Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (9)

[WormyPix]

Well, yet another small cover, with WAS barely hanging on, and winning by exactly 8 over DET. Portis did have a good day, but a score off his rare fumble made it a lot closer than I would've liked.

However, Pix POW now stands at 6-2, and has hit 5 in a row. Let's try to keep that up.

I was originally going to make TEN my POW giving 5 to GB. But, upon closer review, I love the Eagles even more. PHI is now giving 6 1/2 to SEA, but I think they beat them by at least 10. With a great primer gm vs ATL the previous wk, I believe PHI will be ready to play in one of the hardest places to win in the NFL. SEA is a shell of its former self by being decimated with injuries. Losses at key places have plagued SEA all season long. And now their "D" has been hit, with their suspect dline losing pro bowler Kerney for this gm. If Shawn Hill (QB SF) can have a 100 QB rating vs SEA's "D", then I see McNabb having an equally good gm with SEA having to key in on Westbrook. Lofa Tatupu is expected to play, but has a significant groin injury. GL chasing down Westbrook with a faulty crotch. Also, the playmaker for SEA last wk Leonard Weaver (who also opens holes for Julius Jones) will be a gametime decision with a bad foot. Speaking of which, SEA's "impressive" win last wk over SF was a bit of a fluke. Weaver's 62 & 43 yd TD runs off short passes, combined with SEA's pick-6, were the difference in that gm. PHI's "D" will not allow that to happen again. And if Julius thought SF's front 7 was fearsome (7 ry on 9 carries) then PHI should be a tougher test (9th in run "D", giving up 89 rypg vs SF's 112). As for Westbrook, he faces the 22nd run "D" (121 rypg & 6 TD's). McNabb should have a good day too, as SEA's pass "D" is 3rd worst in the league. Throw in the distractions of assistant coach Jim Mora's ties with the UW job, and I believe we've got a winner here. Seneca will be on the run all day (backwards).

PHI 24
SEA 13

I still highly recommend playing TEN, as they're truly focused, and not a fluke at all. GB on the road to the AFC is not a good thing, even with 5 wideouts. Anyway, BOL all, and comments are always welcome.

:toast:

 

[thecruncher]

I just finished my write up on this game, and needless to say we have a faulty crotch and consensus winner here! Yes, let's hope this one isn't close for a change.

 

[billbeater]

Solid Play here Wormy!!!
tough card week 9 nfl, i think alot of games can go either way...

:howdy:

 

[WormyPix]

Cruncher and Billbeater agree!!

Great to hear boyz. I sure hope this wins for all of us. I think SEA has too many injuries to keep up with a motivated PHI team that needs these "easy" wins to keep up with their division.

I also like HOU and NYJ. HOU is going to have to pass well to win this one, which I think they'll do. I'm not sure how they'll do against AP, which is why this isn't a particularly strong play for me. And I think Favre gets enough time to pass against a so-so BUF pass rush.

BOL gang!

 

[billbeater]

i think the "closer" game with atlanta is keeping the line modest, but it has to be modest because everybody is overreacting to the travel thing.... which is obviously more of a factor for west teams traveling..
no letdown here. westbrook very very happy to be healthy and playing. hell, i would be happy to be 100% someday......

gb, hou, and jets are worthy dogs! :aktion033

 

[WormyPix]

Oooh, I like TEN however, but indeed GB is a worthy dog. But if Peyton can't get on track against a division rival for perhaps his playoff life this season, then I don't see Rodgers doing that much better. This'll be TEN's 2nd passing "O" test. We'll see how good their pass rush and secondary is.

 

[billbeater]

Thanks for your insight on GB/TENN, i really liked it, but now with the line lower im thinking the hell with it....
GB not the best versus the run, and rodgers has not faced this good of a defense.. could be turnovers from him?
very good point, they shut down indy rather handily, and i dont see gb running very well.... Tough one

 

[WormyPix]

That GB 5 WR set is scary, or it was with Favre running it last yr. They finally can attempt it again, with I believe James Jones or Ruvell Martin back? I also mentioned in another thread that Dallas Clark was talented enough to take advantage of TEN's "D" only weakness, and I don't think Donald Lee is the same. But Wayne, Marvin, & Gonzo were blanketed. Oh, also if they go to that 5 WR play, they'd better make it a quick one, because Vanden Bosch & Albert are gonna come up on Rodgers fast!

As you said, this is not an easy play. But GB on the road at the #1 team in the NFL, with that "D"? I'll take my chances with TEN.

