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Pops, couple of questions. First, I know I need to do data validation, but I am not sure what week I had. Would you either post or shoot me an email. Sorry to be a pain in the A about it.
Also, you mentioned yesterday (post #8702) that you liked DG, DH, DO and DQ. Correct me, but aren't DH and DO the same number but just the scoring avg +/- the OL? Today then you moved away from the overall scoring avg and the L15 scoring avg to the D/N scoring avg:
"i believe there's a close relationship to holly, avg runs scored d/n and OL plus line moves. yes it would be great to come up with a 20 rule like cbb, but the sport is not setup that way. one small even can turn the difference in a game the other way. so the key is to try to be on the sides of trends and patterns etc"
I hope you follow me, but I just want to make sure I am seeing the same numbers. I have been using a combo of those scoring avgs along with the stadium d/n avg. Thanks for the help.
Ham
Also, you mentioned yesterday (post #8702) that you liked DG, DH, DO and DQ. Correct me, but aren't DH and DO the same number but just the scoring avg +/- the OL? Today then you moved away from the overall scoring avg and the L15 scoring avg to the D/N scoring avg:
"i believe there's a close relationship to holly, avg runs scored d/n and OL plus line moves. yes it would be great to come up with a 20 rule like cbb, but the sport is not setup that way. one small even can turn the difference in a game the other way. so the key is to try to be on the sides of trends and patterns etc"
I hope you follow me, but I just want to make sure I am seeing the same numbers. I have been using a combo of those scoring avgs along with the stadium d/n avg. Thanks for the help.
Ham
guess it would be which tab your looking at. the only data i can pivot is the al & nl combined (the Holly WIP) is a work in progress of trying to pivot the data i think has a decent relation to how the opening line is developed. but when i referenced those col i was talking about the wa nps where DH (Score Avg) which is the following calc (CR +CU_CX+DA)/4
that calc appears to be very close to the OL with some minor adjustment based on the starting pitchers era's
i believe i need to add a couple of col's into the AL & NL Combined to pick up the era's as well as the OL and LM, but i'm getting close, but no cigar yet
ham, week #10, the data is in the unaudited directory in the ftp
Pops, thanks for the info above. I thought it was probably just a WIP which would explain the back and forth between the numbers. I will be out of pocket for the rest of the week so I'll try to get the data reviewed tonight, but if not, then on Fri.
Finally, this is from MLB.com on the Umps for the AS Game:
Bruce Froemming, who has the most consecutive years of service by an active Major League Umpire in baseball history, will work behind the plate and serve as the Crew Chief at the 78th All-Star Game, to be played on Tuesday, July 10th at AT&T Park in San Francisco.
Froemming, who is in his 37th year of Major League service, will work his third Midsummer Classic, having also been a part of the All-Star Game crews in 1975 and 1986. He has been a part of eight Division Series, 10 League Championship Series and five World Series. Froemming will be joined by 18th year Major League Umpire Charlie Reliford, a regular season Crew Chief who will be at first base, along with Mike Winters (second base), Kerwin Danley (third base), Ted Barrett (left field) and Bill Miller (right field). This is the second All-Star Game for Reliford and Winters and the first for Danley, Barrett and Miller.
Finally, this is from MLB.com on the Umps for the AS Game:
Bruce Froemming, who has the most consecutive years of service by an active Major League Umpire in baseball history, will work behind the plate and serve as the Crew Chief at the 78th All-Star Game, to be played on Tuesday, July 10th at AT&T Park in San Francisco.
