***The winner of the contest hits 70.1 percent....I'll pay a DIME to that winner for the great job done for our forum.
***ONLY if JOH monitors the contest...then I know all is on the UP...JOH has had some health issues of late but he's earned the respect of us who knows what he's been through. He's a "Cowboy Up Guy". Cowboys don't make excuses or complain...he's earned the respect of so many here at the RX.
***ONLY if JOH monitors the contest...then I know all is on the UP...JOH has had some health issues of late but he's earned the respect of us who knows what he's been through. He's a "Cowboy Up Guy". Cowboys don't make excuses or complain...he's earned the respect of so many here at the RX.
I would be happy paying someone $1000 for hitting 70.1 percent. A hot shooter/player can make me and my gang that much in a weekend.
Ty, there will be more than one or two picks...probably 5...no more than 6, all from Saturday's games.
A few more will be added depending on the subtractions. I don't want more than 20 total.
Ty, there will be more than one or two picks...probably 5...no more than 6, all from Saturday's games.
A few more will be added depending on the subtractions. I don't want more than 20 total.
To be perfectly straight about it, and I know there are a few that can attest, my best CFB season came in around 69.8% but the Pac schedule was loaded with bad lines that year. None of the books could put their finger on proper spreads, game totals, half and quarter totals in several cases consistently on a weekly basis. It was like free money. There were some who shared my good fortune and paid off all their debts then took the family to Hawaii with what was left over. To me that is what it's all about. Happiness and fuzziness abounds. Life is good.
w-thumbs!^
I have never hit 70%+ to be exact but I think it is doable. (with plenty of luck)
70% on a small number of games wagered is doable. It is not doable over the course of a season unless you wager on a significantly small number of games. My best is around 66%. Part of my game plan is to wager on the "Games of the year" which can be very profitable IF you are capable of getting a real good read on about 50 teams before the wagering opens, usually on the 2nd Friday in June. If you can come up with a line on the big games and then compare them to the opening lines when the GOY's come out, you can make a good score. Usually I operate with at least 4 other people because of the restrictions put on the number and amount of wagers you can place before going back to the end of the line.
I tend to concentrate on the Power 5 conferences, though I will look at every game. I wager on about 100 games per year, including bowl games. It averages out to about 4 games a week, which is a small number compared to some of the guys in here who have to have action on any game on T.V. Televised College games average about 40 a calendar week, when you take into consideration all of the regionally televised games. That is a lot of games. I also rather wager big amounts on a few games than small amounts on many games. The absolute unquestioned fact about wagering is this. The higher the number of games that you wager on, the more likely you will end up around the 50% mark fir a W/L record, and as we all know, 50% is a loser. I also NEVER chase bad money. My wagers are basically for the same amount. To me, the game is either worth wagering or it is not.
I tend to concentrate on the Power 5 conferences, though I will look at every game. I wager on about 100 games per year, including bowl games. It averages out to about 4 games a week, which is a small number compared to some of the guys in here who have to have action on any game on T.V. Televised College games average about 40 a calendar week, when you take into consideration all of the regionally televised games. That is a lot of games. I also rather wager big amounts on a few games than small amounts on many games. The absolute unquestioned fact about wagering is this. The higher the number of games that you wager on, the more likely you will end up around the 50% mark fir a W/L record, and as we all know, 50% is a loser. I also NEVER chase bad money. My wagers are basically for the same amount. To me, the game is either worth wagering or it is not.
I normally wager on 5 - 8 games or sides/totals per week (70-80 picks per year.) Often there are team totals wagers and quarter and halftime sides and/or totals wagers available but often they aren't available until the day of the game. The trends tend to materialize quickly in several ways at the same time and they often can be exploited before the books get wise... if ever. Frequently some team shows a certain tendency to score or shut down their opponent's offense at some point during games and often the pattern keeps repeating game after game. Find those current trends as they develop and you probably just added 10% - 15% to your seasonal totals for every one you use to fill out your weekly card.
5-8 games be it sides or totals per week is the correct play. I am sure that you, like myself, are quite willing to pass on a week if the numbers are just not there. I will never wager on a game just for the sake of wagering. I consider people who claim to wager on every televised game as either losers, or liars. Either way, they will never come close to being a winner over a prolonged period of time with that attitude.
I wager directly in Las Vegas, whether I am there or not. It just takes a phone call and I can get in wagers at the last minute if we know in advance that a possibility exists that such a wager may take place. Normally I wager very early (minutes after the lines come out on Sunday) or very late (an hour before kickoff). I do not play a lot of totals, but I have noticed one thing. No matter what the line for the total does during a week, it will eventually drift back to it's opening number or close to it by time the game starts. Has anyone else noticed this?
I wager directly in Las Vegas, whether I am there or not. It just takes a phone call and I can get in wagers at the last minute if we know in advance that a possibility exists that such a wager may take place. Normally I wager very early (minutes after the lines come out on Sunday) or very late (an hour before kickoff). I do not play a lot of totals, but I have noticed one thing. No matter what the line for the total does during a week, it will eventually drift back to it's opening number or close to it by time the game starts. Has anyone else noticed this?
In most normal situations that could be true. However often a game gets sided and the line has a tendency to go somewhere and just park there.
Just watch this... Thursday and Friday night games are often sided or might even have some reverse line movement. If either of those things happen,
unload a truckload on the team being faded by the public money. After all, it doesn't seem right that sportsbooks make a killing like that all by themselves.
By the way, I just bought my dog his very first pair of doggles to wear when he
hangs his head out the window while we are driving. Very stylish, practical too. A
must for dogs that ride with their master on his motorcycle.
Just watch this... Thursday and Friday night games are often sided or might even have some reverse line movement. If either of those things happen,
unload a truckload on the team being faded by the public money. After all, it doesn't seem right that sportsbooks make a killing like that all by themselves.
By the way, I just bought my dog his very first pair of doggles to wear when he
hangs his head out the window while we are driving. Very stylish, practical too. A
must for dogs that ride with their master on his motorcycle.
Remember gaming, like anything else in life, is streaky. It is NOT a W/L/W/L type of exercise. It is more of a win 3 in a row, lose 3 in a row type of deal. How many times have you actually broke even in a week instead of either winning or losing overall in that week? Find someone who is on a streak, either way, and you can make a few bucks by studying his/her picks.
