Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[pops69]

Did hirschbeck go Sat in Cinn, I saw Welke behind the plate.

BATR

no he didnt, he was a sub on 1st for the game b4, but everyone that didnt know bet the game under, and bet the number way down to a 7- and lost there ass.

one thing about umps vs listed pitchers, if they dont go, you still have a bet

ok guys, let me check out where all the money is going, as they were almost all wrong yesterday. hope those guys dont run out of money

back in a few

 

[mlfp]

none here as of now...i used yest...wont change anything much

Thanks. Fishing through yesterday's trying to find hidden gems, but just figured I'd check what status we're at.

 

[pops69]

Can anybody post up if they got the master on notifications yet? Trying to determine if I'm on/off the list at this point, only one way to know for sure.

i just got back and have not seen any notifications from geppi on any of the stuff i requested

just use sat, nothing will change the summary's or the the pivot's

 

[pops69]

be advised that one of the day game might go night as espn is looking for one right now to sub for cubs, i expect west coast as possible, nothing east of the miss

 

[pops69]

just received notifications, so if you didnt get it, you wont until i can figure out wtf your on it, or you post info justification into the thread as to why you should. done need any mo queens (i do know a few that didnt prob should but need to get them figured out)

 

[punter]

If you are not afraid of big names LAD/Pad's over 8 & even looks very tempting an a sunny day in South California.

 

[CTP]

MLFP did you do your home work yet?

 

[shale]

TODAYS PITCHING SPLITS:
(since i have gotten alot out of this thread, i will do this on a daily basis, now that my business will slow down heading into the warmer months, i will post on a daily basis)

nym
maine (r)
3-0 1.71 april
1-1 5.82 vs was
4-4 3.76 day
0-0 4.76 at was

was
bergmann (r)
0-1 4.97 aprils
1-0 5.11 vs nym
1-1 6.48 days
0-3 4.65 at was



cin
harang (r)
10-2 4.06 aprils
9-3 4.40 vs pit
14-11 4.54 days
5-3 4.81 at pit

maholm (l)
2-5 4.96 aprils
2-2 4.78 vs cin
4-2 4.48 days
7-2 3.07 at pit



fla
obermueller (r)
2-1 4.95 aprils
0-2 5.50 vs phi
4-4 4.91 days
0-1 7.20 at phi

phi
moyer (l)
31-26 4.41 aprils
4-0 3.16 vs fla
71-54 4.35 days
2-0 4.10 at phi



mil
vargas (r)
4-2 4.73 aprils
2-2 4.32 vs hou
10-9 4.29 days
0-0 1.1 ip 0.00 at hou

hou
williams (r) listed as having a sore elbow
15-13 4.05 aprils
12-5 2.98 vs mil
30-39 4.71 days
9-4 4.50 at hou



atl
davies (r)
2-3 5.21 aprils
0-2 8ip 12.38 vs col
1-3 6.42 days
0-1 2.1 ip 34.71 at col

col
cook (r)
3-6 4.55 aprils
0-1 5.31 vs atl
10-12 4.31 days
16-13 4.80 at col



lad
lowe (r)
16-19 3.58 aprils
3-2 2.22 vs sd
32-32 4.20 days
0-2 1.37 at sd

sdp
wells (l)
37-25 4.10 aprils
1-3 7.54 vs lad
68-52 4.55 days
3-7 3.88 at sdp



sfg
morris (r)
19-10 3.38 aprils
4-3 3.30 vs ari
42-29 4.19 days
4-2 3.59 at ari

47-23 3.64 aprils
7-8 3.60 vs sfg
84-30 3.39 days
58-28 2.72 at ari



tex
mccarthy (r)
2-4 6.53 aprils
0-0 5.0 ip 1.80 vs tor
3-4 3.99 days
dome is open
0-0 5.0 ip 1.80 at tor

tor
ohka (r)
12-17 4.05 aprils
2-0 2.33 vs tex
18-14 3.49 days
dome is open
2-2 3.82 at tor



bos
tavarez (r)
8-9 4.99 aprils
1-1 5.79 vs nyy
25-23 4.63 days
1-0 3.00 at nyy

nyy
wang (r)
1-2 4.57 aprils
2-3 4.91 vs bos
10-3 3.29 days
16-5 3.22 at nyy



bal
wright (r) coming off of dl with shoulder injury
10-13 5.71 aprils
n/a vs cle
52-35 4.67 days
14-15 5.84 at cle

cle
carmona
2-3 6.43 days
0-2 7.2 ip 9.39 vs bal
1-3 4.63 days
0-5 4.81 vs bal

min
santana (l)
9-7 4.22 aprils
10-2 2.58 vs det
26-13 2.87 days
3-1 2.25 at det

det
maroth (l)
10-9 4.10 aprils
3-9 3.73 vs min
14-27 4.60 days
22-28 4.37 at det



