Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

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smooth not rich
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Local radio guy talking with Sox pitch coach Don Cooper, complaining of huge strike zone, and thought the ump check video (they said the name, but can't think of it) may account for the big zone, as they are getting graded daily, and maybe being told to enforce armpits to knees etc...
1. Is this something we should be considering
2. Not all parks have it, do we know which do and which do not?
 

winningtotals every day
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Sheet for 4/5

Hey guys - off to a great start 9-3-1 on totals

Light schedule today but sheet's attached

gl
 
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fucing travesty this thread is close to page 2

pops got your email on the bases and I'm there. Think i've got it daeled.

looks like root is starting to heat up. I'll be the first to eat crow but they may be back. ended up playing a nice cash hold em game tonight and missed them, but by calcs look like they were 4-2 tonight. keep up the good work asu, geppi, bones, tbones, bullets etc all....face it bases suck, would be nice to hit some 60% nba deep into the playoffs.



Jdog,
unless you are getting special emails that are differnt, lolllll, root had an off day going 2-3.
 

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Hey guys - off to a great start 9-3-1 on totals

Light schedule today but sheet's attached

gl


Thanks for the sheet Capn
and also to Pops for his sheet he put up
and a thanks to Tbone for the sheet he sends out.
thank you to all these guys.
 

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Hey guys - off to a great start 9-3-1 on totals

Light schedule today but sheet's attached

gl


Great start Capn, when looking at youre sheet do you look for a certain break point or seperation point between youre projected total and the set line which may push you to one side or another. Thanks
 

winningtotals every day
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Great start Capn, when looking at youre sheet do you look for a certain break point or seperation point between youre projected total and the set line which may push you to one side or another. Thanks

Yes, a difference of 1.0 on full game totals and .8 on 5 innings - those are auto highlighted on the sheet. Have historically won around 60% over the season.
 

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Local radio guy talking with Sox pitch coach Don Cooper, complaining of huge strike zone, and thought the ump check video (they said the name, but can't think of it) may account for the big zone, as they are getting graded daily, and maybe being told to enforce armpits to knees etc...
1. Is this something we should be considering
2. Not all parks have it, do we know which do and which do not?

Questec. This is the camera curt schilling smashed a couple of years ago. mlb umpires association filed a grievance but later dropped it and the system survived.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=3326
 

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Like Clev. on 5 inng line
Cws have trouble with lft pitching, and have lit Buerle up in the past.
 

Rx. Senior
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Local radio guy talking with Sox pitch coach Don Cooper, complaining of huge strike zone, and thought the ump check video (they said the name, but can't think of it) may account for the big zone, as they are getting graded daily, and maybe being told to enforce armpits to knees etc...
1. Is this something we should be considering
2. Not all parks have it, do we know which do and which do not?

is this only in chig, dont know a thing about it, i'll check with a couple of my ump sources to see if it's anything diff
 

smooth not rich
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Went to site FD listed and sent them an e-mail requesting what parks are using it.....
 

smooth not rich
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According to the article 23 of the 30 parks have it, The umps are sent a dvd next day of their game.
 

Rx. Senior
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Hey guys - off to a great start 9-3-1 on totals

Light schedule today but sheet's attached

gl


nice work CH, your route is sure easier than the road i'm driving down. hopefully the guys that have offered to help will follow thru. if not i'll just take the easy road myself. life is too short. tks and gl
 

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I was looking up info about questec and stumbled onto this synopsis of a research article which I found interesting. Did you know we are living in the "new equilibrium"? Sounds new-agey.

Newswise — After baseball's offensive explosion of the late 1990s, Major League Baseball's batters cooled off beginning in the 2001 season, and a statistical analysis by two University of Nebraska-Lincoln historians offers data to back up two theories for the cause -- a larger de facto strike zone beginning in 2001 and the implementation in 2003 of a drug-testing program in the major leagues.

In a followup to a 2002 study, "Baseball's Great Hitting Barrage of the 1990s," Ben Rader and Kenneth Winkle returned to the subject with the benefit of a longer historical perspective and the opportunity to extend their statistical analysis through the 2006 season.

Their research showed three distinct eras of offense in recent baseball history -- an era of low productivity (1969-93), the great offensive barrage (1994-2000) and what they termed the "new equilibrium" (2000-06). In comparing the latter two eras, they found a direct correlation between the larger de facto strike zone and lower offensive production, plus a circumstantial, but strong, correlation between testing for performance-enhancing drugs and lower offensive numbers.

In their 2002 study, Rader and Winkle speculated that a new style of hitting may have been the most important factor in the offensive outburst of the late 1990s. Hitters were aided by the umpire's smaller de facto strike zone that in essence took the chest-high inside fastball away from pitchers. Not having to worry about bailing out, sluggers could crowd the plate and swing away. That Major League Baseball recognized this as a problem was demonstrated in 2001 when Sandy Alderson, MLB vice president of baseball operations, tried to retrain umpires before the start of spring training by having them call pitches with minor league batters standing at the plate with white strips taped across their chests, approximately nine inches above the waist (where the rule book said the top of the strike zone should be). A second measure instituted by Alderson in 2001 was the use of the controversial QuesTec pitch-tracking technology in selected parks during regular-season games.

