Cnotes 2018 NBA Trends/Stats/Best Bets Thru The Playoffs !

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet


Wednesday, October 17


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MEMPHIS (22 - 60) at INDIANA (51 - 38) - 10/17/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (47 - 42) at CHARLOTTE (36 - 46) - 10/17/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 68-89 ATS (-29.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (45 - 42) at ORLANDO (25 - 57) - 10/17/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 127-96 ATS (+21.4 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
ORLANDO is 69-92 ATS (-32.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-3 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (28 - 54) at DETROIT (39 - 43) - 10/17/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (24 - 58) at NEW YORK (29 - 53) - 10/17/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (62 - 42) at TORONTO (63 - 29) - 10/17/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 41-61 ATS (-26.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 10-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 13-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (53 - 38) at HOUSTON (76 - 23) - 10/17/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-38 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (48 - 39) at SAN ANTONIO (48 - 39) - 10/17/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1047-919 ATS (+36.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 835-711 ATS (+52.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 335-274 ATS (+33.6 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 88-61 ATS (+20.9 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (53 - 40) at SACRAMENTO (27 - 55) - 10/17/2018, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (24 - 58) at PHOENIX (21 - 61) - 10/17/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 412-337 ATS (+41.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 503-424 ATS (+36.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 167-130 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (46 - 36) at LA CLIPPERS (42 - 40) - 10/17/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up


Wednesday, October 17


Not a lot to go on for the first week or so, but I’ll give you the info I’ve got…….


Indiana won three of last four games with Memphis; last three series games went over the total. Grizzlies are 2-3 in last five visits to Indiana, losing last two, 102-92/105-101.


Magic won five of last seven games with Miami; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Road team is 5-3 in last eight series games; Heat split its last four visits to Orlando.


Home side won last five Milwaukee-Charlotte games; Bucks lost last two visits here, both by five points. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.


Pistons won four of last five games with Brooklyn; under is 5-1 in last six series games. Nets lost four of last five visits to the Motor City, with losses by 9-12-1-14 points.


Atlanta won five of last six games with the Knicks; Hawks are 2-3 in last five visits to Manhattan, with losses by 4-10-14 points. Four of last five series games went over.


Cavaliers won last six games with Toronto; they won four of last five visits to Canada, but they had Lebron James then. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.


Rockets won eight of last ten games with New Orleans, but Pelicans covered three of last four; NO lost its last five visits to Houston (2-3 vs spread). Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.


Spurs won nine of last ten games with Minnesota, but are 3-3 vs spread in last six. Wolves lost their last five visits to the Alamo (over 4-1), but covered three of them.


Jazz won its last five games with Sacramento, but Kings covered four of last six series games. Jazz won their last five visits here (3-2 vs spread). Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.


Denver won four of last six games with the Clippers; they split last six series games played here (2-4 vs spread). Three of last four series games went over the total.


Suns won/covered their last five games with Dallas; teams split last four series games played in desert. Six of last nine series games stayed under the total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA


Wednesday, October 17


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Memphis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games
Memphis is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
Memphis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Memphis is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Memphis is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Memphis's last 18 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Indiana is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 12 games at home
Indiana is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Memphis
Indiana is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Indiana is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Memphis
Indiana is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 18 games when playing at home against Memphis




Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 20 of Milwaukee's last 24 games
Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Milwaukee is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing Charlotte
Milwaukee is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Milwaukee is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Charlotte is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Charlotte is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games at home
Charlotte is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Charlotte is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Milwaukee
Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
Charlotte is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Charlotte is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Milwaukee




Miami Heat
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Miami is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Miami's last 15 games on the road
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
Miami is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Orlando
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games when playing Orlando
Miami is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Orlando is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games
Orlando is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Orlando is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games at home
Orlando is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Orlando is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Orlando is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing Miami
Orlando is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami




Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Brooklyn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Brooklyn is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 13 games on the road
Brooklyn is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Detroit
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Brooklyn is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Brooklyn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
Detroit is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
Detroit is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Brooklyn
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Detroit is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Brooklyn




Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Cleveland is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Toronto is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland




Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New York
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
New York Knicks
New York is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
New York is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
New York is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta




New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games
New Orleans is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New Orleans is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of New Orleans's last 23 games when playing Houston
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Rockets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Houston's last 24 games at home
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Houston's last 23 games when playing New Orleans
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans




Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing San Antonio
Minnesota is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Antonio
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Antonio is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
San Antonio is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home
San Antonio is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Antonio's last 13 games at home
San Antonio is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Minnesota
San Antonio is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Minnesota
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota




Utah Jazz
Utah is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games
Utah is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Utah is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Utah is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Utah's last 13 games on the road
Utah is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games at home
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Sacramento is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah




Denver Nuggets
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Denver is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Denver's last 25 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Clippers is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home
LA Clippers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
LA Clippers is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of LA Clippers's last 25 games when playing at home against Denver




Dallas Mavericks
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Dallas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Phoenix
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Phoenix is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Phoenix is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing Dallas
Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Phoenix is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's Essentials
Tony Mejia


Game of the Night - New Orleans at Houston (-7.5/229), ESPN, 8:05 ET


These teams have met twice since DeMarcus Cousins tore his achilles in the closing seconds of a Pelicans’ win late last January, a moment that forever altered the future of New Orleans’ franchise. Losing the All-Star center they envisioned playing next to Anthony Davis into the next decade forced them to go out and acquire Nikola Mirotic, whose ability to spread the floor made for a more efficient brand of ball as Alvin Gentry got the team to play at the faster tempo he prefers, ultimately leading to a playoff berth.


Although they made a lukewarm offer to Cousins, the Pels were ready to move on when he passed on the deal and are excited about adding Julius Randle as a replacement in addition to keeping Mirotic in the fold. Rajon Rondo left for the Lakers, so Elfrid Payton was signed to try and fill the role next to Jrue Holiday so that Gentry always has playmakers on the floor looking to push and feed Davis, who has made no secret of his desire to emerge as MVP this season.


That type of push is possible, especially if the Pelicans can find a way to overcome the Southwest Divisions top team, a Rockets squad that has surpassed the Spurs as the team to beat in what’s been the NBA’s most loaded division over the past two decades. The Northwest is vying for that distinction now, but there’s still plenty of quality for New Orleans to overcome with the Spurs still a factor and the Mavericks and Grizzlies looking improved to start the season. Houston is the team to beat, however, and opens at home looking to bounce back from a demoralizing end to their championship pursuit last May. Had Chris Paul not blown a hamstring in Game 5 of the Western Conference finals, the Rockets probably would’ve opened on Tuesday and hosted a “Ring Night.” Instead, they’ll tip off looking to see this season’s roster take shape given a number of tweaks.


Paul returns alongside reigning MVP James Harden and center Clint Capela, who just missed out on an All-Star spot but signed a five-year, $90 million extension nonetheless. Carmelo Anthony has come on board to serve as the team’s sixth man, making the transition after being unwilling to come off the bench in Oklahoma City, where he wore down over the course of last season, eroding into a liablity come playoffs. James Ennis III will start at small forward alongside holdovers P.J. Tucker and Capela up front, while the departure of standout defenders Trevor Ariza and Luc Mbah a Moute require guys like Michael Carter-Williams and Marquese Chriss to step their games up off the bench. Shooter Brandon Knight is also on board, but will join Chriss and forward Zhou Qi in missing this game due to injury.


New Orleans is healthy, but lost three of four against Houston last season and hasn’t won a season series against its division rival since 2011. The Rockets have scored over 100 points against New Orleans in 13 straight, winning 10 of those matchups outright. Mike D’Antoni and Gentry are great friends who believe in getting up and down the floor, so it’s no surprise to see this total as high as it is, approaching 230. Despite their preference for playing at a fast pace, the ‘over’ was just 2-2 last season.

