From a pure math standpoint it is 100% the correct call to go for 2 in that scenario. This has been debated and discussed for years and math dictates you go for 2 points. You do not see coaches do it very often because they are of the old school mentality. Just do some quick google searches and you will see the results of all of the scenarios which shows you have about a 12.5% greater chance of winning the game by going for 2 when down exactly 8 points later in the game. After reading the in-depth discussions if you still are of the opinion that it was the wrong choice then I guess we can just both agree that you do not trust math and you instead like to follow your "gut" feelings when making decisions. I am fine with whatever you conclude.
Don't trust gostkowski to hit a 45 yarder?
Falcons in the exact same situation tonight. With a worse kicker and further out.
And they nail the dagger. It's the correct call
OMG, seriously
With 1 minute and 55 seconds left, the Falcons kick a 37 yard FG (a modern day XP)
with 24 seconds left, the Patriots elect not to kick a 50 yard FG
Do you actually think there's no difference between 1:55 and 0:24?
Never mind a 37 yard FG vs a 50 yard FG, even in the NFL the percentages fall
Belichick absolutely kicks a 37 yard FG with 1:55 left, c'mon man
I dont trust eli
This makes the decision to go for 2 even easier. If you don't trust Eli to assist his team in converting a 1 play 2 pt conversion then you must REALLY not trust him in a potential 10 minute overtime. In this situation you need to decide to go with the higher variance situation which is of course the 2 point conversion.
When you have an 11 in blackjack and the dealer has a 6, do you sometimes not doubledown because you don't "trust" the dealer? It's all math. Take emotion and antiquated philosophy out of your decision making processes.
eh theres a lot more to the math than just your adjusted percentage of winning. The move also effects your % chance of a tie (going to OT) and a loss
eh theres a lot more to the math than just your adjusted percentage of winning. The move also effects your % chance of a tie (going to OT) and a loss