source? there's about a million of them out there since this is the 3rd pandemic in a row that Neil Ferguson got disastrously wrong...err, I mean his "model". and, no, it is absolutely not better to scare people into house arrest to keep them safe. you fn psycho!
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/six-questions-that-neil-ferguson-should-be-asked
In 2005, Ferguson said that
up to 200 million people could be killed from bird flu.
He told the Guardian that ‘around 40 million people died in 1918 Spanish flu outbreak… There are six times more people on the planet now so you could scale it up to around 200 million people probably.’ In the end,
only 282 people died worldwide from the disease between 2003 and 2009
.
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In 2009, Ferguson and his Imperial team predicted that swine flu had a case fatality rate 0.3 per cent to 1.5 per cent. His most likely estimate was that the mortality rate was 0.4 per cent. A government estimate, based on Ferguson’s advice, said a ‘reasonable worst-case scenario’ was that the disease would lead to 65,000 UK deaths. In the end swine flu killed 457 people in the UK and had a death rate of just 0.026 per cent in those infected.
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In 2002, Ferguson predicted that between 50 and
50,000 people would likely die
from exposure to BSE (mad cow disease) in beef. He also predicted that number could rise to 150,000 if there was a sheep epidemic as well. In the UK,
there have only been 177 deaths
from BSE.
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Did trump really compare this to H1N1 flu recently on Twitter like you guys have all done and been shot done because of that comparison?
Jesus Christ. I would destroy this man ina debate. DESTROY.
He is saying the exact same shit as the klannies here looking for any excuse. “But Mob!!!! We didn’t even shutdown for the swine flu!!!!!!!”
He knows what you klannies love to hear.
Lmfao well no shit I have tried to tell you dumbfucks why over and over and over. And why we have to shutdown for this. And we still have double the deaths of swine flu
Jesus Christ. I would destroy this man ina debate. DESTROY.
He is saying the exact same shit as the klannies here looking for any excuse. “But Mob!!!! We didn’t even shutdown for the swine flu!!!!!!!”
He knows what you klannies love to hear.
Lmfao well no shit I have tried to tell you dumbfucks why over and over and over. And why we have to shutdown for this. And we still have double the deaths of swine flu
Let them die, then, eh? So you're saying that you are pro death?
Thankfully the experts are not following your advice.
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Without the economic shutdown there would have been many more deaths. Why? Because many hospitals would have been overwhelmed & they wouldn't have been able to handle all the non COVID-19 emergency cases in addition to all the COVID-19 emergency cases. Then doctors, as in Italy, have had to choose between who lives & who dies. Many thousands more would have died.
Without the shutdown many more would have become sick at the same time. That would have led to many businesses shutting down anyway. And many of their customers would have stayed at home, anyway, leading to even more business closures.
As things are going, there is much "herd immunity" already being built up. As many economies are now beginning to gradually open, or about to do so within the next few weeks, the "herd immunity" will slowly & properly be built up even more, so that hospitals & such are not overwhelmed.
Without the shutdown many more would have become sick at the same time. That would have led to many businesses shutting down anyway. And many of their customers would have stayed at home, anyway, leading to even more business closures.
As things are going, there is much "herd immunity" already being built up. As many economies are now beginning to gradually open, or about to do so within the next few weeks, the "herd immunity" will slowly & properly be built up even more, so that hospitals & such are not overwhelmed.
That is your "OPINION" about your experts and who and what you read
There are many experts who do not agree with what you are saying is fact
The only difference is the media shows only one angle as they have an agenda and it seems you have the same agenda as they do
or are just not that informed at all...
You are just plain ignorant, that has been shown by all the posts you make
Almost every country on earth has shutdown on the advice of the vast majority of experts. These nations all agree with me, like 99% of them. Even those that didn't shutdown are putting many restrictive measures into effect, without which they, too, would have had much more serious issues & suffered more. They may yet be forced into a lockdown.
All? Hahaha! Thanks for the laugh.
Africans routinely take over-the-counter Hydroxychloroquine for malaria
New Jersey makes HCQ almost impossible to prescribe without Lupus
Africa has 1.3 Billion people and less Covid deaths than New Jersey with 9M people yet scientists "are baffled" at Africa's controlled Covid outbreaks?
https://nypost.com/2020/09/04/scien...ling-lack-of-coronavirus-outbreaks-in-africa/
New Jersey makes HCQ almost impossible to prescribe without Lupus
Africa has 1.3 Billion people and less Covid deaths than New Jersey with 9M people yet scientists "are baffled" at Africa's controlled Covid outbreaks?
https://nypost.com/2020/09/04/scien...ling-lack-of-coronavirus-outbreaks-in-africa/
It's not rocket science.
For one thing, Africa has a relatively very young population.
"....more than 60% under the age of 25."
"Covid-19 is known to have a higher mortality rate for older age groups, and health problems like obesity and type 2 diabetes are also less common in Africa."
"...And research from the South African Medical Research Council (SAMRC) indicates the number of people who have died from the virus could be much higher than reported."It says excess deaths, which is the difference between deaths over a particular period and the historical average, rose by 17,000 - that's a 59% increase compared with previous years."
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-53604751
" After all, the average age on the continent is roughly half that in Europe. Far fewer Africans live into their 80s, and so are less likely to succumb to the virus as a result."
""Age is the highest risk factor. Africa's young population protects it," said Tim Bromfield, a regional director of the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change.
"...Early, and aggressive lockdowns here in South Africa and elsewhere on the continent have clearly played a crucial role. Clear messaging about masks and the provision of oxygen supplies have also been important."
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-53998374
Africa has more deaths:
Africa: deaths 31,000 & under reported
New Jersey: 16,000 deaths
Also NJ has flattened their death curve, while Africa has not. NJ got hit early, while Africa is getting hit late & now.
"As of September 10, the confirmed coronavirus death toll on the continent stood at 31,902, with deaths including the former president of the Republic of the Congo, Jacques Joachim Yhombi-Opango, and Somalia's former Prime Minister Nur Hassan Hussein."
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/04/tracking-africa-coronavirus-cases-200401081427251.html
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/04/tracking-africa-coronavirus-cases-200401081427251.html
