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[Udog]

Monday's Bowl Tip Sheet
Joe Williams

First Responder Bowl (ESPN, 12:30 p.m. ET)

Western Kentucky vs. Western Michigan

-- The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (8-4 straight up, 8-4 against the spread) from Conference USA will tangle with the Western Michigan Broncos (7-5 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) from the Mid-American Conference in the ServPro First Responder Bowl in Dallas, Tex. at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

-- The Hilltoppers of WKU finished up the season with three straight wins, including a road rout of Arkansas on Nov. 9, 45-19. They also won seven of their final nine outings, including victories over bowl teams Southern Miss, Charlotte and UAB, and the Hilltoppers ended up covering seven of their final nine outings, too.

-- Western Kentucky doesn't have an extensive bowl history. This will be their sixth-ever postseason showing, and they're looking for their fourth bowl victory. After losing the Little Caesars Bowl to Central Michigan in their bowl debut in 2012, they avenged that loss in a 49-48 shootout vs. CMU in the 2014 Bahamas Bowl. That kicked off a three-game bowl win streak which also included a 45-35 win over South Florida in the 2015 Miami Beach Bowl and a 51-31 win over Memphis in the 2016 Boca Raton Bowl. They were tripped up 27-17 by Georgia State in the Cure Bowl on Dec. 16, 2017 in their most recent bowl showing.

-- The Broncos have appeared in nine bowl games all-time, but they have just one win to show for their efforts. Their lone win was in the 2015 Bahamas Bowl over Middle Tennessee. They coughed up a 49-18 loss to BYU last season in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, and they suffered a 24-16 loss to Wisconsin on Jan. 2, 2017 in the Cotton Bowl, easily their most impressive season to date.

-- Western Michigan no longer rows the boat for P.J. Fleck, but they have continued to be relevant since his departure for Minnesota. They blew a chance at the MAC Championship Game last time out on Nov. 26, losing at Northern Illinois by a 17-14 score as a 10-point favorite. That snapped a season-high three-game win streak which included victory over Bowling Green, Ball State and Ohio. One interesting thing about Western Michigan this season is that they alternated covers and non-covers in each of their 12 games this season, failing to cover last time out.

-- The Broncos had a powerful offense, ranking 23rd in the nation with 457.3 total yards per game while ranking 56th in passing yards (244.6) and 24th in rushing yards (212.7). They were also 25th in the country with 34.2 points per contest. Defensively, WMU wasn't very good, ranking 82nd with 414.6 total yards per game allowed, while ranking 69th in passing yards allowed (228.1) and 94th in rushing yards allowed (186.5) per game. They also yielded 26.2 PPG to check in 57th.

-- The 'Toppers struggled on offense, ranking just 87th with 380.0 total yards per game, while posting 251.1 passing yards per game to finish 52nd in the land. They also posted a dismal 128.9 rushing yards to rank 109th in the nation, while managing 25.6 PPG to end up 90th. On defense, they yielded 337.8 total yards to rank 29th, they were 32nd in passing yards (200.2) and 40th in rushing yards (137.7) per game, while allowing 20.1 points per game to rank 21st in the country.

-- Western Kentucky is 7-2 ATS in the past nine games overall and 5-1 ATS in the past six against winning teams. However, they're 5-13 ATS as a favorite.

-- Western Michigan is 2-5 ATS in the previous seven neutral-site appearances, while going 2-8 ATS in the past 10 as an underdog, and 1-6 ATS in their past seven showings in the month of December.

-- The over is 4-1 in Western Kentucky's past five overall, and 5-1 in the past six neutral-site games. The over is also 7-2 in the past nine as a favorite, but the under is 5-2 in their past seven tries against winning sides.

-- The over is 4-1 in WMU's past five bowl games, and 6-1 in the past seven as an underdog. However, the under is 5-2-1 in their past eight games overall.


Music City Bowl (ESPN, 4:00 p.m.)

Mississippi State vs. Louisville

-- The Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl will pit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-6 straight up, 5-7 against the spread) against the Louisville Cardinals (7-5 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn. in a rematch of the 2017 TaxSlayer Bowl, which went to Mississippi State 31-27.

-- The Bulldogs might have made the cut for a bowl by the slimmest of margins of any team in this season's postseason field. They won 21-20 at home against Mississippi in the Egg Bowl on Thanksgiving night thanks to a missed extra point. That missed PAT came after an unsportsmanlike penalty on that nonsense where the wide receiver who scored the touchdown imitated a dog urinating while celebrating in the end zone. Hey, however you get it done. Mississippi State did win three of their final four games, while covering in those three wins, and the 'under' cashed in the final three.

-- The Cardinals didn't need any late-game antics in the finale to get into the bowl field. They clinched bowl eligibility on Nov. 16 with a 34-20 win at N.C. State, and they followed it up with a 56-34 win over Syracuse the next week. However, the Cardinals might be champing at the bit after getting throttled 45-13 in their season finale against rival Kentucky of the SEC.

-- Mississippi State has a lengthy bowl history which dates back to an Orange Bowl loss in 1936, a 13-12 loss to Duquesne, by the way. They also beat Georgetown 14-7 in the 1941 Orange Bowl, so yeah, they've been around. In more recent times, they have won three of their past four bowl showings, but they lost in the Outback Bowl last season to Iowa in a 27-22 nailbiter. They have appeared in the Music City Bowl once before, topping Wake Forest 23-17 back on Dec. 30, 2011.

-- Louisville's bowl history dates back to 1958, a 34-20 win over Drake in the Sun Bowl. More recently, the Cardinals have dropped two straight bowl games, including that TaxSlayer Bowl in 2017 to the Bulldogs. They won the 2015 Music City Bowl over Texas A&M by a 27-21 score in their only other previous appearance at Nissan Stadium.

-- The Cardinals ranked 35th in the nation with 442.8 total yards per game, while ranking 70th in the pass with 227.7 yards per game. Rushing was a strong suit, ranking 23rd with 215.2 yards per game, as RB Javian Hawkins rumbled for 1,420 yards and eight touchdowns. They ended up with 32.7 points per game to check in 40th. Defensively, the Cardinals had a lot of issues, ranking 107th in total yards (446.3), 84th in passing yards (235.3), 115th in rushing yards (211.0) and 111th in points allowed (33.8) per game.

-- The Bulldogs were rather so-so in most facets of the game, which isn't surprising since they ended up 6-6. They were just 67th in total yards (402.9), 112th in passing yards (176.0) and 75th in points scored (27.6). However, they were 18th in rushing yards per game at 226.9, as Kylin Hill posted 1,347 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, they were also rather marginal, ranking 68th in total yards (390.1), 92nd in passing yards (241.3) and 55th in rushing yards (148.8) allowed per game. They also yielded 28.1 PPG to rank 68th.

-- MSU is 10-4 ATS in the past 14 non-conference games, but they're 2-5 ATS in the past seven appearances on a grass surface and 0-4 ATS in the past four against winning teams.

-- Louisville has covered in just one of the past five neutral-site games, while going 0-4 ATS in the past four tries vs. SEC. They're also a dismal 4-12-1 ATS in the past 17 games out of conference.

-- The Bulldogs have hit the under in five of their past seven games overall, but the over is 4-1 in the past five non-conference games and 5-2 in the past seven neutral-site contests.

-- The over cashed in the final four for the Cards. However, the under is 5-0 in their past five bowl appearances, while going 6-2-1 in the past nine neutral-site affairs.


Redbox Bowl (FOX, 4:00 p.m.)

California vs. Illinois

-- The Redbox Bowl has the California Bears (7-5 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) from the Pac-12 Conference meeting the Illinois Fighting Illini (6-6 straight-up, 8-4 against the spread) from the Big Ten Conference at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.

-- Cal fired out of the gate at 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS in their first two games, including road wins at Washington and at Mississippi. Things were humming right along, but then injuries reared their ugly head, particularly to QB Chase Garbers, and the Bears took a big step back. They lost four in a row to Arizona State, Oregon, Oregon State and Utah, and suddenly bowl eligibility didn't look so certain. They posted perhaps a season-saving 33-20 win over Washington State as 8.5-point underdogs before finishing off the season with wins at Stanford and at UCLA, covering three of the final four.

-- Illinois was stumbling to a 2-4 SU start, although they did give Michigan a scare Oct. 12 in a 42-25 loss which was much closer than the score indicates. That gave them confidence heading into the next week, as they won outright as 28.5-point underdogs for one of the biggest upsets across college football in a 24-23 win over Wisconsin. They rattled off four straight wins to attain bowl eligibility, winning at Purdue, home to Rutgers and at Michigan State in a game with a monster comeback. They won that game in East Lansing 37-34 as 11-point underdogs, their third win of the season as a double-digit 'dog. They also finished up 6-1 ATS in the final seven. An inexplicable 29-10 loss at home to rival Northwestern won't splash cold water on their season. The Illini are going bowling.

-- The Illini are playing in a bowl for the first time since the Heart of Dallas Bowl on Dec. 26, 2014, a 35-18 setback to Louisiana Tech. Their last win in a bowl came ovr UCLA in the Fight Hunger Bowl on Dec. 31, 2011. They're 0-4 SU in their past four bowl games against the Pac-12 since topping Washington 17-7 in the Rose Bowl on Jan. 1, 1964.

