Big-10 Predictions for 2014 (record included)

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Big 10 Conference

Michigan St. played in the Big 10 championship last year in a game in which the Spartans won. That can’t happen this year after a couple of additions to the conference lead to reassignment of teams. Now Ohio St. and Michigan St. will have to duke it out for first place in the East of the Big 10 to be able to go to the championship. That opens a huge door for the Wisconsin Badgers who now find themselves as the big dogs in the weaker side of the Big 10 Conference. We say Michigan St. and Wisconsin meet up for the championship this year. BEST O/U BETS for this conference according to BOVADA ODDS: Michigan St. (over), Michigan (over), Indiana (over), Penn St. (under), Wisconsin (over), Iowa (under) and Nebraska (under).

Big 10 Conference EastPredicted 2014 Record2013 Record
Michigan St.12-013-1
Ohio St.10-212-2
Michigan9-37-6
Indiana7-55-7
Maryland6-67-6
Penn St.6-67-5
Rutgers4-86-7
———-
Big 10 Conference WestPredicted 2014 Record2013 Record
Wisconsin11-19-4
Northwestern7-55-7
Iowa6-68-5
Minnesota6-68-5
Illinois5-74-8
Nebraska4-89-4
Purdue1-111-11
 

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So Michigan State is predicted to beat Oregon?

I'd be very happy to see OSU w/ 2 losses....
 

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I think Ohio State is a big ass fade this year. You heard it here first from uncle Sooner. I've already taken the under 10.5.
 

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This predictor is human, or is by some algorithm?

In my most pessimistic viewpoint cant see Nebraska winning only 4 games. We are talking, perhaps, the most physically gifted team of the West. That has to be based upon no faith in the head coach, because history and talent-level, doesn't jive. And Iowa is as good as anybody in the division on the lines, has a returning QB, finally a decent stable of backs, and will play stereotypical Big Ten style of football. 6 wins is too few, especially with that schedule. I predict Nebraska-Iowa will be playing for the Division title on Black Friday.
 

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This predictor is human, or is by some algorithm?

In my most pessimistic viewpoint cant see Nebraska winning only 4 games. We are talking, perhaps, the most physically gifted team of the West. That has to be based upon no faith in the head coach, because history and talent-level, doesn't jive. And Iowa is as good as anybody in the division on the lines, has a returning QB, finally a decent stable of backs, and will play stereotypical Big Ten style of football. 6 wins is too few, especially with that schedule. I predict Nebraska-Iowa will be playing for the Division title on Black Friday.

Exactly. No faith in the head coach who I think is in his final season. He will join his brother in the ranks of the unemployed.
 

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This predictor is human, or is by some algorithm?

In my most pessimistic viewpoint cant see Nebraska winning only 4 games. We are talking, perhaps, the most physically gifted team of the West. That has to be based upon no faith in the head coach, because history and talent-level, doesn't jive. And Iowa is as good as anybody in the division on the lines, has a returning QB, finally a decent stable of backs, and will play stereotypical Big Ten style of football. 6 wins is too few, especially with that schedule. I predict Nebraska-Iowa will be playing for the Division title on Black Friday.

BTW, the predictions are by a system and not human logic because as you know that logic gets taken to the cleaners every year at casinos everywhere. It has shielded us from losses countless times. Humans hold hidden agendas, biases, etc. based on our experiences. Most times we are not aware of them but they act against us. One would look and say NO WAY Michigan St. beats Oregon the same way we say no way App. St. beats Michigan or no way Georgia Southern beats Florida.
 

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Nebraska plays 7 home games this year - Fla Atlantic, McNeese St, Mia (Fla), Illinois, Rutgers, Purdue, Minnesota - and will be favored in all 7. I would be shocked if they lost more than one of those, but believe they will probably win all 7. The 5 road games are tougher - Fresno St, Michigan St, Northwestern, Wisconsin, Iowa - but still believe they win at least 2 of those, and maybe 3. That makes at least 8 wins for Nebraska (instead of predicted 4) imho. Also, Iowa has a very favorable schedule this year for a solid but unspectacular team. In the East I would switch Penn St and Indiana.
 

