese Criss and a pair of undersized power forwards who won championships with Villanova, Eric Paschall and Omari Spellman, out there alongside Green to try and defend NBA bigs. It’s not going well.


The market hasn’t corrected itself enough, so there may be opportunities to fade Golden State as it returns home this week to face Phoenix, San Antonio and Charlotte. Who would have though the Dubs would be such an abomination this early? I saw a bounce-back coming against the Thunder after such an embarrassing first effort against the Clippers, but just watching this new concoction attempt to gel proved grueling to watch and it really looks like everyone is grinding their teeth attempting to find a comfort zone with one another. Things will probably gel at some point, but the fact the Warriors will play 13 of 17 on the road from Nov. 6- Dec. 6 isn’t going to aid their cause. Those who felt they wouldn’t make the playoffs and bet it at Westgate for a return of +250 are puffing those chests out for all to see.


Jrue Holiday: New team president David Griffin raised eyebrows when he tried taking pressure off Zion Williamson by saying that he expected Holiday to be the leader and step his game up to an MVP level. So far, Holiday has let him down, shooting 31 percent and 1-for-9 from 3-point range, but a knee issue is likely to blame and will hopefully not derail him long-term. He sat over the weekend against a Houston and is considered day-to-day entering the week, so we’re likely not going to see what the Pelicans are truly capable of until 2020. It remains to be seen whether Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball and Josh Hart can keep the team afloat until then, but all are off to strong starts.


Games to watch


Monday - Thunder at Rockets:
Russell Westbrook and Chris Paul cross paths early, but this won’t at all match the intensity of Westbrook’s return to Oklahoma City, which happens only once this season (Jan. 9). Houston is trying to get Harden and Eric Gordon going but Mike D’Antoni is already using Westbrook to push tempo in a throwback to his “seven seconds or less” days with the Suns. Paul has struggled early, doing his trade value no favors, but Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has hit the ground running in endearing himself to OKC fans as the prize in the deal for Paul George.


Tuesday - Mavs at Nuggets: Kristaps Porzingis looks to be in midseason form despite missing over a year of action, so Dallas has every right to be encouraged considering no sophomore slump is coming for Luka Doncic. This will be a fun one since Denver will be looking to send a message at home. The Mavs’ ability to hang around should hinge on Porzingis and Maxi Kleber holding their own in the paint since Dwight Powell remains sidelined.


Wednesday - Bucks at Celtics: An early clash of East heavyweights allows Boston to test its nucleus at home after an impressive comeback win over Toronto, but hanging around on the boards will require a team effort since Enes Kanter is just coming back from a bone bruise. Daniel Theis and Robert Williams have been playing extended minutes since 7-foot-6 rookie Tacko Fall was also unable to start the season until the past weekend due to a concussion. Will Kanter return to help his new teammates with Greek Freak duty?


Thursday - Heat at Hawks: Atlanta can stick around in the Southeast race if its able to protect its home floor. Young looks quite comfortable there and has helped unlock John Collins’ game with his lobs and command of the offense. Both should be All-Stars this season, but that’s easier said than done. With Butler expected to be back for this one, it will be fun to see him introduce himself to rookie wings DeAndre Hunter and Cam Reddish.


Friday - Pistons at Bulls: It’s unlikely that Blake Griffin is going to play since he’s taking his time coming back from knee and hamstring issues, so this will be an opportunity for the Baby Bulls to pick up a Central Division win as they try to mesh a year earlier than expected in overtaking the likes of Indiana and Detroit in the pecking order behind Milwaukee. Lauri Markkanen and Zach LaVine have each already had games where they’ve scored 35 or more points, but the key for this group lies in getting both going in the same contest.


Saturday - 76ers at Blazers: After missing the start of the season with an ankle injury, it looks like Joel Embiid should be in the mix all week barring a setback. He’ll be reunited with old friend Hassan Whiteside, who he loved to terrorize when he was with the Heat. Their beef often spilled over to social media, so it’s a shame they’ll only face off twice a season going forward. Whiteside helped swing a weekend win over the Kings with a big second-half spurt.


Sunday - Jazz at Clippers: These teams will have already squared off on Wednesday and should have some bad blood built up. Bojan Bogdanovic debuted with a strong outing, while Mike Conley has struggled to find a comfort zone in his new digs. Patrick Beverley will be heavily invested in keeping that from happening.


