GLGL! Let's smash that under. Both you and 3PG ended up on both of my bets which is sweet. Hope we can cash.
What was your reasoning for the LAR -6? I was a bit hesitant so I teased that one. I know Falcons have a bad taste in their mouth from last year, although I'm pretty sure teams are at max motivation. I might be being a little too careful here.
What was your reasoning for the LAR -6? I was a bit hesitant so I teased that one. I know Falcons have a bad taste in their mouth from last year, although I'm pretty sure teams are at max motivation. I might be being a little too careful here.
Well my confidence was misplaced in the Rams. Shame they are as fun to watch as any young team. But they sputtered. Will Jax be nervous, tight? Unlike Atlanta, Buffalo doesn't have the playoff experience. They also have nothing to lose though, which is not true of the Falcons who feel -- despite being a 6 seed -- they need to win it all.
I think I am taking the dog early, but still need to mull. I am pretty stuck on a side with NO/CAR. I like NO a lot better, but the line is inflated, to be sure. Tough calls this game.
Anyway,
Playoffs: 2-1 -.2 units
YTD: 83-64 + 18 units
Plays coming. Still want to examine team totals which get posted so late these days
I think I am taking the dog early, but still need to mull. I am pretty stuck on a side with NO/CAR. I like NO a lot better, but the line is inflated, to be sure. Tough calls this game.
Anyway,
Playoffs: 2-1 -.2 units
YTD: 83-64 + 18 units
Plays coming. Still want to examine team totals which get posted so late these days
Add:
Buffalo + 8.5 - 1 unit
Jax should win this but there are too many points. They lost their last two in the regular season and Bortles and co will likely be nervous and tight, much as LA was. I don't know how healthy McCoy is, but I do know (as a Fournette owner in fantasy) that Leonard Fournette hasn't had great production the last of the year, with various issues with health. As I note above, Buffalo has played well since the Peterman Debacle, winning all their games except 2 vs NE (this is SU). Just too many points. I do worry about defensive scoring from Jax. But Bortles is also capable of a pick 6 or several poorly timed picks. This makes me lean OVER as well, but I am as of 11:30 est reluctant to play the total. Could change.
Anyway, this is a mismatch, but 8.5 points turns a mismatch into a modest gambling oppurtunity on shitty wild card team vs Blake Bortles and co.
Buffalo + 8.5 - 1 unit
Jax should win this but there are too many points. They lost their last two in the regular season and Bortles and co will likely be nervous and tight, much as LA was. I don't know how healthy McCoy is, but I do know (as a Fournette owner in fantasy) that Leonard Fournette hasn't had great production the last of the year, with various issues with health. As I note above, Buffalo has played well since the Peterman Debacle, winning all their games except 2 vs NE (this is SU). Just too many points. I do worry about defensive scoring from Jax. But Bortles is also capable of a pick 6 or several poorly timed picks. This makes me lean OVER as well, but I am as of 11:30 est reluctant to play the total. Could change.
Anyway, this is a mismatch, but 8.5 points turns a mismatch into a modest gambling oppurtunity on shitty wild card team vs Blake Bortles and co.
ADD:
NO - 6 (-115) - 1 unit
Feel fortunate to find this, as some shops are charging 125 for this line or worse. Anyway, this spread it admittedly probably inflated. But I see so much inconsistency with Carolina and when things don't go their way it can get ugly. Carolina is truly a Jeckyl and Hyde kind of thing. Look like world beaters vs GB, like shit vs ATL. I think I lean UNDER.
NO - 6 (-115) - 1 unit
Feel fortunate to find this, as some shops are charging 125 for this line or worse. Anyway, this spread it admittedly probably inflated. But I see so much inconsistency with Carolina and when things don't go their way it can get ugly. Carolina is truly a Jeckyl and Hyde kind of thing. Look like world beaters vs GB, like shit vs ATL. I think I lean UNDER.
