Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

[pops69]

i'll be leaving here in about an hour or so but my early games are all overs

phil (day game high humidity and rookie ump, they sure have a wide zone the 1st year, dont like to get the batters pissed off, as they have bats in there hand vs the pitcher is far away and is always pissed anyway)
clev (ch data is based on byrd early outings, according to mbb he's not that good)
laa (rider the mother ****** until it dies)
nyy cant believe it was bet down to 9- from 10- must be the poker players

i'll look at the other evg games when i get back

 

[ENKI]

tampa/laa

heard on the radio this am that Colon will be a gametime decision.
Depends how his ankle holds up during warmups.


I'm wondering about Iwamura.
He seemed to be the catalyst for a lot of TB's offense. How does this affect the TB's overs. Or are the backups good enough.
Sample size is small since he went out on monday.

<TABLE width=750 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=p_tddetails noWrap width=150>Akinori Iwamura</TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=110>3B</TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=110>D.L.</TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=110>Apr 24</TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=110>ribs</TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=110>Return early June</TD></TR><TR><TD></TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=600 colSpan=5></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[bullets]

Got 1 big play today and maybe 1 more tonight. I know I have hit the last 4 of these in a row, can't remember back any further than that.

St. Louis -102


Going golfing.

 

[Atlanta1978]

Morning Everyone,

Just wanted to drop a few tidbits for the pit game:

- Pitt goin for the sweep of the Astros for the 2nd time this year.
- Astros are conluding a four-city, nine-game road trip today.
- Game last night went 16 innings. (Cant be good for the bullpen situation on either side)
- For whatever its worth:

You can check out the pirates performances last year against Rodriguez at PNC.

http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/batter_vs_...n=31&season=2006R&Submit=Submit&changeBP=true

And below you can check out Armas when he was with the Nationals against Houston.

http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/batter_vs_...=All&season=2005R&Submit=Submit&changeBP=true

Wanted opinions on if you guys think the batters eyes will be tired from last night and the starting pitchers being more fresh. Will be looking for maybe a 2nd half over if it goes to the pens. I like pitt in this situation but it might be hard sleading for a pirates victory if armas screws the pooch. Gonna play Pitt team total over 4.

GL and Pops sorry for the delay (roomate situation has been work)
aTL

 

[ILMW]

I remember when Byrd was with the phillies.

 

[pops69]

heard on the radio this am that Colon will be a gametime decision.
Depends how his ankle holds up during warmups.


I'm wondering about Iwamura.
He seemed to be the catalyst for a lot of TB's offense. How does this affect the TB's overs. Or are the backups good enough.
Sample size is small since he went out on monday.

<TABLE width=750 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=p_tddetails noWrap width=150>Akinori Iwamura</TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=110>3B</TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=110>D.L.</TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=110>Apr 24</TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=110>ribs</TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=110>Return early June</TD></TR><TR><TD></TD><TD class=p_tddetails width=600 colSpan=5></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

it does hurt, mbb said that as well, but hopefully pitchers can make up for him. we'll if he dont go i wont have any action cause i wont be around for any pitcher change. the best case would be 1 batter than pull the plug like pedor would always do

 

[pops69]

Morning Everyone,

Just wanted to drop a few tidbits for the pit game:

- Pitt goin for the sweep of the Astros for the 2nd time this year.
- Astros are conluding a four-city, nine-game road trip today.
- Game last night went 16 innings. (Cant be good for the bullpen situation on either side)
- For whatever its worth:

You can check out the pirates performances last year against Rodriguez at PNC.

http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/batter_vs_...n=31&season=2006R&Submit=Submit&changeBP=true

And below you can check out Armas when he was with the Nationals against Houston.

http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/batter_vs_...=All&season=2005R&Submit=Submit&changeBP=true

Wanted opinions on if you guys think the batters eyes will be tired from last night and the starting pitchers being more fresh. Will be looking for maybe a 2nd half over if it goes to the pens. I like pitt in this situation but it might be hard sleading for a pirates victory if armas screws the pooch. Gonna play Pitt team total over 4.

