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Going into Monday night, in week 16, we had 5 favs & 10 dogs......that's nuts, Vegas got their Xmas presents.........
 

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Also saw the 9-0 SU trend for teams coming off >24 point shutout wins vs opponent playing 2nd game on the road. But in context that's a very rare scenario with limited sample featuring exactly 0 of the players who will be on the field tonight. Whereas Andy Dalton's 2-9 SU record and a 19.4 average QBR in prime time games seems pretty relevant considering he'll touch the ball every offensive play for the Bengals.

But dammit, I'm siding with you and taking the Bengals.



I understand your concern about the system play........its not a big enough sample size of 9-0 SU, but this system.doesn't care who the qbs are, its any teams in these scenarios.......they're no guarantees.

For instance, Manning is 22-1 SU life time vs AFC North, but most of those wins were with the Colts.......Denver is 9-4 SU past 3 or 4 years vs AFC North & 8-5 ATS.......

I hate betting on Daulton, I think he's an average qb at best, but Manning lost to the Rams 9-22 & the Rams have a decent defense, but the Bengals have a better one.......

The Patriots will NOT lose at home next week & Denver don't really need this game......

Bengals outright!
 

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Here are some more trends:


Denver is 1-4-1 ATS past 6 Monday night games........

Bengals are 12-4-1 ATS past 17 at home......

Bengals are 8-1 ATS as a non-division home dog........
 

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Why is Dallas -7, opened at -5???........

Dallas can only get #1 seed if Seattle loses to the Rams......hmm....
.I guess miracles do happen, but Seattle will smoke the Rams.
 

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I'm playing tonights game on both sides of teaser.......if Denver wins, I'm hoping its not by too much, since I have Bengals +13 in a teaser..........


3 team teaser:


Denver +7, Under 57, Seattle -2.5 ........$2,400 to win $2,000
 

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(+$12,978)......lost way too much playing the under & trying to get cute with a Denver teaser........


Several plays above are pending for week 17.......Merry Christmas everyone .......enjoy time with all your loved ones.
 

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Yup, Bengals super bowl was Monday night, they won't sniff past the 1st round of playoffs..........on to week 17.........also gotta stay away from totals, they are profit killers for me.
 

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Adding:


Chiefs -3 (+110).......$500 to win $550


I think the Chargers blew their juice making a great come back to get us the money last Saturday........

Also, the NFL loves drama.......I think the Ravens sneak in, or possibly the Texans or the long shot Chiefs?

No way will I try to figure out that puzzle of craziness for the last AFC wildcard spot........
 

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Thanks BMM, good luck to us........



Adding a 3 team.10 point reader for week 17:


Falcons +6.5, Chargers +12.5, Giants +7...........$1,200 to win $1,000


Falcons win the division by going 6-0 in division......Panthers will NOT repeat as a division title winner.

Eagles are done & have nothing to play for while the Giants always plays the last couple of games for their coach......

Chargers win & get in, they beat the Ravens already in Balt.......KC might try to play spoiler, but IMO, they'redone, Rivers & ccompany get in.......



I think I jumped the gun on the Chargers......I looked more into it & just think KC wins.. ....now I'm hoping KC wins by 4 to 11 points.......
 

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