Bookie Buster Friday Service Plays, SDS Spreadsheets

phantom888 · May 18, 2007

The Wunderdog

Game: Florida at Tampa Bay (6:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -117

Tampa Bay of all teams has the longest winning streak in the majors right now and is playing well. They have had a winning record at home now through last season and nothing we see tonight looks to change that. Last year TB ran through interleague play with a nice 11-7 record. They hit well (.292) and pitched great (3.45 ERA). Byung-Hym-Kim takes the mound for the first time as a Marlin, but he has posted a 10.60 ERA this season, before being traded from the Rockies. Edwin Jackson will be on a short leash and the best thing going for him is that the Marlins have not seen much of him. The D-Rays are 18-9 at home as a favorite going back to the beginning of last year. Florida lost all three games here last season and we look for the hot D-Rays to add another one to the win column at home.

sds23 · May 18, 2007

Ethan Law said:
If you check the service forum you will see a link where i have other selections for free that did not make the full card today. This one is on the premium card. My record is incorrect in this spreadsheet I'm 73-38 this season +$4214 only playing 16 favorites.

TOR: RHP Dustin McGowan (0-0, 7.59 ERA)

vs.

PHI: RHP Jon Lieber (1-2, 2.83 ERA)

Philadelphia dropped two of three to the Blue Jays last year, in the first games the Phillies played in Toronto since 2000. The Blue Jays are visiting Philadelphia for the first time since 2001, as the clubs kick off Interleague Play with a weekend series beginning Friday Both these clubs have underachieved up to this point in the season, but the Phillies seem to be coming around (7-3 +$400 last 10 days with 5.9 runs per game and an 3.25 ERA among starters), and that’s still not something you can say about Toronto (5-5 last 10 days with 2.9 runs per game and an 4.79 ERA among starters, Despite the fact that they just swept Baltimore the past series in Toronto.However, if history repeats itself, the Jays might not be “hot” for long. Toronto has gone 83-92 (.474) since Interleague Play was introduced back in 1997. That's the fifth-worst record of any American League team. The only time the Jays finished above .500 against the National League was in 2003, when they went 10-8. Of significance for this match-up, Philadelphia’s offense against right-handers has been very effective, particularly in night games at Citizens Bank (7-2, +$475 with 6.4 runs per game). That’s very bad news for Toronto’s 25-year-old right-hander Dustin McGowan, who hasn't earned a decision in two starts this season 7.59 ERA. McGowan hasn't lasted more than 5 2/3 innings this year, and lefties are hitting a whopping .450 against him! Even worse, McGowan is 1-3 with a 8.85 ERA in 16 appearances away from Rogers Centre. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays should have their hands full with Jon Lieber, who has been sensational in his first five starts this year (2.83 ERA), which is not good news for this Toronto team that is a pitiful 10-17 against right-handers so far this season (-$950 with only 4.0 runs per game). In three starts against the Blue Jays, Lieber has one win and a 3.13 ERA. The Jays' poor record, and the fact that they will be forced to sit designated hitter Frank Thomas (their most dangerous bat) for their upcoming series against the Phillies, gives us even more enthusiasm about the home team in this machup, even if the price is a bit expensive.

Verdict: Toronto 3, Philadelphia 7
PLAY 1* UNIT ON PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +$115

Hello again Ethan ~

Thank you for stopping by and for posting a play today. Very cool and very much appreciated. BOL to you sir.

sds23 · May 18, 2007

Friday Service Plays from Bookie Buster:

Brandon Lang

5 Dime
Cubs
Orioles

Trev Rogers

Reds/Indians Over 9.5
Marlins

Dennis Macklin

Twins at Brewers
Prediction: Brewers

The Twins are struggling mightily at the moment and would appear to be up against it again tonight at Miller Park. Minnesota is just 1-7 in their L8 and face Brewer ace and southpaw, Chris Capuano. The Twinkies are just 5-10 against lefties hitting an anemic .245 and average just 3.4 rpg. Capuano is off to a great start and barring injury is likely to be first Brewer to win 20 since Teddy Higuera. The Brew Crew have won all five of CC's home starts (7-1 overall) outscoring their opponents 26-11 and CC has done his part with 2.93 ERA. Capuano won both home starts against Minnesota in 2006 allowing just two earned runs in 13 and 2/3 innings work. The Brewers are off 2-5 roadie at Mets and Phils but have taken care of business here (16-5) and against losing records (14-7). We're getting off cheap at 50 cents.

