Add:
Buffalo + 8.5 - 1 unit
Jax should win this but there are too many points. They lost their last two in the regular season and Bortles and co will likely be nervous and tight, much as LA was. I don't know how healthy McCoy is, but I do know (as a Fournette owner in fantasy) that Leonard Fournette hasn't had great production the last of the year, with various issues with health. As I note above, Buffalo has played well since the Peterman Debacle, winning all their games except 2 vs NE (this is SU). Just too many points. I do worry about defensive scoring from Jax. But Bortles is also capable of a pick 6 or several poorly timed picks. This makes me lean OVER as well, but I am as of 11:30 est reluctant to play the total. Could change.
Anyway, this is a mismatch, but 8.5 points turns a mismatch into a modest gambling oppurtunity on shitty wild card team vs Blake Bortles and co.