-- Cal is making a bowl appearance for the second straight season, and they hope to find a little more offense than they had in a 10-7 loss to TCU in the Cheez-It Bowl last season. The Golden Bears will be playing their 14th bowl appearance in school history in the state of California. They're 4-8-1 SU in their past previous 13 bowl appearances inside the confines of the Golden State.

-- The Illini managed just 319.7 total yards per game to rank 120th, and they were 110th with 177.0 passing yards per game, with WR Josh Imatorbhebhe leading the way with 634 receiving yards. They did manage to post 27.3 points per game to rank 78th. Defensively, they allowed 410.7 total yards per game to rank 79th, while allowing just 208.0 passing yards per game to finish 39th. On the ground, they struggled, giving up 202.7 yards per game to check in 110th, but they still allowed just 25.4 points per game to finish 53rd. Defensively, Oluwole Betiku Jr. cashed in with eight sacks.

-- Cal is 1-4 ATS in their past five games as a favorite, 1-4 ATS in the past five non-conference tilts and 1-4 ATS in the past five bowl games. They're also a dismal 1-6 ATS in the past seven neutral-site battles.

-- Illinois is 5-0 ATS in the past five as an underdog, while hitting in six of the past seven games overall. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five against winning teams, and 6-2 ATS in the past eight neutral-site contests.

-- The under is 7-2 in Cal's past nine non-conference battles, while going 20-7 in the past 27 games overall. They have hit the over in seven of their past 10 bowls, and 6-1 in the past seven against the Big Ten conference.

-- The under is 5-1 in Illinois' past six non-conference tilts, 4-1 in the past five against the Pac-12 Conference and a perfect 6-0 in their past six neutral-site battles.

 

[Udog]

Tuesday's Early Bowl Tips
Joe Williams

Belk Bowl (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Virginia Tech vs. Kentucky

-- The Virginia Tech Hokies (8-4 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) from Atlantic Coast Conference will square off against the Kentucky Wildcats (7-5 straight up, 9-3 against the spread) from the Southeastern Conference in the Belk Bowl in Charlotte, N.C. at Bank of America Stadium.

-- The Hokies are back at the Belk Bowl for the first time since the 2016 season, and they won 35-24 against Arkansas to cap off that campaign. That was also their most recent bowl victory, and they lost to Oklahoma State in 2017 in the Camping World Bowl and in 2018 to Cincinnati in the Military Bowl. This will be their first matchup with Kentucky in a bowl game, and they're 3-3 SU in six previous battles against SEC teams in bowl games.

-- The Wildcats have a bowl history dating all the way back to 1947 when they won the Great Lakes Bowl in Cleveland against Villanova by a 20-19 score. They were 8-5 in their first 13 bowl games, but dipped below .500 with four straight losses from 2009-17 before finally snapping that losing streak in a mild upset of Penn State last season in the Citrus Bowl, 27-24. This is their first-ever appearnace in the Belk Bowl. They're 0-3 in the past three tries against ACC teams in bowl games, falling to Georgia Tech in the TaxSlayer Bowl in 2016, the BBVA Compass Bowl in 2011 and Clemson in 2009 in the Music City Bowl. They last topped an ACC team when they pushed aside Florida State 35-28 in the Music City Bowl on NYE 2007.

-- The Hokies got a lot better as the season progressed. They started out just 2-2 SU/0-4 ATS through the first four games, including an 0-2 conference start with a loss at Boston College and at home to Duke. They turned things around with a comeback win at Miami on Oct. 5, kicking off a three-game winning streak. They nearly had a seven-game win streak, but fell just short 21-20 at Notre Dame on Nov. 2, although they easily covered in that one. They have a sour taste in their mouths, however, losing 39-30 to Virginia in Charlottesville to close out the season, snapping a 3-0 SU run, and a 5-0 ATS streak.

-- The Wildcats are streaking into bowl season, as they started out with a 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS record, including an 0-3 run in conference. In fact, their first two wins were against MAC teams Toledo and Eastern Michigan. They narrowly avoided upset against a bad Arkansas team on Oct. 12 for their first SEC win, but were blanked at Georgia to sit 3-4 SU on Oct. 19. They fell back under .500 at 4-5 with a 17-13 home loss to Tennessee. However, they posted wins over Vanderbilt, Tennessee-Martin and Louisville to close out the year on a high note. Not exactly a murderer's row, but bowl eligibility is bowl eligiblity.

-- Once QB Terry Wilson (knee) went down in September due to a knee injury, the Wildcats had to get creative. Dual-threat QB Sawyer Smith and WR/QB Lynn Bowden Jr. have been under center. The former Troy signal caller Smith has 690 passing yards to lead the team. If you think that's weird, Bowden Jr. is third on the team with 330 passing yards while tied for second with two touchdown throws. He also leads the team in rushing with 1,235 yards and 11 touchdowns while also leading with 30 receptions, 348 yards and one score. Somehow, with a mish-mash offense, they have made it work for more wins than losses.

-- The Wildcats are 80th overall in total yards on offense (391.8), while ranking just 126th in passing yards (117.1). However, they're fourth in the nation with 274.8 yards per game, while ranking 86th in points per game (26.3). Defensively, the Wildcats are stout, allowing just 324.0 total yards (20th), 172.7 passing yards (4th) and 151.3 rushing yards (60th). They yielded just 18.4 PPG to check in 12th in the country.

-- Virginia Tech is 81st in total yards on offense (390.3), 80th in passing yards (217.3), 53rd in rushing yards (172.9) and 52nd in points scored (30.9). Defensively, they're 42nd overall with 360.4 total yards allowed, hilw ranking 27th against the rush (123.4). They're also 45th in points allowed (23.7). If they have trouble, it's against the pass, but that's not a strong suit - or even much of a part - of Kentucky's game.

-- The Hokies are 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five neutral-site battles. However, they're 3-9 ATS in the past 12 as a favorite, and 2-5 ATS in the past seven vs. SEC foes.

-- The Wildcats have covered six of the past seven games overall, and they're 4-0 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning record. UK is also 6-0 ATS in the past six non-conference tilts, but only 2-5 ATS in the previous seven neutral-site battles.

-- The under is 4-1 in Virginia Tech's past five, and 5-2 in their past seven as a favorite. However, the over is 6-2-2 in the past 10 neutral-site games and 5-1-1 in their past seven showings vs. SEC.

-- The under has cashed in four of Kentucky's past five bowl games, and six of their past eight neutral-site battles. The under is also 4-0 in the past four as an underdog.


Sun Bowl (CBS, 2:00 p.m.)

Florida State vs. Arizona State

-- The Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl sees the Arizona Sun Devils (7-5 straight up, 4-7-1 against the spread) from the Pac-12 Conference facing off against the Florida State Seminoles (6-6 straight up, 4-7-1 against the spread) of the ACC at the Sun Bowl in El Paso, Tex.

-- The Sun Devils fired out to a 5-1 SU start after a 38-34 win against Washington State on Oct. 12, but they lost four straight to Utah, UCLA, USC and Oregon State, putting their bowl eligibility in severe peril. A loss in Corvallis, 35-34, on Nov. 16, looked particularly damaging. However, they stunned Oregon 31-28 in Tucson to attain bowl eligibility, and then added to their resume with a win over rival Arizona, 24-14, in the season finale on Nov. 30.

-- The Seminoles qualified for a bowl game, but a .500 record wasn't enough to save the job of head coach Willie Taggart. He is now the head man at Florida Atlantic, and the Seminoles have hired Mike Norvell, formerly of Memphis. However, interim coach Odell Haggins will lead the Seminoles into El Paso. FSU managed to win just two games over bowl teams, 35-24 over Louisville on Sept. 21, and 38-31 at BC on Nov. 9.

-- Arizona State lost its first bowl game under Herm Edwards last season, falling 31-20 to Fresno State in the Las Vegas Bowl. They have dropped three in a row in the postseason, and they're 4-10 SU in their previous 14 bowl showings. These two teams met back in 1971 in the Fiesta Bowl, with the Sun Devils winning 45-38 behind legendary head coach Frank Kush.

-- FSU obviously has a long and decorated bowl history. Lately it's been a little less decorated, however. They didn't go to a bowl last season, ending the nation's longest active run. They won 42-13 in the Independence Bowl in 2017, and 33-32 over Michigan before that in the Orange Bowl on Dec. 30, 2016. The last time the Seminoles faced a Pac-12 team in a bowl game they lost to Oregon, 59-20, in the Rose Bowl in a playoff game. Their last win over a Pac-12 team was the Emerald Bowl over UCLA in 2006, although that win was actually vacated due to ineligible players. And, as mentioned above, they also lost to AZ State in 1971. So technically, they're 0-2 all-time in bowl games vs. Pac-12.

-- The Sun Devils rank 89th in the nation with 379.6 total yards and they're just 114th in rushing yards (126.3). However, the Sun Devils were a respectable 48th in passing yards per game with 253.3, led by QB Jayden Daniels, who improved as the season went on. He passed for 2,748 yards, with a majority going to WR N'Keal Harry's replacement, WR Brandon Aiyuk with 1,192 yards. RB Eno Benjamin also posted a respectabe 1,083 yards when they did run the ball. Defensively, the Sun Devils really struggled against the pass, allowing 270.1 yards in the pass-happy Pac-12, but they were a solid 22nd in the nation against the run at 117.0, and they allowed just 23.1 PPG to rank 41st.