Memphis at Indiana(-6.5/207), 7:05 p.m. ET: Mike Conley looked sharp this preseason after missing the first 70 games last season due to a torn Achilles, ending the Grizzlies’ realistic chances of contending before they really got started. Losing him so early ended up costing David Fizdale his job after he clashed with Marc Gasol amid all the losing, altering the direction of the franchise. J.B. Bickerstaff ended up being hired as head coach after an interim stint and gets Conley, Gasol and Chandler Parsons back at 100 percent, so there’s optimism that this group can return to playoff contention. No. 4 pick Jaren Jackson, Jr. struggled with foul trouble in exhibitions but only turned 19 last month and is likely to provide rollercoaster rides as he gets acclimated. Although Gasol and Conley can still be one of the top defenders at their positions when they’re right, the Griz no longer employ the “grit and grind” style that delivered results when those two were younger and they had Zach Randolph to play through in the post and Tony Allen to lock people up on the perimeter, so we’ll see how this group adapts over the long haul should everyone stay healthy.


Indiana won’t sneak up on anyone like it did last season when Victor Oladipo emerged as one of the top guards in the East. He’s got all major contributors back around him with the exception of Lance Stephenson. Tyreke Evans should provide an upgrade on the wing after choosing the Pacers among a number of suitors, while shooter Doug McDermott and center Kyle O’Quinn add quality depth to an already deep roster. Thaddeus Young put together 16 points and 10 rebounds in 29 minutes in the preseason tune-up after sitting out most of the last few weeks with a bruised right foot. His opting in to the final year of his contract rivals Evans’ acquisition as the most important move of the offseason. Cory Joseph (Canada) and Bojan Bogdanovic (Croatia) played for national teams this summer so they should be in shape to play key roles in Nate McMillan’s rotation. According to the Indianapolis Star’s J. Michael, the Pacers shot just 32.7 from 3-point range this preseason. Indiana has gone 56-26 at home over the last two seasons and have averaged 135 points in wins over its last two home openers. Myles Turner has played major roles in both wins. He signed an extension to open the week and will play despite an ankle tweak. Indiana swept Memphis last season. The Griz were just 6-35 on the road.

Milwaukee (-2/217) at Charlotte, 7:05 p.m. ET: Former Spurs top assistants Mike Budenholzer and James Borrego debut as head coaches of their new teams. Budenholzer arrives after leaving Atlanta following a five-year run, while Borrego, who had an interim stint in the head seat with the Magic back in 2015, will be in the head seat for his first season opener. Both want to play with pace and will look to push whenever possible, placing movement without the ball and sharing it via the extra pass above all else. The Bucks averaged 124.8 points this preseason, an average aided by one overtime game but nonetheless impressive and indicative of the style Bud wants to employ. Giannis Antetokounmpo led Milwaukee in scoring in all three games he played, averaging 24 points and 11.6 rebounds. He’ll be an MVP candidate this season and has a familiar supporting cast around him, welcoming in center Brook Lopez and forward Ersan Ilyasova to spread the floor. They’ve got John Henson shooting 3s too. We’ll see how that goes.


The Hornets likely need to get off to a good start to avoid being blown up, so it will be interesting to see how they attack this season. There’s an initiative to play Kemba Walker off the ball more, allowing young shooting guards Jeremy Lamb and Malik Monk more freedom. Borrego wants the ball to stick less and is hoping to see Walker thrive without being so ball-dominant. The Charlotte Observer's Rick Bonnell reported that Borrego instituted a 12-second shot clock at practices in an effort to play faster, resulting in the team averaging 118.3 points over their last three preseason games, all wins. The Hornets and Bucks played four times last season, but all games took place by Christmas. Khris Middleton averaged 30.5 points against Charlotte as the teams split 2-2, but with Dwight Howard gone and two new coaches in place, you can’t trust much from last season.

Miami (-2.5/210.5) at Orlando, 7:05 p.m. ET: Florida’s franchises square off after dueling in the preseason nine days ago, playing a sloppy 90-89 game where both teams shot poorly, combining to shoot 30 percent from 3-point range (27-for-56) in Miami. We’ll see if the teams can find the range in Orlando as the Steve Clifford era tips off in Central Florida as the Heat and Magic open up against one another for the third straight year. The teams have split the last two meetings with the Orlando winning last October. Erik Spoelstra opens his 10th season at the helm in Miami and will be facing his sixth Magic head coach in that span, a familiar face who has coached in the Southeast Division for the past five years in Charlotte and was an assistant with Orlando from ’07-’12. Spoelstra’s Heat beat Clifford’s Hornets the first eight times the teams played and went 22-9 against them during his stint in Charlotte, which includes winning the last six.


The Heat have dangled key pieces in an effort to try and pry Jimmy Butler out of Minnesota, so there are few players on the roster who can feel safe outside of team legends Dwyane Wade and Udonis Haslem, each entering their final season with the franchise. Goran Dragic and Josh Richardson have each been a fixture in rumors and should make up the starting backcourt, while Orlando is expected to give D.J. Augustin first crack at point guard ahead of Jerian Grant. He and shooting guard Evan Fournier combined to shoot 3-for-18 (16.7%) in the Oct. 8 exhibition loss. Heat centers Hassan Whiteside and Bam Adebayo will look to make Orlando lottery pick Mo Bamba’s debut a forgettable one when he enters for Nikola Vucevic, who is likely to be moved by the trade deadline. The Heat and Magic split last season’s series after Orlando won three of four in 2016-17, the first season where they managed to win more than they lost against Miami since 2009. Forward James Johnson (hernia) and guard Dion Waiters (ankle) are rout, while wing Justise Winslow (hamstring) is doubtful to play. Dragic (knee) is a go.

Brooklyn at Detroit (-5/212), 7:05 p.m. ET:The Pistons couldn’t pay off opening a new downtown arena with a playoff appearance despite making an in-season trade for Blake Griffin, so Stan Van Gundy was ultimately not retained. Although Michigan head coach John Beilein was a serious candidate, reigning Coach of the Year Dwane Casey was ultimately hired and gets back Reggie Jackson to run the point. Had he not missed 37 games due to an injured ankle last season, Van Gundy may have finished better than 39-43 and wouldn’t have lost his spot. It’s easy to forget that Detroit won 14 of its first 20 last season. Van Gundy made a soft landing at ESPN, while Casey, shown the door by Toronto after failing to get past LeBron James, makes the short trip across the border.


Andre Drummond had a productive preseason but shot just 6-for-21 against Brooklyn when the teams met in Detroit on Oct. 8. Jackson played just 16 minutes and shot 2-for-7 while Griffin scored 17 points in 21 minutes as both saw their first exhibition action, so don’t glean much from that result. D’Angelo Russell did score 25 points in the 110-108 OT win that also saw Caris LeVert flirt with a triple-double. His emergence is a key x-factor for Brooklyn, who hopes he’ll take a step forward alongside Russell. With Rondae Hollis-Jefferson out indefinitely with a hip ailment and Allen Crabbe nursing an ankle injury, the play of LeVert and a heavily bearded Joe Harris will be vital. Backup point guard Shabazz Napier is also likely sidelined. Detroit is healthier, listing only starting SF Stanley Johnson (sore toe) as a question mark. He should play.

Atlanta at New York (-3.5/215), 7:35 p.m. ET: It wouldn’t be surprising to see these teams vying for the No. 1 pick come April, so it’s easy to joke that we could see some tanking early. All kidding aside, both Fizdale and Atlanta’s Lloyd Pierce would love to see their seasons get off to good starts as they begin their respective head-coaching tenures in this opener. Opportunities to win will be few and far between, so don’t expect to see the Knicks favored in too many games until Kristaps Porzingis makes his return after All-Star break, which isn’t necessarily set in stone. Tim Hardaway, Jr. will likely be tasked with being the primary scoring option until the Latvian star returns but comes into this one nursing an ankle injury. He led the team in scoring in New York’s last three preseason games from the wing, while center Enes Kanter and rookie Kevin Knox should also play major roles. Fizdale likes Emmanuel Mudiay’s length and views him as a backcourt fixture, but he will miss tonight’s game with an ankle injury. A neck issue has shooting guard Courtney Lee listed as doubtful, so Trey Burke, Frank Ntilikina and Ron Baker are likely in for extended runs. Lance Thomas will start alongside Knox and Kanter up front and is expected to serve in a glue-guy role.