Free Winner
Friday - Spurs at Warriors: San Antonio has seen Dejounte Murray look like his old self and have Derrick White and Bryn Forbes back willing to play glue guy next to DeMar DeRozan. LaMarcus Aldridge is likely to feast in the paint, so expect San Antonio to win outright and don’t blink even if you have to lay points on the road.
 

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack


Six of the highest-paid college basketball coaches:


— Mike Krzyzewski, Duke $8.98M/year


— John Calipari, Kentucky $8.04M


— Mick Cronin, UCLA $5.5M


— Rick Barnes, Tennessee $4.7M


— Bill Self, Kansas $4.48M


— Chris Beard, Texas Tech $4.2M




**********


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Glad to be back……


13) Here is a pro tip if you’re having surgery; go to the right bleepin’ hospital.


Thats right, I show up 20 minutes early for my operation last Tuesday, but turns out I’m at Albany Medical Center when I’m supposed to be at Albany Memorial Hospital, which according to Mapquest, is 2.6 miles away. Not good, but we got there and the staff at Memorial couldn’t have been nicer.


12) Backtracking a little bit, couple of Saturdays ago I’m sitting in the sportsbook at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, watching college football and talking with a buddy, when the vision in my right eye became foggy. Had no idea what the problem was, but it didn’t get better, and after flying home that Tuesday, it got way worse. Turns out the retina in my right eye had detached.


On October 22 (the 47th anniversary of the Oakland A’s first World Series title), I had my right eye operated on, and now I wait and hope it bounces back to where it was. In the meantime, I’d like to thank anyone who sent a text, e-mail or called to offer help/best wishes. Much appreciated.


— Thanks to Dr Mallick, who was my eye surgeon; appreciate you answering all my questions, and obviously, thanks a lot for putting my eye back together. Thanks isn’t really enough to say, but I really appreciate your work.


11) Part of rehabbing your re-attached retina is having your head pointed down a lot, so I’m listening to TV more than watching it; two observations:


a) Joe Buck is very good at baseball play-by-play.
b) 86-year old Hubie Brown is still great fun to listen to on NBA games.


10) When Washington Nationals’ OF Juan Soto was 10 years old, he played on an all-star team in the Dominican Republic that was coached by Robinson Cano’s father.


9) Since the start of last season, 56.4% of NBA players have changed teams, an amazing stat. NBA is the only league where the preseason is more interesting than the regular season.


8) A friend of mine here in Albany is opening a bar/golf simulator soon in Guilderland, out on Route 20 by Western Turnpike golf course. It is going to be called The Bunker, and once I get out and about more, I’ll give you an in-person report, but it sounds like an excellent place to hang out and have fun with friends.


7) Major league managerial hirings:
— Cubs hired David Ross, who was an active player only three years ago.
— Phillies hired Joe Girardi, an excellent hire.
— Angels announced hiring of Joe Maddon; he worked for the Halos for 30 years before he became a big league skipper in Tampa Bay.
— Maddon hired former Mets’ skipper Mickey Callaway as his pitching coach.
— Padres hired 38-year old Jayce Tingler, who worked for years in the Texas Rangers’ system.


6) Last Wednesday, the first full night of NBA games, 22 Kentucky alums played and first thing Thursday morning, John Calipari posted all their stats on Twitter. Effective recruiting tool.


5) NFL knowledge:
— Denver QB Joe Flacco (neck) is out for this week’s game with Cleveland. Brandon Allen is the new starter; he has never taken an NFL snap. Allen started for 2.5 years at Arkansas, where the Hogs went 15-11 his junior/senior seasons.
— Chargers fired OC Ken Whisenhunt Monday night.
— Texans’ star DE JJ Watt is done for the season (torn pectoral muscle).


4) From ESPN stats: New Jersey Jets are first NFL team since the ’91 Colts who, through seven games, have fewer than 450 yards rushing, while giving up 200+ yards in sacks.


3) Of the 64 teams who trailed a World Series 3-2, 20 of them came back to win the Series.


2) Good news/bad news after my eye surgery:
Bad news: Had to cancel my annual Christmas trip to Las Vegas; can’t fly for a couple months after the surgery. I’ll survive, but I’ve enjoyed spending my birthday/Christmas in the desert.


Good news: Looking like a March trip instead; second weekend of NCAA tournament, and first week of baseball season.


1) Steelers 27, Dolphins 14— Monday, a gambler at South Point Casino in Las Vegas risked $100,000 to win $11,764.70 on the Steelers’ money line. He had to sweat some in the first half, but he won his 11 grand.


