Broncos NEW MLB Thread - 2009

[Broncos625]

BTW, and this figures, we would've went 2-0 last night. Would've been Oakland RL and Atlanta RL. Interesting how one of them was the only non interleague game on the board.

I think I personally am going to parlay the plays until interleague is over, just for $100 to see if they can hit. Limits my risk substantially but the reward is very nice.

 

[Broncos625]

Here are the plays I will be parlaying today. This is just something to kind of pass the time before interleague is over and will NOT count towards any records or my stats. Play at your own risk as everyone has seen how awful its been lately, especially during interleague play

Seattle RL +155
ChiSox ML -115
TO RL +140
Cards RL +145
Zona RL +155

Parlay will be $100/$7,048

 

[jbragg10]

^ i like all those games as well.

good luck. I can see you hitting that parlay.

 

[Green17]

Thanks

Bronc,

Thanks for posting the plays. Will parlay them as I mentioned in my earlier post.
If you'll post them, I'd appreciate it and we'll hit a parlay or two.

Thank you.

 

[Broncos625]

Since I've stopped playing the system plays, they have gone 5-5 so I'm not missing out on anything nor would I have lost anything. Lost the parlay yesterday going 3-2. I'll post today's when I get back from the gym.

 

[Broncos625]

BTW, today I begin the final adjustment to my system. Last night sealed it as ChiSox wouldn't have been a play with the new adjustment making the it 4-1 last night. We'll see how it works out. I am going to begin tracking again in my results. Still not sure if I will play them or not, but here they are. Only reason why I'm starting now instead of next week is because this round of series' seems to be doing well. I've mentioned before that it seems when I lose the first game of a series', I lose the entire series' and vice versa. I've had two winning days in a row with the new round of series'.

6/24

Detroit RL +160
Toronto RL +145
Pitt RL +160
Zona RL +125


Parlay will be $100/$3626

 

[Broncos625]

First 3 down, if Zona comes through, will hit the parlay. Luckily I did play all straight up as well so it'll be a nice day no matter what. Lets go Zona.

 

[xbaggypants]

Glad I tailed all three today, thanks for the picks!

 

[Broncos625]

Glad I tailed all three today, thanks for the picks!

Maybe my final adjustment is that little bit to filter out some plays. We'll see if it continues.

 

[Catchn_Flops]

Go Zona!!

Broncos, I smell some sort of adjustment in the numbers the more number of interleague games are played. I wish I knew their algorithm.

Clearly a turn has been made.

I got the Zona game on the screen.

Major BOL.

Catch

 

[Broncos625]

Broncos, I smell some sort of adjustment in the numbers the more number of interleague games are played. I wish I knew their algorithm.

Clearly a turn has been made.

I got the Zona game on the screen.

Major BOL.

Catch

Maybe you're right. 2-0 Monday, 3-2 yesterday and at least 3-1 today. I still think maybe the final tweak I've made will make it better as it will eliminate some plays. Only time will tell for sure though. As I said, had I used my final adjustment yesterday, ChiSox wouldn't have been a play.

Now let's go Zona. @)

 

[Catchn_Flops]

New thought

I'm really starting to realize that this method with RLines are constantly on the side of the dogs. The math is against us except that their numbers have shown the ability to out perform the Vegas line.

So, with any dog plays--even ones that are highly profitable, there will be runouts...sometimes for days. It will be brutal, during those times.

But your selection of Pitt was a healthy return for a dominating performance. Those types of wins indicate a real feel for spotting a bad line.

What your postings has begun to teach me is the way the method can go very hot and then very cold. Your parlays, many biggggg ones you posted, came in bunches. And we have seen the cold streaks. But your pars have created a sub investment for the times when all of a sudden everything clicks. On those occasions you get paid very well. Certainly enough to ride the inevitable runouts and be profitable.

Also, I think money management is key in this play in order to protect the player from runouts and still compound the big runs.

Thanks for provided this outlet to discuss this stuff.

Oh man, Zona is coming late!! Haren was unreal, as well.

Catch

 

[Broncos625]

Well Zona blew the perfect night, but 3-1 is still very nice winning 10.95 units.

Old System:

62-54 (+17.10 units)


New System:

ML Favs: 0-0
ML Dogs: 3-1 (+7.80)
RL Favs: 70-87 (+35.80)
Totals: 16-12-1 (+8.70)

Total: 89-100-1 (+51.30 units)

Grand Total: 151-153-1 (+68.40 units)

 

[xbaggypants]

Do you play these individually? Or do you only play them as a parlay?