Froemming, who is in his 37th year of Major League service, will work his third Midsummer Classic, having also been a part of the All-Star Game crews in 1975 and 1986. He has been a part of eight Division Series, 10 League Championship Series and five World Series. Froemming will be joined by 18th year Major League Umpire Charlie Reliford, a regular season Crew Chief who will be at first base, along with Mike Winters (second base), Kerwin Danley (third base), Ted Barrett (left field) and Bill Miller (right field). This is the second All-Star Game for Reliford and Winters and the first for Danley, Barrett and Miller.
for those that dont believe this ump shit, have never paid atttention to him behind HP. Yes an ump is a key factor in most games
i'm going to bf, been running tables and numbers for a couple of hours and everthing is coming up 50/50 just like they want them two
back in less than two with a fresh look
q&a if you got em. now the time to learn how to use the spreadsheet data etc
i have (2) mod original xboxes, also two 360's, 1 white and 1 black elite, and 1 ps3. i like the ps3 but shit for games out there, but the controller is nice and light. the new elite is so much noiser than the original 360 but overall many more decent games on the 360 vs ps3. also have a wi but that in the main house for the grand kinds when they come over, everyone has the most fun with that one, although i almost never play it
i'm a 1 person shooter guy, and only way to play a good game is laying on your back
now this is what they should do to all the officials in the US on the take. but, that we wouldnt have anyone left in office
http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2007-07-10-china-tainted-goods_N.htm?loc=interstitialskip
http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2007-07-10-china-tainted-goods_N.htm?loc=interstitialskip
i like it. just uploaded july 11th rev c. the holly wip (although holly number is not included) pretty well reinforces my opinion on the line moves on ov/un. but this shows it in relation to the scoring avg (which is very close to what the OL comes out as)
i have a legend in that pivot, but basically the M is where the scoring avg is less than the opening line. and P is where it more than the opening line
kind of fines tunes the Line Move numbers
let me know your thoughts
i have a legend in that pivot, but basically the M is where the scoring avg is less than the opening line. and P is where it more than the opening line
kind of fines tunes the Line Move numbers
let me know your thoughts
Pops its funny how many more .5 downward line movements there have been than .5 upward movement. And the other thing I notice is that when a National league team has a scoring avg less than the line and the line moves down those are the best to fade..........this is something I have been working on.....to try and filter out the best of those plays.........so far I think I've got it to about 60% but I think I can do better.
This is from today's newswire:
Wholesale natural gas prices advanced<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o
></o>at 17 out of 25 hubs in the U.S. West as hot weather in the<o
></o><?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice:smarttags" /><st1lace w:st="on">Pacific Northwest</st1lace> is expected keep demand high. Gas in northern<o></o><st1:State w:st="on"><st1
lace w:st="on">California</st1lace></st1:State> fell.<o></o>Wholesale gas traded today for delivery tomorrow, when<o
></o>energy demand in the <st1
lace w:st="on">Pacific Northwest</st1lace> is forecast to run more<o></o>than twice that of normal, according to Belton, Missouri-based<o
></o>Weather Derivatives.<o
></o><st1:City w:st="on"><st1
lace w:st="on">Seattle</st1lace></st1:City>'s high temperature tomorrow will be a record-<o></o>breaking 98 degrees Fahrenheit, (37 Celsius), 6 degrees above<o
></o>today's high temperature, according to AccuWeather.com. In Salt<o
></o><st1
lace w:st="on"><st1
laceType w:st="on">Lake</st1laceType> <st1laceType w:st="on">City</st1laceType></st1lace>, the high will be 99, the same as today and 9 degrees<o></o>above normal, according to the forecaster.<o
></o>In Opal, <st1:State w:st="on"><st1
lace w:st="on">Wyoming</st1lace></st1:State>, gas prices advanced 31 cents, or 8.7<o></o>percent, to $3.83 per million British thermal units on the<o
></o>Atlanta-based Intercontinental Exchange, an electronic energy<o
></o>market.<o
></o><st1
lace w:st="on">Southern California</st1lace> gas rose 6 cents to $6.28 per million<o></o>Btu. Gas in <st1
lace w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Waha</st1:City>, <st1:State w:st="on">Texas</st1:State></st1lace>, advanced 14 cents, or 2.3 percent, to<o></o>$6.26.<o
></o>- Status
