Here's my logic.
1. Everyone and their cousin knows about UCF's problems and it's more than built into the line already.
2. The public is all over the Herd. From what I can tell, 70%-80% of all bets are going on the Herd, yet I've seen the line at Olympic (where I consider the lines to be pretty sharp) go from 12 to 11.5.
3. It's not as if the Herd is without it's problems. I'm not sold on Gochneaur yet, also DE Marcus Hairston and DT Jamaal Whyce are out, WR Darius Watts, CB Willie Smith and S Curtis Keyes are battling leg injuries. If Watts is out or at less than 100%, that's going to be a big hit.
4. UCF's rush D is not bad, they should hold the cover should it be close in the 4th quarter.
5. Marshall's rush offense (on road) is not that great, worse than UCF's.
1 unit UCF +12
1 unit Under 50
1. Everyone and their cousin knows about UCF's problems and it's more than built into the line already.
2. The public is all over the Herd. From what I can tell, 70%-80% of all bets are going on the Herd, yet I've seen the line at Olympic (where I consider the lines to be pretty sharp) go from 12 to 11.5.
3. It's not as if the Herd is without it's problems. I'm not sold on Gochneaur yet, also DE Marcus Hairston and DT Jamaal Whyce are out, WR Darius Watts, CB Willie Smith and S Curtis Keyes are battling leg injuries. If Watts is out or at less than 100%, that's going to be a big hit.
4. UCF's rush D is not bad, they should hold the cover should it be close in the 4th quarter.
5. Marshall's rush offense (on road) is not that great, worse than UCF's.
1 unit UCF +12
1 unit Under 50