Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[pops69]

Thursday June 7th D-Day

worm day, nice and quiet here in vegas land, perfect morning to get things done

already got my stars, and cherry picking. i expect some decent moves today, especially on some side bets, always love those very large moves

i assume that everyone has already spent a few hours with todays numbers, as much red as i can ever remember. so expect a bunch of downward move on o/u as well

i'll be around for at least 4-5 hours

 

[ILMW]

Pops I think Joe Public will be all over Boston today assuming their is no way they lose or get swept by the A's let alone lose 4 in a row.

 

[pops69]

Pops I think Joe Public will be all over Boston today assuming their is no way they lose or get swept by the A's let alone lose 4 in a row.

keep an eye on clev as well, same thing with the 2 in a row thing at home to kc. a bunch of free money in those large ml moves

 

[pops69]

sooner or later they are bound to win an under on the nats vs pitt game. everyone of those games has been bet to the under an gone way over. today's there last chance, see it's been bet under again today

guess it must be like a 3 game sweep thing which never happens, not

 

[pops69]

fyi, i added a couple of items to some of the pivot tables, can remember them all, but one was Indoors vs Outdoors Ball Park Avg Runs

check it out, overall higher outside vs inside, except 1, but they have only had 5 games OS so could be tainted results

 

[sinatrac]

9:21......gl

<TABLE borderColor=#ffffff cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=3></TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=2>Game Time Temp</TH><TH class=bg0_sub>Heat Index</TH></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>PIT PIRATES
WAS NATIONALS
Thu 1:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY SUNNY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 9-14</TD><TD class=td>84 </TD><TD class=td>44 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>HOU ASTROS
COL ROCKIES
Thu 3:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY SUNNY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM CENTER 15-25, GUSTY</TD><TD class=td>54 </TD><TD class=td>38 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>PHI PHILLIES
NY METS
Thu 7:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 9-14</TD><TD class=td>71 </TD><TD class=td>56 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>CHI CUBS
ATL BRAVES
Thu 7:35 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 7-12</TD><TD class=td>84 </TD><TD class=td>54 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>CIN REDS
STL CARDINALS
Thu 8:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS LATE.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 20-30, GUSTY</TD><TD class=td>88 </TD><TD class=td>51 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>93 </TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>SF GIANTS
ARZ DBACKS
Thu 9:40 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>LEFT TO RIGHT 10-15</TD><TD class=td>89 </TD><TD class=td>11 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>LA DODGERS
SD PADRES
Thu 10:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM LEFT 8-13</TD><TD class=td>65 </TD><TD class=td>65 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>KC ROYALS
CLE INDIANS
Thu 12:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY SUNNY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 12-17, GUSTY</TD><TD class=td>85 </TD><TD class=td>42 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>TB DEVILRAYS
TOR BLUE JAYS
Thu 12:35 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY SUNNY.</TD><TD class=td>LEFT TO RIGHT 9-14</TD><TD class=td>74 </TD><TD class=td>42 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>BOS RED SOX
OAK A'S
Thu 3:35 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY SUNNY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT 11-16</TD><TD class=td>69 </TD><TD class=td>52 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>NY YANKEES
CHI WHITE SOX
Thu 8:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS, POSSIBLY SEVERE LATE.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 20-30, GUSTY IN STORMS</TD><TD class=td>84 </TD><TD class=td>52 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>DET TIGERS
TEX RANGERS
Thu 8:35 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>RIGHT TO LEFT 10-20</TD><TD class=td>87 </TD><TD class=td>58 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>93 </TD></TR></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[pops69]

6/06/07
2:58:17p Wise Guy Move Wise Guy Move: Gm# 906 PIRATES UN 8½-EV

i believe most here bet the over on this game. i have not kept any records of how these WGM have been doing, but many that i noticed your posts on have lost.

where do these come from

what the record if any

always looking for an additional source to fade

tks

 

[pops69]

only the 2nd time that holly has had a -8, only one cat is not a minus and that 44%

 

[$4nothing]

pops unsure if link'll work daily...no plays today yet.
no running tally.

agree not doin' well of late
http://www.gjupdate.com/GJUpdate/LineService/GetUrgents.aspx?date=6/07/2007

 

[pops69]

pops unsure if link'll work daily...no plays today yet.
no running tally.

agree not doin' well of late
http://www.gjupdate.com/GJUpdate/LineService/GetUrgents.aspx?date=6/07/2007

ok, so right now it's all blank, and you would have needed to keep track of everyone manually

do you know what the criteria is?

 

[$4nothing]

6/07/07
8:27:42a MLB Baseball MLB Baseball: Gm# 965 (DH) Mike Sweeney is NOT expected to be in the starting lineup for Kansas City.

 

[$4nothing]

<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="760"><tbody><tr><td class="padded bold" valign="top" width="75">6/07/07
8:30:44a</td> <td class="padded darkred bold" valign="top" width="125">MLB Baseball</td> <td class="padded bold" valign="top" width="510">MLB Baseball: Gm# 961 (OF) Barry Bonds IS expected to be in the starting lineup for San Frisco.</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[mlfp]

SS's for the early games up on FTP and in inboxes. Introduced a new rule to picking sides which has yielded a 29-15 record thus far for the SS. I still say tread lightly on these plays as once again it's not what the SS was designed for, just a side effect to this point at least. Column 'D' is the most important for picking the side according to this rule. Be sure to cross-check my numbers against Pops' and only play the best looking options, not a time to get lazy and stop doing the work.

 

[pops69]

back in a couple of hours

glta

 

[$4nothing]

6/07/07
8:56:20a Wise Guy Move Wise Guy Move: Gm# 965 ROYALS UN 9½-EV

 

[ILMW]

CPU u still reading this thread on a daily basis?

 

[jacksonjohn]

All data created equal?

Would like to hear how some of you use the great amt. of data we have, i.e. d/n, l/r, h/a, umps, humidity, whip, era, and the list goes on and on.
Do you treat all categories the same when breaking down a game, or do you assign weighted avgs. to some? How do you decide which columns to use and which to ignore? A see a real possibility of "analysis paralysis." Welcome any and all comments.

 

[FennisDembo]

pops tomorrows pdws is in your mailbox. lines are up. I may make up for todays early send with a late one tomorrow...

 

[mlfp]

Bos/Oak SS on FTP & in inboxes, GL.

 

[mlfp]

If anyone wants to crank out a SS to help me out, I need a lot of National League teams done as only 5 are finished with interleague coming up. Let me know or just DL the stuff off of FTP if you want to help, send questions to me mike16437 at comcast dot net