A few baseball thoughts from basesman

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to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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gynecologist said:
May the best man win. smartz will prove to be a very capable capper!!
Even if he doesn't win, he will do his thing!!!

GL to both of you...


i wish him nothing but the best. very personable young man, will pull ofr him each day. perhaps, if he didnt mind, w could get a 3rd that thought he was capable.
 

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hey mo,
i sent you an email , did you get it?

and where are you gonna post your picks for the month of august or to the end of the year

i follow alot of your picks as i am sure alot of other people on this site do
 

to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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chifro said:
hey mo,
i sent you an email , did you get it?

and where are you gonna post your picks for the month of august or to the end of the year

i follow alot of your picks as i am sure alot of other people on this site do



hey bud i havent checked my email this morning but i will be posting my pics each day now that there si a little contest going. from now until Oct 8th i will have my plays available. i will get back to your email and thanks for writing....just let me know if you need anything or want to talk about any game or capping or anything else at any time.
 

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Looking forward to seeing how this friendly capping contest goes and wish you continued success!!!!
 

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I'm looking forward to this as well. There should be a lot of money to be made between the two of you.

Let the games begin!

:dancefool
 

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From experience as a pitcher, yes it does matter where you pitch! Most pitchers are more comfortablke pitching at Home b/c they are used to the mound contents, what you will be seeing standing on the mound (backdrop), and if it involves astroturf or grass you dont even want me to go there. Each ballpark's mound is different. Very similar, but all different in their own way!

No, everyone does not stink vs. lefties. Many lefthanded batters and a majority of right handed batters prefer lefties. If you are a right handed batter, the curveball and slider break inside right into the hitter. Why do you think managers make pitching changes b/c of what type of hitter is up next? (left or right handed) TB got 12 hits, 8 of Moyer in 5 innnings last night ( good cal on that one)

You have obviously never played baseball or just have been misinformed on how the game is played.

Horrible post!! And horrible if you believe in this crap!

:puppy:
 

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mofome said:
i wish him nothing but the best. very personable young man, will pull ofr him each day. perhaps, if he didnt mind, w could get a 3rd that thought he was capable.

Since your so into accurate usage and terms...personable means likable and good looking...is he nice looking as well? BOL enjoy your posts.
 

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who is so into accurate usage? make sense.


the pig, no shit it matters where u pitch. thats exactly hwat i said. learn to read. thats why i said there is no "ON THE ROAD". ITS AWAY FROM HOME. each park is different. thats the point, cupcake..
:missingte get it? you follow? can u keep up? you see the main problem you have is that you are stupid and thats not something i can correct.

most lefties are not jamie moyer and i did not say all lefties. again you dont have the ability to read with any understanding. i know much more about the game than you do, thats just life.

hope u got the attention you wanted.


:suomi:
 

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mofome said:
"on the road" is not a place.
when you say a guy is this and that on the road, it means far less than you think. "away from home" could be a thought, but each place you play is much different and a pitcher pitches at each different stadium so infrequently that it doesnt matter as much as most care to think. Especially dont worry about this when you are talking about a vet pitcher. Good Pichers know how to get people out, poor ones struggle. playing at oakland and playing at Baltimore are very different but many of the capper would call it "on the road". wipe that from your thinking.


systems are used for matchups, in game matchups
dont play a system b/c its the 3rd dog in a row on a wednesday. dont play a system b/c line movement in says to play it. baseball is a game of matchups...one on one. there isnt a team calling plays and its not 5 on 5 or 11 on 11 each play. not capping the pitcher is ridiculous and can not be justified. U have to take into consideration the person that has the ball 40$ of the game and will be limitting ot enhancing the other teams ability to hit it and how hard. you base a system on the in game matchups to try and decrease risk of loss, dont go by a system that detemines your play without looking or knowing who is pitching and playing.


They stink vs lefties.
everyone stinks vs lefties b/c lefties have to be better pitchers and lefties are seen less often. going against mostly right handed bats you have to be more talented and you are seen less often which is tougher on most everyone. hell casey fossum is tough to hit this year...but sometimes he walks a lot of people. Left handed pitchers pitch more often to righties than lefties, left handed pitchers are seen less by righties than right handed pitchers...all factors work for the elfties to be successful and most teams to "stink vs lefties". but you have to look at who the lefty is...is the lefty liriano? well if they just played the twins, Os, and TB you are likely to find a team that sucks ve lefties, thats just how it is. even the kid jeremey sowers is giving people trouble and he doesnt feature +++ stuff. Dont tell me a team sucks vs lefties...tell me who they got beat by and then who they are playing. kenny rogers and John Santana are both lefties but you better not cap a game generalizing the two and play for kenny rogers b/c santana/bedard/and Kazmir lit up some team and now they are vs a lefty in rogers...na ah, bases dont work like that.


stop generalizing, its not capping, its just talking and trying to make a play fit


bol today and for the rest of the month

First line 3rd paragraph you schmuck, know what you write and how I respond. You are a loose cannon and noone in their right mind should believe this hot air you are blowing. You said , "most teams stink vs. lefties" oh but you distinguisehed a few good lefties. Lefties witrh 12 and 13 wins, well no shit those guys are good their record speaks for themselves. Your words are jibberish just like your knowledge of the game.
 

