Capping MLB 2007 #101a Ov/Un plus Las Vegas Q&A

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smooth not rich
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my local started taking bases today.I can"t find my parlay graph, anybody got one, or a site I can dload it from? thanks
 

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Freightdog From Wagerlines Survivor Contest Made His Move.......he's Taking A's/o's Under 8.5 For His $100,000 Play. I'm Sure That's The Reason Why The Line Went From 8.5-7.5 Hmmmmmmm Over ?
 

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I dunno. When Charlie Hough was here he needed a bit of wind to get his pitch to move around so it might be useful to check how Wakefield has done inside domes. As I remember he seems to do all right when there is no reported wind.


Reading the wind at boston is 19 mph from SSW gusting to 26 mph. 26% humitidy.
 

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Reading the wind at boston is 19 mph from SSW gusting to 26 mph. 26% humitidy.

The knuckle ball really flutters when the wind is blowing OUT - which is what SSW is for Fenway.

In other words, when the wind is AGAINST the direction of the pitch, it helps Wakefield.

Example: Use a pipe to spray water in the back yard.

  • Throw a wiffleball in the direction (and with) the flow of the water - the wiffleball will follow the water.
  • Throw a wiffleball into (and against) the flow of the water. You won't be able to predict which way it will go.
Now even though that is an EXTREME example, the same principles apply.
 

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Papelbon has pitched two straight days for Boston ... so he might not be available tonight. He wasn't available Friday because he had pitched on Wed and Thursday.
 

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cincy: tks we'll see what happens in boston. i've been to many games there, and i consider it a small bowl with not much wind will have on the carry to the outfield vs on his k ball

some ump crews so far

florida culbreth

o's hudson

more to follow
 

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phil, crawford
tb, randazzo, decent ov ump

he drew a decent under ump for the o's game with hudson
 

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I have to disagree with your assessment of Hudson being an UNDER ump, pops. Last year, he was particularly partial to UNDERS but 2003, 2004, 2005 he had more games go OVER - and his strike zone is smaller than average (it's why we call him Ho Ho Ho, Take Your Base Hudson over at my place).

We are on OVER 7.5 there...
 

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he's starting out this year like he did two years ago, with one of the smallest strike percentages of all umps in baseball (58.22, which I realize WILL go up)...

KULPA in Boston. Now he's on my list of "UNDER" umps...
 

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I have to disagree with your assessment of Hudson being an UNDER ump, pops. Last year, he was particularly partial to UNDERS but 2003, 2004, 2005 he had more games go OVER - and his strike zone is smaller than average (it's why we call him Ho Ho Ho, Take Your Base Hudson over at my place).

We are on OVER 7.5 there...

hudson last 4, 46o-53u, americal league 16o-24u and 1-1 this year

it fucken kulpa that i'm more worried about as i already bet the ov in boston game
 

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Pops, I wouldn't sweat Kulpa. Yes, he IS an UNDER guy but those 2 just faced off last week and with the second meeting in six days, I'd say advantage, hitters. Plus the 20-mph wind blowing out will help the Red Sox, for sure (it will likely hurt Toronto as the knuckler is much more effective into a tailwind)...
 

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tonites pitching splits

pitcher splits for tonite

ATLANTA
Davies
2-2 4.64 april
0-2 9.22 vs fla
9-10 6.19 nite
0-2 7.59 @ fla

FLORIDA
Willis
12-2 2.92 april
5-4 4.72 vs atl
44-31 3.87 nite
30-23 3.61 @ fla




COLORADO
Buccholz
3-1 2.76 april
0-1 5.0ip 10.80 vs nym
4-7 7.71 nite
0-1 5.0 ip at nym

NEW YORK METS
Maine
2-0 1.93 april
n/a vs col
6-5 4.53 nite
4-4 3.66 at nym




MILWAUKEE
Vargas
4-2 4.45 april
0-2 9.00 vs chi
23-23 5.21 nite
0-1 7.0 ip 9.00 at chi

CHICAGO CUBS
Zambrano
8-7 4.59 aprils
8-7 4.17 vs mil
30-17 3.31 nite
31-24 3.37 at chi




OAKLAND
Haren
3-7 3.66 aprils
1-2 4.30 vs bal
22-26 4.08 nite
1-0 2.08 at bal

BALTIMORE
Bedard
9-3 4.12 aprils
0-1 4.32 vs oak
19-20 4.25 nite
16-14 3.71 at bal




TORONTO
Ohka
11-17 4.06 aprils
0-1 6.1 ip 5.68 vs bos
30-46 4.33 nite
3-8 3.95 at bos

BOSTON
Wakefield
22-19 4.04 aprils
13-8 3.85 vs tor
107-97 4.63 nite
68-60 4.31 at bos




NEW YORK YANKEES
Igawa
1-0 16.1 ip 6.06 april
n/a vs tam
1-0 11.1 ip 3.18 nite
n/a dome
n/a at tam

TAMPA
Fossum
6-4 4.81 aprils
4-4 4.57 vs nyy
26-34 5.05 nites
14-16 5.33 dome
13-9 4.46 at tam




SEATTLE
Baek
n/a aprils
3-0 0.83 vs tex
3-3 4.50 nite
2-0 1.23 at tex

TEXAS
Millwood
19-18 4.03 aprils
6-3 3.45 vs sea
93-61 3.71 nite
8-7 5.21 at tex




CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Buehrle
15-12 4.01 aprils
15-6 3.26 vs kcr
62-47 3.81 nite
7-4 3.30 at kcr

KANSAS CITY
Meche
7-10 3.98 aprils
5-2 4.62 vs cws
36-32 4.98 nite
3-4 5.72 at kcr




CLEVELAND
Sowers
0-1 5.2 ip 5.17 aprils
1-1 2.81 vs min
6-3 3.95 nite
1-1 3.60 domes
0-1 6.43 vs min

MINNESOTA
Silva
10-5 4.54 aprils
4-3 4.87 vs cle
32-23 4.40 nites
21-16 3.96 dome
18-12 3.96 at min




DETROIT
Maroth
10-9 4.11 aprils
4-2 5.55 vs ana
33-33 4.91 nite
2-2 6.23 at ana

ANAHEIM
Weaver, Jerrod
0-1 6 ip 4.50 april
n/a vs det
7-3 2.57 nite
5-1 2.06 at ana




HOUSTON
Sampson
1-2 15.1 ip 1.20 aprils
0-0 5.2 ip 0.00 vs phi
1-2 2.48 nite
0-0 3.2 ip 0.00 at phi

PHILADELPHIA
Eaton
8-4 4.32 aprils
2-1 4.05 vs hou
36-36 4.55 nite
0-1 10.2 ip 7.59 at phi
 

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Pops, I wouldn't sweat Kulpa. Yes, he IS an UNDER guy but those 2 just faced off last week and with the second meeting in six days, I'd say advantage, hitters. Plus the 20-mph wind blowing out will help the Red Sox, for sure (it will likely hurt Toronto as the knuckler is much more effective into a tailwind)...

i just scalped the other way at 10- under -105 and have an ov 10 -105 from early on. fuck it, if it lands on 10 i'm gold, if not only lose a $100
 
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