The Hawks are hoping for big things out of second-year forward John Collins but aren’t going to throw him out there with an ankle that’s less than 100 percent, so he won’t play. Center Dewayne Dedmon (ankle) is also out, so look for former Phoenix lottery pick Alex Len and Miles Plumlee to play the bulk of the minutes inside. Len has extended his range out to the 3-point line and may play a larger role for Atlanta than most expect, but I’d also look for them to go small whenever possible. Rookie point guard Trae Young will get the keys from the jump and looks to get out and run alongside promising forward Taurean Prince and Collins once healthy. 41-year-old Vince Carter will start opposite Kent Bazemore on the wing.

Cleveland at Toronto (-12/214), 7:35 p.m. ET: The post-LeBron James era begins with Cleveland as a double-digit underdog, a role that it hasn’t seen much of over the past few years but could become the norm. Pride figures to go a long way for the Cavs, especially at home, but they could be in a trouble spot here given where the league’s schedule-makers have them opening up. Toronto will have no mercy, especially since it lost six of seven meetings last season, getting swept out of the Eastern Conference semifinals to close out the Casey/DeMar DeRozan era. Point guard Kyle Lowry is among those most bitter about how things ended, but the majority of last year’s team returns intact and will be coached by Nick Nurse, a top assistant who will look to put his own spin on things while preserving continuity.


Kawhi Leonard will debut for the Raptors after being acquired in a package for DeRozan and impressed in the preseason, showing no signs of the injury that caused so much disharmony in San Antonio, ultimately ending his time there. Only guard Delon Wright (thigh) is listed as questionable for a Raptors roster that ranks right up there with the Celtics as the East’s deepest. The Cavs will build around Kevin Love, who was dealing with a sore foot but will play and be the focal point on the offensive end. Larry Nance, Jr. just got extended and will help Tristan Thompson in the paint, while last year’s midseason acquisitions, guards George Hill, Jordan Clarkson and wing Rodney Hood, will all look for increased touches to find more of a comfort zone with James gone. Hood shot poorly in the preseason and is nursing an ankle tweak but should play. Same goes for Nance, while J.R. Smith is doubtful with an elbow injury. Lottery pick Collin Sexton impressed throughout camp but will be tasked with making an impact off the bench to open his career since Ty Lue has decided on Hill as the starting point.

Minnesota at San Antonio (-3/210.5), 8:35 p.m. ET: Neither Popovich nor Tom Thibodeau could’ve had much peace of mind as their head hit the pillow on Tuesday night, which is assuming they managed to sleep at all. It’s hard to imagine guys who are meticulous in their preparation and obsess over every detail can be comfortable with how their seasons are starting, but the moment of truth has arrived following tumultuous offseasons. The Spurs moved on from Leonard and long-time guards Tony Parker (departed via free agency), Manu Ginobili (retirement) and Danny Green (traded) while adding DeRozan and new starting center Jakob Poeltl. Unfortunately, that wasn’t the end of their roster turnover since promising point guard Dejounte Murray (ACL) and rookie wing Lonnie Walker IV (MCL) were lost for the season due to torn ligaments. Derrick White was slated to take over for Murray could potentially miss two months because of a heel injury. The cursed start will lead to shooter Bryn Forbes starting and veteran Patty Mills getting the bulk of the work off the bench for a roster whose depth used to be a major strength. Rudy Gay’s bout with a heel issue went better than White’s, so he’ll be starting next to LaMarcus Aldridge and Poeltl up front. Pau Gasol will come off the bench.


The Timberwolves will bring awkward to new levels since Jimmy Butler is expected to start next to teammates he blew up last week in an effort to get himself dealt out of town. Upset that Karl-Anthony Towns as given a lucrative extension despite flopping in the playoffs, Butler doesn’t feel owner Glen Taylor is invested in his future and will play for Thibodeau only as long as it takes to get his ticket out of town. Count on Butler giving his normal effort out on the floor, but it’s got to be concerning that there’s such little harmony among this group, potentially affecting chemistry. Butler didn’t accompany the Timberwolves to Milwaukee for their preseason finale, so it’s anyone’s guess how things will go in San Antonio, where at least Butler won’t have to hear boos like he probably would’ve in Minneapolis. It’s likely we’ll see Thibs open with the same starting five (Andrew Wiggins, Taj Gibson, Towns, Jeff Teague, Butler) that was utilized most of last season, including a Western Conference first-round series that featured the Wolves being blown out by 18 points or more in three of their contests against Houston.

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's Best Bet
October 17, 2018
By BetDSI


Wednesday NBA Best Bet


Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers


With the 2018 NBA season officially getting going last night with the national TV double-header, tonight's the night the bulk of the teams get to hit the floor for the first time this year. Wednesday brings us 11 games on the betting board to go through with some quality teams from a year ago like Toronto, Houston, and Memphis all part of the action. But it's a late game out West that's caught my eye as I'm not sure one team is getting the early betting respect they deserve.


BetDSI.eu Odds: Denver (-1.5) vs. L.A Clippers; Total set at 226


This line opened up as a pick'em and early support for Denver has brought the spread to it's current number. That initial support was something I was not surprised to see as the Nuggets were a quality team last year (46-36 SU) and are on their way up in building a contender. Compare that to a Clippers team who's in the latter stages of tearing down what was their core for the better part of this decade, and I think you've got tremendous value on the Nuggets on any spread up to -3.


The Clippers sat back and watched as the final piece of “Lob City” left town this summer with DeAndre Jordan finally moving on to play with his hometown Dallas Mavericks squad. That means that since the beginning of last year, L.A. has gotten rid of Jordan, Blake Griffin, and Chris Paul, the trio of guys that were hailed as the ones who would bring respectability back to the Clippers organization.


And make no mistake, for a few years, that trio made good on that goal thrust upon them, although “respectability” seemed to always end once the playoffs arrived as L.A. couldn't find any success in the second season.


So last year was the beginning of the end for that trio in L.A. and the Clippers have made no bones about the fact that they are looking to rebuild/reload their team here for these next couple of years, hopefully snagging a big name or two in free agency to speed up that process.


But now that LeBron's a local in L.A. and wearing those “other” colors, I think we see the Clippers go into full-blown tank mode very early in the 2018-19 season, bombing to get that young cornerstone piece (RJ Barrett maybe) that every NBA franchise in a rebuilding phase covets. That means that fading the Clippers early on this year is one way I'm looking to attack this first month of NBA action and it starts tonight with the Nuggets in town.


Just going up and down through the Clippers roster you'll see that this team should have trouble scoring at times. Lou Williams is going to be the go-to guy for this team offensively, as they hope rookie G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander develops quicker than anticipated and can help Williams with some of that offensive workload.


But with guys like Patrick Beverley, Avery Bradley, and Luc Mbah a Moute on the roster – all defensive specialists – the Clippers are going to be a team that rarely will be on the good side of their home TV announcer's “Lawler's Law” - getting to 100 points first – this year.


Compare that with this Nuggets team that's looking for some playoff basketball this season after making huge improvements a year ago. G Jamal Murray has been everything this Denver franchise hoped he would be, with with talented scorers like Will Barton and Gary Harris alongside Murray, this Denver team should keep their upwards trajectory in tact this season.


Having a great big man like Nikola Jokic never hurts either, and with rookie Michael Porter, Jr. and veteran Isaiah Thomas wearing Nuggets colors this year, that scoring touch the Nuggets have shouldn't lose much when it's mostly reserves out there.


Early on in any season you've got to make plays largely based on your pre-season projections of teams, and when you get a matchup between one team that's essentially a play-on team like Denver, up against an organization that's essentially a play-against team like L.A, you've got to fire.


Whether or not you agree with those assessments of each team is up to you, but the Nuggets were projected to be 10+ wins better than the Clippers this year – Denver's win total was 47.5 vs 36.5 for L.A. – and at a spread that's basically just asking you to pick the outright winner here, I'm going with the much better squad.


