Broncos NEW MLB Thread - 2009

[meaculpa]

Well, basically the Accuscore numbers are used by Broncos to make the picks, albeit over time he has added filters etc to optimize it all.

This was the first MLB-thread of this system: http://www.therxfourm.com/showthread.php?t=671639 so yes, it kind of evolved from that.

HOWEVER: What I wrote about espn with public percentages etc has not as such with how he picks the games. I had a theory which sounded logical, went through the data to check it all and the result is one page back -- now I'll just keep track of it to see whether my theory has any grounds to be taken as plausible, whether you alter your picks due to it matters solely whether or not you think there might be some kind of truth in my espn %-theory to exclude certain plays. ESPN has in theory nothing to do with this system.

 

[Broncos625]

I have not revealed my entire system and i will not reveal it as it doesnt serve a good purpose. With that being said, i am going to post for the entire season regardless of whether or not i personally play the posted picks.

BTW, parlay tonight 100/7200 i really think tonight may be a good night.

Ive noticed a lot of consistency within series. Meaning if i lose day one of new series, i seem to have a bad run the rest of it. May be something to look at there. Maybe if we lose day one of new series, maybe not play until next set of series begin.

 

[meaculpa]

Ive noticed a lot of consistency within series. Meaning if i lose day one of new series, i seem to have a bad run the rest of it. May be something to look at there. Maybe if we lose day one of new series, maybe not play until next set of series begin.

Might be very interesting indeed!

And god I hope the O's bats will awake tonight... with a grand total 10 runs in the last 6 games I'd normally not take the RL versus Vargas lol

well, BOL!

 

[cmoise1]

i really want a 5-1 night

 

[cmoise1]

3-2-1.....

winning night

 

[Broncos625]

Hopefully tonight is a sign of things to come. 3-2-1 with winning 6 units is our first winning night record and unit wise in 9 days. Last time I broke out of a losing slump, I rolled off 60 units in three weeks. Maybe these series' are better for the system.

Old System:

62-54 (+17.10 units)


New System:

ML Favs: 0-0
ML Dogs: 3-1 (+7.80)
RL Favs: 52-63 (+28.15)
Totals: 13-8-1 (+12.60)

Total: 68-73-1 (+48.55 units)

Grand Total: 130-126-1 (+65.65 units)

Be back in the morning.

 

[JimmyJet]

Nice winning day Broncos.....thanks for sharing your plays. Have discovered something with my system that believe will create higher winning percentage and fewer plays per day...will share with you in PM after tracking for awhile.

 

[Broncos625]

Nice winning day Broncos.....thanks for sharing your plays. Have discovered something with my system that believe will create higher winning percentage and fewer plays per day...will share with you in PM after tracking for awhile.

Sounds good JJ.

 

[Broncos625]

6/10 Plays:

Minn/Oak Over 8
Texas RL +120
Cubs RL +150
Zona RL +155


That's it for the day. BOL!!

 

[kraz]

go get em bronc

 

[Broncos625]

1-2 yesterday losing 3 units.

Old System:

62-54 (+17.10 units)


New System:

ML Favs: 0-0
ML Dogs: 3-1 (+7.80)
RL Favs: 52-65 (+22.15)
Totals: 14-8-1 (+15.60)

Total: 69-75-1 (+45.55 units)

Grand Total: 131-128-1 (+62.65 units)

 

[Broncos625]

6/11 Plays:

Baltimore RL +135
Brewers RL +120
Atlanta RL +130
Washington RL +170
TB Rays RL +140
Phillies RL +145
Cubs/Astros Under 9.5

BOL today!!

 

[Catchn_Flops]

Crazy final scores!

I could not imagine any run-line based baseball method surviving yesterday's scores, unless you were taking the run and a half.

By my count 10 out of 14 games were 1-run games. If you were laying runs, you got rolled over.

Amazing variance and probability.

Catch

 

[Broncos625]

3-4 yesterday losing .45 units.

Old System:

62-54 (+17.10 units)


New System:

ML Favs: 0-0
ML Dogs: 3-1 (+7.80)
RL Favs: 54-69 (+18.70)
Totals: 15-8-1 (+18.60)

Total: 72-79-1 (+45.10 units)

Grand Total: 134-132-1 (+62.20 units)

 

[Broncos625]

6/12 Plays:

Royals RL +170
Brewers RL +160
LAD RL +140
Giants RL +145
Zona RL +115
Rays RL -115

That's it. I've been tracking a brand new system for about a week now and the results have been solid. I am giving this current system the weekend to turn around before I implement the new one. BOL!!

 

[twjd]

6/12 Plays:

Royals RL +170
Brewers RL +160
LAD RL +140
Giants RL +145
Zona RL +115
Rays RL -115

That's it. I've been tracking a brand new system for about a week now and the results have been solid. I am giving this current system the weekend to turn around before I implement the new one. BOL!!

Do any of these plays also qualify under the new system.

 

[Broncos625]

Do any of these plays also qualify under the new system.

Yes, San Fran, Tampa and Zona would be plays under new system. The new system is not RL heavy like this one is. With about a week of testing its close to 50/50 ML and RL with a few dogs sprinkled in.

And yes, this system is based on Accuscore. I have managed to take elements from my first system and crossed them with elements from this current system plus made one overall addition to come up with this new one (which will be implemented on Monday if the weekend goes down).

I haven't switched yet for a couple of reasons:

Only a week of tracking and I don't want to switch without a solid sample;
This RL system creates great value and when it is hot, the units won is ridiculous as a result of always playing plus money so I want to give it two full weeks to see if it'll turn around (Sunday will mark two weeks)

 

[Broncos625]

Solid 4-2 day today winning over 11 units. Just like that back over 70 units.

Old System:

62-54 (+17.10 units)


New System:

ML Favs: 0-0
ML Dogs: 3-1 (+7.80)
RL Favs: 58-72 (+29.95)
Totals: 15-8-1 (+18.60)

Total: 76-81-1 (+55.35 units)

Grand Total: 138-134-1 (+73.45 units)

Be back in the morning.

 

[BetPret]

You were due for another big night Broncos. Great stuff.

 

[mutigger]

Good job, Broncos! I knew you still had it in you. Keep up the good work.