Zig-Zag Theory update

Tiantain · Apr 28, 2014

This is an update of the Zig-Zag Theory in the playoffs.

4/21 (2-0)
Memp +7 - win
La C ml - win

4/22 (2-1)
Ind ml - win
Tor ml - win
Chi ml - lose

4/23 (2-1)
Char +9.5 - win
Dal +7.5 - win
Hou ml - lose

4/24 (2-1)
Atl +2 - win
Okl ml - lose
GS +3 - win

4/25 (3-0)
Brokln ml - win
Chi +2.5 - win
Hou +2.5 - win

4/26 (2-2)
Ind ml - win
S A ml - lose
Cha +4.5 - lose
Okl ml - win

4/27 (4-0)
Was ml - win
G S +2 - win
Tor +4 - win
Por ml - win

4/8
Cha +8
Atl +7
S A ml

RDTrains · Apr 28, 2014

The original Zig Zag is based ATS and not ML if betting on a Fav.

http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=317875

And since you are substituting ML instead on ATS you have to include Units to get a clear picture of where you stand. A few Fav ML losses can make a winning record not so worthwhile.

So 17-5 above becomes +8.85 units.

alexnguyen · Apr 28, 2014

RDTrains said:
The original Zig Zag is based ATS and not ML if betting on a Fav.

http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=317875

And since you are substituting ML instead on ATS you have to include Units to get a clear picture of where you stand. A few Fav ML losses can make a winning record not so worthwhile.

Great point, the Spurs were -180 on their last loss. As a side note, your link will be removed in about 15 minutes by mods. It's a big no no to link another forum.

Tiantain · Apr 28, 2014

RDTrains said:
The original Zig Zag is based ATS and not ML if betting on a Fav.

http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=317875

And since you are substituting ML instead on ATS you have to include Units to get a clear picture of where you stand. A few Fav ML losses can make a winning record not so worthwhile.

So 17-5 above becomes +8.85 units.

Both are used...the ml on fav has a higher winning % in the past years.

Tiantain · Apr 28, 2014

alexnguyen said:
Great point, the Spurs were -180 on their last loss. As a side note, your link will be removed in about 15 minutes by mods. It's a big no no to link another forum.

Myself, I won't play any ml over -150...no value. If the ml is over -150...I sit out.

RDTrains · Apr 28, 2014

Going back over the ATS Zig Zag I came up with 12-7-2 for +4.3 units. Bear in mind this theory has pretty much run it's course going barely .500 since 2001.

Tiantain · Apr 28, 2014

I posted this in a new thread because there was interest from someone in another thread.

Scott602 · Apr 28, 2014

Ya me... Thank You

Tiantain · Apr 29, 2014

This is an update of the Zig-Zag Theory in the playoffs.

4/21 (2-0)
Memp +7 - win
La C ml - win

4/22 (2-1)
Ind ml - win
Tor ml - win
Chi ml - lose

4/23 (2-1)
Char +9.5 - win
Dal +7.5 - win
Hou ml - lose

4/24 (2-1)
Atl +2 - win
Okl ml - lose
GS +3 - win

4/25 (3-0)
Brokln ml - win
Chi +2.5 - win
Hou +2.5 - win

4/26 (2-2)
Ind ml - win
S A ml - lose
Cha +4.5 - lose
Okl ml - win

4/27 (4-0)
Was ml - win
G S +2 - win
Tor +4 - win
Por ml - win

4/28 (2-1)
Cha +8 - lose
Atl +7 - win
S A ml - win

4/29
Chi ml
Mem +6.5
La C ml

Scott602 · Apr 30, 2014

Tiantain said:
This is an update of the Zig-Zag Theory in the playoffs.