Saturday, someone risked $5,040 to win $210 on Oklahoma’s money line to beat Kansas State; the Sooners lost, once again proving Oscar Madison’s old line from The Odd Couple:


“There’s no such thing as a sure thing; thats why they call it gambling.”
 

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533ATLANTA -534 MIAMI
ATLANTA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after 2+ home games over the last 2 seasons.


535DALLAS -536 DENVER
DALLAS are 56-34 ATS (18.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.


537MEMPHIS -538 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.








NBA
Dunkel


Tuesday, October 29




Atlanta @ Miami


Game 533-534
October 29, 2019 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
118.477
Miami
120.044
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 8
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+8); Under


Dallas @ Denver



Game 535-536
October 29, 2019 @ 9:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.585
Denver
120.415
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 3
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 6 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+6 1/2); Under


Memphis @ LA Lakers



Game 537-538
October 29, 2019 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
109.786
LA Lakers
124.193
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 14 1/2
232
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 11 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-11 1/2); Over









NBA
Long Sheet


Tuesday, October 29



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ATLANTA (2 - 1) at MIAMI (2 - 1) - 10/29/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 139-189 ATS (-68.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (2 - 1) at DENVER (3 - 0) - 10/29/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 526-442 ATS (+39.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
DALLAS is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 43-73 ATS (-37.3 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (1 - 2) at LA LAKERS (2 - 1) - 10/29/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------






NBA


Tuesday, October 29



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Miami Heat
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home
Miami is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 18 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Miami's last 25 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Atlanta's last 25 games when playing on the road against Miami


Denver Nuggets
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Denver is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Denver's last 21 games at home
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver


Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 15 games
LA Lakers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
LA Lakers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of LA Lakers's last 22 games at home
LA Lakers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
LA Lakers is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Memphis
LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
LA Lakers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games
Memphis is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games on the road
Memphis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Memphis is 8-13-2 ATS in its last 23 games when playing LA Lakers
Memphis is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Memphis is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
 

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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 29
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



ATL at MIA 07:30 PM
ATL +8.0 *****
O 225.0 *****



DAL at DEN 09:00 PM
DAL +5.5 *****
U 213.5 *****



MEM at LAL 10:30 PM
LAL -11.5
U 219.0 *****
 

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Butler debuts for Heat as Miami beats Atlanta 112-97
October 30, 2019
By The Associated Press



MIAMI (AP) Jimmy Butler made his first four shots and scored 21 in his Miami debut, rookie Tyler Herro scored 29 and the Heat defeated Atlanta 112-97 on Tuesday night in a game where Hawks star Trae Young left early in the second quarter with a sprained right ankle.


The 19-year-old Herro had a 19-point second quarter for Miami, while fellow reserve Goran Dragic scored 21. Bam Adebayo had 17 points and 10 rebounds for Miami and Kendrick Nunn finished with 17..


Young left with 9:56 remaining in the first half, turning his ankle when he landed on the foot of Miami's Justise Winslow. The reigning Eastern Conference player of the week - who had 102 points in Atlanta's first three games - finished with five points in 11 minutes.


John Collins scored 30 for Atlanta, including a career-best five 3-pointers, and Jabari Parker finished with 12 for the Hawks.


Butler missed the first three games of the season while celebrating the birth of his daughter Rylee. He was 5 for 11 from the floor, and went 10 for 15 from the line. As a team, Miami was 33 for 45 from the line - compared with 16 for 24 by Atlanta at the stripe.


Herro set a Heat record for points off the bench by a rookie, topping the mark of 28 set by Michael Beasley on March 4, 2009. And Herro and Dragic became the ninth Heat duo all-time to have 20-point games off the Miami bench on the same night.

MAVERICKS 106, NUGGETS 106



DENVER (AP) - Maxi Kleber had 14 points, seven rebounds and a key block late to help the Mavericks beat the Nuggets.


Nine Mavericks players scored in double figures on a night their two top scorers were held in check. Luca Doncic scored 12 points and Kristaps Porzingis had 10 points and 14 rebounds.


Nikola Jokic had his second triple-double of the season, with 10 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists, and Paul Millsap had 23 points and eight rebounds. Will Barton scored 19 but it wasn't enough to prevent Denver from losing its first game of the season.


