5 Reasons why UCF will cover tonight!

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Here's my logic.

1. Everyone and their cousin knows about UCF's problems and it's more than built into the line already.
2. The public is all over the Herd. From what I can tell, 70%-80% of all bets are going on the Herd, yet I've seen the line at Olympic (where I consider the lines to be pretty sharp) go from 12 to 11.5.
3. It's not as if the Herd is without it's problems. I'm not sold on Gochneaur yet, also DE Marcus Hairston and DT Jamaal Whyce are out, WR Darius Watts, CB Willie Smith and S Curtis Keyes are battling leg injuries. If Watts is out or at less than 100%, that's going to be a big hit.
4. UCF's rush D is not bad, they should hold the cover should it be close in the 4th quarter.
5. Marshall's rush offense (on road) is not that great, worse than UCF's.

1 unit UCF +12
1 unit Under 50
 

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If all these are true why not wait for the line to go up even further...ti's 12.5 in some places......
the public is on marshall but is this a consensus fade play... i don't think so...

UCF is like 3-6 ATS what makes you think that will change with a new QB who had less than 100 yds. passing last week against a terrible E. Michigan team.... even with watts out i take the herd in a blowout tonight!!!!!!

Marshall 34 UCF 17
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You can come up with 10 more reasons and it wouldn't change my mind. The line is 13 and climbing. Marshall by 3 touchdowns.
 

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WHITY,
Good point. Sometimes I do wait if I think the line will move by kick-off. But I played it at +12, if it goes to +14 I'll add another unit.

If you compare Marsh and UCF away and home stats, they aren't that different. The only thing that worries me is the UCF had a weak home schedule. But Marsh on the road has not been the same team that they are at home.

I like the fact that people are on Marsh no matter how many reasons there are to play UCF. Gonna just have to see after the game.
 

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GoUH,
I agree with you on the UCF play. If UCF is really that bad playing at home, why the line is still around +11.5??? why not make it up to 21+??? This is the way that the bookie can kill people who think that the UCF is SUCK and make them to bet on the Marshall. To me on this game tonight, I will rather risk my money on the underdog instead. At least, Got the home field advantage plus the pts. Hope more people will bet on the marshall and we cover tonight!! Forget the Stats that both team having, both team will start with their backup QB. You never know what's going to happen. GO UCF!!
SEE ya in bank tomorrow GoUH!!
LET CASH IN!!
GL
Best Pick:
UCF +11.5
 

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I with you boys on ucf, marshall really has not impressed me this year, going with the home team, suspensions, the other players will step up tonite.
 

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5 what ---lol
Too bad GoUH --Mansui77---Jumbo---TAHOEREBEL

CONGRATS--Big Ernie--FIRE---PROPHETABLE---
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