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G&J said:
First line 3rd paragraph you schmuck, know what you write and how I respond. You are a loose cannon and noone in their right mind should believe this hot air you are blowing. You said , "most teams stick vs. lefties" oh but you distinguisehed a few good lefties. Lefties witrh 12 and 13 wins, well no shit those guys are good their record speaks for themselves. Your words are jibberish just like your knowledge of the game.



awwww are you calling names no the net. are you going to beat me up? lok, its not my fault that you dont understand basbeall. ive been tracked 3 years and then this one and won over 100 units each year. most teams do struggle mro vs lefties. and? i didnt name justa few that are great, i named fossum who gives boston problems all the time. you see i know every player, on every team, all the prospects and have dont nothing but win and been tracked doing so.

read this and see who knows what
pinny has the line set at Clev -$1.04 and Det -$1.04 @ 4:42 est

right now i am listening to a piece called "operation dinner out" and its from the "spy game" movie soundtrack. excellent


here we are....Rogers vs Byrd. neither has impressive stuff, both know how to pitch. To grade their talent you might give lefty a 6 out of 10 and byrd a 4. knowledge of the game and how to set hitters up, rogers a 9.5 and byrd a 8.3. some people are throwers, some people are pitchers, and those that have both are stars.

well we all know that Det had Rodney pitch like crap tonight for a couple innings which means he wont be available on tuesday but Joel Is rested and thats good news for the tigers. Clev doesnt have anyone in the pen trully worthy of much mention so capping their pitchers rp isnt much more then a slight negitive each time out. Zumaya + vs Clev pen -.
best batters on Clev are hafner and siezemore, both lefties and vs rogers thats a slight - for clev. i could care less what they are vs lefties as a whole b/c the fact is that doesnt mean that fucking much. if your vs santana/liriano/bedard/kaz your stats likely suck vs "lefties" as some might say when in fact your stats trully just suck vs good pitching like eveyrone elses. for instance, joe Mauer hit his first Hr off a lefty tonight...you know why? b/c that lefty made a bad pitch and he smashed the fuck out of it. the guys are pros and have faced lefties and righties their entire lives, fact is, it tougher for most people to hit lefties b/c they see them less. so a couple of clevs top bats are lefties and their vs a lefty thats been around, slight - for clev.
now neither one of these guys are strike out pitchers so you know the ball is going to be in play for the first 5-7 innings while these boys work and det has the better defense so thats a small + for det
knowing that the ball will be in play a lot we're gonna take a look at who puts the highest percentage of good swings on the ball and who hits for the highest average on balls put in play. first guy we come to is Joe mauer who hits .408 on balls put in play which is #1 in baseball. coming down to our game we have Granderson at .367 (6th), sizemore at .352 (7th), pudge at .350 (8th), and victor Martinez and Carlos guillen each at .331 and tied for (19th) in the AL. hafner isnt far behind so we'll leave this at pretty even.
now we want to see which team has more players who hit a higer % of line drives which is the most frequent batted ball the lands for a base hit (not grounders or fly balls). the first one in our game is jason Michaels who hits lines drives 25.9% of the time which is good for 3rd in the AL. he is followed closely by boone and then granderson and Pudge giving two players from each team in the top portion of the league but Michaels a bit of a surprise and not someone you typically figure in when capping which is a bit of a bonus for clev. you know each game has a surprise guy that comes out of nowhere and you think to yourself, "wtf, i cant believe that douche hits a HR vs me, figures". we know the stars but part of it is trying to figure out which team may have some goofball surprise us, tomorrow it may be Michaels and it may not...just something to look at.
now lets take a look at the pitchers and what they have been giving up this year. with rogers/pudge you know you are going to have the running game under control so we dont figure in any steals for the first 6 innings or so tomorrow vs Det. keepings runners close plays a role in not only not allowing steals but sometimes preventing a guy from going first to 3rd on a single which can be big. A problem Rogers does face is the HR and hes given up 17 of those which is 2 more than he gave up all of last season. the good news is he is walking less people and ahs a lower whip which means a HR is more likely a solo shot than a multi-run blast. The elfty also sports a .437 Slugging% against which is .037 points higher than where he ended last season. kennys ERA sits just below 4.00 and his RA (era but included unearned runs) stands at 4.19. rogers gives up 18.1% line drives, 47.4% ground balls, and 5.8% infield flies. the rest are outfield fly balls, 13.7% of which end up as HRs which is far higher than where Rogers was last season. there is some more but thats enough for kenny rogers...lets look at Paul Byrd for a bit.
the first thing i see is that byrd/martinez dont keep runner from stealing on them. Det may not run a ton, but they will have the option should they choose. Byrd also isnt a guy that induces many Dps which is important when determining a ptichers ability to get himself out of a jam. Paul Byrd gives up an identical .437 slugging percentage. now as we pointed out Rogers and how simliar his era was to his "RA" we dont have the same case here with Byrd. Byrd allows 4.28 earned runs an outing but 4.91 total runs per outing which, as e already mentioned, shows how poor clev can be on defense and thats why det got that small advantage. the bad news for byrd is the he gives up 22.7% of his batted balls for line drives which is pretty fucking high. he also only gets 36.4% ground balls which means the ball spends a lot of time in the air which can be a killer but byrd manages by getting 12.8% of the those fly balls for infield flies and only 9.2% of his outfield fly balls leave the yard; 11-12% is the average rate. one thing that i didnt mention with rogers was the % of men that he leaves on base which is a solid # where he ios concerned but is not for byrd whom only keeps 68.9% of the men that reach vs him stranded.