Take Milwaukee.

Gary Wallace

Orioles at Nationals
Prediction:OVER

Nationals starter Jason Simontacchi has started two games this season and both starts went over the posted total. Simontacchi lasted 5 1/3 innings in his last start against Florida and allowed four runs on eight hits with two walks. Orioles starter Steve Trachsel has also gone over in his last two starts. Losing at Boston 13-4, where Trachsel only went 4 1/3 innings and gave up four runs and five hits with four walks. Trachsels ERA on the road is 5.65 and allowing a runner and a half to reach base per inning. Expect this game to fly over the posted total of 9. Two below average starters equals a lot of runs. Take the over.

The Wunderdog

Game: Florida at Tampa Bay (6:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -117

Tampa Bay of all teams has the longest winning streak in the majors right now and is playing well. They have had a winning record at home now through last season and nothing we see tonight looks to change that. Last year TB ran through interleague play with a nice 11-7 record. They hit well (.292) and pitched great (3.45 ERA). Byung-Hym-Kim takes the mound for the first time as a Marlin, but he has posted a 10.60 ERA this season, before being traded from the Rockies. Edwin Jackson will be on a short leash and the best thing going for him is that the Marlins have not seen much of him. The D-Rays are 18-9 at home as a favorite going back to the beginning of last year. Florida lost all three games here last season and we look for the hot D-Rays to add another one to the win column at home.

Scott Spreitzer

(15* Bailout Game of the Week)
Angels

Larry Ness

15* Milwaukee Brewers

Hondo

Yankees

Marc Lawrence

Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Indians
Cleveland w/Lee over Cincinnati w/Lohse

Tribe sends lefty Cliff Lee the hill at the Jake against Reds righty Kyle Lohse this evening knowing Lee is unbeaten, 3-0, in his career team starts against the Reds. With Lohse 0-4 with an 8.61 ERA in his last four team starts in Cleveland, look for the Indians to improve to 6-1 in home series openers in this in-state Interleague game tonight.

Ross Benjamin

St. Louis -105 over Detroit

sds23 · May 18, 2007

Friday Service Plays from Bookie Buster:<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
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Michael Cannon Money Train, Goes 2-2 Paid Picks

5 Dime –

PIRATES (With Snell as listed pitcher)

Take the Pirates at home tonight over the Diamondbacks.<o

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Pittsburgh will send its best pitcher to the mound tonight in Ian Snell. The young right-hander hasn’t been the beneficiary of much offensive support this year, as his record is just 3-2 despite a sparkling 2.38 ERA. But that could change tonight, as the Bucs have started to show signs of breaking out of their year-long offensive slump. They knocked off Florida 7-2 last night, and their big offseason acquisition, Adam LaRoche, has started to heat up. The Buccos may only need to plate three or four runs to get the win tonight the way Snell is pitching. Take the Pirates as this price is too good to pass up with Snell on the mound.

NATIONALS (With Trachsel and Simontacchi as listed pitchers)

Take the Nationals as the small home dog tonight over the Orioles.<o

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Don’t look now, but the Nats have actually been playing pretty good baseball as of late. They have won two straight and are 6-4 over their last 10 games. Their bullpen has been outstanding recently, allowing only one run over their past 23 2-3 innings. Baltimore has been terrible away from Camden Yards this year, posting a 6-15 road record. Steve Trachsel will get the start tonight and he is just 1-3 on the season. Playing in a National League park, the Orioles will not have the benefit of the DH, so the advantage goes to Washington there. Take the Nats as they grab the home win as a small dog.