Odds per - BetDSI.eu


Best Bet: Denver -1.5

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 17
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MEM at IND 07:00 PM
IND -7.5
O 205.0


BK at DET 07:00 PM
BK +6.0
U 212.0


MIA at ORL 07:00 PM
ORL +2.5
O 209.0


MIL at CHA 07:00 PM
CHA +3.0
O 221.5


ATL at NY 07:30 PM
O 217.0


CLE at TOR 07:30 PM
CLE +13.0
O 215.0


NO at HOU 08:00 PM
NO +8.0
U 232.0


MIN at SA 08:30 PM
MIN +2.5
U 210.5


UTA at SAC 10:00 PM
UTA -8.5
U 205.0


DEN at LAC 10:30 PM
O 224.5


DAL at PHO 10:30 PM
PHO +1.5
U 213.0

 

[CNOTES]

Knicks have 49-point 2nd quarter, beat Hawks 126-107
October 17, 2018
By The Associated Press


SAN ANTONIO (AP) DeMar DeRozan had 28 points in his San Antonio debut, LaMarcus Aldridge added 21 points and 19 rebounds and the Spurs overcame a 23-point performance by Minnesota's Jimmy Butler in a 112-108 victory Wednesday night in a matchup of teams coming off a tumultuous offseason.


DeRozan was acquired from Toronto after the Spurs responded to Kawhi Leonard's trade demands by dealing their star forward and Danny Green for the Raptors' All-Star guard and Jakob Poeltl.


Minnesota is facing a similar trade demand from Butler, who has opted to play through it. Butler, who has told Minnesota that he will not re-sign with the team in the offseason, added seven rebounds and three assists in an active 31 minutes.


DeRozan banked in the eventual winning shot in the final minute against Butler, driving hard to the basket against the 6-foot-8 forward and then pulling up from 12 feet to give San Antonio a 110-108 lead with 32.4 seconds remaining. DeRozan sealed the victory with a pair of free throws with 7.8 seconds remaining after Minnesota's Derrick Rose missed a runner in lane.


Jeff Teague scored 27 points, and Andrew Wiggins added 20 points for the Timberwolves.


Rudy Gay had 18 points, and Bryn Forbes had 11 points in his first start at point guard for the Spurs.


KNICKS 126, HAWKS 107


NEW YORK (AP) - Tim Hardaway Jr. scored 31 points, sparking the Knicks during their franchise-record, 49-point second quarter, and New York beat Atlanta in its first game under coach David Fizdale.


Hardaway had 16 points in the period, when the Knicks matched the Hawks' point total for the entire first half. New York led 72-49 at the break.


Trae Young finished with 14 points, six rebounds and five assists, shooting 5 for 14 in his NBA debut. Taurean Prince scored 21 points for the Hawks, who were overwhelmed in their first game under Lloyd Pierce. Four other Knicks scored at least 15, while rookie Kevin Knox finished with 10 and was just 4 for 16.


Hardaway and the Knicks started slowly, as he had missed his first four shots and the Knicks started 0 for 9 when they took a timeout trailing 10-2. During that break, George Holmes of Northport, New York, nailed a halfcourt shot to win $10,000, and suddenly the New Yorkers couldn't miss.


PELICANS 131, ROCKETS 112


HOUSTON (AP) - Anthony Davis had 32 points, 16 rebounds and eight assists, and Nikola Mirotic scored 30 points to lead New Orleans past Houston.


Davis added three blocks and three steals, Mirotic was 6 of 8 from 3-point range, and Julius Randle had 25 points off the bench.


Eric Gordon led the Rockets with 21 points off the bench, and P.J. Tucker and Chris Paul each added 19 points. James Harden had 18 points, 10 assists and nine rebounds.


BUCKS 113, HORNETS 112


CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) - Giannis Antetokounmpo had 25 points, 18 rebounds and eight assists, and Milwaukee spoiled Charlotte's celebration of 30 years of basketball.


Antetokounmpo made two free throws with 23.7 seconds remaining to put the Bucks ahead after the Hornets battled back from a 20-point deficit behind 41 points from Kemba Walker.


Walker missed a driving layup with 3.4 seconds left and the loose ball got kicked outside where Nic Batum misfired on a 3-pointer from the left wing at the buzzer.


Khris Middleton had 19 points and Eric Bledsoe added 17 as the Bucks.


Walker was 15 of 29 from the field, hitting seven 3-pointers.


PACERS 111, GRIZZLIES 83


INDIANAPOLIS (AP) - Bojan Bogdanovic scored 19 points and Victor Oladipo added 16 to help Indiana rout Memphis in the largest-opening night victory margin in the franchise's NBA era.


Domantas Sabonis finished with 14 points and 15 rebounds as Indiana earned its seventh opening-night win eight years. The Pacers also have won eight of their last nine home openers.


Marc Gasol scored 13 points for Memphis.


RAPTORS 116, CAVALIERS 104


TORONTO (AP) - Kawhi Leonard had 24 points and 12 rebounds in his Toronto debut, Kyle Lowry scored 27 points and the Raptors beat Cleveland.


Fred VanVleet scored 14 points, Pascal Siakam had 13 and Danny Green 11 to help the Raptors win their sixth straight season opener and give Nick Nurse a victory in his first game as head coach.


Kevin Love scored 21 points, and Cedi Osman had 17 points and 10 rebounds for the Cavaliers.


PISTONS 103, NETS 100


DETROIT (AP) - Andre Drummond had 24 points and 20 rebounds, and Detroit won its opener under new coach Dwane Casey.


Blake Griffin added 26 points for the Pistons, who were without two potential starters but still managed to hold off Brooklyn. Caris LeVert equaled a career high with 27 points for the Nets, and he drove to the basket in the final seconds with Brooklyn down one. LeVert lost the ball, and it went out of bounds to Detroit. Reggie Jackson made two free throws for the Pistons with 6.2 seconds remaining, and Joe Harris missed from near the top of the key at the other end.


MAGIC 104, HEAT 101


ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) - Rookie Mohamed Bamba dunked twice and blocked a shot during Orlando's 9-0 run in the fourth quarter and the Magic held off Miami.


Aaron Gordon had 26 points and 16 rebounds for the Magic. They went without a field goal over the final 4 1/2 minutes. Goran Dragic led Miami with 26 points, and Josh Richardson had 21.

JAZZ 123, KINGS 117


SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) - Donovan Mitchell scored 11 of his 24 points in the fourth quarter and Utah overcame an uneven performance on both ends of the floor to beat Sacramento in the season opener for both teams.


Rudy Gobert had 19 points and 15 rebounds, Joe Ingles scored 22 and Derrick Favors added 18 points and nine boards as the Jazz won their sixth straight against the Kings.


Utah trailed by 16 early in the first quarter, blew a 14-point lead in the third and then pulled away in the fourth.


Seven players scored in double figures for Utah.


Willie Cauley-Stein had 23 points and seven rebounds for Sacramento. De'Aaron Fox added 21 points and seven assists.


Marvin Bagley III, the second overall pick in this year's NBA draft, had six points and five rebounds in 12 minutes off the bench for the Kings.


SUNS 121, MAVERICKS 100


PHOENIX (AP) - Devin Booker scored 19 of his 35 points in the final 6:44 and lifted Phoenix over Dallas in the teams' season opener.


Booker, who missed the preseason after undergoing a surgical procedure on his right (shooting) hand, sank four 3s, converted a three-point play, made a driving layup and hit two free throws after Dallas had cut what had been a 16-point lead to four.


Two of the NBA's top rookies squared off in their debuts with different results.


Deandre Ayton, the No. 1 overall pick in the draft, made 8 of 11 shots for 18 points, grabbed 10 rebounds and had six assists. Dallas' Luka Doncic, the No. 3 overall pick, struggled from the field, making 5 of 16 shots - 0 of 5 3-pointers - for 10 points. He had four assists and eight rebounds.


Trevor Ariza added 21 points, Josh Jackson 18 and T.J. Warren 17 for the Suns, who gave Igor Kokoskov a victory in his NBA head coaching debut.


NUGGETS 107, CLIPPERS 98


LOS ANGELES (AP) - Nikola Jokic scored 21 points, Gary Harris added 20 and the Nuggets opened the season with a victory.


Denver led for most of the game but was trailing 92-84 with 5:14 remaining after the Clippers went on an 11-3 run that was highlighted by a pair of Boban Marjanovic 3-point plays.


The Nuggets seized control with their own 11-2 spurt.


