Going all in on Oregon. Adding 2* more. Here's a summary of my plays:
5* Oregon-7(125)
1* Oregon -7 (-130)
2* Oregon -7 (-110) Guess I should have waited, but really thought the line would go the other way. Just more great vibes out of the Oregon practices. Marcus Arroyo remains as offensive coordinator. Like Cristobal as head coach, also very effective and popular with his team. Has a strong relationship with Herbert, who is now being projected as a possible 2019 first round draft choice. Also, Cristobal's baby has always been the OL. He continues to coach them going into the bowl game. His coaches are making a big emphasis on dominating on the DL and OL, and that this bowl game will establish their identity as a team. Thirteen true freshmen have gotten some playing time this year, and the better ones will get more practice and playing time for this game. The coaches have also had the gag order lifted with the media so that the freshmen can talk to them. Just haven't seen this kind of relentless focus toward an early bowl game from a Power 5 team with a 7-5 record. I also think if Herbert hadn't been injured, this would be a 10-2 team. Freeman has been practicing with the Ducks, although it has still not been determined if he'll play. Maybe a lesser amount of carries?
* Have not or never have been a Duck fan, although they're everywhere here in Portland. Have bet against them plenty of times. One of my largest plays this year was taking Wazzu vs. Oregon. Risking all 5 units and more!
5* Oregon-7(125)
1* Oregon -7 (-130)
2* Oregon -7 (-110) Guess I should have waited, but really thought the line would go the other way. Just more great vibes out of the Oregon practices. Marcus Arroyo remains as offensive coordinator. Like Cristobal as head coach, also very effective and popular with his team. Has a strong relationship with Herbert, who is now being projected as a possible 2019 first round draft choice. Also, Cristobal's baby has always been the OL. He continues to coach them going into the bowl game. His coaches are making a big emphasis on dominating on the DL and OL, and that this bowl game will establish their identity as a team. Thirteen true freshmen have gotten some playing time this year, and the better ones will get more practice and playing time for this game. The coaches have also had the gag order lifted with the media so that the freshmen can talk to them. Just haven't seen this kind of relentless focus toward an early bowl game from a Power 5 team with a 7-5 record. I also think if Herbert hadn't been injured, this would be a 10-2 team. Freeman has been practicing with the Ducks, although it has still not been determined if he'll play. Maybe a lesser amount of carries?
* Have not or never have been a Duck fan, although they're everywhere here in Portland. Have bet against them plenty of times. One of my largest plays this year was taking Wazzu vs. Oregon. Risking all 5 units and more!
Looks like Freeman is not playing for Oregon. Still love the bet, just wish I had waited for the lower juice that it's at now.
1* Akron +22.5 Crazy line. Even with this line, about 60% of the bettors on FAU. But… FAU wins the conference, gets stuck at home in Boca, playing a mid-range team from the mediocre MAC. No travel, no sight seeing, no road team bonding fun. I don't care what the spin is, the FAU players can't be too excited to play Akron in Boca Raton. And with the fewer than usual practices, recruiting by coaches, and the usual home distractions, I think we'll see FAU win but not by this spread. Now Akron doesn't have much going for it. They did have an incredible back door cover vs. Toledo in the MAC championship game. But they don't have much talent. HC Bowden and observers have noticed their unusually great effort, and that they fight for the whole 60 minutes no matter the score. They beat a much better Ohio team, played Troy and WMU close, and won vs. a decent Buffalo team. There's a reasonable chance that Kiffin has been enjoying too much attention from the media or tweeting Saban, that Singletary gets fewer carries and that QB Driskel has an off game. Akron scores early, and I'll wish I had more.
1* Akron +22.5 Crazy line. Even with this line, about 60% of the bettors on FAU. But… FAU wins the conference, gets stuck at home in Boca, playing a mid-range team from the mediocre MAC. No travel, no sight seeing, no road team bonding fun. I don't care what the spin is, the FAU players can't be too excited to play Akron in Boca Raton. And with the fewer than usual practices, recruiting by coaches, and the usual home distractions, I think we'll see FAU win but not by this spread. Now Akron doesn't have much going for it. They did have an incredible back door cover vs. Toledo in the MAC championship game. But they don't have much talent. HC Bowden and observers have noticed their unusually great effort, and that they fight for the whole 60 minutes no matter the score. They beat a much better Ohio team, played Troy and WMU close, and won vs. a decent Buffalo team. There's a reasonable chance that Kiffin has been enjoying too much attention from the media or tweeting Saban, that Singletary gets fewer carries and that QB Driskel has an off game. Akron scores early, and I'll wish I had more.