-- The Seminoles rank 65th in total yards per game (403.2), 33rd in passing yards (269.4) and 104th in rushing yards (133.8) with 29.1 PPG to rank 65th. On the defensive side of the ball, the Seminoles were horrific, ranking 99th with 436.0 total yards per game allowed, 120th in passing yards (283.5) and 63rd in rushing yards (152.5) allowed. They coughed up 28.5 PPG to rank 71st in the country.

-- Arizona State is 0-8 ATS in the past eight games as a favorite, and they're 1-6 ATS in the past seven neutral-site battle. They're also 2-8 ATS in the past 10 bowl games, 1-4 ATS in the past five non-conference tilts and 1-4-1 ATS in the past six games overall.

-- Florida State is just 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall, and 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning teams. They're also 0-6 ATS in the past six non-conference games. However, they're 10-2-1 ATS in the past 13 bowl games.

-- The Sun Devils have hit the over in four of the past five games overall, and 8-3 in the past 11 neutral-site battles. The over is also 6-2 in the past eight bowl games for AZ State, while going 9-4 in the past 13 as a favorite.

-- The over has connected in four bowl games in a row for FSU, while going 13-6-1 in their past 20 against winning teams. The over is also 7-1 in the past eight neutral-site games and 18-5 in their past 23 non-ACC games.


Liberty Bowl (ESPN, 3:45 p.m.)

Navy vs. Kansas State

-- The Autozone Liberty Bowl features a battle between the Navy Midshipmen (10-2 straight up, 9-3 against the spread) from the American Athletic Conference battling the Kansas State Wildcats (8-4 straight-up, 9-3 against the spread) from the Big 12 Conference at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tenn.

-- Navy heads into this one on the heels of their 10th victory of the season Dec. 14, topping rival Army in their annual battle by a 31-7 score. It was their third straight win and cover since getting pounded 52-20 at Nore Dame on Nov. 16. Their only other loss, oddly enough, was in this stadium back on Sept. 26 when the Middies fell to Memphis in their first AAC road game. They managed a 3-2 ATS mark in their five true road games this season.

-- Kansas State opened with three victories, but then they slipped against Oklahoma State and Baylor to fall to 3-2 SU/ATS. They rebounded with wins against TCU, Oklahoma and Kansas, and they were a 23.5-point underdog in that game against the Sooners at home. They were dumped by Texas and West Virginia, but finished up strong with wins over Texas Tech and a good Iowa State team, ending up 6-2 ATS in the final eight outings.

-- Navy's bowl history dates all the way back to 1924, when they tied Washington 14-14 in the Rose Bowl. It hasn't been quite as long since they were in the Liberty Bowl, but it's been a while. They fell to Ohio State by a 31-28 score in the Liberty Bowl in their final bowl under George Welsh on Dec. 30, 1981. While they'll now play Navy on a fairly regular basis in the AAC, they still don't have a long history at the stadium. The Middies are 4-1 SU across the past five bowl appearances under Ken Niumatalolo. The last time they faced a Big 12 team in a bowl game, they faced Missouri (then in the Big 12) in the Texas Bowl by a 35-13 score on Dec. 31, 2009. They also lost to Texas Tech in 2003 in the Houston Bowl, so officially they're 0-2 SU vs. Big 12 in bowl season.

-- K-State has appeared in 21 bowl games in school history. They're currently on a two-game winning streak, and they have never won three straight bowl appearances in school history. This will also be their first appearance against an AAC team. This will also be their first bowl appearance under Chris Klieman, and just the third in their history without Bill Snyder at the helm. The Wildcats appeared in the Liberty Bowl on Jan. 2, 2016, falling to Arkansas by a 45-23 score.

-- The Midshipmen are 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 games overall, including 4-0 ATS in the past four as a favorite. They're also 3-1-1 ATS in the past non-conference tilts, and 5-0 ATS in the past five bowl appearances.

-- The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in the past seven games overall, and 4-0 ATS in the past four against winning teams. They're also 4-0 ATS in the past four outside of the conference, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four in the month of December.

-- However, K-State is 3-7 ATS in the past 10 bowl games, and they're 1-5 ATS in the past six as a bowl 'dog.

-- Navy is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 games overall, and 4-1 in the past five against winning teams. However, the under is 14-2 in the past 16 neutral-site games as a favorite, with the under hitting in 11 of their past 14 neutral-site games overall. The over is 9-4 in their past 13 bowl games.

-- The under is 5-1 in K-State's past six against winning teams, and 18-7-1 in the past 26 games overall.

 

[Udog]

Monday, December 30


245W MICHIGAN -246 W KENTUCKY
W KENTUCKY is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games vs. good offenses (>425 TYG) since 1992.

249ILLINOIS -250 CALIFORNIA
ILLINOIS are 27-13 Under (12.7 Units) after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

251VIRGINIA -252 FLORIDA
FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.




W MICHIGAN (7 - 5) vs. W KENTUCKY (8 - 4) - 12/30/2019, 12:30:00 P
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ILLINOIS (6 - 6) vs. CALIFORNIA (7 - 5) - 12/30/2019, 4:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 140-177 ATS (-54.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 140-177 ATS (-54.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VIRGINIA (9 - 4) vs. FLORIDA (10 - 2) - 12/30/2019, 8:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
FLORIDA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MISSISSIPPI ST (6 - 6) vs. LOUISVILLE (7 - 5) - 12/30/2019, 4:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Western Kentucky @ Western Michigan
Western Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Western Michigan is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games

California @ Illinois
California
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of California's last 21 games
Illinois
Illinois is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Illinois is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Mississippi State @ Louisville
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 7 games
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games
Louisville is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games

Florida @ Virginia
Florida
Florida is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games
Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games




Dec 30 First Responder Bowl- Dallas
Western Kentucky won its last three games, scoring 34.7 ppg; Hilltoppers are 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as a favorite, 2-1 TY. WKU is -10 in turnovers in its losses, +5 in their wins. Four of their last five games went over the total. WKU won three of its last four bowls, with average total 69.6 in last five. Western Michigan won three of its last four home games after a 4-4 start; they’re they’re 7-1 when they score 31+ points, 0-4 when they don’t. Broncos lost four of last five bowls, scoring 16-18 points in losing last two. WMU is 4-8 ATS in last dozen games as an underdog, 1-3 TY. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Favorites covered this bowl four of last five times, with average total of 59.8- this bowl was cancelled LY (weather).

Music City Bowl, Nashville
Mississippi State won three of its last four games after a 3-5 start; they’re 9-7 ATS in last 16 games as a single digit favorite, 2-2 TY. State is 6-2 when it res ball for 200+ TY, 0-4 when they don’t. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Bulldogs won three of last four bowls, last three of which were all decided by 5 or fewer points- average total in their last five bowls: 60.6. Louisville is 7-0 when it scores 28+ points, 0-5 when it doesn’t; they allowed 449+ TY in five of last seven games, lost three of their last four bowls, scoring average of 19.3 ppg. Six of their last eight games overall went over. Cardinals are 4-11 ATS in last 15 games as an underdog, 3-4 TY. Favorites covered this bowl five of last seven years, with average total of 58.6 the last five years.

Redbox Bowl, Santa Clara
Illinois lost its last two games, scoring 10-10 points; they’re in bowl for first time in five years. Illini covered six of seven games as an underdog TY- they’re 6-1 when they gain 300+ TY, 0-5 when they don’t. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Favorites covered four of Illinois’ last five bowl games. California won three of its last four games (over 3-1) after a 4-4 start; they’re 1-7-1 ATS in last nine games as a favorite, 0-3 TY. Cal is 0-5 when it scores 17 or fewer points, 7-0 when they score more. Three of their last four games went over. Cal is bowling in consecutive years for first time in a decade; they lost three of last four bowls, with average total of 49.2 in last five. Underdogs covered this bowl the last four years; average total last five years is 53.6.

Orange Bowl, Miami
Florida won its last three games, scoring 39.7 ppg, throwing for 378.7 ypg; they covered seven of last eight as a double digit favorite, 3-0 TY. Four of their last six games went over. Junior QB Trask stepped in for injured starter Franks, threw 24 TD’s TY. Gators won three of last four bowls, with average total of 48.2 in last five. Mullen is 6-2 in bowls in his career. Virginia won four of its last five games, losing ACC title game 62-17 to Clemson; Cavaliers allowed 337.7 passing yards/game in last three games. Cavaliers lost three of last four bowls- they gave up 31+ points in four of last five. Under Mendenhall, Virginia is 4-7 ATS as a double digit underdog. Underdogs covered six of last eight Orange Bowls; average total in last five Orange Bowls is 68.7.