Will Barton added 19 points and Paul Millsap 11 points and 16 rebounds for the Nuggets, who struggled on the road last year, going 15-26.


Tobias Harris had 19 points and 10 rebounds while Boban Marjanovic added 18 points for the Clippers.

 

[CNOTES]

SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY OCTOBER 18, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
8:05 PM Chicago Bulls Philadelphia 76ers Wells Fargo Center
8:05 PM Miami Heat Washington Wizards Capital One Arena
10:35 PM Los Angeles Lakers Portland Trail Blazers Moda Center at the Rose Quarter




******************




NBA October's Opinions & Best Bets


DATE W-L-T % UNITS


10/17/2018 11-9-0 55.00% +5.50
10/16/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50


Totals..............12-12-0.....50.00%.....-6.00




*************************************


Best Bets:


DATE........................ATS................... .UNITS...............O/U..................UNITS...............TOTAL


10/17/2018.............3 - 1....................+9.50................3 - 5.................-12.50..............-3.00
10/16/2018.............0 - 2....................- 11.00..............1 - 1.................- 0.50...............-11.50


Totals.....................3 - 3....................-1.50.................4 - 6..................-13.00...............-14.50

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


Top six teams in the Pac-12’s preseason basketball poll:


6) Arizona State


5) USC


4) Arizona (1)


3) Washington (2)


2) UCLA (6)


1) Oregon (16)




**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……


13) If you’re John Calipari, here is your recruiting pitch for next year:
— 31 former Kentucky Wildcats were on NBA rosters Opening Night.
— 19 teams have at least one former Wildcat; seven have more than one.
— Players coached by John Calipari have earned more than $1.9B in the NBA.
(Thats billion, with a B)
— In 2018-19 alone, Kentucky alums are scheduled to earn $190M in the NBA.
— Here is your Letter of Intent; please sign here ______


12) Wade Miley started Game 5 of the NLCS for Milwaukee, walked the leadoff hitter in bottom of first inning, and was taken out. Seriously. This is getting ridiculous, the level of over-managing that is going on with managers/front offices— it is starting to border on nonsense.


Miley is also going to start Game 6; how long he lasts then is open for debate.


11) Texans’ QB Deshaun Watson has been hit by defenders 70 times in six games; no other NFL quarterback has been hit more than 49 times this year.


According to Fox’s Jay Glazer, Watson suffered a cracked rib, a bruised lung, and a partially collapsed lung in the Texans’ game with Dallas two weeks ago.


10) Tampa Bay just fired their defensive coordinator, Mike Smith; Atlanta’s DC is Marquand Manuel, and he better be watching his back, too.


In the Falcons’ last four games, on the opponents’ first drive of the game, they’ve run 27 plays for 295 yards and four TD’s. Atlanta has some injuries on defense, but also seems like they may not be as well prepared as some of the other teams.


9) Jason Myers kicked seven field goals for the Jets Sunday in their 42-34 win over the Colts; the NFL record for most FG’s in a game is eight. Myers went to college at Marist in Poughkeepsie, which is D-I in basketball (Rik Smits’ alma mater) but not in football.


8) If you’re a Celtics’ fan, you’re rooting against Sacramento all season; Boston owns the Kings’ 2019 first-round pick thru the Tatum-Fultz deal. Rooting against the Kings is generally fun; imagine getting Tatum and Sacramento’s #1 pick in the same trade?


7) A guy in Las Vegas known as the “Duffel Bag bettor” wagered just over $100,000 on Army last weekend, when the Cadets were laying 15 points at San Jose State.


Now Army won 52-3, so the guy didn’t have to sweat for his $100K, but it takes onions to risk six figures on a service academy team laying double digits on the road.


6) Sports betting is up and running in New Mexico now; the political geniuses here in New York haven’t gotten around to it yet, but West Virginia, Mississippi and New Mexico have.


Brilliant!!!!


5) AAF is a new spring football league with eight teams that will play a 10-game schedule that begins February 9; games will be televised mostly on NBC Sports Network.


League has some big names coaching their teams: Mike Martz, Steve Spurrier, Dennis Erickson, Mike Singletary. It figures to develop into what the USFL used to be.


4) Jordany Valdespin, who played four years in the majors as a utility guy for the Mets/Marlins, recently pitched four scoreless innings of relief in a 19-inning Dominican Winter League game in which Mets’ 1B prospect Dominic Smith went 0-8, with a bases loaded walk.


3) UConn’s football team is giving up an average of 9.21 yards/play, worst in country; from what I can tell, UL-Monroe is next worst in country, giving up 7.18 yards/play.


2) Here is some good but scary news from the New York Post: No one got shot last weekend in New York City, the first time that has happened in at least 25 years.


NYPD Chief of Department Terence Monahan has been with the NYPD since 1982, and he said he can’t remember a weekend without SOMEONE getting shot.


Unfortunately, the city’s quiet streak ended Monday, when a man was shot at around 1:15pm on Aqueduct Avenue in the Bronx. Hopefully, he recovered.


1) Duke recruit Zion Williamson’s name has come up in the adidas/college hoop corruption trial, which puts Duke in a curious position. Blue Devils shouldn’t worry though; the NCAA doesn’t go after the blue blood teams.


Long time ago, then-UNLV basketball coach Jerry Tarkanian got under the NCAA’s skin when he famously wrote, “The NCAA is so mad at Kentucky, they’re putting Western Kentucky on probation.”


45-50 years later I’ve amended Tark’s quote: “The NCAA is so mad at Duke, they’re going to put Duquesne on probation” No way the Blue Devils ever meet an NCAA investigator.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel


Thursday, October 18

Chicago @ Philadelphia


Game 501-502
October 18, 2018 @ 8:05 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
106.634
Philadelphia
120.455
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 14
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 11
217
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-11); Under


Miami @ Washington


Game 503-504
October 18, 2018 @ 8:05 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Miami
111.724
Washington
120.349
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 8 1/2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
213
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Under


LA Lakers @ Portland


Game 505-506
October 18, 2018 @ 10:35 pm


Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
118.688
Portland
120.365
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 1 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 3 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+3 1/2); Under








NBA
Long Sheet


Thursday, October 18


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHICAGO (0 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 1) - 10/18/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (0 - 1) at WASHINGTON (0 - 0) - 10/18/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 408-477 ATS (-116.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 185-229 ATS (-66.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (0 - 0) at PORTLAND (0 - 0) - 10/18/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------






NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up


Thursday, October 18


Not a lot to go on for the first week or so, but I’ll give you the info I’ve got…….


Miami won seven of last nine games with Washington; Heat won three of last four visits here. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Visitors are 4-3 in last seven series games. Miami lost its opener last night, by 3 in Orlando; four Miami starters played 32:00+.


76ers won last two games with Chicago, after losing seven of previous eight series games; Bulls won three of last four visits here (under 3-0 in last three series games in Philly). Sixers lost their opener Tuesday by 18 in Boston.


Portland won its last ten games with the Lakers, who have Lebron James now, so lot of these trends will go down the drain. Lakers are 2-3 vs spread in losing their last five visits to Oregon. Under is 5-1 in last six series games. Figures to be an emotional evening, since Blazers’ owner Paul Allen passed away earlier in week.








NBA


Thursday, October 18


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Miami Heat
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 17 games when playing Washington
Miami is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Washington is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Washington's last 17 games when playing Miami
Washington is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami




Chicago Bulls
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Chicago is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing Philadelphia
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Philadelphia is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 14 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago




Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
LA Lakers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
LA Lakers is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Portland
LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Portland
LA Lakers is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Portland
LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland Trail Blazers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Portland is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Portland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Portland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 16-4-2 ATS in its last 22 games at home
Portland is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Portland is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home
Portland is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing LA Lakers
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 18
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MIA at WAS 08:00 PM
MIA +5.5
O 214.5


CHI at PHI 08:00 PM
CHI +12.0
O 220.0


LAL at POR 10:30 PM
POR -3.5
U 223.5

 

[CNOTES]

Simmons has triple-double, 76ers beat Bulls 127-108
October 18, 2018
By The Associated Press


PORTLAND, Ore. (AP) LeBron James opened with two thunderous dunks and had 26 points and 12 rebounds in his first game with the Los Angeles Lakers, but the Portland Trail Blazers prevailed 128-119 Thursday night in the season opener for both teams.