ROYALS (With De La Rosa and Francis as listed pitchers)

Take the Royals as a huge road dog tonight at Coors Field.<o

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This price is way too high for a Rockies team that is in last place in the NL West with a record of 17-24. They are under .500 at home with a 9-11 record, so it’s not like they have a big advantage playing at Coors. Kansas City checks into tonight’s game on the heels of a two-game winning streak and will be starting Jorge De La Rosa, who has pitched well this year with a 4-3 record and a 3.68 ERA. His mound opponent, Jeff Francis, is just 2-4 with a 5.08 ERA this year. Again, I’m not real sure why the linesmaker has installed Colorado as such a heavy favorite tonight, so take the Royals as they are playing better baseball right now and have the better pitcher going as well.

Bonus Play: GIANTS (For analysis watch the daily video posted in the Friday Service Talk thread)

Benjamin Lee Eckstein:

Rockies

Kodiak

5 Detroit -110
5 Detroit over 9 -110

Larry Ness' 15* IL Game of the Week (34-8 with 15* GOW plays since Opening Day!)

My 15* play is on the Mil Brewers at 8:05 ET. The Twins dominated the NL last year, going 16-2 in IL play (plus-$1505)! However, that was THEN and this is NOW! Minnesota won its game on May 1 but limps into this game having lost 11 of its last 14 games this month. The team has not been able to score, as excluding the team's 16-run effort Sunday night in beating the Tigers, has scored just 35 runs in the other 13 games, an average of just 2.69 runs per game! Boof Bonser got the win in Sunday's game with Detroit, his first win of 2007 (eight starts). He hasn't pitched all that poorly (4.33 ERA) but this guy looks like nothing more than a mediocre pitcher, considering his 7-6, 4.22 mark last year in 18 starts with the Twins, a team that won 96 games! The Twins have struggled vs lefties this year, going 5-10 (minus-$890) and draw a very tough one tonight. Milwaukee's Chris Capuano is 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA in 2007 (eight starts). He lost his first game of the year in his last outing but the team is 7-1 in his starts this season. Milwaukee is 5-0 in Capuano's home starts this year and since the beginning of the 2005 season, has gone 27-11 in his starts at Miller Park. Milwaukee just completed a seven-game road trip at 2-5 but let's remember this team is 16-5 at home in '07, after going 9-1 in its last homestand. Even last year when the Brewers failed to produce a winning record once again (last winning season came in 1992), the team went 48-33 in Miller Park. This year's team owns the NL's best record in 2007 at 26-15 and behind Capuano, gets the win here. IL Game of the Week 15* Mil Brewers

Gogoplata

Survivor Pick Record: 19-8-1
Friday pick: Orioles -122 (going for #14 in a row)

Pulltabpetey

Survivor Pick Record: 12-1-0
Friday pick: Orioles -124 (going for #13 in a row)

sds23 · May 18, 2007

Friday Service Plays from Bookie Buster:<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
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Scott Spreitzer's 15* IL Bailout Game of the Week! -- 6-0, 100% in May!

I'm taking the price with the Angels on Friday night. The Halos have owned this series taking five of the last six in Angel Stadium. They've also taken two of three in IL play when Brad Penny has toed the rubber. Ervin Santana will go for the Angels. His home/road dichotomy is as wide as it gets. You either play AGAINST him or stay away from the game when Santana starts on the road. But he's almost an automatic PLAY-ON when he's on the home bump. Including this season's strong home start, the righty is now 21-6 in his last 34 at Angel Stadium. He owns a 3.04 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .226 batting average against! He also has a lot of offense to count on. Since getting healthy, the Angels are 7-2 in their last nine. The 7 wins have come by a combined score of 42-13! Meanwhile, the Dodgers are averaging just 3.71 RPG away from home in May. They just took a pair of series against the NL Central's two worst teams. Tonight, they face a serious step up in competition, both at the plate and on the mound. The Dodgers should NOT be favored. We'll take advantage.
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The Angels are my IL Bailout.

