ACE-ACE/Samy/Jackal Over-Under System

[TheJackal]

def. too much plays, i agree with you Jackal, too much BR exposure..what kind of filter did you apply to get the 9 plays? thanks as always for the sheet, and good luck this week!

I used the Avg numbers to help me zero in on the plays. I looked at some previous weeks (this year and last year) to help determine the exact filter. Like we've been discussing, not enough data to gaurantee anything but I like the games I am on.

why not just play the games where all 3 match?

Feel free. That is certainly one approach if you are trying to reduce the number of plays. I took a different approach.

At my book , the Arizona St. total has changed to 51 and the California total has changed to 56. This causes them to not be a match in all thee categories. Are they no plays now or do you go by the opening number? Thanks.

Not plays at those numbers. I got numbers that qualiied.

Had a question. For the Fresno St and cincinatti game. The Deff line has over like 23.0 and the off line has under 20.0. So would this play contradict itselfs. ???

Only All 3 match looks at Def and Avg numbers. 17+ only takes Off into account.

Go back and read the entire thread like the rest of us. The answer to your question has been covered about a dozen times.

Thanks!

 

[disboitee]

hey Jackal, are you just doing the College sheet only right? so no NFL sheet? let me know ...thanks

 

[TheJackal]

hey Jackal, are you just doing the College sheet only right? so no NFL sheet? let me know ...thanks

I tried to respond to your PM but you turned PMs off. I was not planning to post the NFL sheet becuase it did not do well. Ace had an uncanny knack of picking the winners out of the list that the sheet selected. If people want to see it though, I may start a new thread over in the NFL forum.

 

[seanjohn007]

thanks for all the work you guys do on this thread. jackel, i really lke the plays you narrowed it down to

 

[Steiner69eR]

daily bump..let's have a great day!

 

[TheSaint]

bumpty-bump...I decided to play all 3 match only, gl boys!

 

[disboitee]

I tried to respond to your PM but you turned PMs off. I was not planning to post the NFL sheet becuase it did not do well. Ace had an uncanny knack of picking the winners out of the list that the sheet selected. If people want to see it though, I may start a new thread over in the NFL forum.

its ON now...

 

[RiNo808]

Hey Jackal awesome job, i also have this o/u in my excel sheet. I was just wondering where do you get your stats (info) from, and is it updated on your excel sheet from the net. im asking cause i have to cut and paste my stats from covers to my sheet and its very time consuming. i am looking for an easier way to get the stats from the web to my sheet. thanks in advanced

 

[disboitee]

wow...this week i guess the system didnt kick in yet...i've followed lolz damn im doing real bad...hit big on them match 3 too and looking not too good

 

[Oak3]

Good job on your plays Jackal 5-4 ATS.

Don't know what filter you used but it worked out good. Thanks

 

[JimmyWynn]

how is 5-4 working out good? You lost right?

 

[JimmyWynn]

It was a fucking barriel i used the bama total over and
under Navy 0-2 crack crack.

Those had highest value right?

 

[Jumpman23]

how is 5-4 working out good? You lost right?

Ummm 5-4 usually means you won. At least to me that's what it means. :grandmais

 

[Steiner69eR]

2-1 day for me playing unders with 24+ value

Thanks as always!

 

[MikeOxbig]

Per post 614, I feel this system has a knack for finding value on the UNDER.

Under 17 was 9-5 ATT going into this weekend, and went 3-2 Saturday. 12-7 total, 63.2%.
Under 20 is 10-6 ATT for 62.5%.
Under 23.5 is 8-4 ATT for 66.7%

I'm actually considering fading over plays.
17+ is 11-16 (41%)
20+ is 7-12 (37%)
23.5+ is 4-7 (36%)

 

[TheJackal]

hey Jackal, are you just doing the College sheet only right? so no NFL sheet? let me know ...thanks

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It’s posted in the NFL forum now
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thanks for all the work you guys do on this thread. jackel, i really lke the plays you narrowed it down to

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Thanks
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I was just wondering where do you get your stats (info) from, and is it updated on your excel sheet from the net.

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Mostly statfox and yes d1g1t<o></o>
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wow...this week i guess the system didnt kick in yet...i've followed lolz damn im doing real bad...hit big on them match 3 too and looking not too good

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I won money so I would not call it a ‘real bad’ week. Not going to retire on my 1.2 units but certainly not a bad week. (<)<
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Good job on your plays Jackal 5-4 ATS.<o></o>

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Don't know what filter you used but it worked out good. Thanks

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Thanks! :toast:
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how is 5-4 working out good? You lost right?

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No. :think2: I won 1.2 units
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2-1 day for me playing unders with 24+ value<o></o>

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Thanks as always!

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Glad it helped you out!
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I feel this system has a knack for finding value on the UNDER.

If you notice, after I applied the filter, it filtered out 5 overs and 1 under. I think the overs will get stronger in the second half of the season (when there are way fewer of them) but for now, I would agree with you. I still won on the one over I played. :drink:
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I will post updated results and record later today. Working on my NFL plays right now.

 

[TheSaint]

Jackal, could you send me the link of last years NFL thread, where the first CFB sheets were posted? Cant find it somehow..

 

[TheJackal]

Jackal, could you send me the link of last years NFL thread, where the first CFB sheets were posted? Cant find it somehow..

I'm not going to go digging but it will be in one of Ace's weekly 'Ex-bookie wants to help' weekly threads. And the posts will likely be by Samy. Hopefully you can locate it with that info.

 

[TheSaint]

Thanks for the info, will try to dig it up.

 

[TheJackal]

Thanks for the info, will try to dig it up.

Start with NFL week 11 and work backwards if you are looking for what I think you are looking for.

http://www.therxforums.com/showthread.php?t=632638&highlight=exbookie&page=8