Damian Lillard had 28 points and Nik Stauskas came off the bench to score 24 for Portland, which won its 18th straight home opener to extend an NBA record.


It was the Blazers' 16th straight victory over the Lakers.


The opening festivities were tempered by the death this week of Trail Blazers owner Paul Allen. A ''Rip City'' baseball cap rested in Allen's courtside seat with a single rose.


The enigmatic co-founder of Microsoft died Monday in Seattle from complications of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. He was 65. There was moment of silence before the game and tributes to Allen throughout the night.


On the court, the focus was all on James. His monster dunks to start stunned the Moda Center crowd while Nike co-founder Phil Knight looked on from courtside seats.


76ERS 127, BULLS 108


PHILADELPHIA (AP) - Ben Simmons had a triple-double with 13 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists and Joel Embiid had 30 points and 12 rebounds in Philadelphia's victory over Chicago.


Zach LaVine led the Bulls with 30 points in their season opener.


The curious case of Markelle Fultz continued when one of the more scrutinized players in the NBA managed to steal the spotlight from his more accomplished teammate with simple jumpers.


Fultz had open looks early and 76ers fans exhorted him to ''Shoot! Shoot!'' each time he touched the ball as the second-year guard tries to overcome his aversion to jumpers.


He found the look he wanted 3 minutes into the second quarter. Fultz dribbled to the foul line and hit an uncontested pull-up jumper, the ball rattling around the rim four times before it plopped through the net for two points. Fans erupted in cheers as they gave him a standing ovation and chanted ''Fultz! Fultz! Fultz!'' Fultz was 1 of 6 in 15 minutes in the first half and didn't play again until late in the third and the Sixers leading by 88-68.


HEAT 113, WIZARDS 112


WASHINGTON (AP) - Kelly Olynyk's putback of Dwyane Wade's missed jumper produced the go-ahead basket with 0.2 seconds left, lifting Miami past Washington.


Josh Richardson led Miami with 28 points, Rodney McGruder added 20, and the Heat hit consecutive 3s late in the fourth quarter.


With Washington center Dwight Howard sidelined by a sore backside, the Wizards were led by old standby John Wall, who delivered 26 points and nine assists. He and fellow All-Star guard Bradley Beal, who scored 20 points, accounted for Washington's last eight points.


But with a 112-111 lead, Wall missed a 26-foot pull-up jumper, giving Miami a chance. Wade's shot with about 3 seconds left was off the mark, and Olynyk grabbed the rebound and his layup won it.

 

[CNOTES]

SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY OCTOBER 19, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home Site
7:05 PM Charlotte Hornets Orlando Magic Amway Center
7:35 PM New York Knicks Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center
8:05 PM Atlanta Hawks Memphis Grizzlies FedExForum
8:05 PM Boston Celtics Toronto Raptors Scotiabank Arena
8:05 PM Cleveland Cavaliers Minnesota Timberwolves Target Center
8:05 PM Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Smoothie King Center
8:35 PM Indiana Pacers Milwaukee Bucks Fiserv Forum
10:35 PM Golden State Warriors Utah Jazz Vivint Smart Home Arena
10:35 PM Oklahoma City Thunder Los Angeles Clippers Staples Center




***************************


NBA October's Opinions & Best Bets


DATE W-L-T % UNITS

10/18/2018 4-2-0 66.67% +9.00
10/17/2018 11-9-0 55.00% +5.50
10/16/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50


Totals..............16-14-0.....53.33%.....+3.00




*************************************


Best Bets:


DATE........................ATS................... .UNITS...............O/U..................UNITS...............TOTAL


10/18/2018.............2 - 1....................+4.50................2 - 1.................+4.50..............+9.00
10/17/2018.............3 - 1....................+9.50................3 - 5.................-12.50..............-3.00
10/16/2018.............0 - 2....................- 11.00..............1 - 1.................- 0.50...............-11.50


Totals.....................5 - 4....................+3.00................6 - 7..................-8.50...............-5.50

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s List of 13: Trends on non-top 13 college football games


13) Kentucky beat Vanderbilt last two years, 44-21/20-13, but Wildcats failed to cover its last six games as a home favorite. Vandy is 2-5 in its last seven games as road underdogs. Under is 4-1 in Kentucky games this year.


12) North Carolina is 0-3 on road this season, with losses by 7-22-37 points. Since 2013, UNC is 6-3-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Syracuse lost its last two games, 27-23/44-37; they’re 1-5 in last six gams as home favorites. This is teams’ first football meeting as ACC rivals.


11) Home side won both Maryland-Iowa games as Big 14 rivals; Terrapins lost 31-15 in last visit here. Maryland is 3-6 in its last nine games as road underdogs. Iowa is 5-1, scoring 48-42 in winning its last two games; Hawkeyes are 4-2-1 in last seven games as home favorites.


10) Marshall won four of last five games with Florida Atlantic, losing 30-25 (+7) at FAU last year; Owls lost 27-21/35-16 in last two visits here. Under Kiffin, FAU is 3-2 as road favorites. Since 2012, Marshall is 3-5 vs spread as a home underdog.


9) Eastern Michigan beat Ball State last two years, 56-14/48-41; Eagles lost four of last five games- their last four games were all decided by 3 or fewer points. Over last 11 years, EMU is 1-1 as a road favorite. Ball State is 2-7 in its last nine games as home underdogs.


8) Penn State won its last four games with Indiana, winning 45-31/13-7 in last two visits here; under Franklin, Nittany Lions are 7-3 vs spread as road favorites, 1-9 coming off a loss- they lost last weeks, both at home. Hoosiers are 2-6 in last eight games as home underdogs.


7) Utah State scored 55.8 ppg in winning its last five games since a 38-31 loss at Michigan State in their opener; all six of their games went over total. Wyoming is 7-4 in last 11 games as a home underdog, but are 0-2 in that role this year. Aggies/Wyoming split their last six meetings.


6) Fresno State won its last four games with New Mexico, winning 35-24/49-32 in their last two trips to Albuquerque. Bulldogs won/covered their last four games, giving up 3-3 points in last two weeks. Lobos are 6-2 in last eight games as a home underdog.


5) Cal Bears won three of last four games with Oregon State; they lost two of last three visits to Corvallis. California lost its last three games; they’re 2-7-1 in last ten games as road favorites. Beavers is 0-5 vs I-A teams, with one loss by less than 19 points; they’re 1-4 vs spread this year.


4) Florida State won its last six games with Wake Forest, winning last three, by 7-11-8 points; since 2014, Seminoles are 11-15 as home favorites- their last three games went over. Deacons lost 63-3 to Clemson LW; they’re 10-4 in last 14 games as road underdogs.


3) Minnesota/Nebraska split their last six meetings; Gophers won LY’s game, 54-21. Minnesota lost its last three games, allowing 40 ppg; they’re 3-6-2 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Cornhuskers are 0-6 SU this year; their last four games went over the total.


2) SMU won its last three games with Tulane, by 3-4-28 points; their last two visits here were decided by total of five points. SMU is 0-3 on road this year, losing by 23-25-28 points; they’re 2-4-1 in last seven games as road dogs. Tulane is 7-3 in last 10 games as home favorites.