Winning Points
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7* Philly
5* Mil
5*Oak
4* NYM

Maverick
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Cubs
Tex
Clev-1 ½
St. Louis
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GOLD KEY GAMES

3 Units (Bonus Play): Cleveland Indians -180
Silver Key (Bonus Play): NY Mets (Pick)

Jim Feist
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My free pick of the day is the game between (977) SDG Padres and (978) SEA Mariners. Take "(977) SDG Padres". Seattle hasn't had much of a home field edge this season, and that's because the pitching staff is third-worst in the AL. San Diego brings its strong staff and bullpen up the coast. 6-foot-10 starter Chris Young has been excellent, at 4-3 with a 3.11 ERA. Seattle starter Miguel Batista has struggled (6.98 ERA), with a whopping 64 base runners in 38 innings. Seattle has scored 3 runs or less in 8 of 11 games. Play the Padres!

FPBE Free Picks

Marc Lawrence - CLV -180 MLB
Matty O'Shea - NYY MLB
Bryan Leonard - CHW +120 MLB

Karl Garrett

10 dime padres
10 dime cards

Rob House

1,000,000 arizona

Larry Cook / Info Plays

3* on Arizona +127

Professional Players

3.5 Units on LA Dodgers -117

Proffit Plays

Cleveland
Milwaukee
LA Dodgers

Panhandle Sports

Pittsburgh
Baltimore
LA Dodgers
Oakland

Computer Picks

Tampa Bay
Colorado

Tony Onio

500?dodgers

Sports Betting Solutions:

7:05 PM mlb Cincinnati vs. Cleveland
Cleveland -1.5 +105 $1000/$1050

9:05 PM mlb Kansas City vs. Colorado
Colorado -1.5 +115 $400/$460

10:05 PM mlb Los Angeles vs. Anaheim
Dodgers -110 $330/$300

Alex Anthony

Indians -178
Tigers -110
Mets +101
Brewers - 150

Friday Comps

Sebastian-Cubs
Winner Line-Oakland
Mike Fullton-UNDER San Diego
OTM-OVER San Diego
Computer Boys-San Diego
Feiner-Milwaukee(Run Line)
Duh Manager-OVER Indians

Spreitzer

4* Angels
3* Brewers

Players of America (POA)

NY YANKEES +105
NY METS -115 **
3* rating on NY METS
BOTH PETTITTE/PEREZ

TEXAS +115
HOUSTON -125 **
3* rating on HOUSTON
BOTH TEJADA/ALBERS

SAN DIEGO -125
SEATTLE +115 **
1* rating on SEATTLE
BOTH YOUNG/BATISTA

SAN FRANCISCO -105 **
OAKLAND -105
1* rating on SAN FRANCISCO
BOTH ZITO/GAUDIN

Tom Stryker

3* Baltimore

Triple Crown Sports

3* LA D/LAA under

sds23 · May 18, 2007

Friday Service Plays from Bookie Buster:<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
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Totals 4 U

Reds UNDER 10
Flor UNDER 11
NYM OVER 9
Milw UNDER 8-
SD UNDER 8-

Mike Jacobs

Game: Twins vs Brewers
Prediction:4* Twins +150

Donald Tran

Matchup: San Francisco at Oakland
Prediction: San Francisco Giants +105 W/ Zito

Jennifer Barry

Matchup: New York Yankees at New York Mets
Prediction: Under 9 Runs (Pettitte vs. Perez)
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sds23 · May 18, 2007

Friday Service Plays from Bookie Buster:<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
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Computer Sports <o

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NY Yankees w/Pettitte

Picks from the Bottom <o

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Chicago Cubs

Priority Sports Info

Milwaukee (-163)

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John Ryan

Game: Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Philadelphia - Toronto has been largely a disappointment this year and they have batted 255 and scored 4.4 RPG this season. Over the last 7 days they are batting 219 and scoring 2.9 RPG. Against RH starters they are hitting just 235 and scoring 4.0 RPG. Phils are batting big hitting 281 over the past 7 games and they are batting 294 at home. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 45-12 and has made 29.4 units since 1997. Play against any team that is a bad AL offensive team scoring <=4.5 runs/game against a good NL starting pitcher sporting an ERA of <=3.70), cold hitting team batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games. Toronto starter McGowen has not horrid sporting a 7.59 ERA in starts. He did have 10 K's in 10.7 innings pitched, but that covered 3 starts. Since coming back into the rotation Lieber has been awesome. In Home starts he has a 1.93 ERA and 1.071 WHIP and this being done at the hitter friendly Citizen's Bank Park. He keeps the ball consistently down in the zone inducing GB outs at a high rate. TORONTO is 18-32 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in road games on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors over the last 2 seasons.
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Raymond