Western Kentucky @ Western Michigan

Game 245-246
December 30, 2019 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
84.186
Western Michigan
77.971
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 6
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 3
52
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(-3); Over

Mississippi St @ Louisville

Game 281-282
December 30, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi St
92.348
Louisville
84.734
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 7 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 4
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(-4); Over

California @ Illinois

Game 249-250
December 30, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
California
91.914
Illinois
82.798
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
California
by 9
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
California
by 6 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
California
(-6 1/2); Under

Florida @ Virginia

Game 251-252
December 30, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
109.993
Virginia
93.367
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 16 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 14
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-14); Under

 

[Udog]

Tuesday, December 31


255FLORIDA ST -256 ARIZONA ST
FLORIDA ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when the total is 49.5-56 in the last 3 seasons.

257KANSAS ST -258 NAVY
NAVY is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) as a favorite in the current season.

261TEXAS -262 UTAH
TEXAS are 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.

285KENTUCKY -286 VIRGINIA TECH
KENTUCKY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.




FLORIDA ST (6 - 6) vs. ARIZONA ST (7 - 5) - 12/31/2019, 2:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS ST (8 - 4) vs. NAVY (9 - 2) - 12/31/2019, 3:45:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 181-134 ATS (+33.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 181-134 ATS (+33.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 81-46 ATS (+30.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 178-141 ATS (+22.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 178-141 ATS (+22.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 76-49 ATS (+22.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA ST (7 - 5) vs. WYOMING (7 - 5) - 12/31/2019, 4:30:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (7 - 5) vs. UTAH (11 - 2) - 12/31/2019, 7:30:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) on a neutral field where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
UTAH is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
UTAH is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
UTAH is 64-39 ATS (+21.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
UTAH is 47-25 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (7 - 5) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (8 - 4) - 12/31/2019, 12:00:00 P
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Virginia Tech @ Kentucky
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games
Kentucky
Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Kentucky is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Florida State @ Arizona State
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida State's last 9 games
Florida State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games
Arizona State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

Navy @ Kansas State
Navy
Navy is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Navy is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games
Kansas State
Kansas State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas State's last 5 games

Georgia State @ Wyoming
Georgia State
Georgia State is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
Georgia State is 7-12-4 ATS in its last 23 games
Wyoming
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 5 games
Wyoming is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games

Utah @ Texas
Utah
Utah is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Texas
Texas is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games




Dec 31- Belk Bowl, Charlotte
Virginia Tech won three of last four games, covered five of last six; they’re 4-6 ATS in last ten games as a single digit favorite, 2-3 TY. Four of their last five games went under total. Hokies lost their last two bowls; their last bowl win was here, three years ago. Average total in their last five bowls: 70.8. Kentucky won four of last six DI games, running ball for 918 yards in last two; Wildcats are 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a single digit underdog, 2-2 TY- their last three games went over the total. Wildcats lost four of its last five bowls, with last two decided by total of four points. Favorites won seven of last eight Belk Bowls (6-1-1 vs spread), with average total of 60.5 in last six; ACC teams are 5-3 SU in last eight Belk Bowls.

Sun Bowl, El Paso
Florida State scored 31+ points in all six of its wins; they’re 0-5 scoring less than 31. Seminoles are 3-8-1 ATS in last dozen games as an underdog, 1-2-1 TY. FSU won three of last five bowls, scoring 33-42 points in last two- they didn’t go to a bowl LY, part of why they’ll have a new coach next year.. Six of their last eight games went under the total. Arizona State went 7-5 TY despite a 4-game skid near end of year; under Edwards, Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS as a single digit favorite. Four of their last five games went over. ASU plays a true freshman QB; they lost last three bowls and four of last five, giving up 38.8 ppg. Favorites won last five Sun Bowls, going 2-2-1 ATS, wth an average total of 51.8.

Liberty Bowl, Memphis
Navy won four of its last five bowls, covering last two tries when favored, scoring 44-45-49 points in last three. Middies won eight of their last nine games, with loss to Notre Dame; they ran ball for 375 yards in seven of their last eight games- they’re 22-13 ATS in last 35 games as a favorite, 6-1 TY. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Kansas State went 5-4 in Big X this year, they’re 5-1 ATS as a single digit underdog TY, after being 1-6 the previous four years. Under is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Wildcats won last two bowls but stayed home LY; they scored 31+ points in four of last five bowls, with favorites covering four of those five games. Underdogs won four of last five Liberty Bowls SU, with average total of 63.2.

Arizona Bowl, Tucson
Wyoming lost three of last four games (scoring 15.3 ppg) after a 6-2 start; they’re 8-2 ATS in last ten games as a favorite, 4-1 TY. Wyoming completed fewer than 10 passes in eight games TY- they were held under 200 RY in last four games. Cowboys’ last six games went under the total. Wyoming won three of last five bowls, winning twice as a double digit dog; average total in their last five bowls: 51.2. Georgia State lost three of last four games after a 6-2 start; they’re 4-3 ATS as an underdog TY, after being 4-8-3 the previous two years. Panthers split their only two bowls, in ’15, ’17. Mountain West teams won three of four Arizona Bowls, three of which were decided by 6 or fewer points. Average total in those four games: 48.

Alamo Bowl, San Antonio
Utah was KO’d from national title hunt when Oregon smoked them in Pac-12 title game; whats their motivation here? Utah scored 30+ points in 10 of their 11 wins; they’re 1-2 scoring less than 30. Utes are 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a single digit favorite, 3-2 TY. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Texas lost four of last seven games after a 4-1 start; Longhorns allowed 435+ TY in seven of their nine conference games. Texas is 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog, 3-2 TY. Three of their last four games went under. Underdogs are 3-0-2 ATS in last five Alamo Bowls; this bowl was a push the last two years. Big X team won this game three of last four years; average total in last five Alamo bowls, 67.8.




Virginia Tech @ Kentucky

Game 285-286
December 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
99.636
Kentucky
94.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 5 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 2 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-2 1/2); Over

Arizona State @ Florida State

Game 255-256
December 31, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona State
89.973
Florida State
88.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 1 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 4 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(+4 1/2); Over

Navy @ Kansas State

Game 257-258
December 31, 2019 @ 3:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
94.323
Kansas State
98.647
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 4 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas State
by 2 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(+2 1/2); Over

Wyoming @ Georgia State

Game 259-260
December 31, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
83.113
Georgia State
70.632
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 12 1/2
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wyoming
by 7
49
Dunkel Pick:
Wyoming
(-7); Under

Utah @ Texas

Game 261-262
December 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
107.989
Texas
97.973
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 10
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7
55
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-7); Under

 

[Udog]

Wednesday, January 1



263MICHIGAN -264 ALABAMA
ALABAMA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after gaining 450 or more total yards in 5 consecutive games since 1992.

267WISCONSIN -268 OREGON
OREGON is 20-3 ATS (16.7 Units) in road games after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half since 1992.

269BAYLOR -270 GEORGIA
GEORGIA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after an ATS loss over the last 2 seasons.

269BAYLOR -270 GEORGIA
BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after 2 conference games over the last 2 seasons.




MICHIGAN (9 - 3) vs. ALABAMA (10 - 2) - 1/1/2020, 1:00:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (10 - 2) vs. AUBURN (9 - 3) - 1/1/2020, 1:00:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (10 - 3) vs. OREGON (11 - 2) - 1/1/2020, 5:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 48-24 ATS (+21.6 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OREGON is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
OREGON is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (11 - 2) vs. GEORGIA (11 - 2) - 1/1/2020, 8:45:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
GEORGIA is 34-13 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Michigan @ Alabama
Michigan
Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama
Alabama is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

Minnesota @ Auburn
Minnesota
Minnesota is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games
Auburn is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

Oregon @ Wisconsin
Oregon
Oregon is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 7 games
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games

Georgia @ Baylor
Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia's last 8 games
Georgia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Baylor is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games




Jan 1- Citrus Bowl, Orlando
Alabama is out of national playoff for first time in six years; they’re playing with a backup QB. Crimson Tide scored 45 points at Auburn with the backup playing, turning ball over three times. Bama lost two of last three I-A games (46-41/48-45); they scored 35+ points in every game TY. Three of their last four games went over. In their last three games, Michigan threw ball for 1,055 yards, ran it for 271. Wolverines scored 38+ points in seven of their nine wins; they’re 2-3 scoring less than 38. Wolverines are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games as an underdog, 1-2 TY. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Michigan lost its last three bowls, giving up 33.3 ppg; their last bowl win was here, four years ago. Underdogs won last two Sugar Bowls; average total in last five: 45.

Outback Bowl, Tampa
Minnesota lost two of last three games after starting season 9-0; Gophers allowed less than 300 yards in their last six wins, 518/453 in their two losses- under Fleck, they’re 8-9-1 ATS as an underdog, 2-2 TY. Five of their last six games went over. Minnesota won its last three bowls, allowing 12 ppg, but they’re moving little bit up bowl ladder here; average total in their last five bowls, 39.2. Last nine times Auburn beat Alabama, they went 6-3 ATS in their bowl that year; they lost three of last five bowls, but crushed Purdue 63-14 LY. Auburn lost this bowl 34-31 to Wisconsin in ’14. Tigers are 10-12-2 ATS in last 24 games as a favorite, 4-2 TY. Four of their last five games went under. Dogs covered three of last five Outback Bowls, with average total, 48.6.

