well, that time again......
Parlay: TT +6 1/2 and O53
First and foremost, my jaw dropped when I saw the opening line in this game, as I expected OU to be a slight DAWG, instead they're a TD favorite. :think2: So I may be donating my money for betting a line that just seems too damn easy. As I stated last week, I fully expect OU to lose this weekend, and nothing has happened to change my opinion.
First of all, while our redshirt freshman has shown signs of being a very good QB in the future, he is still in growing pains mode and I expect that to continue in Lubbock, where OU has lost SU the last 2 times they've gone down there. The 2007 game was not as close as the final score indicates -- Tech held a solid lead throughout the game and a flurry of late scores by OU was not enough to preserve the national title hopes.
Now, don't let last week's beatdown of A & M fool you into thinking that OU has turned the corner offensively. First of all, TD #1 was scored on a defensive fumble recovery. TD #2 was scored on a trick reverse play. TD #3 was scored after the Aggies special teams coughed the ball up at its 20 yard line. In fact, the Aggies shot themselves in the butt so many times in the 2nd quarter, that by the time the half rolled around, any fight they had left had long since left the building. Sure, Jones put up good numbers in that game, but most of those nice stats came in the 2nd half after the Aggies had given up the ghost. One thing I can say is that OU has gotten much more efficient when in the red zone, although its not like they have any choice -- the odds of OU successfully kicking anything longer than an extra point are worse than my odds of killing a 12 point buck this season.
Now, everybody knows Tech because of their play on offense, but this is a team that has managed to come out with some nice defensive game plans the last couple years. In fact, OU has scored a grand total of 48 points the last 2 trips they have taken down there. Oh yeah, Bradford got knocked out early in 2007 and our vaunted offense struggled to score with a young QB under center. That crowd's gonna be obnoxious, and if history repeats itself, Tech will benefit from a very favorable call late (see 2005), and it seems to me every time OU plays in an early game, I spend the rest of the day feeling like a hollowed out shell of my former self.
Now, as far as the total -- from everything I just wrote I feel like the under would be the play, but I'm no fool. Both teams will be good for a couple turnovers, and probably the kind that could cause a man to break his foot kicking the wall. I am predicting a 5 minute stretch where these two teams will score 3 TDs between them. As great as the OU defense has been playing, let's not let our bad selves get carried away -- it was only a couple weeks ago that we gave up 30 points at home to K. St. The defensive showing at Nebraska was helped in large part to the Huskers' offensive ineptitude. Against A & M -- well, like I said last week, A & M plain sucks. The OU defense was certainly good, but A & M did a horrible job of playcalling, and let me tell ya, they were fired up the whole game where the Aggies laid down. Leach will get some points regardless of how well our defense plays. As a result, OU is going to have to score some points, which, despite everything, I believe they will. One thing is for sure: this will be a physical game. I really hope to see Potts stand in the pocket like a daredevil -- he will get fucked up. The only problem is, I think Sheffield's better than he is. Take the points.
Tech wins a very entertaining game 34-28
Parlay: TT +6 1/2 and O53
First and foremost, my jaw dropped when I saw the opening line in this game, as I expected OU to be a slight DAWG, instead they're a TD favorite. :think2: So I may be donating my money for betting a line that just seems too damn easy. As I stated last week, I fully expect OU to lose this weekend, and nothing has happened to change my opinion.
First of all, while our redshirt freshman has shown signs of being a very good QB in the future, he is still in growing pains mode and I expect that to continue in Lubbock, where OU has lost SU the last 2 times they've gone down there. The 2007 game was not as close as the final score indicates -- Tech held a solid lead throughout the game and a flurry of late scores by OU was not enough to preserve the national title hopes.
Now, don't let last week's beatdown of A & M fool you into thinking that OU has turned the corner offensively. First of all, TD #1 was scored on a defensive fumble recovery. TD #2 was scored on a trick reverse play. TD #3 was scored after the Aggies special teams coughed the ball up at its 20 yard line. In fact, the Aggies shot themselves in the butt so many times in the 2nd quarter, that by the time the half rolled around, any fight they had left had long since left the building. Sure, Jones put up good numbers in that game, but most of those nice stats came in the 2nd half after the Aggies had given up the ghost. One thing I can say is that OU has gotten much more efficient when in the red zone, although its not like they have any choice -- the odds of OU successfully kicking anything longer than an extra point are worse than my odds of killing a 12 point buck this season.
Now, everybody knows Tech because of their play on offense, but this is a team that has managed to come out with some nice defensive game plans the last couple years. In fact, OU has scored a grand total of 48 points the last 2 trips they have taken down there. Oh yeah, Bradford got knocked out early in 2007 and our vaunted offense struggled to score with a young QB under center. That crowd's gonna be obnoxious, and if history repeats itself, Tech will benefit from a very favorable call late (see 2005), and it seems to me every time OU plays in an early game, I spend the rest of the day feeling like a hollowed out shell of my former self.
Now, as far as the total -- from everything I just wrote I feel like the under would be the play, but I'm no fool. Both teams will be good for a couple turnovers, and probably the kind that could cause a man to break his foot kicking the wall. I am predicting a 5 minute stretch where these two teams will score 3 TDs between them. As great as the OU defense has been playing, let's not let our bad selves get carried away -- it was only a couple weeks ago that we gave up 30 points at home to K. St. The defensive showing at Nebraska was helped in large part to the Huskers' offensive ineptitude. Against A & M -- well, like I said last week, A & M plain sucks. The OU defense was certainly good, but A & M did a horrible job of playcalling, and let me tell ya, they were fired up the whole game where the Aggies laid down. Leach will get some points regardless of how well our defense plays. As a result, OU is going to have to score some points, which, despite everything, I believe they will. One thing is for sure: this will be a physical game. I really hope to see Potts stand in the pocket like a daredevil -- he will get fucked up. The only problem is, I think Sheffield's better than he is. Take the points.
Tech wins a very entertaining game 34-28