Reds (K Lohse) vs Indians (C Lee) 07:05 pm Over 9.5 -105
Marlins (BH Kim) vs Devil Rays (E Jackson) 06:40 pm Over 10.5 -105
Yankees (A Pettitte) vs Mets (OL Perez) 07:10 pm Mets -115 best bet
Rangers (R Tejeda) vs Astros (M Albers) 08:05 pm Over 9 even
Dodgers (B Penny) vs Angels (E Santana) 10:05 pm Dodgers -120

sds23 · May 18, 2007

OK everyone ~

Something work related just popped up that needs my immediate attention. I have to leave the office for an hour or so. I am sure the Bookie Buster will be posting more service plays as the afternoon progresses.

If anyone wants to jump in where I left off that would be great. If not, I will try to get back to posting as soon as I clear my next appointment and when I get home.

Otherwise, you can also go view the rest of them over on BB's Hoops thread.

Thanks! I will be back ASAP

phantom888 · May 18, 2007

Great job SDS!...goodluck today!

phantom888 · May 18, 2007

Dave Malinsky

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6* Dodgers under 8 -110
4* Giants -102

phantom888 · May 18, 2007

Cinny Kid (marc lawrence's son )

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Pitt under

Clev Over

KC under

phantom888 · May 18, 2007

Great lakes

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4* Yankees

3* Dodgers

3* SF

Pac Star

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Colorado Rockies -1.5 (mlb: 9:05 Et)

Lt ~ Profits

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Minnesota Twins (mlb: 8:05 Et)
__________________

phantom888 · May 18, 2007

Karl Garrett - 2007/05/18 17:43
40 Nets

20 Spurs

10 Padres

10 Cards

sds23 · May 18, 2007

phantom888 said:
Great job SDS!...goodluck today!

I just walked in the door. Rush, rush rush.

Great job yourself Phantom. Thanks for everything you've done today. BOL with tonight's plays!

BOL to ALL

sds23 · May 18, 2007

Friday Service Plays from Bookie Buster:<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
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H.D.'s ActionLine (Bonus Play)

Philly -175 over Toronto

#1 Sports

FRIDAY'S FREE WINNER:

NEW YORK YANKEES + 110

Razor Sharp

YOUR FREE WINNER FOR FRIDAY:

SAN FRANCISCO (Zito) Even over Oakland

Mike Wynn

Bonus Play:

Cleveland w/Lee -180 Over Cincinnati
Marc Lawrence

Bonus Play: Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Indians

Cleveland w/Lee over Cincinnati w/Lohse Tribe sends lefty Cliff Lee the hill at the Jake against Reds righty Kyle Lohse this evening knowing Lee is unbeaten, 3-0, in his career team starts against the Reds. With Lohse 0-4 with an 8.61 ERA in his last four team starts in Cleveland, look for the Indians to improve to 6-1 in home series openers in this in-state Interleague game tonight

BRYAN LEORNARD

GAME: Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs
PICK: Chicago White Sox

The battle for the pride of Chicago! The Cubs made a huge splash in the offseason, dishing out big money for Alfonso Soriano and manager Lou Piniella. And what has that gotten them? A losing record, including dropping 7 of the last 10. And they were favored in 3 of those defeats. The Cubs have injury problems, with first baseman Derrek Lee hurting (back spasms) and second baseman Mark DeRosa ailing, who might be worse off than initially thought. The White Sox send revitalized southpaw Mark Buerhle to the hill (3.61 ERA) and the team is 6-1 in his 7 starts. The stumbling Cubs are 0-4 their last 4 four against lefties.

Play the White Sox.

Tony Mathew's

Free MLB Selection for May 18, 2007.