ana
escobar (r)
11-10 4.92 aprils
2-9 5.93 vs cws
25-25 4.59 days
2-4 6.82 at cws

cws
buehrle (l)
16-12 4.00 aprils
1-3 4.16 vs ana
36-19 3.80 days
54-31 3.71 at cws



kcr
bannister (r)
2-0 3.34 apirls
n/a vs sea
2-0 4.50 days
n/a vs sea

sea
baek (r)
0-0 4.1 ip 8.31 aprils
1-0 2 ip 0.00 vs kcr
3-2 4.62 days
3-4 4.91 at sea



tb
kazmir (l)
4-5 4.07 aprils
2-1 3.71 vs oak
8-5 3.81 days
1-1 4.25 at oak

oak
braden (l)
1-0 6.1ip 1.50 april
n/a vs tam
1-0 6.0 ip day
n/a at oak



to me I think it is a good spot for Boston today....how in the hell are the Yankees a -200 just because Tavarez is pitching......they have had good games against Wang so I believe it is great value on Boston today..

 

[BillDildeaux]

Pops what do you think of an ump like Gorman, big under ump in 2004-2005 but more neutral in 2006. Trying to decide how much stock to put in him and whether he is going to keep me off my play? Tks

 

[mlfp]

MLFP did you do your home work yet?

Waiting for starting lineups around noon. Got all the information in but figured I won't guess at the lineups today since I'll be around to see them. I'll e-mail my results to you as well as post them here once I've got the lineups in.

 

[cd329]

Season to Date
Straight Up (Won Loss)
Category Record Percent
Away Teams 174-172 50.29%
Home Teams 172-174 49.71%
Favorites 190-149 56.05%
Dogs 149-190 43.95%
Away Favorites 61-40 60.40%
Away Dogs 109-129 45.80%
Home Favorites 129-109 54.20%
Home Dogs 40-61 39.60%

Over vs. Under
Category Overs Percent Unders Percent
Extra Inning Games 12 37.50% 20 62.50%
Non-Extra Inning Games 149 51.20% 142 48.80%
All Games 161 49.85% 162 50.15%

 

[mlfp]

Like what I see in the pivots here:
Tab: LineMove
Column J: J1=N, J2=D
Check row 11: 1-6 trend o/u

 

[pops69]

Pops what do you think of an ump like Gorman, big under ump in 2004-2005 but more neutral in 2006. Trying to decide how much stock to put in him and whether he is going to keep me off my play? Tks

that's an interesting one, and 1-0 this year ov but a couple of very good pitchers going, but low humidity and small wind to lf

but the one i think it the most interesting is marsh 0-4 unders this year and head off officials, does that tell you something? i sure wanted to take the phil ov in that day game but all the numbers were against me

i went with the two highest on the board today and gave away a half point to get much better layout numbers

so both the following over 11

nyy
col

that all i have so far, still looking for mo gems

 

[pops69]

Like what I see in the pivots here:
Tab: LineMove
Column J: J1=N, J2=D
Check row 11: 1-6 trend o/u

cpt and i have been betting to nl fades for a number of weeks now, you dont have any today that i see

 

[jimmybravo]

pops, are you tracking the holly fck results.

 

[pops69]

pops, are you tracking the holly fck results.

tbone has that project, it's still in the collecting data portion phase but it's coming along. the key part of the data is still filling in l45 and l30 day avg to have the full trend picture

were in good hands with tbone

 

[jimmybravo]

tbone has that project, it's still in the collecting data portion phase but it's coming along. the key part of the data is still filling in l45 and l30 day avg to have the full trend picture

were in good hands with tbone

thx, as soon as I posted it, I knew it was a stupid question. You prob. have data on all your bowel movements for last 15 years.

 

[mlfp]

Tough to decide on this first bunch of games so taking a pass on all of the 10/10:35's. Seemed to find good info supporting whatever way I was leaning, then found plenty going the other way on all of them. GL

 

[EX-BALLPLAYER]

Taking Houston and Philly today, Pops, I noticed the balls were making the normal sound coming off the bat in Col yesterday, as opposed to that water logg baseball sound you get there. Do you think heat dried them out, or they're using the humidor as they please?

 

[pops69]

Taking Houston and Philly today, Pops, I noticed the balls were making the normal sound coming off the bat in Col yesterday, as opposed to that water logg baseball sound you get there. Do you think heat dried them out, or they're using the humidor as they please?

they were told not to use that fucken thing to cook the ball, mbb was so fucken pissed last year about the who thing and mlb not taking a position on it sooner. i'm looking at low humidity there again today, 20 or less range and almost no wind so if they swing the bats it could be a decent day for runs. 11 is a big number by so far this year 11 and 12 are 4-1 over