Rose Bowl, Pasadena
Wisconsin won four of its last five games, losing 34-21 to Ohio State in the Big 14 title game. Badgers scored 24+ points in their wins, 23 or less in their three losses; they’re 11-5 ATS in last 16 games as a single digit favorite, 3-1 TY. Four of their last five games went over. Wisconsin won its last five bowls (average total 49); they were underdog in three of them. Oregon won 11 of last 12 games; they’re 4-12-1 ATS in last 17 games as an underdog, 1-1 TY. Four of their last five games went over. Ducks lost three of last four bowls, winning Redbox Bowl 7-6 LY; average total in their last five bowls: 61.6. Favorites are 3-2 ATS in last five Rose Bowls, last three of which were decided by 5 or fewer points or in OT. Average total in last five Rose Bowls: 78.8.

Sugar Bowl, New Orleans
Baylor split last four games after a 9-0 start, with both losses to Oklahoma; Bears covered seven of last nine games as an underdog, 4-0 TY. Bears are 4-2 TY in games decided by seven or fewer points. Baylor won its last three bowls, all as an underdog; dogs covered their last five bowls, with average total: 78. Georgia is 11-2 TY, but was held under 300 TY in three of last four games; they completed only 48% of passes in their last three games. Georgia is 17-7 ATS in last 24 games as a single digit favorite (2-0 TY). Seven of their last eight games stayed under the total. Dawgs lost their last two bowls; two of their last three bowls went to OT. Favorites covered three of last four Sugar Bowls; average total in this game the last five years: 55.6.




Michigan @ Alabama

Game 263-264
January 1, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
105.876
Alabama
114.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 9
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 7
59
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-7); Under

Minnesota @ Auburn

Game 265-266
January 1, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
98.560
Auburn
109.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 10 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 7
53
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(-7); Under

Wisconsin @ Oregon

Game 267-268
January 1, 2020 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin
107.920
Oregon
108.360
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 1
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 2 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
(+2 1/2); Over

Baylor @ Georgia

Game 269-270
January 1, 2020 @ 8:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
106.027
Georgia
109.958
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 4
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 7
41
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(+7); Over

 

[CNOTES]

Happy New Year All............First i'd like to thank UDOG for posting while am on vacation. I have some time this morning before the day gets hectic....
Here is my post for today's College Bowl Games.


MONDAY, DECEMBER 30
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MSST at LOU 04:00 PM
LOU +4.5
U 64.0


CAL at ILL 04:00 PM
CAL -6.5
U 42.0


FLA at UVA 08:00 PM
FLA -14.5
U 55.0

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday, December 31
Game
Time(ET)
Pick
Units

VT at UK
12:00 PM
VT -3.0
O 47.0

ASU at FSU
02:00 PM
ASU -5.5
U 56.0

NAVY at KSU
03:45 PM
KSU -1.0
U 53.0

WYO at GSU
04:30 PM
WYO -7.0
U 49.0

UTAH at TEX
07:30 PM
UTAH -7.0
U 54.0

 

[indiana]

C/Note......BOL with all your action the rest of the Bowl Season buddy...……

you and your family have a great and prosperous New Year...…..indy

 

[Udog]

Thursday, January 2


271BOSTON COLLEGE -272 CINCINNATI
BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5-10 over the last 2 seasons.




BOSTON COLLEGE (6 - 6) vs. CINCINNATI (10 - 3) - 1/2/2020, 3:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (7 - 5) vs. INDIANA (8 - 4) - 1/2/2020, 7:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
INDIANA is 84-114 ATS (-41.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Boston College @ Cincinnati
Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College's last 7 games
Boston College is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

Indiana @ Tennessee
Indiana
Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Indiana is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games




Jan 2- Birmingham Bowl
Boston College went 6-6, fired its coach, but here they are; Eagles completed only 18-40 passes for 186 yards in last two games. Last four years, BC is 14-2 ATS as a single digit underdog, 6-0 TY. Five of their las seven games went over the total. BC lost three of last four bowls (average total 58.8); their bowl LY was cancelled in first quarter due to terrible weather. Cincinnati lost twice to Memphis after a 10-1 start; Bearcats are 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a favorite, 5-4 TY— their last five games went under. Cincinnati lost three of last five bowls, and allowed 34-31 points in the wins; they split last four bowls with ACC teams. AAC teams are 2-3 SU in this bowl last five years, with average total, 63.4. Favorites covered three of the five games.

Gator Bowl, Jacksonville
First bowl in three years for Indiana squad that lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win was in 1991. Hoosiers lost two of last three games overall after a 7-2 start; they gave up 80 points, 1,042 TY in their last two games. Indiana is 3-2 ATS as an underdog TY. Four of their last six games went over. Tennessee won its last five games after a 2-5 start, giving up 14.2 ppg during their run; Vols are 7-15 ATS in last 22 games as a favorite, 2-3 TY. Six of their last seven games went under. First bowl in three years for Tennessee squad that won its last three bowls, scoring 42.7 ppg. Favorites covered four of last five Gator Bowls, wth average total, 57.6. SEC teams won three of last four visits to this bowl; Tennessee won this game five years ago.




Boston College @ Cincinnati

Game 271-272
January 2, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
84.937
Cincinnati
93.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 8 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 7
55
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-7); Over

Indiana @ Tennessee

Game 287-288
January 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
91.498
Tennessee
95.603
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 4
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-1 1/2); Under

 

[Udog]

Wednesday's Bowl Tip Sheet
Joe Williams

Citrus Bowl (ABC, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Michigan vs. Alabama

-- The Michigan Wolverines (9-3 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) from the Big Ten Conference will ring in the new year with the Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) from the Southeastern Conference in the VRBO Citrus Bowl in Orlando, Fla. at Camping World Stadium.

-- Michigan regitered a few nice victories during the season, including wins over bowl teams Iowa, Illinois, Michigan State and Indiana, as well as a 45-14 whitewashing of Notre Dame back on Oct. 26. However, they also showed how far away they are from the College Football Playoffs, as they were blown out 35-14 at Wisconsin on Sept. 21, and 56-27 in the season finale on their home field against rival Ohio State, while also slipping 28-21 at Penn State on Oct. 19. That blowout loss to the Buckeyes snapped a 5-0 ATS run from Oct. 19-Nov. 23. They also closed on a 3-0 'over' streak, and 6-1 run in the final seven.

-- Alabama is a perennial national championship contender, and anything less than an appearance in the playoffs is viewed as a huge disappointment. That's where the Crimson Tide appeared to be rolling, even after a 46-41 loss to LSU on Nov. 9. Certainly the Tide gave the Tigers their biggest test of the season. However, that made the road to the CFP much more difficult since a trip to the SEC Championship Game was off the table, and a 48-45 loss at Auburn in the finale blocked the road completely. They ended up just 2-2 ATS in the final four, and 5-6 ATS in their final 11 of the season.

-- Each of these teams obviously have long and extensive bowl histories. The Wolverines have enjoyed their previous appearances in Orlando, as Jim Harbaugh's group squeezed Florida 41-7 in the Citrus Bowl on Jan. 1, 2016. They also topped Florida 41-35 when the bowl was called the Capital One Bowl on Jan. 1, 2008. They made back-to-back appearances in this bowl in 2001 and 2002, topping Auburn and losing to Tennessee in 2002. They topped Arkansas 45-31 on Jan. 1, 1999, too.

-- These teams have met a handful of times during bowl season. The last time was a duel between the Tide's RB Shaun Alexander and the Wolverines with QB Tom Brady. The result was a 35-34 win by Michigan in overtime as a result of a missed extra point. They also met in the Outback Bowl, with the Tide coming out on top by a 17-14 score on Jan. 1, 1997, while the Wolverines won the Hall of Fame Bowl (now Outback) on Jan. 1, 1988 by a 28-24 margin. So Alabama will be looking to even the all-time ledger in bowl games at 2-2.

-- Alabama ranked seventh in total yards with 513.5 per game, while checking in third in passing yards per game at 343.5. They weren't particularly special rushing the football, ranking 57th with 170.0 yards per game, but they were second in the country with 48.3 PPG. Defensively they were solid as usual, ranking 17th in total yards (318.8), 10th in passing yards (183.4) and 36th in rushing yards (135.3) allowed while yielding 18.8 PPG to rank 15th.

-- Of course, QB Tua Tagovailoa (hip) was under center for a majority of that time. He will skip this bowl game, and it will be QB Mac Jones leading the way. The team will be without CB Trevon Diggs and LB Terrell Lewis, who elected to skip the game to prepare for the NFL Draft, but projected first-rounders WRs Henry Ruggs III, Jerry Jeudy and DeVonta Smith will also suit up for Nick Saban's group.

-- Michigan wasn't quite as dangerous on offense, ranking an average 68th in total yards (402.7), while ending up 50th in passing yards (252.3) and rushing yards (150.3), while scoring 33.0 PPG to check in 38th. Defensively, they had it on lockdown, ranking seventh in total yards allowed (293.9), while finishing fifth in passing yards (173.8) allowed, 23rd in rushing yards allowed (120.2) and 18th in points allowed (19.5).

-- Michigan hasn't won a neutral-site or road game against an Associated Press Top 15 team in each of the past 19 outings since head coach Lloyd Carr's final game against Florida in the Capital One Bowl on Jan. 1, 2008, 41-35.

