Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

pops69 · May 16, 2007

Wednesday May 16th

morning all, i'll be leaving here in about 20 min, just checking in plus email b4 i leave.

i sent out the updates and they had cws double header info. for those just pulling it from the thread posted use yesterdays pdws for the cws game info and past it to the new sheet at the bottom and your good to go

later

pops69 · May 16, 2007

gcnmoo said:
you guys need to stop focusing so much on wind and umpires. These things are hardly ever relevant and you should pay much more attention to the pitcher/offenses/bullpen and stadium. Wind is basically only a factor in games at wrigley field and the line reflects that.

98% of the effort from the individuals collecting data for the pdws (which are posted here) is for pitching data.

anyone that bets with only looking at pitcher is doomed to fail. all factors need to be considered

pitchers
scoring
line moves
weather (i believe that's what most games are played in)
umps

the items that we dont have data on that is equally important are the pig pens and there avg runs pitched per games etc but that's coming next year

out of here guys, back around 9am

glta

ILMW · May 16, 2007

I see that the 50-65 humidity range is 113-80, Pops with that Harvard degree what is the percentage on that as my math sucks ass.

spesh · May 16, 2007

PITCH CHG in HOU...Chris Sampson..

sinatrac · May 16, 2007

How bout dem Bulls?

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=900 bgColor=#fcf5e5 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD vAlign=top><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rt_railbox_border><TABLE class=rt_railbox_border2 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=TH vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=component_head align=middle>WEATHER</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><TR class=bg0_sub vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD><TABLE borderColor=#ffffff cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR><TH class=bg0_sub width="20%">Matchup</TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=3>Conditions</TH><TH class=bg0_sub colSpan=2>Game Time Temp</TH><TH class=bg0_sub>Heat Index</TH></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>ATL BRAVES
WAS NATIONALS
Wed 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWERS EARLY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT 11-16</TD><TD class=td>70 </TD><TD class=td>73 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>FLA MARLINS
PIT PIRATES
Wed 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT CENTER 10-15</TD><TD class=td>55 </TD><TD class=td>80 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>MIL BREWERS
PHI PHILLIES
Wed 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWERS.</TD><TD class=td>LEFT TO RIGHT 11-16</TD><TD class=td>71 </TD><TD class=td>68 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>CHI CUBS
NY METS
Wed 7:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWER, STORMS.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO CENTER 11-16</TD><TD class=td>69 </TD><TD class=td>75 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>SF GIANTS
HOU ASTROS
Wed 8:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 9-14</TD><TD class=td>79 </TD><TD class=td>60 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>ARZ DBACKS
COL ROCKIES
Wed 8:35 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT CENTER 10-15</TD><TD class=td>78 </TD><TD class=td>29 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>CIN REDS
SD PADRES
Wed 10:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>LEFT TO RIGHT 9-14</TD><TD class=td>65 </TD><TD class=td>67 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>STL CARDINALS
LA DODGERS
Wed 10:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>PARTLY CLOUDY, HAZY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT CENTER 7-12</TD><TD class=td>67 </TD><TD class=td>75 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>MIN TWINS
CLE INDIANS
Wed 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT 11-16</TD><TD class=td>55 </TD><TD class=td>71 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>DET TIGERS
BOS RED SOX
Wed 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>CLOUDY, 70% CHANCE SHOWER, STORMS.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO LEFT 12-17, GUSTY</TD><TD class=td>64 </TD><TD class=td>78 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>BAL ORIOLES
TOR BLUE JAYS
Wed 7:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWERS.</TD><TD class=td>IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 10-15</TD><TD class=td>49 </TD><TD class=td>80 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>TEX RANGERS
TB DEVILRAYS
Wed 7:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>TROPICANA FIELD (DOME) </TD><TD class=td>No wind</TD><TD class=td>75</TD><TD class=td>Indoors</TD><TD class=td>75</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>NY YANKEES
CHI WHITE SOX
Wed 8:10 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS LATE.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT 12-17, GUSTY</TD><TD class=td>61 </TD><TD class=td>60 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>LA ANGELS
SEA MARINERS
Wed 10:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY FAIR.</TD><TD class=td>LEFT TO RIGHT 8-13</TD><TD class=td>64 </TD><TD class=td>51 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR><TR align=middle><TD class=td align=left>KC ROYALS
OAK A'S
Wed 10:05 p.m. ET</TD><TD class=td>

</TD><TD class=td>MOSTLY CLOUDY.</TD><TD class=td>OUT TO RIGHT CENTER 9-14</TD><TD class=td>58 </TD><TD class=td>74 %
Humid</TD><TD class=td>-</TD></TR></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=bottom align=middle><TD class=a1 align=left>Updated: Wed, May 16, 2007 at 10:20 AM EDT</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

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Ruleof72 · May 16, 2007

ILMW said:
I see that the 50-65 humidity range is 113-80, Pops with that Harvard degree what is the percentage on that as my math sucks ass.