GL and Pops sorry for the delay (roomate situation has been work)
aTL

atl, batters eyes are always tired from closing down the strip joints on there road trips. been that way for the past 100 years, so nothing is going to change now

i would look more at sweeps, they are hard to come by, especially the home fav

 

[bet2win.us]

on the following in the early going

pit u
stl u
phi o
min u
laa o

GL Everyone

 

[pops69]

Got 1 big play today and maybe 1 more tonight. I know I have hit the last 4 of these in a row, can't remember back any further than that.

St. Louis -102


Going golfing.

that was a game you could have scalped the fuck out of as reds opened -120, now cards fav -110 or more

 

[pops69]

now this is what i call a formular, one step for man and 1 small step for mankind. just one step closer to have projected totals in the wa nps

(IF(ISERROR(CE3),0,IF(CE3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CF3),0,IF(CF3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CG3),0,IF(CG3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CH3),0,IF(CH3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CI3),0,IF(CI3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CJ3),0,IF(CJ3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CM3),0,IF(CM3>=60%,1,0)))+(IF(ISERROR(CK3),0,IF(CK3>=60%,1,0)))+(IF(ISERROR(CL3),0,IF(CL3>=60%,1,0)))))))))))))))+(IF(ISERROR(CE3),0,IF(CE3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CF3),0,IF(CF3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CG3),0,IF(CG3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CH3),0,IF(CH3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CI3),0,IF(CI3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CJ3),0,IF(CJ3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CK3),0,IF(CK3<=40%,-1,0)))+(IF(ISERROR(CL3),0,IF(CL3<=40%,-1,0)))))))))))))))

 

[spesh]

now this is what i call a formular, one step for man and 1 small step for mankind. just one step closer to have projected totals in the wa nps

(IF(ISERROR(CE3),0,IF(CE3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CF3),0,IF(CF3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CG3),0,IF(CG3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CH3),0,IF(CH3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CI3),0,IF(CI3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CJ3),0,IF(CJ3>=60%,1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CM3),0,IF(CM3>=60%,1,0)))+(IF(ISERROR(CK3),0,IF(CK3>=60%,1,0)))+(IF(ISERROR(CL3),0,IF(CL3>=60%,1,0)))))))))))))))+(IF(ISERROR(CE3),0,IF(CE3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CF3),0,IF(CF3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CG3),0,IF(CG3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CH3),0,IF(CH3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CI3),0,IF(CI3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CJ3),0,IF(CJ3<=40%,-1,0)+(IF(ISERROR(CK3),0,IF(CK3<=40%,-1,0)))+(IF(ISERROR(CL3),0,IF(CL3<=40%,-1,0)))))))))))))))

looks like the Davinci code...lmao

 

[cd329]

Totals
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Houston road games.
-- Under is 6-2 in Cincinnati road games.
-- Six of Philly's last seven home games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Arizona home games.
-- Over is 7-0-1 in last eight Dodger home games.

-- Six of last eight Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Kansas City games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Seattle games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-1-1 in Devil Rays' last eleven games.
-- Under is 8-1-2 in Baltimore home games.
-- Last nine Bronx games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven White Sox games went over the total​

 

[cd329]

league trends so far this year


Straight Up (Won Loss)

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD width="50%">Category</TD><TD width="25%">Record</TD><TD width="25%">Percent</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Teams</TD><TD class=datacell>151-154</TD><TD class=datacell>49.51%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Teams</TD><TD class=datacell>154-151</TD><TD class=datacell>50.49%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>173-126</TD><TD class=datacell>57.86%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>126-173</TD><TD class=datacell>42.14%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>56-34</TD><TD class=datacell>62.22%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Away Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>92-117</TD><TD class=datacell>44.02%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Favorites</TD><TD class=datacell>117-92</TD><TD class=datacell>55.98%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Home Dogs</TD><TD class=datacell>34-56</TD><TD class=datacell>37.78%</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


Over vs. Under

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD>Category</TD><TD>Overs</TD><TD>Percent</TD><TD>Unders</TD><TD>Percent</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Extra Inning Games</TD><TD class=datacell>11</TD><TD class=datacell>37.93%</TD><TD class=datacell>18</TD><TD class=datacell>62.07%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>Non-Extra Inning Games</TD><TD class=datacell>130</TD><TD class=datacell>50.98%</TD><TD class=datacell>125</TD><TD class=datacell>49.02%</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>All Games</TD><TD class=datacell>141</TD><TD class=datacell>49.65%</TD><TD class=datacell>143</TD><TD class=datacell>50.35%</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>



overs have caught right up with the unders, which had a big advantage to start the year.