-- The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in the past five games against winning teams, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall. However, Michigan is 1-4 ATS in the past five bowl games and 2-8 ATS in the past 10 non-conference tilts.

-- The Tide are just 2-5 ATS in the past seven against winning teams. However, they're 6-1 ATS in the previous seven against Big Ten teams.

-- The over has cashed in four straight bowl games for Michigan, while going 8-0 in their past eight showings against SEC foes. The over is also 12-2 in their past 14 neutral-site games, and 4-0 in the previous four bowl games, too.

-- The over has connected in seven of the past 10 non-conference tilts for Bama, and 12-5 in their past 17 bowl games. The over is also 4-1 in the previous five against teams with a winning overall record.


Outback Bowl (ESPN, 1:00 p.m.)

Minnesota vs. Auburn

-- The Outback Bowl has the Minnesota Golden Gophers (10-2 straight up, 7-4-1 against the spread) from the Big Ten Conference meeting the Auburn Tigers (9-3 straight-up, 9-3 against the spread) from the Southeastern Conference at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.

-- Minnesota surprised this season, and was unbeaten into mid-November while they flirted with the potential of a trip to the College Football Playoffs. However, all of those considerations ended with a 23-19 loss at Iowa, and they also had their doors blown off against Wisconsin, 38-17, losing Paul Bunyan's Axe in the season finale. Losing Floyd of Rosedale and Paul Bunyan's Axe in the same season is likely a huge disappointment to Minnesota despite the double-digit wins.

-- Auburn had a near-playoff experience this season. They kicked off the campaign with a 27-21 win over Oregon on a neutral-site, winning and cover each of their first five. They slipped up 24-13 at Florida on Oct. 5, but remaining in the mix until a 23-20 loss at LSU on Oct. 26. Still, that was an impressive showing, and served notice that they can play with anyone in the land. They also fell 21-14 to Georgia on Nov. 16, but capped off their season with an impressive 48-45 win over Alabama in the season finale to roll into bowl season on a very high note.

-- Minnesota claims seven national championships, including 1904, 1934, 1935, 1936, 1940, 1941 and 1960. The last time they won it all, Dwight D. Eisenhower was president, so yeah, it's been a while, but they have a long and storied football history. However, in that long history they have never faced Auburn on the gridiron, so Wednesday's game will be a first. The Golden Gophers lost seven straight bowl games from 2005 through 2015, but have rattled off three bowl wins in a row over Central Michigan in the Quick Lane Bowl (2015), 17-12 over Washington State in the Holiday Bowl (2016) ad 34-10 over Georgia Tech last season in P.J. Fleck's first bowl, another Quick Lane Bowl victory. This is their first appearance on New Year's Day since losing 33-17 to Missouri in the Citrus Bowl, however, another SEC team. They haven't beaten an SEC team since topping Alabama Dec. 31, 2004 in the Music City Bowl under Glen Mason.

-- The Golden Gophers rank 50th in total yards (426.8) on offense, while ranking 51st in passing yards (251.2). They were also 47th in rushing yards (175.7) while checking in 23rd in points scored (34.3). Defensively the Golden Gophers were very underrated, ranking 14th with 312.8 yards per game, 12th in passing yards allowed (184.9) and 28th in rushing yards allowed (127.9). They also yielded just 22.4 PPG to rank a respectable 35th.

-- The Tigers struggled in the pass game, as freshman QB Bo Nix had some consistency issues. They ranked 51st in total yards (421.4), while ranking just 85th in passing yards (210.1) per contest. They ran well, piling up 211.3 yards, while scoring 34.0 PPG to rank 29th. On defense, they ranked 19th in total yards allowed (323.9), 41st in passing yards (208.4) per game and 20th in rushing yards (115.5) yielded, while coughing up just 18.6 PPG to rank 13th.

-- The Golden Gophers covered seven of the past nine games overall, while going 6-2 ATS in the past eight games as an underdog. They were 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine non-conference tilts, too.

-- The Tigers are 10-3 ATS in the past 13 games overall, while cashing in five of the previous seven against winning teams. They're also an impressive 6-0 ATS in the past six non-conference battles, while connecting in 10 of the past 12 games as a favorite.

-- The over has hit in five of the past six overall for the Golden Gophers, although the under is 4-1 in Minnesota's past five neutral-site games and 7-2 in the past nine against winning teams. The under is 13-6 in the past 19 non-conference tilts, too.

-- The under is 7-1-2 in the previous 10 neutral-site battles, 4-1 in the past five games overall and 4-1-1 in the past six bowl outings. The under is also 18-6-2 in the past 26 non-conference battles, while going 24-11-1 in the past 36 against winning sides.

 

[Udog]

Thursday, January 3 - Friday, January 4


275OHIO U -276 NEVADA
NEVADA is 43-26 ATS (14.4 Units) after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

277TULANE -278 SOUTHERN MISS
TULANE is 35-65 ATS (-36.5 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. since 1992.




Friday, January 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO U (6 - 6) vs. NEVADA (7 - 5) - 1/3/2020, 3:30:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, January 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULANE (6 - 6) vs. SOUTHERN MISS (7 - 5) - 1/4/2020, 11:30:00 A
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Friday, January 3

Ohio @ Nevada
Ohio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio's last 7 games
Ohio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Nevada
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 6 games
Nevada is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games

Saturday, January 4

Southern Miss @ Tulane
Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 5 games
Southern Miss is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulane
Tulane
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tulane's last 7 games when playing Southern Miss
Tulane is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games




Jan 3- Idaho Potato Bowl, Boise
Ohio scored 66-52 points in winning its last two games to get to 6-6; they’re 1-4 when they score less than 34 points. Bobcats ran ball for average of 265.8 ypg the last six games- they’re 2-6 ATS this year as a favorite. Bobcats’ last three games went over. Ohio won its last two bowls by combined 68-6; favorites covered four of their last five bowls. Nevada won three of last four games; they were held to 10 or fewer points in 4 of their 5 losses. Wolf Pack four of last five bowls, winning last two by total of 8 points. MAC lost three of last four visits to this bowl; average total in last five Potato Bowls: 61.

Jan 4- Armed Forces Bowl, Fort Worth
First time in five years there isn’t an academy team in this game; these teams haven’t met since 2010. Southern Miss was held to 10-17 points in losing last two games, after a 7-3 start. Eagles are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog, 2-2 TY. Their last five games stayed under. USM is 2-3 in last five bowls (favorites 4-1 ATS). Tulane lost five of last six games after a 5-1 start; Green Wave covered six of seven games as a favorite TY- their last three games went under. Tulane won three of its last four bowls, beating ULL 41-24 LY in their first bowl in five years. Average total in this bowl last five years: 84.8.




Friday, January 3

Ohio @ Nevada

Game 275-276
January 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio
84.467
Nevada
73.128
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 11 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 7 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(-7 1/2); Over

Saturday, January 4

Southern Miss @ Tulane

Game 277-278
January 4, 2020 @ 11:30 am

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
77.860
Tulane
81.636
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulane
by 4
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 7 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(+7 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday, January 1
Game
Time(ET)
Pick
Units

MICH at ALA
01:00 PM
ALA -7.5
O 61.0

MINN at AUB
01:00 PM
AUB -7.0
O 52.5

WIS at ORE
05:00 PM
WIS -3.0
U 52.0

BAY at UGA
08:45 PM
BAY +4.0
O 41.0

 

[Udog]

Thursday's Bowl Tips
Joe Williams

Birmingham Bowl (ESPN, 3:00 p.m. ET)

Boston College vs. Cincinnati

-- The Boston College Eagles (6-6 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) from the Atlantic Coast Conference will take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (10-3 straight up, 8-5 against the spread) from the American Athletic Conference in the TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl at Legion Field in Birmingham, Ala.

-- The Eagles head into this one a mess. Steve Addazio was fired, so interim coach Richie Gunnell will steer the ship for the Eagles in Birmingham. In addition, offensive coordinator Mike Bajakian took the job at Northwestern, so he isn't with the team either. If that wasn't bad enough, ACC rushing leader RB A.J. Dillon has elected to sit out the bowl game to prepare for the NFL Draft and avoid risking an injury. So, needless to say, the .500 Eagles are a bit shorthanded going in.

-- Boston College's bowl history was amazing from the 2000 Aloha Bowl through the 2007 Champs Sports Bowl, as they rattled off eight consecutive postseason wins. That luck dried up in a hurry, however, starting with the 2008 Music City Bowl. They enter play on Thursday with losses in six of their past seven bowl games, with only a 36-30 win in the 2016 Quick Lane Bowl as the exception.

-- The Bearcats registered 10 victories this season, and they are looking for their second straight 11-win season under head coach Luke Fickell. There was some talk about UC being a potential Group of Five representatitve, but Memphis quickly squelched that talk with a 34-24 win in the regular-season finale at the Liberty Bowl, and then a 29-24 loss the following week in the same location against the Tigers in the AAC Championship Game. It's a little surprising that the Bearcats tumbled all the way to Birmingham against a .500 team, but at least they get a chance against a Power Five opponent.