58.5%

ILMW · May 16, 2007

Thanks rule.

coachesplays · May 16, 2007

3 day totals 5-11 +325 for the new -2 1/2 plays at 5 dimes. Dodgers bullpen imploded late to screw me after cruising home with a 9-4 lead, gave up 3 late to win 9-7.

Anyway, today's games are as follows:
Pitt -2 1/2 +280 Florida
Philly -2 1/2 +240 Milwaukee
NYM -2 1/2 +258 Chicago
Colorado -2 1/2 +345 AZ
Boston -2 1/2 +215 Detroit

Good luck and let's win two and show a profit.

pops69 · May 16, 2007

BATR

updated the pdws for the houston pitcher change and the cws DH, and it's posted below:

already bet the following:

houston un
toronto un
clev ov

still fishing

pops69 · May 16, 2007

fuck for got the spreadsheet

pdws below:

punter · May 16, 2007

ALERT

Opening line in Bosox is 11

pops69 · May 16, 2007

punter said:
ALERT

Opening line in Bosox is 11

i actually expect that to go even higher, so wait

pops69 · May 16, 2007

added

mets ov
phil ov

still shopping

Snets · May 16, 2007

Hi pops - et al....

Love reading this thread with my morning coffee always learn so much.

I have 3 questions if I may..

1. I noticed you refer to some other terms like - holly fuc & pivot tbls are they some where in the sheet you send out everyday? Am I blind? can you direct me towards them

2. In the NYY/CWS games you have carlson as the home ump in both, is this b/c you are unsure which game he starts BHP?

3. I was thinking over in Boston but I see you guys are thinking under and are waiting for a better line. Why do you like the under?

Thanks

snets

pops69 · May 16, 2007

added

pitt ov
lad ov

still shipping but looking for line move fades later in the day

all for now, 7 pieces

pops69 · May 16, 2007

Snets said:
Hi pops - et al....

Love reading this thread with my morning coffee always learn so much.

I have 3 questions if I may..

1. I noticed you refer to some other terms like - holly fuc & pivot tbls are they some where in the sheet you send out everyday? Am I blind? can you direct me towards them

2. In the NYY/CWS games you have carlson as the home ump in both, is this b/c you are unsure which game he starts BHP?

3. I was thinking over in Boston but I see you guys are thinking under and are waiting for a better line. Why do you like the under?

Thanks

snets

carson should only be the early game, 2nd game is young, little on the ov side, but number is being bet down because it the 2nd game of a DH so all the real real real smart guys have bet it down to nine maybe 8- cause they know tired fucks cant bat for shit (guess they forgot about going back to the hotel for power naps and a quick blow job)

i only post the pdws in the thread, the complete mlb spreadsheets only go to people that help in the thread by collecting data which enables us to do the spreadsheets in a timly manner w/o 1 person spending over 30 hours per day doing it. the pivot tables (about 12 of them) are imbedded in the spreadsheets etc. the holly fuck is a more detailed summary like the popsummary i post in the thread, but i has a combination of 9 ov/un rankings of plus or minus 60% and avg runs score home & away, day night for ytd, last 45 and last 30 days scoring

reason everyone is talking under, is that opening lines of 11 this year are something like 14-1 under

EasyMoney9 · May 16, 2007

Sampson now pitching for the astros.

CTP · May 16, 2007

I think your in trouble pops. I agreed with your first 3 but sure question the last 2. Each category it seems the 2 teams offset each other Home is over away under, day is over for home under for away, home pitcher over away under. You do way better at this than me so I trust your judgement.

Anyone see anything in the 1st game for Cws/nyy looks like an under to me both 5 innings and game.

ILMW · May 16, 2007

Root User since 5/8

5/8 1-1 +23
5/9 1-2 -73
5/10 1-1 +28
5/11 1-0 +127
5/12 1-2 -78
5/13 1-0 +172
5/14 2-0 +269
5/15 0-1 -100

Total profit since 5/8 +368

Snets · May 16, 2007

pops69 said:
carson should only be the early game, 2nd game is young, little on the ov side, but number is being bet down because it the 2nd game of a DH so all the real real real smart guys have bet it down to nine maybe 8- cause they know tired fucks cant bat for shit (guess they forgot about going back to the hotel for power naps and a quick blow job)

i only post the pdws in the thread, the complete mlb spreadsheets only go to people that help in the thread by collecting data which enables us to do the spreadsheets in a timly manner w/o 1 person spending over 30 hours per day doing it. the pivot tables (about 12 of them) are imbedded in the spreadsheets etc. the holly fuck is a more detailed summary like the popsummary i post in the thread, but i has a combination of 9 ov/un rankings of plus or minus 60% and avg runs score home & away, day night for ytd, last 45 and last 30 days scoring

reason everyone is talking under, is that opening lines of 11 this year are something like 14-1 under

Thanks for all the answers!

BOL today

snets

Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

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