1) Home side won last three Nevada-Hawai’i games; Wolf Pack lost last visit here 38-17, after winning previous two trips to Paradise. Nevada is 5-9 in its last 14 games as road underdogs. Hawai’i is 3-12 vs spread in its last 15 games as a home favorite.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel


Friday, October 19



Charlotte @ Orlando


Game 701-702
October 19, 2018 @ 7:05 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
121.985
Orlando
111.268
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 10 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 1
217
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-1); Over


New York @ Brooklyn


Game 703-704
October 19, 2018 @ 7:35 pm


Dunkel Rating:
New York
112.185
Brooklyn
121.236
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 9
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 3
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(-3); Over


Sacramento @ New Orleans


Game 705-706
October 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
114.909
New Orleans
122.754
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 8
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 11
230 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+11); Under


Boston @ Toronto


Game 707-708
October 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Boston
122.971
Toronto
114.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 8
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3
208
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+3); Under


Cleveland @ Minnesota


Game 709-710
October 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
118.325
Minnesota
115.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 8 1/2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+8 1/2); Under


Atlanta @ Memphis


Game 711-712
October 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
111.956
Memphis
108.830
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 7 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+7 1/2); Over


Indiana @ Milwaukee


Game 713-714
October 19, 2018 @ 8:35 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
116.312
Milwaukee
121.709
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 5 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-3 1/2); Under


Golden State @ Utah


Game 715-716
October 19, 2018 @ 10:35 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
134.018
Utah
121.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 12 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-2); Under


Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers


Game 717-718
October 19, 2018 @ 10:35 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
124.371
LA Clippers
112.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 11 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 1 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+1 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up


Friday, October 19


Not a lot to go on for the first week or so, but I’ll give you the info I’ve got…….


Charlotte won its last ten games with Orlando, covering 8 of last 9; they won their last four visits here (3-1 vs spread, over 3-1). Hornets lost their home opener by a point to Milwaukee. Orlando won its home opener, by 3 over Miami.


Knicks won/covered their last four games with Brooklyn; they won three of last four games in Barclays’ Center. Over is 4-2 in last six series games. New York beat the Hawks by 19 in their home opener. Nets lost their opener by 3 in Detroit.


Road team won last four Pelican-King games (over 3-1); Sacramento won its last two visits to Bourbon Street by 7-11 points. Kings lost its home opener by 6 to Utah. New Orleans won its opener by 19 at Houston, scoring 31 points- impressive.


Home side last seven Boston-Toronto games; Raptors won/covered last five series games played here. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Celtics won their home opener by 18 over Philly. Raptors won their home opener by 12 over Cleveland.


Cavaliers won seven of last eight games with Minnesota (6-2 vs spread); they won/covered three of last four visits here. Eight of last nine series games went over. Lebron-less Cleveland lost its opener by 12 in Toronto. Timberwolves lost their opener by 4 in San Antonio.


Hawks won four of their last six games with Memphis; teams split last four series games played here. Eight of last nine series games stayed under the total. Atlanta lost its opener by 19 at New York. Grizzlies lost their opener by 28 at Indiana.


Pacers won four of their last five games with Milwaukee; Indiana covered only one of its last four visits to Wisconsin. Five of last six series games stayed under. Pacers won their home opener by 28 over Memphis. Milwaukee won its opener by a point in Charlotte.


Jazz won/covered their last three games with Golden State; teams split last four series games played here. Four of last five series games went over. Warriors won their home opener by 8 over Oklahoma City. Utah won its opener by six at Sacramento.


Clippers lost seven of last nine games with Oklahoma City; Thunder covered five of last six series games. over is 7-2 in last nine series games. OKC didn’t have Westbrook (check status) for its opener, an 8-point loss at Golden State. Clippers lost their home opener by 9 to Denver.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA


Friday, October 19


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Charlotte is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Charlotte is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road
Charlotte is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Orlando
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Orlando is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games
Orlando is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte




New York Knicks
New York is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New York is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing New York
Brooklyn is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against New York




Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Cleveland is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Cleveland is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Minnesota is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Minnesota is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Minnesota is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland




Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games
Atlanta is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Atlanta is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 9 games
Memphis is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta
Memphis is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Memphis is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta




Boston Celtics
Boston is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston




Sacramento Kings
Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Sacramento is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games
Sacramento is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing New Orleans
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Sacramento is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games
New Orleans is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Sacramento
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento
New Orleans is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento




Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 21 of Milwaukee's last 25 games
Milwaukee is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games at home
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games at home
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Milwaukee is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana




Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oklahoma City's last 17 games
Oklahoma City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games
LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Clippers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 13 games at home
LA Clippers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
LA Clippers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City




Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 10 games
Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games on the road
Golden State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Utah
Golden State is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Utah
Golden State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah Jazz
Utah is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Utah is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Utah is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games at home
Utah is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
Utah is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Golden State
Utah is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet


Friday, October 19


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHARLOTTE (0 - 1) at ORLANDO (1 - 0) - 10/19/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 69-89 ATS (-28.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 70-92 ATS (-31.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 7-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 8-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (1 - 0) at BROOKLYN (0 - 1) - 10/19/2018, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (0 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 0) - 10/19/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 53-38 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (1 - 0) at TORONTO (1 - 0) - 10/19/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (0 - 1) at MINNESOTA (0 - 1) - 10/19/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 42-61 ATS (-25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (0 - 1) at MEMPHIS (0 - 1) - 10/19/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (1 - 0) at MILWAUKEE (1 - 0) - 10/19/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 222-166 ATS (+39.4 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 76-97 ATS (-30.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (1 - 0) at UTAH (1 - 0) - 10/19/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 7-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (0 - 1) at LA CLIPPERS (0 - 1) - 10/19/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-50 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's Essentials
Tony Mejia


Game of the Night - Golden State (-2.5, 218) at Utah, ESPN, 10:35 ET


The Jazz were swept by Golden State in 2016-17’s first round, losing all four games by double-digits. They then watched Gordon Hayward walk away, leaving the franchise that developed him behind in order to join forces with his former college coach.


If not for Detroit passing on Donovan Mitchell to take shooter Luke Kennard with the No. 12 pick, Utah could be mired in mediocrity, preparing to face another season fighting an uphill battle in the loaded West.


Instead, Mitchell’s return following a brilliant rookie season makes the Jazz one of the primary threats to the Warriors’ plans of a three-peat that would give them four NBA titles in five years. Although he was edged out for Rookie of the Year honors by Philadelphia prodigy Ben Simmons, Mitchell’s brilliance down the stretch cemented a rise we saw come out of nowhere last November, when he overcame shooting 25 percent (13-for-52) over the first five games of his career and ended up averaging 20.5 points to lead all first-year players.


Utah couldn’t get past Houston in May’s conference semifinals, but Mitchell’s 28.5 points per game in the first round eliminated Russell Westbrook and Oklahoma City. Considering the Jazz beat Golden State in all three of their 2018 meetings and are the only team with a winning record against the Dubs over the past two seasons, they’re right to be confident entering their home opener.


Mitchell hit four of five 3-pointers the last time he ran into the Splash Brothers, breaking Damian Lillard’s NBA record for most makes from beyond the arc by a first-year player. Utah won 119-79, registering a 40-point blowout over a Warriors team that was resting Stephen Curry and Andre Iguodala but had multiple All-Stars out there.


Center Rudy Gobert’s size is a major weapon against Golden State, but Steve Kerr’s counters had typically worked until Mitchell’s arrival. In fact, the last five games the Jazz played against the Warriors in 2017, four of which came in that aforementioned first-round playoffs series, all resulted in double-digit losses.


Utah didn’t play its trademark defense in Wednesday’s regular-season opener in Sacramento, prevailing despite giving up 117 points, which is sixth-most they’ve surrendered since Mitchell came on board. Golden State scored 126 points in the first meeting between the teams last season (Dec. 27, 2017) but was held under 100 in the next three. Although it’s too early in the season to call this a huge game, the fact the Warriors are well aware of how much trouble this team gave them in posting wins by 40, 30 and 19 points should ramp up the intensity from where we would ordinarily see it in a Game No. 2.


The Warriors handled Westbrook-less OKC on Wednesday but failed to cover a 13-point spread and fell behind in the third quarter despite being up 10 at the break. Golden State held the Thunder to just 37 percent shooting but went just 7-for-26 from 3-point range since Klay Thompson and Kevin Durant combined to make just one of their 13 attempts.


Damian Jones made his first start at center for the Dubs and Kevon Looney came up with 10 points and 11 boards off the bench in replacing JaVale McGee and Zaza Pachulia, so they held their own against Steven Adams. It’s going to be a different challenge to fare as well on the road against Gobert, who had 19 points on 7-for-9 shooting in Sacramento, adding 15 boards and three blocks in a team-high 37 minutes. His length is a challenge for for Draymond Green, who still isn’t in great shape after taking most of the summer off from basketball to heal a sore knee. He played just 32 minutes on Wednesday and isn’t likely to be himself for a few weeks. Head coach Steve Kerr has said he’d likely play in “shorter bursts.”