-- Cincinnati did cover those two games against Memphis, at least, although they were 1-4 ATS in the previous five outings. They haven't covered three or more consecutive games since four straight covers from Sept. 14-Oct. 12.

-- Boston College started out 3-1 SU, but they won just once in a four-game stretch from Sept. 28-Oct. 26 to slip to 4-4. They did pick up a huge win at Syracuse, 58-27, to move to the precipice of bowl eligibility on Nov. 2. However, a disappointing loss against Florida State, and a beatdown at Notre Dame put their bowl hopes in jeopardy. They played hard, though, and won outright as nine-point underdogs in Pittsburgh in the regular-season finale.

-- The Bearcats rank just 85th in total offense with 385.0 total yards per game, and 105th in passing yards per contest at 187.4. On the ground, that's their strength, piling up 197.6 yards per game to rank 33rd. RB Michael Warren II rolled up 1,160 yards and 14 touchdowns, so he is the star for UC. Defensively they're just so-so, ranking 52nd in total yards (376.6), 80th in passing yards (233.2), 48th in rushing yards (143.4) and 30th in points (21.7) allowed per game.

-- While BC ranks 26th in total yards per game (450.8), that can be ignored a bit due to the absence of the dynamic Dillon. They ranked sixth in the country on the ground with 267.4 yards per game, but again... They will have to rely on the pass game a little more, and that's where they struggled since QB Anthony Brown (knee) went down with a season-ending injury in mid-October. Defensively, the Eagles were a disaster, ranking 125th in total yards allowed (480.3), 126th in passing yards (299.6) and 96th in points allowed (31.7).

-- Boston College heads in 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 as an underdog, and 3-1-1 ATS in the past five neutral-site games. However, they're 1-5 ATS in the previous six non-conference battles and 2-7 ATS in their past nine bowl outings.

-- Cincinnati has failed to cover in four consecutive bowl games, and four straight neutral-site contests.

-- The over has hit in five of the past seven games overall for BC, and seven of their previous 10 non-conference tilts. The over is also 4-0 in the past four bowl games.

-- The over has connected in five of the past seven bowl games for UC, while going 5-2 in their past seven vs. ACC foes. However, the under is 4-1 in the past five as a favorite, and 39-19-1 in the previous 59 overall.


Gator Bowl (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)

Indiana vs. Tennessee

-- The TaxSlayer Gator Bowl has the Indiana Hoosiers (8-4 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) from the Big Ten Conference meeting the Tennessee Volunteers (7-5 straight-up, 7-5 against the spread) from the Southeastern Conference at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Fla.

-- Indiana won eight games, and it seems like they did so rather quietly. Not many people talked about them, but here they are in a prominent bowl game in primetime against a Power 5 team. The Hoosiers were dusted 51-10 by Ohio State at 'The Rock' on Sept. 14, and they fell at Michigan State 40-31 on Sept. 28. Perhaps the reason no one is talking about the Hoosiers is because they won the games they were supposed to, and fell against teams they were supposed to lose against. In fact, they were 8-0 SU/5-3 ATS in eight games against non-bowl teams, and 0-4 SU/2-2 ATS in their four outings against bowl teams.

-- Tennessee stumbled out of the chute with a 38-30 loss at home against Georgia State in their season opener, falling straight-up as a 24.5-point favorite. That had the natives calling for Jeremy Pruitt's head, and it didn't simmer down after a miraculous comeback by BYU in Knoxville on Sept. 7, and an eventual 29-26 loss in overtime for the Vols. They were 0-2 SU/ATS. They beat the brakes off of FCS Chattanooga, 45-0, on Sept. 14, but no one was satisfied. They followed that win with a 31-point loss at Florida and a 29-point loss at Georgia, slipping to 1-4 SU/ATS, and the hot seat was turned up to lava intensity for Pruitt. But a strange thing happened on Oct. 12 against Mississippi State. The Vols won 20-10, perhaps saving their season as five-point 'dogs. They fell, rather expectedly, at Alabama by a 35-13 score, but they put up a pretty solid effort and covered. They used that momentum to springboard into wins over South Carolina and UAB. In fact, since that Bama loss on the 19th of October, the Power T hasn't lost since. They topped rival Kentucky on the road, won at Missouri and ended up with a resounding 28-10 win over rival Vanderbilt. Is Tennessee now 'back'? Well, they're 3-5 SU in eight games against bowl teams, but they do come in on a five-game heater.

-- Tennessee's bowl history goes all the way back to the Orange Bowl in 1939 - and 1931, if you include the New York Charity Game against New York University, which is considered a bowl game by some. They have won three straight bowl games, including a trip to Jacksonville and a win over Iowa, 45-28, back on Jan. 2, 2015. They have appeared in this game five total times, but four of the trips came from 1957-1973. They're 3-2 SU all-time in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl.

-- Indiana's bowl history isn't as extensive, and their success is even shorter. They haven't won a postseason game since the 1991 Copper Bowl when they blanked Baylor 24-0. This will be their first-ever appearance in the Gator. In fact, this is their first-ever appearance in a bowl game in the state of Florida, which is rather surprising given the conference's long-time tie-ins with the Outback (Hall of Fame), Citrus (CapitalOne), Gator (TaxSlayer) Bowls, etc.

-- The Vols ranked 100th in total yards (365.0), 77th in passing yards (220.0) and 88th in rushing yards (145.0) per game while posting 24.3 PPG to check in 97th. Defensively, the Vols were pretty nasty despite a difficult schedule, ranking 28th in total yards allowed (337.1), 17th in passing yards (191.3) and 29th in points (21.7) allowed per game.

-- The Hoosiers ranked 31st in total yards on offense (444.0), 13th in passing yards (308.7) and 41st in points scored (32.6). They struggled on the ground, however, ranking 100th in the nation with 135.3 yards per game. They lost QB Michael Penix Jr. (collarbone) to a collarbone early in early November, and that forced QB Peyton Ramsey into action. He had 2,227 passing yards to end up leading the Hoosiers.

-- Indiana leading rusher Stevie Scott III posted 845 yards and 10 touchdowns, but he is a question mark for this game with a leg ailment. Backup RB Sampson James is also on the injury report, questionable due to an ankle injury. The Hoosiers were led in the receiving game by WR Whop Philyor, who cracked 1,000 yards.

-- The Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record, but they're just 1-5 ATS in the past six neutral-site battles.

-- The Volunteers are 6-1 ATS in the past seven games overall, but 4-10 ATS in the past 14 as a favorite. They're also 6-2 ATS in the previous eight neutral-site game battles.

-- The over is 5-1 in the past six for Indiana, and 5-0 in their past five as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in their past five non-conference tilts, though.

-- The under hit in the final four for the Vols, but the over is 5-0 in their past five bowl games and 9-1 in the past 10 neutral-site affairs.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday, January 2
Game
Time(ET)
Pick
Units
BC at CIN
03:00 PM
BC +7.5
U 53.5
IND at TENN
07:00 PM
IND +3.5
O 54.5

 

[Udog]

Potato Bowl Preview
Joe Williams

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Ohio vs. Nevada

-- The Ohio Bobcats (6-6 straight up, 4-8 against the spread) from the Mid-American Conference will battle the Nevada Wolf Pack (7-5 straight up, 5- against the spread) from the American Athletic Conference in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho.

-- The Bobcats have won their past two bowl game appearances, including last season's 27-0 win over San Diego State, a Mountain West team, at the Frisco Bowl. They also won their only previous appearance in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, a narrow 24-23 win over Utah State on Dec. 17, 2011.

-- Nevada won their bowl appearance last season, too, topping Arkansas State 16-13 in the Arizona Bowl, and like Ohio, they have also won each of their past two postseason appearances. They haven't played in Boise for a bowl game since Dec. 30, 2008, a 42-35 loss to Maryland when the game was called the Humanitarian Bowl. They also lost by one point, 21-20, to Miami (Fla.) on Dec. 31, 2006 when the game was sponsored by MPC Computers.

-- Ohio heads into this game ranked 33rd in total yards (443.3), 72nd in passing yards (226.8) and 22nd in rushing yards (216.5) while checking in 20th with 34.7 points per game. Defensively, the Bobcats allowed 401.7 total yards per game to end up 76th in the nation, they were 62nd against the pass (223.8) and 82nd against the run (177.9) while yielding 27.0 PPG.

-- Nevada ranked just 103rd in the land in total yards per game (360.0), while ending up 62nd in pass (236.5) and 117th in rushing yards (123.5) per outing. They alos posted just 21.3 PPG to finish 111th. Defensively they were so-so, but the stats were skewed due to a pair of blowout losses, a 77-6 setback at Oregon and a 54-3 beating from Hawaii.

-- The Wolf Pack have more issues, too, as S Austin Arnold, CB Daniel Brown (team-high four interceptions) and NT Hausia Sekona were each suspended for this game due to a post-game brawl against UNLV. All three were starters.

-- Ohio is 4-0 ATS in the past four bowl games, and 5-1 ATS in their past six neutral-site affairs. They're also 18-8 ATS in the past 26 non-conference battles. However, the Bobcats are 2-7 ATS in the previous nine as a favorite.

-- Nevada is 3-1-1 ATS in the previous five bowl games, and they're 3-0-1 ATS in the past four neutral-site games as an underdog.