The Mavericks rallied from 11 down in the third quarter on the strength of their support players. They did most of their damage after Denver took a nine-point lead late in the third quarter. Tim Hardaway Jr., who finished with 14 points, hit three 3-pointers and Dorian Finney-Smith two during a 30-10 run that gave Dallas a 103-94 lead midway through the fourth quarter.


The Nuggets chipped away at the lead and got within 107-106 on Gary Harris' 3-pointer and appeared to take the lead with 1:05 left when Maxi Kleber was called for goaltending on Murray's layup.


Dallas coach Rick Carlisle challenged the call and it was overturned after review, keeping Dallas ahead 107-106.


Doncic hit a driving layup and Jokic lost the ball out of bounds with 29.2 seconds left. After Doncic missed two free throws Jamal Murray, who had 16 points, missed everything on his 3-point attempt with 3.8 seconds left.


LAKERS 120, GRIZZLES 91
 

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SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 30, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:05 PM Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
7:05 PM Minnesota Timberwolves Philadelphia 76ers Wells Fargo Center
7:05 PM New York Knicks Orlando Magic Amway Center
7:35 PM Detroit Pistons Toronto Raptors Scotiabank Arena
7:35 PM Indiana Pacers Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center
7:35 PM Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics TD Garden
8:05 PM Houston Rockets Washington Wizards Capital One Arena
8:05 PM Portland Trail Blazers Oklahoma City Thunder Chesapeake Energy Arena
10:05 PM Charlotte Hornets Sacramento Kings Golden 1 Center
10:05 PM Los Angeles Clippers Utah Jazz Vivint Smart Home Arena
10:35 PM Phoenix Suns Golden State Warriors Chase Center




*************************




CNOTES OCTOBER/NOVEMBER BEST BETS AND OPINIONS


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


10/29/2019............3-3-0..........50.00%..........-1.50
10/28/2019..........12-7-0..........63.16%.........+21.50
10/27/2019............7-2-1..........77.78%.........+24.00
10/26/2019..........11-7-0..........61.11%.........+16.50
10/25/2019............8-9-0..........47.06%..........-9.50
10/24/2019............2-4-0..........33.33%..........-12.00
10/23/2019..........8-11-0..........42.11%..........-20.50
10/22/2019 ...........2-2-0 .........50.00%......... -1.00


TOTALS............. 53-45-0.......... 54.08%..........+17.50




BEST BETS




DATE..........................ATS...............UN ITS..............O/U...............UNITS..............TOTALS


10/29/2019................1 - 1.............-0.50................1 - 2..............-6.00................-6.50
10/28/2019................3 - 2.............+4.00...............4 - 3..............+3.50..............+7.50
10/27/2019................1 - 1..............-0.50...............2 - 0..............+10.00.............+9.50
10/26/2019................4 - 2..............+9.00..............4 - 0..............+20.00.............+29.00
10/25/2019................4 - 3..............+3.50..............2 - 3...............-6.50................-3.00
10/24/2019................2 - 1..............+4.50..............0 - 3..............-16.50..............-12.00
10/23/2019................1 - 6..............-28.00..............5 - 1..............+19.50..............-8.50
10/22/2019................1 - 1..............-0.50................1 - 1..............-0.50................-1.00


TOTALS....................17 - 17.............-8.50...............19 - 13...........+23.50.............+15.00
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack


Six interesting college football games this week:


— Oregon -5 at USC


— Kansas State -5.5 at Kansas


— SMU at Memphis -5.5


— Georgia -6.5 vs Florida


— TCU @ Oklahoma State -3


— Miami @ Florida State -3.5


Quote of the Day
“…….Yet Irving’s infamous mood swings, confirmed by his ex-teammates, which followed him from Cleveland to Boston to Brooklyn, are the unspoken concern that makes Nets officials queasy. When Irving lapses into these funks, he often shuts down, unwilling to communicate with the coaching staff, front office and sometimes, even his teammates.”
From ESPN…….Nets are paying Irving $136M the next four years. Oy.

Wednesday’s quiz

Who was the Miami Dolphins’ coach last time they won a playoff game?


Tuesday’s quiz
Adam Gase was the Miami Dolphins’ coach last time they made the playoffs, in 2016.


Monday’s quiz
Before moving to Washington, the Nationals called Montreal home; they were known as the Expos




****************************


Wednesday’s List of 13: Wrapping up last Saturday’s college football


13) Kansas State 48, Oklahoma 41— Wildcats scored on eight consecutive possessions in this massive upset; K-State had perfect balance; 213 passing yards, 213 rushing yards, as they scrambled the national playoff picture.