more recently paul byrd has been pretty bad allowing a whip of 1.50 or higher in each of his last 4 games. his numbers for the season are decent but the % of line drives he gives up, his inablity to hold runners, his lack of a pitch to induce double plays and his lack fo a strike out pitch make him a good bet to allow some runs tomorrow. on the other side there is Kenny Rogers who has been a bit worse recently posting a whip of 1.50 or higher in each of his last 5 outings and all but 1 well over 1.50.

it seems that we have a couple pitchers in a rut and we'll see some runs put up in clev tomorrow, i havent checked if the ump is an under or over guy, but its a fair bet that the ball will be put in play fairly frequently and guys will be crossing the plate. Det has Joel ready and the better overall pitcher on the mound. I would lean towards the ove 9.5 and a slight lean towards Det if playing this contest. this is merely an example write up of a game someone posted a poll about. there is more involved, but this should be enough for now.


bol,
------------------


you are no one, i know much more than you. i win everytihng i do and that wont change. this year people have had terrible years, i have won as always. what i wrote is nothing more than the way it is. so, as i said, i did not say all lefties. you know, you should go to school before you post from now on. if not, i will just take you there



:toast:
 

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listen.....I have a life and I don't have time to read all this bull....unlike you

yeah i am in school....law school and trust me i know my share of the

game. bol always G&J
 

to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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G&J said:
listen.....I have a life and I don't have time to read all this bull....unlike you

yeah i am in school....law school and trust me i know my share of the

game. bol always G&J


get to sleep, sr. you are cranky. my life is all i could hope for, bud.
bol to you and everyone else. law student should be able to read that in 12 seconds. i know plenty about the game....


:103631605


bol and hope u win each night, sr
 

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likewise.....i read it in 10.5 but the grammar and comprehension were well out of my league apparently


Good night
 

to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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mofome said:
who is so into accurate usage? make sense.


the pig, no shit it matters where u pitch. thats exactly hwat i said. learn to read. thats why i said there is no "ON THE ROAD". ITS AWAY FROM HOME. each park is different. thats the point, cupcake..
:missingte get it? you follow? can u keep up? you see the main problem you have is that you are stupid and thats not something i can correct.

most lefties are not jamie moyer and i did not say all lefties. again you dont have the ability to read with any understanding. i know much more about the game than you do, thats just life.

hope u got the attention you wanted.


:suomi:


obviously i meant GJ or whatever the name is. not, the pig.

pig is always class...well...from what i know. personable doesnt mean good looking. he is friendly.

from the dictionary....follow me here sr:

per·son·a·ble ([FONT=verdana, sans-serif] P [/FONT]) Pronunciation Key (pûr
prime.gif
s
schwa.gif
-n
schwa.gif
-b
schwa.gif
l)
adj.

<DL><DD>Pleasing in personality or appearance.</DD></DL>

hope all is well and thanks for the grammar lesson. :)


 

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