As Rader and Winkle relate in their new study, "Baseball's Great Hitting Barrage of the 1990s (and Beyond) Reexamined," umpires and players (including some pitchers) greeted QuesTec and the new strike zone with howls of protest. But the data compiled by the UNL historians show a dramatic shift in the number of bases on balls allowed per game, indicating the measures had some degree of success.

From 1990 to 1993, the major leagues averaged no more than 6.66 bases on balls per game in a season. Each year from 1994 through 2000 recorded more walks than that, with a high of 7.51 in 2000. From 2001 to 2006, the major leagues had fewer walks per game in each season than in any season from 1994 to 2000, and there were only 6.26 walks per game in 2005, the fewest in at least the last 17 years.

The late 1990s also saw an increase in the average size of hitters. Rader and Winkle report that in 1990, major league batters averaged 2.66 pounds per inch of height. That averaged increased steadily until it reached a peak of 2.73 pounds per inch of height in 1997, 1998 and 1999. The average began to drop after that, and after MLB began drug testing in 2003, it fell to 2.65 pounds per inch in 2006. The average major-league player in 2006 weighed nearly six pounds less than his 1998 counterpart.

The changes in height-weight ratios closely track the rise and fall of aggregate major-league output in key offensive categories since 1990 (the numbers in each category are for 1990-93, 1994-2000 and 2001-06):

* Batting average -- .259, .269, .265.
* Runs per game -- 8.64, 9.92, 9.46 (three seasons from 1994-2000 averaged more than 10 runs per game, with a high of 10.58 in 2000).
* Home runs per game -- 1.60, 2.15, 2.17.
* On-base percentage plus slugging percentage -- .711, .764, .756.

"Initially, we really thought we were onto something with this weight-height ratio related to offensive productivity, but then it turned out the strike zone is an even stronger correlation," Rader said. "I think the problem with the steroids is you don't know when they're using steroids or the amount.

"Some people claim that the increased weight results from use of steroids, and, boy, it peaks right in the middle of the hitting revolution, then it begins to fall off once they begin to test. They begin effective tests in 2003, and since then, it's down, and in fact it's down below what it was in 1990. It's interesting. I think there has to be a relationship there, too, but we just don't know for sure how much of this is evidence of steroids. Steroids may may have helped pitchers some, too, but that's up for debate. These guys are stronger, but how much of it is due to drugs, I don't know."

Rader and Winkle said one reason players are stronger than they were 15 years ago is increased emphasis in baseball on strength and conditioning.

But they also reported the worries of baseball executives that use of performance-enhancing drugs such as anabolic steroids and human growth hormones can cause players to add more muscle mass than their frames can support, leading to more injuries and more difficulty in recovery. To check this out, they examined MLB disabled-list figures and found that players in 2001 made 467 trips to the DL, and averaged 58.1 days on the list. In 2006, players made 414 trips and averaged 27.8 days per trip -- less than half the 2001 average.

"All of this having been said about steroids and HGH, much remains unknown about their effects on athletic performance," Rader and Winkle wrote. "No reputable scientists have been able to conduct controlled experiments. No one knows to what degree one anabolic steroid or the other permits an athlete to work out harder or for more sustained periods of time. No one knows what dosages are optimum for muscle building. Given what we know about the effects of other chemicals on the human body, it seems reasonable to assume that a particular anabolic steroid might help one athlete more than another in building muscles. In other words, it is likely that some players benefited far more than others from using drugs. It is even plausible that a given steroid, HGH, and dosage could actually reduce the performance of a particular athlete."

Rader and Winkle plan to publish their study in NINE: A Journal of Baseball History and Culture. They presented their findings and the journal's 14th annual Spring Training Conference on the Historical and Sociological Impact of Baseball March 15-18 in Tucson, Ariz.
 

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According to the article 23 of the 30 parks have it, The umps are sent a dvd next day of their game.

Can we find out which 7 don't have it? IF we can, we could track b/s ratios for umps at those parks vs other parks and hopefully we find something.
 

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Can we find out which 7 don't have it? IF we can, we could track b/s ratios for umps at those parks vs other parks and hopefully we find something.

I would think they all do now. That article is old and when the umpires signed the new collective bargaining agreement in 2004 they dropped all opposition to the system.
 

Rx. Senior
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Can we find out which 7 don't have it? IF we can, we could track b/s ratios for umps at those parks vs other parks and hopefully we find something.

nick do you have the final from yesterday. i picked up most but dont have the 5 inn ov/un or the temp and humidity
 
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