In sorry - but that ridiculous percentage is wrong - or you would fade it and win at a 95% rate. Which isnt possible. .Rule No. 5 - 95/5: 95% of the time the public is wrong when it comes to gambling. I love it when I see lots of people on the opposite of a wager I'm on.
The line on this game opened at Rams -1 but they are now a 2.5 point home dog. Teams that open as home favorites but close as home dogs in week one have done well over the past ten seasons finishing 8-3 SU & 9-2 ATS.Week 1: Bills @ Rams. The defending super bowl champ has gone 23-5 SU & 15-10-3 ATS when home in week one since 1980. If they are facing a non-conference opponent, the number is 5-1 SU & 3-3 ATS.
Wk 1 | 2012 | ||||||||||||||||||||
R3YA | R2YA | RLS | CRS | RVS | ODStk | StQB | Team | @ | Team | StQB | ODStk | HVS | CHS | RLS | R2YA | R3YA | Line | Score | ST3Q | T/O | OL |
5-11 | 7-9 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | L1R | Wilson | Sea | @ | AZ | Kolb | W2H | 3-0 | 5-0 | 8-8 | 5-11 | 10-6 | +3 | 20-16W | 13-13 | 2-2 | -1 |
13-3 | 7-9 | 11-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | W1H | Brees | NO | @ | Atl | Ryan | L1R | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-12 | 13-3 | 10-6 | +3 | 37-34W | 24-20 | 1-2 | -1 |
10-6 | 5-10-1 | 7-9 | 0-3 | 1-0 | W1R | B'water | Min | @ | SF | K'pernick | W4R | 2-0 | 1-0 | 8-8 | 12-4 | 11-4-1 | +3 | 20-3W | 10-0 | 1-1 | -4.5 |
12-4 | 7-8-1 | 15-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | W2R | Newton | Car | @ | Den | Siemian | W4H | 9-0 | 2-0 | 12-4 | 12-4 | 13-3 | +3 | 21-20W | 7-17 | 3-1 | -1.5 |
11-5 | 13-3 | 7-8-1 | 2-0 | 0-3 | L1H | Palmer | AZ | @ | Det | Stafford | W1R | 5-0 | 0-1 | 9-7 | 7-9 | 11-5 | +2.5 | 35-23W | 15-17 | 0-1 | -3 |
8-8 | 11-5 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 4-0 | W1R | Ryan | Atl | @ | Phi | Foles | W2R | 3-0 | 0-1 | 13-3 | 7-9 | 7-9 | +1 | 18-12W | 10-6 | 2-1 | -4 |
7-9 | 4-12 | 11-5 | 3-0 | 2-0 | W1H | Goff | LAR | @ | Oak | D. Carr | W2R | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 12-4 | 7-9 | +6.5 | 13-33L | 13-20 | 3-0 | -1.5 |
9-7 | 5-11 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | W7H | Flacco | Den | @ | Oak | D. Carr | L1H | 1-0 | 2-0 | 4-12 | 6-10 | 12-4 | +3 | 24-16W | 14-6 | 0-0 | -2.5 |
9-7 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 3-0 | 1-0 | W1R | Tannehill | Ten | @ | Den | Lock | L1R | 1-0 | 4-0 | 7-9 | 6-10 | 5-11 | +3 | 14-16L | 7-7 | 1-0 | -1.5 |
10-6 | 11-5 | 12-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 | W2R | Wilson | Sea | @ | Ind | Wentz | L7R | 7-0 | 2-0 | 11-5 | 7-9 | 10-6 | +3 | 16-28L | 10-21 | 1-1 | -2.5 |
6-9-1 | 13-3 | 13-3 | 2-0 | 1-0 | W6R | Rodgers | GB | @ | NO | Winston | W2H | 2-0 | 1-0 | 12-4 | 13-3 | 13-3 | +3.5 | 38-3W | 24-3 | 0-3 | -3 |
10-6 | 13-3 | 11-6 | 1-0 | 0-1 | L1H | Allen | Buf | @ | LAR | Stafford | W5H | 1-0 | 0-1 | 12-5 | 10-6 | 9-7 | +2.5 | -1 |
Wk 1 | 2012 | ||||||||||||||||||||
R3YA | R2YA | RLS | CRS | RVS | ODStk | StQB | Team | @ | Team | StQB | ODStk | HVS | CHS | RLS | R2YA | R3YA | Line | Score | ST3Q | T/O | OL |
13-3 | 9-7 | 8-8 | 1-0 | 1-0 | W1H | Rivers | SD | @ | Oak | Palmer | W1R | 0-3 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 8-8 | 5-11 | -1 | 14-22L | 6-16 | 1-0 | +2 |
7-9 | 6-10 | 7-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | L2R | Tannehill | Mia | @ | Cle | Weeden | L8H | 2-0 | 0-1 | 5-11 | 4-12 | 5-11 | -2.5 | 10-23L | 10-13 | 3-1 | +1.5 |
6-10 | 7-9 | 12-4 | 1-0 | 1-0 | L5H | Anderson | Car | @ | TB | McCown | L1R | 1-0 | 0-1 | 4-12 | 7-9 | 4-12 | -4.5 | 14-20L | 0-10 | 3-0 | +2 |
3-13 | 7-9 | 12-4 | 0-1 | 4-0 | W1R | D. Carr | Oak | @ | Ten | Mariota | L1H | 2-0 | 4-0 | 9-7 | 3-13 | 2-14 | -3 | 16-26L | 13-16 | 0-0 | +1 |
11-5 | 8-8 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 3-0 | L3H | Tolzien | Ind | @ | LAR | Goff | L1R | 0-2 | 0-7 | 4-12 | 7-9 | 6-10 | -3 | 46-9W | 37-3 | 1-3 | +3 |
9-7 | 10-6 | 11-5 | 1-0 | 5-0 | W1H | Wilson | Sea | @ | Atl | Ryan | L2R | 0-2 | 2-0 | 7-9 | 7-9 | 10-6 | -1 | 25-38L | 12-28 | 2-0 | +1 |
12-4 | 5-11 | 7-9 | 2-0 | 0-2 | W2R | Herbert | LAC | @ | Was | Fitzpatrick | W1H | 1-0 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 3-13 | 7-9 | -2 | 16-20L | 16-13 | 1-2 | +1.5 |
6-10 | 11-5 | 8-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | L3R | Brissett | Cle | @ | Car | Baker | W1H | 0-1 | 0-6 | 5-12 | 5-11 | 5-11 | -1 | +4.5 |
What do the 2008 Lions and the 2017 Browns have in common? They both went 4-0 in the preseason and both went 0-16 during the regular season.Rule No. 7 - Don't watch preseason football and expect to get a feel for a team.
Most of the people I see are infatuated with the players. They "think" history plays no part in the outcomes. Silly thinkers!Really like the historical angles in this thread
People underrate history when gambling so much
If that's what you think I'm really interested in seeing some of your selections this season.History has NOTHING to do with today's game.
Some of these young guys have no idea how long I've been doing this.GOOD STUFF BUDDY !!