-- The over is 5-2 in the past seven overall for Ohio, while going 11-4 in their past 15 non-conference games. The over is also 5-2 in the past seven against winning teams, while going 5-1 in the past six as a favorite.

-- The over is 5-2 in Nevada's past seven non-conference tilts, but the under is 6-1 in their past seven bowl games and 7-3 in the past 10 as an underdog.

 

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY, JANUARY 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


OHIO at NEV 03:30 PM


NEV +9.5


O 60.5

 

[Udog]

Armed Forces Bowl Preview
Joe Williams

Armed Forces Bowl (ESPN, 11:30 a.m. ET)

Southern Miss vs. Tulane

-- The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-5 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) from Conference USA will battle the Tulane Green Wave (6-6 straight up, 8-4 against the spread) from the American Athletic Conference in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Tex.

-- The Golden Eagles had five losses this season, but two of them came against SEC teams back in September, including a 49-7 shredding by Alabama on Sept. 21. They managed to post wins in five of their first six conference games before suffering losses to C-USA bowl teams Western Kentucky and Florida Atlantic in the final two games, both by 17 or more points.

-- Tulane had a tale of two seasons. They opened the season 5-1 SU/ATS, with only a loss to Auburn by a 24-6 margin, to show for their first six games. However, things went off the rails Oct. 19 in Memphis, losing 47-17, and that touched off a 1-5 SU/3-3 ATS run to finish off the regular season. However, three of those losses were one-possession games, including a pair of three-point losses to Navy and UCF, two bowl teams.

-- Southern Miss has been to 26 total bowls, and the history has been mixed lately. They were crushed 42-13 by Florida State at the Independence Bowl on Dec. 27, 2017 in their most recent showing. These teams are relative neighbors, but they have never been together in a bowl game before. It is the first appearance in the Armed Forces Bowl for the Golden Eagles, although they've played four previous bowl games in the state of Texas. Those didn't go well, as they were 0-4 SU in those games.

-- Tulane has appeared in 13 previous bowl games, and they were 2-7 SU in the first nine. However, they're 3-1 SU in their past four. They have appeared in a bowl game just once, falling in the Bluebonnet Bowl Dec. 29, 1973 by a 47-7 score against Houston in the Astrodome.

-- The Green Wave offense ranked 24th in the nation with 456.8 total yards per game, and they were 11th in rushing with 251.4 yards per contest. They also scored 33.3 PPG to check in 35th in the country. Defensively they were so-so, allowing 378.9 total yards per game (55th), 214.0 passing yards per game (50th) and 164.9 rushing yards per game (75th). They also allowed 27.4 PPG to rank 65th.

-- The Golden Eagles were 59th in total yards (411.3), while ranking 23rd in passing offense with 288.6 yards. They weren't very good on the ground, posting 122.8 rushing yards per game to rank 118th, and posting just 27.8 PPG to rank 74th. Defensively, they allowed 350.3 total yards per game to rank 36th, and they were 18th against the run (111.8). They yielded just 25.9 PPG to rank 54th in the nation, too.

-- Southern Miss QB Jack Abraham passed for 3,329 yards, while WR Quez Watkins posted 1,024 yards. That's the combination.

-- Tulane RB Corey Dauphine (wrist) is listed as questionable, as is RB Darius Bradwell (foot). Leading rusher Justin McMillan (704 rushing yards, 12 total touchdowns) is good to go, however.

-- Southern Miss is 1-4-1 ATS in their past six bowl games.

-- Tulane is 7-1 ATS in the past eight games as a favorite, while going 8-3 ATS in the past 11 against Conference USA. They're 4-1 ATS in the past five against non-conference teams, and 7-3 ATS in the past 10 overall.

-- USM hit the under in each of their past five overall, while going 9-4-1 in the past 14 non-conference tilts. The over is 5-2 in their past seven bowl games, however.

-- For Tulane, the under is 5-0-1 in their past six against Conference USA foes.

-- In this series, the favorite has cashed in four of the past five meetings, and USM is 4-1 ATS in the previous five clashes. The under is also 6-1 in the past seven in this series.

 

[Udog]

Monday, January 6


279MIAMI OHIO -280 LA LAFAYETTE
MIAMI OHIO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after 2 conference games over the last 2 seasons.




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MIAMI OHIO (8 - 5) vs. LA LAFAYETTE (10 - 3) - 1/6/2020, 7:30:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Louisiana-Lafayette @ Miami-OH
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 8 games
Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 6 games




LA-Lafayette @ Miami of Ohio

Game 279-280
January 6, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
89.839
Miami of Ohio
78.603
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 11
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 14
56
Dunkel Pick:
Miami of Ohio
(+14); Under

 

[Udog]

LendingTree Bowl Preview
Joe Williams

LendingTree Bowl (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Louisiana vs. Miami (Ohio)

-- The Miami-Ohio Redhawks (8-5 straight up, 7-6 against the spread) from the Mid-American Conference (MAC) will square off with the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (10-3 straight up, 9-4 against the spread) from the Sun Belt Conference in the LendingTree Bowl at Ladd-Peebles Stadium in Mobile, Ala.

-- Miami heads into this one after their stunning victory over Central Michigan in the MAC Championship Game. They were underdogs by just 5.5 points, but they entered the game with some injury issues, and CMU was red-hot on offense before that battle in Detroit. Miami has won six of the past seven games overall, and they're 5-2 ATS in the past seven outings. However, against bowl teams this season, Miami is just 3-4 SU/4-3 ATS.

-- The Redhawks do not have an extensive bowl history, but they will still be making their third-ever appearance in Mobile. They're 7-4 SU in their previous 11 bowl appearances, including a 35-21 win over Middle Tennessee on Jan. 6, 2011 in this bowl game, then named the GoDaddy.com Bowl. They also topped Louisville 49-28 on Dec. 18, 2003, when this game was named the GMAC Bowl. This will be Miami's first-ever bowl game appearance against a Sun Belt Conference team.

-- Louisiana (previously known as Louisiana-Lafayette) has made six bowl appearances, with five of those appearances coming in the New Orleans Bowl, with one showing in the Cure Bowl last season. They fell to Tulane by a 41-24 score in that bowl game on Dec. 15, 2018, but they're 4-2 SU in their previous six bowl contests. This will be the first bowl game against a MAC opponent for the Ragin' Cajuns, too.

-- Miami's offense has really struggled this season, although they might have found their quarterback of the future with QB Brett Gabbert, brother of NFL signal Blaine Gabbert. He ended up with 2,163 passing yards to lead the team, while RB Jaylon Bester racked up 689 yards with 12 total touchdowns. Still, they were just 122nd in total yards on offense at 307.4, with 172.8 passing yards (114th), and they posted 134.5 rushing yards per game to rank 102nd. Overall, they posted 24.7 points per game to rank 95th in the nation. Defensively, they were 58th in total yards (380.6), 37th in passing yards (206.4) and 81st in rushing yards (174.2) allowed, while allowing 28.2 PPG to rank 70th.

-- The heavily favored Cajuns had a powerful offense during the season, posting 501.3 total yards per game to rank eighth in the country, and they were seventh in rushing yards with 265.3 yards per game on the ground. The passing was just so-so with 236.0 yards per game to rank 64th. They scored 38.8 points per game to rank 11th in the country. On defense, they were 50th with 373.4 total yards per game, and they were 85th against the run with 179.5 yards per game. They were hard on opposing pass games, allowing just 193.8 yards per game to rank 18th. They also allowed only 19.9 PPG to check in 20th overall.

-- The star for Louisiana is RB Elijah Mitchell, who posted 1,092 yards with 15 touchdowns, while QB Levi Lewis managed 2,804 yards through the air.

-- ULL has posted a 17-7 ATS mark in the past 24 games overall, and they're 10-4 ATS in the past 14 games as a favorite. The Cajuns are also 4-0 ATS in the past four non-conference games, while going 5-2 ATS in the past seven neutral-site battles.

-- The Redhawks have cashed in five of the past seven games overall, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four neutral-site games. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five as an underdog, but they're 2-10 ATS in the past 12 non-conference games.

-- For ULL, the over has connected in 35 of their past 51 non-conference games, while hitting in five of the past six field turf surfaces. The under is 6-2 in their past eight games overall, however, while going 6-1 in the past seven as a favorite. The under is also 4-1 in the past five against teams with a winning record.

-- The under is 5-1 in Miami's past six games overall, and 6-1 in their past seven neutral-site games. The under is 6-1 in the past seven neutral-site games as a 'dog, too, but the over is 4-1 in their past five non-conference battles.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Jan 6- LendingTree Bowl, Mobile, AL
Louisiana won 10 of its last 12 games after an opening loss to Miss State; ULL ran ball for 225+ yards in six of last seven games- they lost Sun Belt title game at App State. Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-2 ATS this year laying double digits; they won 45-25 at Ohio U of MAC TY. ULL lost their last two bowls, after winning first four. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Miami (OH) won six of its last seven games after a 2-4 start; they’re 0-4 ATS this year as a double digit underdog. Five of their last six games went under. Miami is bowling for first time in three years, 2nd time in nine years; they lost three of last five bowls. Underdogs won this bowl three of last four years; average total the last five years: 70.2.