I’m guessing Saturday night was a fun one in the Little Apple.


12) LSU 23, Auburn 20— I’ve mentioned this a couple times, but Joe Burrow used to be the #3 QB at Ohio State— imagine ac college team having that much talent in their QB room?


Several years ago, I read a book called Meat Market, about recruiting in bigtime college football; it revolves around Ed Orgeron when he was head coach at Ole Miss. After reading that book, I wouldn’t have hired Orgeron as anything other than a defensive line coach/recruiter, but have to give him credit, he somehow got the LSU job and is running with it, primarily by giving up control of the offense to a 20-something who came in from the NFL’s Saints.


11) Minnesota 52, Maryland 10— Golden Gophers are 8-0 for first time since 1941; they’ve got a two-game lead in the Big 14 West.


10) Penn State 28, Michigan State 7— Spartans covered only once in their last 12 home games. Penn State is 8-0; they visit 8-0 Minnesota next week.


9) Kansas 37, Texas Tech 34— Never saw this before; Tech blocked the go-ahead FG with 0:13 left, but a Tech player lateraled the ball to a teammate, it was fumbled, and Kansas recovered with 0:02 left, where they kicked the game-winning FG, as Les Miles won his first Big X game with the Jayhawks.


8) Toledo 37, Eastern Michigan 34 (OT)— Bad beat for EMU (+2.5) backers; Eagles came into the game on a 19-5-1 ATS run as an underdog, but lost by half a point here.


7) Upsets:
Kansas State (+23.5) 48, Oklahoma 41
Colorado State (+14) 41, Fesno State 31
Oklahoma State (+10.5) 34, Iowa State 27
Kentucky (+10) 29, Missouri 7
San Jose State (+9.5) 34, Army 29
Illinois (+9.5) 24, Purdue 6
Rutgers (+7.5) 44, Liberty 34


6) Charlotte 39, North Texas 38— 49ers scored on a 34-yard pass play with 0:18 left, rallying back from a 35-21 4th quarter deficit. Total yardage was 589-539, Charlotte.


5) USC 35, Colorado 31- Trojans, Stanford and Cal are three Pac-12 teams that’ve all started three different QB’s this year, and before Halloween. Trojans trailed this game 31-21 after three quarters but rallied to improve to 5-3, 4-1 in Pac-12 tilts.


4) Oregon 37, Washington State 35— Ducks kicked FG at the gun for the win, giving Wazzu its fourth loss in five games, despite scoring 34+ points in three of the four losses. Oregon blew a 31-20 foutth quarter lead before pulling the game out at the end.


3) Kind of a funny moment in the Washington State-Oregon telecast Saturday night; Wazzu had the ball on its own 5-yard line, 3rd-and-25, with 2:00 left in first half, up 10-9. Analyst Brian Griese was preaching a conservative (draw play, punt) approach, while the play-by-play guy said they should throw and try and move the chains.


They threw the ball alright, and threw a pick-6. You could almost hear Griese smirking.


2) Navy 41, Tulane 38— Middies blew a 31-14 halftime lead, then kicked a 48-yard FG at the gun to send everyone home happy. Navy ran the ball for 385 yards, which usually means a win.


1) Memphis 42, Tulsa 41— Golden Hurricane missed a 29-yard field goal at the gun; sometimes its better to be lucky than good. 7-1 Memphis plays unbeaten SMU this week.
 

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539NEW YORK -540 ORLANDO
NEW YORK is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games in the last 3 seasons.


541MINNESOTA -542 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 39-19 ATS (18.1 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.


543CHICAGO -544 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.


545DETROIT -546 TORONTO
TORONTO is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots since 1996.


547INDIANA -548 BROOKLYN
BROOKLYN is 39-20 ATS (17 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.


549MILWAUKEE -550 BOSTON
BOSTON is 26-12 ATS (12.8 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game in the last 3 seasons.


551HOUSTON -552 WASHINGTON
HOUSTON is 263-189 ATS (55.1 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread since 1996.


553PORTLAND -554 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.


555CHARLOTTE -556 SACRAMENTO
CHARLOTTE is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) versus poor shooting teams - making <=43% of their shots since 1996.


557LA CLIPPERS -558 UTAH
LA CLIPPERS are 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.


559PHOENIX -560 GOLDEN STATE
GOLDEN STATE is 40-62 ATS (-28.2 Units) in home games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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