chop ? for ya when would you suggest using the 1.5 rl, or -1 etc, at what price for example today i had boston -200 so i played them on the rl instead, is there a certain # that you wont bet like fav's 200 over, then you use the rl
basically just trying to get advice on when to use the rl on fav's at what price thanks respect your knowledge of the game thats why i ask gl :thumbsup2:
basically just trying to get advice on when to use the rl on fav's at what price thanks respect your knowledge of the game thats why i ask gl :thumbsup2:
Willye said:
If a bet has enough value to play on the runline it automatically has enough value to play on the money. FEZZIK wrote a very solid post about this the other day about your question that I will post here.
In general the 'chart' conversion from ML to RL is correct. Based on that, you would think a bettor would do about the same playing MLs vs. RLs.
However, MLs have 8 cents, 10 cent lines everywhere. Most RLs are 20 cent lines, a few exceptions. Avid shoppers can typically play almost vigBonus Betting MLs, they have to pay some to play RLs.
Further, those with just a few outs still have a dime line on the ML, but pay 20 cents RL. Laying or taking 1.5, EVERY bettor will get pounded playing RLs where the theoretical house edge is so much higher.
This all assumes the ML is minus $1.80 or less on the favorite you are betting (or dog). When the ML gets into minus $2.20 territory it is the ML spreads that get ugly (-220/+190). Here, suddenly avid shoppers do bettor playing runlines on the FAV OR the DOG typically.
There are exceptions to every rule, and rogue lines change things but basic strategy on Runlines:
1. Consider the Runline when the ML hits minus 1.80 to minus 2.10 on the favorite. It does not matter whether you are taking 1.5 or laying 1.5.
2. Strongly consider the runline once the ML goes over 2.40.
Ps. I personally hate the idea that the RL is a bet on a team losing by exactly one. No. You are betting they lose by 1 or win. RLines have their place, but the best bettors follow the above guidelins.
Id have to say I agree with everything he said here except for the +1.5 part.
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