4/21 (2-0)
Memp +7 - win
La C ml - win

4/22 (2-1)
Ind ml - win
Tor ml - win
Chi ml - lose

4/23 (2-1)
Char +9.5 - win
Dal +7.5 - win
Hou ml - lose

4/24 (2-1)
Atl +2 - win
Okl ml - lose
GS +3 - win

4/25 (3-0)
Brokln ml - win
Chi +2.5 - win
Hou +2.5 - win

4/26 (2-2)
Ind ml - win
S A ml - lose
Cha +4.5 - lose
Okl ml - win

4/27 (4-0)
Was ml - win
G S +2 - win
Tor +4 - win
Por ml - win

4/28 (2-1)
Cha +8 - lose
Atl +7 - win
S A ml - win

4/29
Chi ml - lose

Mem +6.5 - win
La C ml - win

lt56 · Apr 30, 2014

Scott602 said:
Tiantain said:

This is an update of the Zig-Zag Theory in the playoffs.

4/21 (2-0)
Memp +7 - win
La C ml - win

4/22 (2-1)
Ind ml - win
Tor ml - win
Chi ml - lose

4/23 (2-1)
Char +9.5 - win
Dal +7.5 - win
Hou ml - lose

4/24 (2-1)
Atl +2 - win
Okl ml - lose
GS +3 - win

4/25 (3-0)
Brokln ml - win
Chi +2.5 - win
Hou +2.5 - win

4/26 (2-2)
Ind ml - win
S A ml - lose
Cha +4.5 - lose
Okl ml - win

4/27 (4-0)
Was ml - win
G S +2 - win
Tor +4 - win
Por ml - win

4/28 (2-1)
Cha +8 - lose
Atl +7 - win
S A ml - win

4/29
Chi ml - lose

Mem +6.5 - win
La C ml - win

Click to expand...

who is posting these zigzag plays????

lt56 · Apr 30, 2014

Scott602 said:
Tiantain said:

This is an update of the Zig-Zag Theory in the playoffs.

4/21 (2-0)
Memp +7 - win
La C ml - win

is someone posting these picks before the games?????
4/22 (2-1)
Ind ml - win
Tor ml - win
Chi ml - lose

4/23 (2-1)
Char +9.5 - win
Dal +7.5 - win
Hou ml - lose

4/24 (2-1)
Atl +2 - win
Okl ml - lose
GS +3 - win

4/25 (3-0)
Brokln ml - win
Chi +2.5 - win
Hou +2.5 - win

4/26 (2-2)
Ind ml - win
S A ml - lose
Cha +4.5 - lose
Okl ml - win

4/27 (4-0)
Was ml - win
G S +2 - win
Tor +4 - win
Por ml - win

4/28 (2-1)
Cha +8 - lose
Atl +7 - win
S A ml - win

4/29
Chi ml - lose

Mem +6.5 - win
La C ml - win

Click to expand...

STRICKLEYWINNERS · Apr 30, 2014

so today would be...
BK + points
Dall + Points
Hou ML
think thats correct

lt56 · Apr 30, 2014

STRICKLEY WINNERS said:
so today would be...
BK + points
Dall + Points
Hou ML
think thats correct

i was asking if these plays are posted BEFORE the games.

Tiantain · Apr 30, 2014

This is an update of the Zig-Zag Theory in the playoffs. ***I also included the ATS (playing all games ATS) to compare.***

4/21 (2-0) (+2u / YTD +2) - (ATS +2 / YTD +2)
Memp +7 - win +1
La C ml - win +1

4/22 (2-1) (-.2 / YTD +1.8) - (ATS +.9 / YTD +2.9)
Ind ml - win +1
Tor ml - win +1
Chi ml - lose -2.2

4/23 (2-1) (-.99 / YTD +.81) - (ATS +.9 / YTD +3.8)
Char +9.5 - win +1
Dal +7.5 - win +1
Hou ml - lose -2.99

4/24 (2-1) (+.58 / YTD +1.16) - (ATS +.9 / YTD +4.7)
Atl +2 - win +1
Okl ml - lose -1.42
GS +3 - win +1

4/25 (3-0) (+3 / YTD +4.16) - (ATS +9 / YTD +5.6)
Brokln ml - win +1
Chi +2.5 - win +1
Hou +2.5 - win +1

4/26 (2-2) (-.83 / YTD +3.33) - (ATS -2.3 / YTD +3.3)
Ind ml - win +1
S A ml - lose -1.73
Cha +4.5 - lose -1.1
Okl ml - win +1

4/27 (4-0) (+4 / +7.33) - (ATS +1.9 / YTD +5.2)
Was ml - win +1
G S +2 - win +1
Tor +4 - win +1
Por ml - win +1

