YTD Fades: 29-7 +58.14

[BigGamesOnly]

Had another profitable day yesterday at 3-2 +4.64. It would have been worse had I taken the Dodgers at a full 5 units.

Here are the picks (remember to bet on the favorite, we're fading the dogs here)-

LA -137 over SD
Alvarez/Peavy

Bos -1.5 -109 over Bal
Wakefield/Dubose

Tor -145 over TBay
Towers/Zambrano

KC -1.5 -122 over Det
Lima/Maroth

Oak -1.5 -118 over Tex
Harden/Drese

Each of the above for 5 units.

Those below for 1 unit each.

Min -182 over Cle
Rogers/Westbrook

Cubs -1.5 -167 over Cin
Wood/Randall

 

[BigGamesOnly]

Adding the following:

Sea -140 over Ana [1 unit only!]
Garcia/Shields

 

[jjgold]

atlanta -111

 

[bhg]

Just a quick question - why are you fading tampa bay or any team in the Tor/Tampa series. Neither team has something to play for, and if anything Tampa is still playing hard under Lou to end the year. Granted they did get shutout against the Yanks but the Yanks were playing for something.

 

[BigGamesOnly]

Good question BHG-

Tampa is averaging less than 3 runs per game in their last 8. Their record is 3-11 in their last 14 (including last night's gift).

Tonight's matchup gives us Zambrano (TB has given up 9-9-10-2-10-0 runs in his last 6 starts) and Towers who has a 2.10 ERA at home.

 

[bhg]

Thanks for the breakdown BGO - you've convinced me to stay off of Tampa tonight.

 

[pigskinprofessor]

biggames,
i've been away on business and i've missed your little run. congrats. keep up the good work! i've actually done pretty good myself, but haven't been around to post. like the card tonight! good luck
pp

 

[BigGamesOnly]

Thanks prof. It's nice to hear words of congratulations. After all, I could keep my picks to myself. I guess it's partly ego as to why I post them and partly to help others.

Glad to hear you're doing well also.

 

[BigGamesOnly]

Bumping up Twins game from 1 unit to 5 units.

 

[MadCapper]

BGO - Solid night again my friend. Those rl's hurt a bit, but another solid day at the office. Keep it up.

-MC

 

[BigGamesOnly]

Thanks MC.

Actually I went 4-4 last night with -5.56 units. Two RL games won but did not cover. That's what I get for betting the RL on a team at home.

 

[MadCapper]

Oh I didnt realize the Twins game was just for 5 units. Thought it was for 10. And thought the Cubbies was 5.

Yea. I made a point earlier on in the season. Never bet RL on the home team! Never.

-MC