Matchup: Florida Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Selection: Florida/Tampa Bay Over 10.5 (-110)

Explanation: We expect a high-scoring game as the Florida Marlins face-off against the Tampa Bay Devil Rays in Friday's MLB contest. The Florida Marlins will use starting pitcher Byung-Hyun Kim. Byung-Hyun Kim has struggled this season (10.50 ERA), and we see this Tampa Bay Devil Rays offense scoring a lot of runs tonight. As for the Tampa Bay Devil Rays, they will use starting pitcher Edwin Jackson. The Tampa Bay Devil Rays are 0-7 (this season) when Edwin Jackson starts, which is mostly due to his poor pitching (6.82 ERA). In addition, Edwin Jackson has a 7.90 ERA in his last 3 starts. To say the least, the Florida Marlins offense will score a lot of runs tonight.

Take the Florida Marlins/Tampa Bay Devil Rays Over 10.5!

MATT FARGO

MLB Kansas City vs. Colorado
Take Kansas City Royals

Don’t look now but here come the Royals. Well, probably not but they are playing some excellent baseball right now, having won four of their last five games all of which have been on the road. This followed a 1-7 stretch so the streaks have been going of late. Colorado meanwhile has dropped three of four and six of nine as the offense remains a mystery. After averaging 6.8 rpg during a six-game stretch in late April and early May, the Rockies have averaged just 2.8 rpg in the 11 games since. Confidence is playing a big role in the Royals solid play of late and adding to that confidence is that they defeated a lefty starter for the first time on Thursday after starting the year 0-1 against lefties. They will be facing a lefty for the second straight game as Jeff Francis takes the hill for Colorado. He has been inconsistent this season and despite coming off two straight quality starts, he is coming off a season high 118 pitches. The offense has scored three runs or less in four of his last six starts. The inconsistent tag can also be placed upon Jorge De La Rosa as he has alternated good and bad outings for the better part of the season. His numbers indicate it is time for another bad start but something says that he puts two together here. De La Rosa has already managed to pick up four wins while allowing just 21 runs in 51.1 innings with a very solid 28/12 K/BB ratio. He has a very solid 1.25 WHIP on the season, compared to a ratio of 1.54 for Francis. Colorado is hitting just .202 against lefties over its last 10 games and it is 3-8 against southpaw starters which isn’t much better than the Royals. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that are hitting .260 or worse with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season going up against a team with a bullpen ERA of 5.00 or worse on the year. This situation is 32-17 against the moneyline (65.3 percent) since 1997. This underdog system is even stronger based on the high return of the big prices.

Play Kansas City Royals 1 Unit

Winning Way Sports

John's Free MLB Selection for Friday!
Selection: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs (+110)

Reason: Put us down on the Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs (+110) for our Free MLB Selection on Friday. Today the Toronto Blue Jays will be on the road as they take on the Philadelphia Phillies. We will side with the Phillies -1.5 Runs! The Blue Jays will send to the mound Dustin McGowan. Dustin McGowan has struggled this season (7.59 ERA), and we see the Phillies scoring many easy runs tonight. While the Phillies are scoring many runs, we see the Blue Jays struggling to score runs. That's because the Phillies will send to the mound Jon Lieber. Jon Lieber has been a solid pitcher this season (2.83 ERA), as well as continues to get better (2.57 ERA in his last 3 starts). It's clear that the Blue Jays will struggle to score runs. While the Phillies have a winning record when playing at home this season, the Blue Jays have struggled on the road (6-11 road record). The bottom line, the Phillies should be able to beat the Blue Jays by at least two runs tonight! Take the Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs!

sds23 · May 18, 2007

Friday Service Plays from Bookie Buster:<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
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MLB RunLine
964 PHI -1.5 (+115) vs 963 TOR
Analysis: Just so everybody knows, I usually reduce what I bet in interleague play. Baseball is considered one of the most difficult sports to handicapp and adding the interleague match-ups into the mix makes it an even more dauting task. Just an FYI that I personally reduce my bets on ALL these games.
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TOR: RHP Dustin McGowan (0-0, 7.59 ERA) vs. PHI: RHP Jon Lieber (1-2, 2.83 ERA)