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Fresno ST will play tough against Nebraska. I wouldnt be suprised if Nebraska loses this game in Fresno
 

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BTW, the predictions are by a system and not human logic because as you know that logic gets taken to the cleaners every year at casinos everywhere. It has shielded us from losses countless times. Humans hold hidden agendas, biases, etc. based on our experiences. Most times we are not aware of them but they act against us. One would look and say NO WAY Michigan St. beats Oregon the same way we say no way App. St. beats Michigan or no way Georgia Southern beats Florida.

Ok. I like the computer simulators, too. But they aren't with our flaws. Every now and then you come across an outlier. Oddly enough, that has been Nebraska under Pelini. See turnover ratio the last 6 years. Among the worst year in and out, you see mostly sub-500 teams, and then there is .700 Nebraska. Ten straight wins when the difference is 10 or less and a -9 turnover in those games. You see those trends and you say NO WAY. But it carries on.
 

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Fresno ST will play tough against Nebraska. I wouldnt be suprised if Nebraska loses this game in Fresno

I hear the walk into the stadium can be intimidating. It will be a 9:30 Nebraska-time start and the Miami game looms the following week. All those 80's & 90's games in Miami's backyard. It will be talked about perhaps a few days too early. Fresno still needs to find a QB, but Fresno or Miami stealing one.
 

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Ok. I like the computer simulators, too. But they aren't with our flaws. Every now and then you come across an outlier. Oddly enough, that has been Nebraska under Pelini. See turnover ratio the last 6 years. Among the worst year in and out, you see mostly sub-500 teams, and then there is .700 Nebraska. Ten straight wins when the difference is 10 or less and a -9 turnover in those games. You see those trends and you say NO WAY. But it carries on.

I hear you but at some point, the bottom is going to fall out on Nebraska. Perhaps this year is that year. Perhaps we are wrong. We are rarely off by more than 2 games. So even 6-6 falls below what O/U line at most sportsbooks. So based on this, we would make an under wager on Nebraska's total wins for the season.
 

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I hear the walk into the stadium can be intimidating. It will be a 9:30 Nebraska-time start and the Miami game looms the following week. All those 80's & 90's games in Miami's backyard. It will be talked about perhaps a few days too early. Fresno still needs to find a QB, but Fresno or Miami stealing one.

Its looking like Fresno is leaning towards starting Duke-transfer Brandon Connette. Still same spread-offense system
 

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i always assume nebraska is a fade when something is expected of them so i'll agree with them failing again. not sure if they'll go 4-8 but i certainly don't expect them to be a title challenger in the big 10 like the media does

i believe Wisconsin could be the biggest disappointment. tough to replace your top 4 LB and nearly entire front 7 plus have questions at QB. but with 75 starts coming back on the OLINE this all sets up for a 2000+ yard season for Gordon

I'll take Iowa to win the west. Rudock started every game and got better as season went along, one of best offensive lineman in ncaaf, and the easiest schedule in the big 10 (avoid OSU, MSU, PSU, UM). Their only league road games are maryland, minn, illinois, and purdue.

could be a huge year for the Hawkeyes...at least it sets up really nicely for them
 

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Anyone else in here think that Fresno St. should replace Colorado in the Pac-12?

no

40k seat stadium, terrible academics, a population of 500k, and a tv market outside the top 50

Boulder is in the denver tv market (top 20...maybe even top 15?), part of a nearly 3M population, 55K seat stadium, and are pulling in nearly $1B/year in research funding
 

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Anyone else in here think that Fresno St. should replace Colorado in the Pac-12?

If inclusion into a collegiate athletic conference was based solely by the performance on the football field, then yes Fresno St would make a better member of the PAC-12 than Colorado as the Buffs have not fielded a competitive football program in nearly a decade. However, as Rolltide pointed out there are additional factors to consider as well so its a little more complicated than that. I know this might seem somewhat shocking to some fans from other conferences, which I won't mention here - that the performance of the football team might not be the number one priority of a university.
 

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