 

[twjd]

Thats it no other response to your comments. Thought we were all civil in this thread. Atleast tell me what the fuck you meant by that.

Bullet, I apologize for this. My son thinks things of nature are funny. He also got into my e-mails and replyed to a message from my boss, more or less told him to fuck off. I hope I calm down before he gets home from school.

 

[pops69]

lol, wish you guys could see all the stuff that goes on behind the seen with the numbers were putting together for projections

below is a short statement based on yesterdays results:

"Grabbing some out of the air from yesterday like unders from yesterday were a whopping 5 and 0 with a rainout. I think it was coincidence"

guys with this much data, nothing is a "coincidence"

i'll be leaving here in about 30 min, should be back by 1 pm

 

[pops69]

Bullet, I apologize for this. My son thinks things of nature are funny. He also got into my e-mails and replyed to a message from my boss, more or less told him to fuck off. I hope I calm down before he gets home from school.

lol, now this is some funny shit. "kids strike back" they are good reasons for all of us to be nuttered

 

[ILMW]

Bullet, I apologize for this. My son thinks things of nature are funny. He also got into my e-mails and replyed to a message from my boss, more or less told him to fuck off. I hope I calm down before he gets home from school.

How old is youre son, pretty impressed he knows how to use the quote button and respond on the forum.

 

[ILMW]

Took the cards under 9, humidity in range.

 

[cd329]

Pops,
question for you.
under the whips and salary tab in column B it says combined pitcher whip and as a example the first umpire on the list is barksdale and the pitcher whips combined next to his name show 8, 9, 10, 12. I could be wrong, but i dont believe that you can get whip numbers that high, even combining 2 pitchers. Was column B supposed to be salary?
thanks
cd

 

[patswin]

league trends so far this year


Straight Up (Won Loss)

<table class="data" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="datahead"><td width="50%">Category</td><td width="25%">Record</td><td width="25%">Percent</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">Away Teams</td><td class="datacell">151-154</td><td class="datacell">49.51%</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">Home Teams</td><td class="datacell">154-151</td><td class="datacell">50.49%</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">Favorites</td><td class="datacell">173-126</td><td class="datacell">57.86%</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">Dogs</td><td class="datacell">126-173</td><td class="datacell">42.14%</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">Away Favorites</td><td class="datacell">56-34</td><td class="datacell">62.22%</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">Away Dogs</td><td class="datacell">92-117</td><td class="datacell">44.02%</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">Home Favorites</td><td class="datacell">117-92</td><td class="datacell">55.98%</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">Home Dogs</td><td class="datacell">34-56</td><td class="datacell">37.78%</td></tr></tbody></table>


Over vs. Under

<table class="data" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="datahead"><td>Category</td><td>Overs</td><td>Percent</td><td>Unders</td><td>Percent</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">Extra Inning Games</td><td class="datacell">11</td><td class="datacell">37.93%</td><td class="datacell">18</td><td class="datacell">62.07%</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">Non-Extra Inning Games</td><td class="datacell">130</td><td class="datacell">50.98%</td><td class="datacell">125</td><td class="datacell">49.02%</td></tr><tr><td class="datacell">All Games</td><td class="datacell">141</td><td class="datacell">49.65%</td><td class="datacell">143</td><td class="datacell">50.35%</td></tr></tbody></table>



overs have caught right up with the unders, which had a big advantage to start the year.

cd thanks for the stats, this stuff is helpful. Not sure where you are getting them from but I was wondering if you could get the % of 1 run games so far