Week 2
2-1 on the season
0-1 on ML parlays
My first 2 games are pretty "popular" picks
1) Texas A&M + 17.5- Last year these 2 teams played and I took Clemson giving double digits. Clemson won by 2 pts but Clemson scored late to make it close. I think the line on this game is a tad high. Clemson will win but not cover. Jimbo had coached against Dabo and Clemson many times and knows what to expect.
2) LSU-6.5. Yeah yeah, I know Texas is at home and Coach Hermann's ATS records as a dog is like 208-2 (i exaggerated a tad). Just feel like Texas is overmatched in this one.
I really dont have an intelligent write up for the 2 games above. I know they are "popular" picks this week but i REALLY like them both. I have no problem taking both SEC teams on the road in hostile areas as they wont be shocked in its environment.
3) UCF-10.5. When i first saw the line, i saw it was 9 and was a little surprised it was that low. I even stated on another person's post that i didnt handicap the game yet but the line seemed low. Now that i have handicapped the game, i feel that the 10.5 line is low. This game could play out a lot like last year's game. UCF has a nice squad this season and will continue to rotate 2 or 3 qb's this week. Although I wasnt that impressed with Wimbush last week, I really enjoyed their True Freshman QB who went to the same high school as Milton. The kid looked sharp. I am not sure how many points the linesmakers gave FAU for playing at home but this will be a home game for UCF. More than half the crowd will be dressed in black and gold. People bought FAU season tix just so they can get tix to this game. I am in a large group who purchased tickets and we actually bought our tix through FAU. FAU told UCF that they will give them as many tix as they need. I dont bet on UCF that much but when i do, I am usually successful. Take the knights, lay the points, and it will give you something to watch during the commercials of the LSU vs Texas game!!
My money line parlay (i suck at these)
WAke-1035
Mizzou-515
Utah-1735
Illinois-1440
Florida State-1405
UCF-375
Laying $20 and paying $20.19
Good luck this week