4/28 (2-1) (+.9 / +8.23) - (ATS -1.2 / YTD +4)
Cha +8 - lose -1.1
Atl +7 - win +1
S A ml - win +1

4/29 (2-1) (+.31 / +8.54) - (ATS +.9 / YTD +4.9)
Chi ml - lose -1.69
Mem +6.5 - win +1
La C ml - win +1

4/30
Dal +6.5
Bro +3
Hou ml

Tiantain · Apr 30, 2014

I will also include if you play only the ml in all games when I update todays w/l. ML has the highest winning %...4-6% higher than playing ml (fav) / pts (dog). If you played ml...YTD +13.46. GL to everyone.

Tiantain · Apr 30, 2014

lt56 said:
i was asking if these plays are posted BEFORE the games.

Yes

Tiantain · May 1, 2014

This is an update of the Zig-Zag Theory in the playoffs. ***I also included the ATS (playing all games ATS) and ML (playing all games SU (ML)) to compare.***

4/21 (2-0) (+2u / YTD +2) - (ATS +2 / YTD +2) - (ML +3.71 / YTD +3.71)
Memp +7 - win +1
La C ml - win +1

4/22 (2-1) (-.2 / YTD +1.8) - (ATS +.9 / YTD +2.9) - (ML -.2 / YTD +3.51)
Ind ml - win +1
Tor ml - win +1
Chi ml - lose -2.2

4/23 (2-1) (-.99 / YTD +.81) - (ATS +.9 / YTD +3.8) - (ML -.99 / YTD +2.52)
Char +9.5 - win +1
Dal +7.5 - win +1
Hou ml - lose -2.99

4/24 (2-1) (+.58 / YTD +1.16) - (ATS +.9 / YTD +4.7) - (ML -1.31 / YTD +1.21)
Atl +2 - win +1
Okl ml - lose -1.42
GS +3 - win +1

4/25 (3-0) (+3 / YTD +4.16) - (ATS +9 / YTD +5.6) - (ML +3.41 / YTD +4.62)
Brokln ml - win +1
Chi +2.5 - win +1
Hou +2.5 - win +1

4/26 (2-2) (-.83 / YTD +3.33) - (ATS -2.3 / YTD +3.3) - (ML -.73 / YTD +3.89)
Ind ml - win +1
S A ml - lose -1.73
Cha +4.5 - lose -1.1
Okl ml - win +1

4/27 (4-0) (+4 / +7.33) - (ATS +1.9 / YTD +5.2) - (ML +4.61 / YTD +8.50)
Was ml - win +1
G S +2 - win +1
Tor +4 - win +1
Por ml - win +1

4/28 (2-1) (+.9 / +8.23) - (ATS -1.2 / YTD +4) - (ML +2.74 / YTD +11.24)
Cha +8 - lose -1.1
Atl +7 - win +1
S A ml - win +1

4/29 (2-1) (+.31 / YTD +8.54) - (ATS +.9 / YTD +4.9) - (ML +2.22 / YTD +13.46)
Chi ml - lose -1.69
Mem +6.5 - win +1
La C ml - win +1

4/30 (3-0) (+3.00 / YTD +11.54) - (ATS +3 / YTD +7.9) - (ML -1 / YTD +12.46)
Dal +6.5 - win +1
Bro +3 - win +1
Hou ml - win +1

5/1
Ind ml
Okl ml
G S +2

Tiantain · May 2, 2014

5/1 (3-0) (+3.00 / YTD +14.54) - (ATS +3.00 / YTD +10.9) - (ML +3.15 / YTD +15.61)
Ind ml - win +1
Okl ml - win +1
G S +2 - win +1

5/2 ***If the lines change adjust + points or ML to closing lines (ex:5/1 game Ind/Atl, went from fav to dog)***
Tor + points
Dal + points
Por ml

Tiantain · May 2, 2014

I made a mistake on the Tor/Bro game, see below for the correct teams. GL

5/2 ***If the lines change adjust + points or ML to closing lines (ex:5/1 game Ind/Atl, went from fav to dog)***
Bro ml
Dal + points
Por ml