The Warriors are just a 2.5-point favorite here, which is interesting since it took until Game No. 47, a Jan. 20 visit to Houston, for them to be favored by less than a possession in 2017-18. Golden State was an underdog six times last season, mostly down the stretch as key players rested, but were only favored by 2.5 points or less twice last season. They lost at both the Rockets and Pacers in those contests. Utah was a home underdog six times last season and won four of those games outright, including a 129-99 rout of Golden State on Jan. 30.


The card


Charlotte (-2/218) at Orlando, 7:05 p.m. ET: If you can’t beat him, hire him. That could be one way to look at the Magic opening the season with Steve Clifford at the helm since he quickly landed on his feet after being let go as Michael Jordan went a different direction. Charlotte carries an 11-game winning streak over Orlando into Amway Arena, posting all of the victories on Clifford’s watch. Kemba Walker will now look to terrorize his ex-coach after opening the season scoring 41 points in a 113-112 home loss to Milwaukee. Nicolas Batum had an opportunity to win it but missed a 3-pointer at the buzzer.


The Hornets want to push whenever possible, while the Magic want to use their excellent length to become the Eastern Conference’s version of Utah. In that vein, 7-footer Mo Bamba had a fantastic debut off the bench in Wednesday’s win against the Heat, drilling a crucial 3-pointer and finishing with 13 points, seven boards and two blocks. He’s got a 7-foot-10 wingspan. Aaron Gordon led the way with 26 points and 16 rebounds and Orlando survived nearly squandering a 14-point fourth-quarter deficit in pulling off an upset of the Heat. The Magic started fast last season too and may be a live home ‘dog here if they can keep Walker from going off. Charlotte has won seven of eight in Central Florida.

New York at Brooklyn (-3.5/219), 7:35 p.m. ET: New York’s teams cashed in their regular-season debuts. The Nets lost just 103-100 in Detroit when Joe Harris’ 3-pointer on their final possession misfired, but 21-year-old center Jarrett Allen’s block of a Blake Griffin dunk attempt was among Wednesday ‘s top highlights in a strong performance on the road. The Knicks scored a franchise-best 49 points in the second quarter and ran away from the Hawks in a duel of teams expected to vie for the NBA’s worst record. NYK rolled despite lottery pick Kevin Knox shooting just 4-for-16 off the bench and took the game over in Noah Vonleh’s 16 minutes of play that saw him grab 10 boards and shoot 5-for-5 from the field for a double-double no one could’ve seen coming.


The Knicks and Nets will be seeing each other for the third time this month since they squared off in a pair of preseason games, winning on the other’s home court in competitive games. D’Angelo Russell’s activity stood out, so New York will likely key in on being as disruptive as possible against the Brooklyn point guard as it seeks it fifth straight victory in the series following last season’s sweep that featured three double-digit wins. Kristaps Porzingis will be out for months, but the Knicks could get back versatile guards Emmanuel Mudiay (ankle) and Courtney Lee (neck) after both missed the opener. They’re two of New York’s top defenders, so any total plays should wait on announcement addressing their availability. Brooklyn will have shooter Allen Crabbe (ankle) in the mix for the first time, while wing Rondae Hollis-Jefferson is expected to be a game-time decision.

Sacramento at New Orleans (-11/230.5), 8:05 p.m. ET: The Pelicans posted the week’s most impressive victory, crushing Houston on its home floor. Anthony Davis went to work from the opening tip and really never gave the Rockets a shot, finishing with 32 points and 16 rebounds to wear out the Rockets’ defense. New Orleans head coach Alvin Gentry stuck to his guns of playing bigs Nikola Mirotic, Julius Randle and Davis together, counting on their versatility to be as big a problem for opponents as their pick-and-roll defense will be for his sanity. Although there will likely be headaches ahead, Gentry has said he’s not going to go small whenever possible this season in an effort to make teams adjust to dealing with the size advantage his best guys enjoy.


Matching up won’t be a problem for the Kings, who covered against Utah thanks to an improved-looking backcourt of De’Aaron Fox and Buddy Hield. Willie Cauley-Stein anchored the bigs with 23 points despite squaring off against reigning Defensive Player of the Year Gobert, so the hope is that he’ll be able to continue a strong start in a contract year while proving he can be a consistent force for the first time in his career. The Kings are going to try and wear teams down by playing a lot of bodies and started shooters Nemanja Bjelica and Yogi Ferrell to help spread the floor, so expect plenty of track meets as they look to follow Fox’s lead and get out in transition. They’ll be better off when wing Bogdan Bogdanovic returns from a knee issue, but that isn’t expected to be until next month. These teams combined for 215 or more points in each of last year’s four meetings, splitting the series 2-2.

Boston at Toronto (-3/209), 8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN: After crushing the 76ers in their home opener, the Celtics will look to send a message to their other main nemesis in the East, reigning Atlantic Division champ Toronto. Boston will see how it matches up with Kawhi Leonard for the first time after the Cavs had few answers for him in Wednesday’s 116-104 Raptors’ win. Leonard finished with 24 points and 12 rebounds and was aggressive in attacking the paint and single coverage in an impressive debut. He’s looked like his old self for weeks now. Most important, Kyle Lowry shook off the disappointment of the Raps moving friend and tag-team partner DeMar DeRozan over his protests and poured in a team-best 27 points and eight assists in a 116-104 win over Cleveland. Toronto put its fantastic depth on display and may be at full strength since OG Anunoby (eye) will be fine to play and Delon Wright (thigh) may be available after being held out against the Cavs. Strength in numbers carried Boston past Philadelphia in resounding fashion despite Kyrie Irving (2-for-14) struggling with his shot. Jayson Tatum scored a game-high 23 points in the 105-87 rout that featured all nine Celtics who played at least 19 minutes scoring at least seven points. Only Al Horford failed to hit a 3-pointer, a sign that Boston is going to swing the ball to the open man and trust everyone is capable of hitting the outside shot, which includes big Aron Baynes and even Horford, who missed his lone attempt. Marcus Morris produced 16 points off the bench and was instrumental in helping the C’s pull away. These teams went 2-2 against one another last year but Toronto won a huge late-season game 96-78 and has won or split the regular-season series against Boston in each of the last five years.

Cleveland at Minnesota (-8.5/223.5), 8:05 p.m. ET: Kevin Love will be back in his old stomping grounds, but being the face of a franchise again will take some getting used to. Playing next to LeBron James and Irving while winning a title required him to alter his game, but he’s one of the few holdovers from the team that won the title in ’16 and is being tasked with being the bridge between that era and whatever comes next. Love shot 5-for-18 up in Toronto and has been dealing with a sore foot, so Cleveland may be in for a rough start as it begins truly turning the page. Lottery pick Collin Sexton missed five of seven shots and committed a team-high four turnovers in just 17 minutes, so there are definitely some growing pains ahead.


If the Timberwolves can’t dispose of this group, it’s going to be hard to resist dealing Jimmy Butler in the coming week. At this point, Tom Thibodeau appears to be buying time since it appears inevitable that Butler will get his wish in getting out of town, having proven too disruptive to play with despite his best intentions on the floor. Karl-Anthony Towns hasn’t responded well to how Butler has challenged him to step his game up and fouled out in just 22 minutes in San Antonio, scoring eight points and grabbing nine boards. Towns will see plenty of suspect defenders Love and a slumping Tristan Thompson here, so it’s a must that he turns things around. Butler had four steals against the Spurs and was out there defending and trying to get guys involved, but the lack of chemistry from Minnesota’s group is pretty evident. We’ll see what reaction he gets in the Timberwolves’ home opener. Odds are he’ll be booed lustily while Love is cheered, which will make for an interesting dynamic early.

 

[varkeyboy]

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 18
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


MIA at WAS 08:00 PM
MIA +5.5
O 214.5


CHI at PHI 08:00 PM
CHI +12.0
O 220.0


LAL at POR 10:30 PM
POR -3.5
U 223.5

Great work on the 4-2 night!