Oregon star RB Freeman is going to sit this game out for the draft...
| Oregon | ||||
| Date | Pos | Player | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/14/17 | OL | Tyrell Crosby | Rest | is "?" Saturday vs Boise State |
| 12/12/17 | RB | Tony Brooks-James | Undisclosed | left last game, is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Boise State |
| 12/10/17 | RB | Royce Freeman | Rest | is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Boise State |
| 12/03/17 | LB | A.J. Hotchkins | Leg | is "?" Saturday vs Boise State |
| 12/03/17 | DL | Elijah George | Targeting Suspension | is OUT 1st Half Saturday vs Boise State |
| 12/03/17 | OL | Jake Pisarcik | Undisclosed | is "?" Saturday vs Boise State |
| 10/30/17 | OL | Doug Brenner | Hip | is out for season |
| 10/06/17 | S | Khalil Oliver | Personal | has left team |
| 10/03/17 | LB | Kaulana Apelu | Ankle | out for season |
Brooks-James is fine and is 100%. Tyrell Crosby, a future high draft choice is playing and this will be an inspiration to his teammates and community, which is Vegas, and is honoring the victims of the shooting this fall. Of the other guys, the depth on Oregon will be able to make their absence not a factor. Oregon will run the ball well with their 3 backs, but will miss Freeman's bulk on those short yardage plays.
I didn't say that much about Boise in this thread, but I can say that I've seen enough of the Mt. West this year and for many years past, and the last 2 years have been the weakest Boise teams going way back. SD State is the only team that is fairly consistent defensively, along with Boise. Defensively, the rest of the teams are usually shit. Occasionally one will have a decent D year like Fresno this year, or Utah State a few years back. The PAC 12 is not known as a conference known for defense, but there's no comparison in it being far better than the Mt. West. Take all that into context as to why Boise has had good records for the past decade. They have been well-coached, but they have also been poorly defended in conference play.
The PAC teams, like Oregon, at least have to face USC, Stanford, Washington, Wazzu, UCLA(prior to this year's terrible D) Arizona State, etc. and at least one tough non-conference team. Boise gets tested by SD State, and 1 or 2 teams that are having an up season- like Fresno this year. The Mt. West recruits anywhere from about 50 to 110 in the nation. The PAC 12 from 3 to 30 among the top 5-6 teams. Only Oregon State seems to be getting those players that would be in the lower half of the Mt. West. And so when I see a Boise team the last two seasons that has about 7-8 ATS losses in their conference, I know they are down from the great Boise teams of the past. If this game was early in the year, I would see this differently, but Oregon really WANTS this. I could lose, but it's a good play anyways.
Make sure you come back into my thread after Boise State covers the spread Mr. contest winner lol
2* SMU -4.5 La. Tech depended too much on turnovers, and a few good offensive games vs. the likes of UTEP, Rice and NW State, to really keep up with SMU. This game being played in Texas, in a soccer stadium, with the new SMU coach, Sonny Dykes, on the sidelines(very unusual). SMU doesn't turn it over much, and has a nice blend of running and passing. SMU has struggled all year vs. the run, but I'm guessing they'll make LT QB have to beat them with the pass and crowd the line. LT QB J'Mar Smith is still inexperienced, and struggles completing passes. He gives LT the run option, and LT will be able to score. Just don't think LT will be able to cover the WRs and backs of the Mustangs for much of the game, and SMU pulls away at some point.
Were they supposed to install a new offense for the Bowl game??
Teams do what they do. They had a major shakeup in the coaching staff, had their star RB say fuck it I'm not playing. Then that same guy makes the trip, is on the sideline wearing a jersey.
It had nothing to do with using their usual plays, it had everything to do with coaching upheaval and a lack of focus. One team came to play, the other didn't.
Teams do what they do. They had a major shakeup in the coaching staff, had their star RB say fuck it I'm not playing. Then that same guy makes the trip, is on the sideline wearing a jersey.
It had nothing to do with using their usual plays, it had everything to do with coaching upheaval and a lack of focus. One team came to play, the other didn't.
Lack of focus for sure, but no one said anything about installing a new offense. Oregon was just overly predictable, running every 1st down, under-utilizing their downfield passing game, and allowing Boise to easily defend them. Boise came to play, and Oregon looked flat. The coaching situation was not a factor.