Philadelphia dropped two of three to the Blue Jays last year, in the first games the Phillies played in Toronto since 2000. The Blue Jays are visiting Philadelphia for the first time since 2001, as the clubs kick off Interleague Play with a weekend series beginning Friday Both these clubs have underachieved up to this point in the season, but the Phillies seem to be coming around (7-3 +$400 last 10 days with 5.9 runs per game and an 3.25 ERA among starters), and thats still not something you can say about Toronto (5-5 last 10 days with 2.9 runs per game and an 4.79 ERA among starters, Despite the fact that they just swept Baltimore the past series in Toronto.However, if history repeats itself, the Jays might not be hot for long. Toronto has gone 83-92 (.474) since Interleague Play was introduced back in 1997. That's the fifth-worst record of any American League team. The only time the Jays finished above .500 against the National League was in 2003, when they went 10-8. Of significance for this match-up, Philadelphias offense against right-handers has been very effective, particularly in night games at Citizens Bank (7-2, +$475 with 6.4 runs per game). Thats very bad news for Torontos 25-year-old right-hander Dustin McGowan, who hasn't earned a decision in two starts this season 7.59 ERA. McGowan hasn't lasted more than 5 2/3 innings this year, and lefties are hitting a whopping .450 against him! Even worse, McGowan is 1-3 with a 8.85 ERA in 16 appearances away from Rogers Centre. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays should have their hands full with Jon Lieber, who has been sensational in his first five starts this year (2.83 ERA), which is not good news for this Toronto team that is a pitiful 10-17 against right-handers so far this season (-$950 with only 4.0 runs per game). In three starts against the Blue Jays, Lieber has one win and a 3.13 ERA. The Jays' poor record, and the fact that they will be forced to sit designated hitter Frank Thomas (their most dangerous bat) for their upcoming series against the Phillies, gives us even more enthusiasm about the home team in this machup, even if the price is a bit expensive.

Verdict: Toronto 3, Philadelphia 7
PLAY 1* UNIT ON PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +$115

Fri, 05/18/07 - 7:10 PMEthan Law | MLB Money Line
968 NYM (-102) vs 967 NYY
Analysis:
NOTE: I BROKE THIS SELECTION INTO TWO BETS! PLEASE READ BOTTOM OF SELECTION TO SEE HOW I BET THIS GAME.
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NYY: LHP Andy Pettitte (2-2, 2.68 ERA) vs. NYM: LHP Oliver Perez (4-3, 3.00 ERA)

After dropping four of six on their recent road trip to Seattle and Chicago, falling nine games behind the AL East-leading Red Sox, the Yankees would be happy just to begin winning on a consistent basis, no matter who it comes against. Circumstances appear to favor the Mets in this series, but this will be the only time we will turn to this series for a selection this weekend, since the Mets have not fared well against right-handers at Shea Stadium (-$620). Nevertheless, the Mets have an offense that is comparable to the Yankees (.284 team BA, vs. .274 for the Bombers), and their pitching is far superior (3.34 team ERA vs. 4.55). The only good news is their strong showing against lefties (7.3 runs per game vs. southpaws in all spots). Even more impressive is their 5-1 mark at home against left-handers averaging over 8 runs per game. In contrast, the Yankees, are losing boatloads against left-handers coming into this contest at just 3-7 -$845 and even worse they are 0-5 averaging just 3 runs per game on the road against left-handers. One of the Mets big bats, Carlos Delgado has been far more productive against left-handed pitching than right-handed this season, posting a .362 average, 10 walks, two doubles and five home runs in 68 career plate appearances against Pettitte. With just about every technical and statistical indication favoring the Mets, we have no other choice but to back them tonight.