 

[Gravy]

Wormy,BOL on your picks today ! Gravy :toast:

 

[Snowman450]

Im in Tenn i also took Cards at -3 and Clevland at 1 1/2 what do you think wormy? Gl guys big fan

 

[WormyPix]

Wormy,BOL on your picks today ! Gravy :toast:

Thanks buddy! Long time no see!

I'll check into your thread right after this.

 

[WormyPix]

Im in Tenn i also took Cards at -3 and Clevland at 1 1/2 what do you think wormy? Gl guys big fan

Snowman, sorry I didn't get back to you, but it looks like you had a losing day. I guess I would've agreed with you on all your pix, so I wouldn't have been much help! I didn't like the CLE/BAL gm, as division rivalries are usually hard to call, unless a certain team has a good history in the series. TEN was a complete bust, as Kerry Collins was terrible. I didn't get to watch the gm, but on the radio it seemed he was all over the place with his passes. Not sure why TEN just didn't run the ball all day. Both Johnson & White were doing well considering GB was focusing on them. Sick. Would've had a monster day if TEN had held on to cover.

ARI was apparently a great play, as their "D" did a great job in shutting down Jackson off his injury. And Boldin is starting to hit full stride again. ARI is definitely creeping up my list due to their improvement on "D", and their first road win.

 

[Gravy]

Damn your on fire Wormy and nice pick on the Eagles today ! :toast:

 

[WormyPix]

Damn your on fire Wormy and nice pick on the Eagles today ! :toast:

Thanks Gravy, hard luck on your Browns today too. I felt CLE had a great chance to win. Keep on keepin up!

 

[WormyPix]

Just posting this to help myself out. Feel free to post comments if you wish. I'm going to keep updating this throughout the season. This is who I believe is the best in the league. If these teams were to meet, this is who I think should be favored to win. Obviously I love "D", and good, punishing run "O"s (save ARI).

1. TEN
2. NYG
3. WAS
4. CAR
5. PHI
6. ARI
7. PIT
8. TB
9. ATL
10. CHI

Looking at this top 10 of mine, I see how the mighty have fallen. The NFC is the new bull, where formerly strong teams like SEA, DAL, and NO are the bottom teams. The AFC is stricken with injuries, so this could easily change. But TEN could handily beat any team in the NFL right now. So I guess the AFC is still ahead. I'm hoping MIA can crack this list some time during the season, but they'll have to improve on their run "D" against the elite. Ah, wishful thinking.

 

[Jetplane]

I wouldn't say handily beat any team.. they squeaked out a loss from GB. I'd say they beat any team 3 out of 5 times if they played best of 5.

Nice work >

 

[billbeater]

Great Play Wormy!!!! CASHED heavy with ya! :toast:

 

[WormyPix]

I wouldn't say handily beat any team.. they squeaked out a loss from GB. I'd say they beat any team 3 out of 5 times if they played best of 5.

Nice work >

True, Jet. But I felt Collins had his worst gm this season and they still beat GB who were playing almost their best gm. So I guess I should rephrase it to TEN could beat anyone handily on a neutral field with both teams playing their best ball. Because they had a disgustingly close one @ BAL too. That's why their "O", or more specifically their QB, really worries me. If Haynesworth stays healthy, TEN should be in the super bowl.

 

[WormyPix]

Great Play Wormy!!!! CASHED heavy with ya! :toast:

Awesome billbeater! I'm just happy it was a runaway win!

It's funny, but the "big play first" curse is still going strong! Any time a team has a game opening BIG play (ie kickoff return or broken play TD), they end up losing! So while my friends were sad to hear Koren Robinson's 90 yd TD the first play, I was thinking, $$ in the bank! And sure enough, that was all they scored!

Most recently, CHI's Devin Hester opening kick return TD in super bowl, and Ted Ginn Jr's in national title gm vs FLA. But there were many more too.

 

[Jetplane]

True, Jet. But I felt Collins had his worst gm this season and they still beat GB who were playing almost their best gm. So I guess I should rephrase it to TEN could beat anyone handily on a neutral field with both teams playing their best ball. Because they had a disgustingly close one @ BAL too. That's why their "O", or more specifically their QB, really worries me. If Haynesworth stays healthy, TEN should be in the super bowl.

I see where you're going and I'm currently a Titans bandwagon hopper... since their 3rd win.

It's not that TENN had their worst game. I would have to say COLLINS decisions and execution far outweigh VY's and he's the right guy for right now. Again, TENN didn't have their worst game because of themselves--they had it because GB's defense pulled though.

Isn't this the first game that TENN has been sacked? I saw that coming and that's why I said GB was the play. I didn't get to watch the game but according to the stats I'd say the game carried out to what it should have been by my standards.

d1g1t
JP