Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[patswin]

There goes my under in Cleveland, 7 runs in last 2 Innings:nohead:

 

[mlfp]

There goes my under in Cleveland, 7 runs in last 2 Innings:nohead:

Honestly, how does that not go under? Was looking at an amazing start to the day and that just ruined it.

 

[patswin]

Would like to hear how some of you use the great amt. of data we have, i.e. d/n, l/r, h/a, umps, humidity, whip, era, and the list goes on and on.
Do you treat all categories the same when breaking down a game, or do you assign weighted avgs. to some? How do you decide which columns to use and which to ignore? A see a real possibility of "analysis paralysis." Welcome any and all comments.

jj i use it as a tool in deciding which plays look attractive. I check the pdws and wa_nps mostly and do check the humidity and line move data. I don't use it exclusively to make plays, just part of the decision making process. I also look at line moves, streaks, schedules, umps. etc. I bet sides too, not just totals. Probably 70% totals, 30% sides

 

[mlfp]

Swept the D-Rays with +180 on the side, that turned the day around, very nice.

 

[pops69]

i assume that everyone has already spent a few hours with todays numbers, as much red as i can ever remember. so expect a bunch of downward move on o/u as well

i'll be around for at least 4-5 hours

BATR

my first post this am regarding how the data for today showed everything as a solid ender

i see that the ship came in on a couple. let me get caught up and let's get on with the show

 

[pops69]

rather be lucky than smart. i went over all the weather reports and toronto look like the roof was going to be open for the game. so based on that and mike's data on the game i went with the un 9-. just checking now it was closed. had i known that i would have bet the over and 2x more runs closed vs open

 

[BillDildeaux]

rather be lucky than smart. i went over all the weather reports and toronto look like the roof was going to be open for the game. so based on that and mike's data on the game i went with the un 9-. just checking now it was closed. had i known that i would have bet the over and 2x more runs closed vs open

Pops I did the exact same thing, is mlb.com the only place to check out the roof status?

Unless the teams are hitting homeruns in that stadium, a ton of players get left on base.

 

[pops69]

cant get much better on an under than 1-0 zip in boston game and they were the 2nd -8 since we started with that format

got a couple quick things to do, should be back in about 20 min max

 

[pops69]

Pops I did the exact same thing, is mlb.com the only place to check out the roof status?

Unless the teams are hitting homeruns in that stadium, a ton of players get left on base.

so far only place i found that really reports it unless you know someone in toronto etc, i normally try to check the weather early, and did a hour by hour forcast and everything was coming up roses

 

[Gravy]

Pops,Did you hear from "The Rick" about the Spurs/Cavs Game tonight.Just like to know what his thoughts are on the game tonight and the series.Gravy

 

[pops69]

Pops,Did you hear from "The Rick" about the Spurs/Cavs Game tonight.Just like to know what his thoughts are on the game tonight and the series.Gravy

no i was tied up most of the day, but i heading to the casino in less than two hours to hook up with him, little help that will be to anyone. sorry. i try to get a read on his overall of the series

 

[pops69]

early games going with the following because:

atl ov 8

1. half point line move fade
2. holly pivot bet
3. high temp 92
4. low humidity 44
5. almost forgot, ump change Reilford vs randazzo 5-0 over NL 2007

that all i got early

 

[pops69]

cws, davidson replacing dreckman at HP, little on the over side vs dreckman

 

[cd329]

early games going with the following because:

atl ov 8

1. half point line move fade
2. holly pivot bet
3. high temp 92
4. low humidity 44
5. almost forgot, ump change Reilford vs randazzo 5-0 over NL 2007

that all i got early

Pops,
can you explain the holly pivot bet? That table i have yet to figure out
thanks
cd

 

[$4nothing]

6/07/07
3:55:26p MLB Baseball MLB Baseball: Gm# 971 (C) Jorge Posada is NOT expected to be in the starting lineup for N.Y. Yankees. Jermaine Dye is NOT expected to be in the starting lineup for Chicago White Sox. Juan Uribe is NOT expected to be in the starting lineup for Chicago White Sox.

 

[Ruleof72]

cws, davidson replacing dreckman at HP, little on the over side vs dreckman

enough to change an opinion, or pretty much a non issue?

 

[oilbarrel]

FYI on the CWS game, very windy, heard this morning that the wind gusts may get up to 50mph

 

[nsight]

Jeter also not starting for the Yanks

 

[mlfp]

SS's are up and in inboxes for night games. GL

 

[lefty357]

Extremely Windy Here In Chicagoland With Stongstorms Headed Are Way About 9:00 C......strong Wind Advisories Are Out For The Area Til Morning... I Could See All These Replacement Players Running Around With A Thumb Up There Ass Trying To Catch Fly Balls Tonite.