Verdict: New York Yankees 4, N.Y. Mets 9
PLAY 1/2* UNIT ON THE N.Y. METS -$102
PLAY * UNIT ON NEW YORK -1.5 +$180

Fri, 05/18/07 - 7:05 PMEthan Law | MLB Money Line
958 CLE (-175) vs 957 CIN
Analysis:
NOTE: I PLAYED THIS SELECTION FOR 1/2* UNIT NOT 1* UNIT.
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CIN: RHP Kyle Lohse (1-4, 4.01 ERA) vs. CLE: LHP Cliff Lee (1-0, 4.50 ERA)

For the next three games, and six more later this season, Reds manager Jerry Narron will be working in American League dugouts. Narron will be able to make use of the designated hitter, but he'll be longing for double-switches and pitchers bunting. "I like the National League game better," Narron said. Meanwhile, the Indians continue to exceed expectations (21-14 overall) and their numbers against right-handers have been sensational (19-8, +$1045, with 6.2 runs per game). The Indians also are 23-14 and are a Major League-best 13-3 at home. Thats terrible news for the Reds Kyle Lohse who will start the series opener on Friday for the Reds against Indians left-hander Cliff Lee. A former member of their AL Central rival, the Twins, Lohse has a long history of pitching against the Indians. . It's a checkered history however as the right-hander is 7-8 with a whopping 5.49 ERA in 22 games (16 starts) lifetime against Cleveland. At Jacobs Field, Lohse is worse 2-6 with a 7.31 ERA in 11 games, including eight starts. Prices will no doubt be high, but we have to consider that they are catching the Reds during a very bad stretch (3-8, -$539 last 11 days). Cincinnati has fallen all the way to last place in the NL Central, with an especially weak record against left-handers (only 5-11, -$665 with 3.8 runs per game). Theyll miss C.C. Sabathia, but they will have to contend with Cliff Lee tonight, who has displayed good form since rejoining the rotation (+$210, 3.60 ERA). In his three career starts vs. Cincinnati, Lee is 2-0. You all know I hate laying these kinds of prices but I dont see much other choice in this one. Cant go rune-line as last season's series featured four games decided by three runs or less.

Verdict: Cincinnati 3, Cleveland 7
PLAY 1/2* UNIT ON CLEVELAND -$175

Fri, 05/18/07 - 9:05 PMEthan Law | MLB RunLine
974 COL -1.5 (+120) vs 973 KAN
Analysis: KC: LHP Jorge De La Rosa (4-3, 3.68) vs. COL: LHP Jeff Francis (2-4, 5.08)

The box office at Coors Field wont find it very easy to unload tickets for this debacle. The Rockies are once again firmly entrenched in the NL West basement, but they look like championship material next to the hapless Royals (14-27, -$690 overall). Two lefties will go at it in Game 1 as Jorge De La Rosa takes on Jeff Francis. De La Rosa is 3-3 during 19 appearances in May with a 5.90 ERA. Kansas City is only 8-13 on the road this year, and they have yet to beat a left-hander pitcher (0-10 -$1000, with only 4.0 runs per game). Jeff Francis got off to a lousy start, but his last two outings have been much better (2.40). Francis had his strongest start of the season on Saturday, holding the Giants to four hits and a walk in a 6-2 win. He snapped a string of five starts without a win, demonstrating command of his fastball throughout his eight innings on the mound, making it his longest start of the season. Francis will be countered by left-hander Jorge De La Rosa, who has been alternating good start with bad starts in his past five outings, was in line for a solid start last time out and he delivered. He picked up his fourth win on the season and first road victory of the year on Sunday in Chicago. As stated above, the Royals offense is weak, and without the use of the designated hitter they should be in for a long days, similar to the old Coors Field nights where boatloads of runs will be put up. Unfortunately for them, most of those runs will come from the Rockies.

Verdict: Kansas City 3, Colorado 8
PLAY 1* UNIT ON COLORADO -1.5 +$120
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Tampa Bay-115 (10*)
San Francisco-105 (10*) Bonus Play

rustygator · May 18, 2007

stan sharp?

sds23 · May 18, 2007

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Billy Coleman (paid)

4* San Fran +105 Zito
3* NYY -105
3* Col -2/12

Russ Culver

Nationals +107
Royals +150
Giants +102
LA-LA UNDER 8 +110 (Penney-Santana)

sds23 · May 18, 2007

rustygator said:
stan sharp?

He's about the only one missing so far tonight Rusty. Have not seen him yet. But I just got done posting on BB's Hoops thread that tonights group of plays were superb as far as representing all the familiar faces that appear on the spreadsheets. Stan Sharp (if he pops up) would be the icing on the cake.

BOL tonight Rusty!