Reds +132
Looks like some great value on what i consider to be a 5-/50 coin flip, and definite reds advantage if hill's curve isnt breaking.
Ive seen threads with wind blowing out on the board....and I recall betting a sd padres game earlier in the year vs hill, and curve was not breaking, and the padres (of all teams) hit 5 balls to the track or out in the 1st inning and hill e scaped only giving up 2, yet was only a matter of time be4 he got shelled.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/playbyplay?gameId=270617116&full=null&date=null&refresh=null
no lie, homer, and 3 balls hit to the ivy were the 3 outs, and gonzalez double which hit the ivy......the padres put up 5 in the first 4 innings and chased hill.
<TABLE class=tablehead cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 border=0><TBODY><TR class=stathead style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #555555"><TD align=middle colSpan=3>Today's Lineups</TD></TR><TR class=colhead><TD width="10%">NO.</TD><TD width="45%">CINCINNATI</TD><TD width="45%">CHICAGO</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>1.</TD><TD>N. Hopper, CF</TD><TD>A. Soriano, LF</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>2.</TD><TD>J. Keppinger, SS</TD><TD>R. Theriot, SS</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>3.</TD><TD>K. Griffey Jr., RF</TD><TD>D. Lee, 1B</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>4.</TD><TD>B. Phillips, 2B</TD><TD>A. Ramirez, 3B</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>5.</TD><TD>A. Dunn, LF</TD><TD>C. Floyd, RF</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>6.</TD><TD>E. Encarnacion, 3B</TD><TD>M. DeRosa, 2B</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>7.</TD><TD>J. Cantu, 1B</TD><TD>J. Jones, CF</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>8.</TD><TD>D. Ross, C</TD><TD>J. Kendall, C</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>9.</TD><TD>B. Arroyo, P</TD><TD>R. Hill, </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
granted this was in june, but i think 67% of the public being on this game indicates people see this as a "must win" for cubs, and i actually like to bet against these kinds of scenarios. hill has a good record against both divisional opponents, and in his 2 starts wigth reds this year, 1.5 era....
Im simply going to bet on the team that i feel has the better pitcher going (arroyo), and in this case, the hotter bats. To be honest, dunn is the 1 guy id like to s ee out of the lineup, his undisciplined ass stands about as good a chance as floyd does hitting arroyos curve.
wsex has this line -140/130, im gonna jump be4 sportsbook lowers it also
Looks like some great value on what i consider to be a 5-/50 coin flip, and definite reds advantage if hill's curve isnt breaking.
Ive seen threads with wind blowing out on the board....and I recall betting a sd padres game earlier in the year vs hill, and curve was not breaking, and the padres (of all teams) hit 5 balls to the track or out in the 1st inning and hill e scaped only giving up 2, yet was only a matter of time be4 he got shelled.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/playbyplay?gameId=270617116&full=null&date=null&refresh=null
no lie, homer, and 3 balls hit to the ivy were the 3 outs, and gonzalez double which hit the ivy......the padres put up 5 in the first 4 innings and chased hill.
<TABLE class=tablehead cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 border=0><TBODY><TR class=stathead style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #555555"><TD align=middle colSpan=3>Today's Lineups</TD></TR><TR class=colhead><TD width="10%">NO.</TD><TD width="45%">CINCINNATI</TD><TD width="45%">CHICAGO</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>1.</TD><TD>N. Hopper, CF</TD><TD>A. Soriano, LF</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>2.</TD><TD>J. Keppinger, SS</TD><TD>R. Theriot, SS</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>3.</TD><TD>K. Griffey Jr., RF</TD><TD>D. Lee, 1B</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>4.</TD><TD>B. Phillips, 2B</TD><TD>A. Ramirez, 3B</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>5.</TD><TD>A. Dunn, LF</TD><TD>C. Floyd, RF</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>6.</TD><TD>E. Encarnacion, 3B</TD><TD>M. DeRosa, 2B</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>7.</TD><TD>J. Cantu, 1B</TD><TD>J. Jones, CF</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>8.</TD><TD>D. Ross, C</TD><TD>J. Kendall, C</TD></TR><TR class=evenrow><TD>9.</TD><TD>B. Arroyo, P</TD><TD>R. Hill, </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
granted this was in june, but i think 67% of the public being on this game indicates people see this as a "must win" for cubs, and i actually like to bet against these kinds of scenarios. hill has a good record against both divisional opponents, and in his 2 starts wigth reds this year, 1.5 era....
Im simply going to bet on the team that i feel has the better pitcher going (arroyo), and in this case, the hotter bats. To be honest, dunn is the 1 guy id like to s ee out of the lineup, his undisciplined ass stands about as good a chance as floyd does hitting arroyos curve.
wsex has this line -140/130, im gonna jump be4 sportsbook lowers it also
