YaMar's 2nd Half Bases Thread

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Been away for a bit... we only have a week until the break but I'll play this week and then likely a decent portion of the second half of the year. Things get a tad tricky at the end when teams are playing for indiv. stats and nothing more, so I may stop three weeks or so before the season ends or just play only games that matter in playoff races.

Mets\Phils Over 10.5 2 Units

Rockies +123 1 Unit

Braves +123 1 Unit

Padres -112 1 Unit

Maybe adding one or two more but that's it for now...

 

[eraser76]

Love The Rockies Line Just Begging For Crew Money ~

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Yes sir. Fading the public on all these games besides the total.

 

[eraser76]

was looking at tex as well santana not untouchable

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Good luck if ya do add Texas

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Adding Phillies -137. Risk 1.37 units to win 1.0 units.

GOOD LUCK EVERYONE LET THE GAMES BEGIN

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Add:

Oakland -138 Risk 1.38 units to win 1 unit.

Looking okay here so far today, Rockies holding it down so far.

BEST OF LUCK GUYS.

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Tuesday

Arizona D-Backs -155 Risk 3.1 units to Win 2 Units


Public likely will be all over this one, but I'll take Webb @ Washington laying -155 chalk.

This line is likely go go up to -170 or so, I think there's some value at this price.

Other plays will likely be dogs for tomorrow but if you like the Backs now is the time to get locked in.

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Monday Results: +.88 Units

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Going to wait to see if we can't get some positive juice on Cinci tomorrow. They are in a bit of a streak against a team in Chicago that isn't playing their best ball lately.

Update tomorrow on this one but I think we could get some value here.

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

White Sox -125 against KC Risk 1.25 Units to win 1 Unit

Sox playing pretty good ball right now. I like the pitching matchup and don't think KC strings together another win coming off the victory against Arizona yesterday.


That's likely it for favorites for tomorrow, I am trying a new method out.

Two favorites max a day and nothing above -155 (which is dam high!)

The rest will be dogs or totals, but I see a few dogs for tomorrow that may be doing some barkin. Going to see how the public plays them over night.

Chat then!

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Marlins\Padres Under 8.5 Runs Scored 1.2 \ 1

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

SF Giants Risk 1 to win 1.04

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Reds Risk 1 to win 1.5 (tail BB)

Seattle Risk 1 to win 1.8 (tail BB)


I'll be tailing him for the next month or so as I've read July has historically been the best month in baseball to fade the public. I opted to stay away from the Milw\Rockies game as I don't plan any dogs over 180 and that puppy is at 213 right now.

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Fucking lowly Giants, they are pathetic but I had to back 'em tonight with Lincecum on the mound. 3-0 Mets through 2... yikes

Plenty o game left but they aren't really a come from behind team too much

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Could be a rough one tonight...

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

:think2:

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Gettin crushed tonight...

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

Nice little come back from the White Sox here.

 

[2dollarRazzplayer]

My plays for day: +.8 units

BB Tail (Fade Public): -3 Units

-1\2 total on the day.


-1.24 Units in thread




Haven't really played around with blindly fading the public but so far we're 1-5 so far, looking to bounce back with a win in the next few days.