 

[Broncos625]

Do you play these individually? Or do you only play them as a parlay?

Sure did play them straight up. :drink:

 

[Broncos625]

Someone had made a comment regarding the fact that this system is nice because it doesn't take much to catch back up. That was a very true statement as evidenced by last night. Hell, if I'd have played Monday and Tuesday as well, I'd be up another 13 units or so which would've put us back up over 80 for the year. With that being said, seems no matter how long a bad run lasts, all you need is a good run of only a few days to cash big. I think that alone is reason enough to just ride out the bad runs because its only a matter of time before a good one will come....even if it is only a few days long.

 

[Broncos625]

I'm really starting to realize that this method with RLines are constantly on the side of the dogs. The math is against us except that their numbers have shown the ability to out perform the Vegas line.

So, with any dog plays--even ones that are highly profitable, there will be runouts...sometimes for days. It will be brutal, during those times.

But your selection of Pitt was a healthy return for a dominating performance. Those types of wins indicate a real feel for spotting a bad line.

What your postings has begun to teach me is the way the method can go very hot and then very cold. Your parlays, many biggggg ones you posted, came in bunches. And we have seen the cold streaks. But your pars have created a sub investment for the times when all of a sudden everything clicks. On those occasions you get paid very well. Certainly enough to ride the inevitable runouts and be profitable.

Also, I think money management is key in this play in order to protect the player from runouts and still compound the big runs.

Thanks for provided this outlet to discuss this stuff.

Oh man, Zona is coming late!! Haren was unreal, as well.

Catch

I saw your post after I posted but see post #576. I think it addresses this as well. The fact that the good runs can be much shorter in duration than the long runs and a nice profit can still be made makes this system very valuable IMHO.

And, I didn't mention it, but you are absolutely right about the parlays. They pay such a ridiculous amount that when everything does click, and it does happen, the extra .3 unit investment per day is well worth the huge ROI.

And again, you are also very right about this as well, as long as proper money management is implemented, seems there is no doubt that over the duration of a season, you WILL make money with this system. Hell, counting yesterday, I think we've had 5 or 6 winning days in the entire month! Yet we are still up almost 70 units on the year....and that doesn't include the parlays.

Very useful comments Catch! Keep the analysis coming, its making me value my system even more. :toast:

 

[Green17]

Hey Bronc,

Thanks again. Almost got the parlay. If you hadn't noticed, the first three games were winners and the last one, Detroit/Cubs, went right to the wire before it was official. I thought we got lucky when the Cubs walked in the run we needed in the bottom of the 8th to give us the 2 run cushion. But then in the top of the 9th, Detroit's closer Rodney nearly gave it back before getting a lucky call on a final strike from the home plate man in blue.

The unfortunate part is that because of all the last inning drama in Detroit, the Arizona game, our last leg of the parlay, had just started. So I couldn't get a bet in on it. Was planning on an insurance bet to guarantee a winner no matter which side of the game, AZ or TEX won. Would have been a sweet spot if it worked out where you win no matter what.....only depends on how much!

Thanks again for your posts. We live to fight another day.

 

[Broncos625]

6/25 Plays:

Twins RL +135
Rays RL +145

That's it for today. BOL!!

 

[Broncos625]

Hey Bronc,

Thanks again. Almost got the parlay. If you hadn't noticed, the first three games were winners and the last one, Detroit/Cubs, went right to the wire before it was official. I thought we got lucky when the Cubs walked in the run we needed in the bottom of the 8th to give us the 2 run cushion. But then in the top of the 9th, Detroit's closer Rodney nearly gave it back before getting a lucky call on a final strike from the home plate man in blue.

The unfortunate part is that because of all the last inning drama in Detroit, the Arizona game, our last leg of the parlay, had just started. So I couldn't get a bet in on it. Was planning on an insurance bet to guarantee a winner no matter which side of the game, AZ or TEX won. Would have been a sweet spot if it worked out where you win no matter what.....only depends on how much!

Thanks again for your posts. We live to fight another day.

Honestly I don't worry about hedging when I do a parlay. To me, its all extra. If it hits, great, if not, no biggie. Since its only .3 units, its more for fun....kind of like playing the lotto but with better odds.