Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (9)

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Ugh, ATL had 4 awful TOs to doom my POW. Center skids the ball on the turf on a shotgun snap, Julio catches a 30 yd pass just to have it taken away in mid-stride for a “fumble”, Coleman fumbles on a 10 yd run, & Ryan throws a bad pick. And ATL wins by 3. So I was on the “right” side, but not the winning side. I’m not asking for luck, just not to have bad luck!

POW 4-3-1, Teasers 2-3, Overall 16-22-1

DEN (-5 ½) has dominated on “D”, but floundered on “O” to a 7-0 record. They look to continue @ IND where the Colts are a mess. They fired their OC Hamilton last wk in hopes of curing what ails Luck, who has struggled mightily in all quarters except the 4[SUP]th[/SUP]. IND has been in the gm in all of their losses except their 1[SUP]st[/SUP] 2 vs BUF & NYJ. I compare this gm similarly to those. BUF & NYJ’s “D”s were playing really well, esp on the dline & secondary. Look no further than the DEN “D” for the #1 “D” overall & vs the pass to imitate those conditions. The only reason why DEN gave up 20 pts or more this yr is all due to Peyton’s TOs. Kubiak is reverting back to Peyton’s “O” in pistol & shotgun formations & letting him dictate play @ the line. Result? Utter domination over the best QB in the league & the former undefeated Packers. DEN’s secondary is special. They have the best CB tandem in the league in Talib & Harris, & TJ Ward & Roby only add more ball hawks & run stuffers on the field. DEN will have no problems stuffing IND’s below avg run gm, so it will be all up to Luck. TY Hilton is currently a GTD but unlikely to play w/a foot sprain. W/out Dorsett, that leaves Andre, Moncrief & Whalen for DEN’s talented DBs. Even if Hilton plays, he will not be @ full speed. Luck has been a TO machine this yr, & has magically been able to light up the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half to keep gms close or win in the case vs TEN. That shouldn’t happen here. Peyton is taking much better care of the ball & I see Luck turning it over a few times in this one the way he’s had to sling it so far. McManus will have his shares of FGs, but w/addition of Vernon Davis, I see DEN’s redzone “O” improving slightly, even if Davis is used as a decoy. CJ Anderson will have an easier time running here, & w/Vontae Davis covering Demaryius, I can see Sanders having a monster gm. IND had a player’s only meeting this wk, which is always a sign of dysfunction on the team, & there’s word that Pagano is not having the final say on personnel matters on the field. So one team is still struggling to find cohesion & identity, while the other is fine-tuning there’s. Could get backdoored here as DEN is notorious for that in recent yrs, but I have faith in Wade Phillips & DEN’s #5 scoring “D” in the 4[SUP]th[/SUP] Q (5.1 ppg) & #1 passing “D” for 1[SUP]st[/SUP] downs (52%). IND also off a short wk in a physical gm @ CAR.

DEN 30
IND 20
4 Units

GL to all & comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

2 Unit JAX/NYJ Over 42: JAX has been scoring quite a bit recently & NY’s “D” hasn’t been as shutdown as Bowles would like. Fitzpatrick is back @ QB, where he’s been lighting up the scoreboard too. Either both teams will score a lot, or NY may do all the scoring themselves behind Ivory, Decker & Marshall (questionable ankle/toe). Both team’s gms have gone over 50 pts in each of their last 3.

1 Unit NYG -2 ½: Public is all over this one, but taking a chance that Eli takes advantage of that porous TB “D” in 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half. NY’s “D” is injury riddled, but their “O” is humming behind ODB. TB has kept gms tight thanks to ridiculous TOs by their opponents. Eli loves playing @ TB (2-0 SU & ATS).

1 Unit CHI +4 ½: Big hunch here as John Fox again faces off against a familiar AFC West opponent. Fox has already beaten OAK & KC where CHI was the dog in both. Losing Forte is huge, but Langford can do enough to take pressure off Cutler against this mediocre SD “D”. CHI’s “D” actually isn’t bad & SD has not been strong @ hm (1-3 ATS).

1 Unit Wormy Teaser:

OAK +18
JAX/NYJ Over 29
NE -1
NYG + 10 ½
 

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Wormy, BOL on Sunday as I do like the Broncos pick and look for Anderson and Vernon Davis to do well as Manning has a TE now to throw to again.
 

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I sure hope so, Gravy Train. Thanks for bringing CIN to my attention Thurs! Won a unit on them. Hope Gmen cash for us as well.
 

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We need a fins victory today wormy. Gotta get back to .500 if we stand any chance at a playoff push
 

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Ugh, ATL had 4 awful TOs to doom my POW. Center skids the ball on the turf on a shotgun snap, Julio catches a 30 yd pass just to have it taken away in mid-stride for a “fumble”, Coleman fumbles on a 10 yd run, & Ryan throws a bad pick. And ATL wins by 3. So I was on the “right” side, but not the winning side. I’m not asking for luck, just not to have bad luck!

POW 4-3-1, Teasers 2-3, Overall 16-22-1

DEN (-5 ½) has dominated on “D”, but floundered on “O” to a 7-0 record. They look to continue @ IND where the Colts are a mess. They fired their OC Hamilton last wk in hopes of curing what ails Luck, who has struggled mightily in all quarters except the 4[SUP]th[/SUP]. IND has been in the gm in all of their losses except their 1[SUP]st[/SUP] 2 vs BUF & NYJ. I compare this gm similarly to those. BUF & NYJ’s “D”s were playing really well, esp on the dline & secondary. Look no further than the DEN “D” for the #1 “D” overall & vs the pass to imitate those conditions. The only reason why DEN gave up 20 pts or more this yr is all due to Peyton’s TOs. Kubiak is reverting back to Peyton’s “O” in pistol & shotgun formations & letting him dictate play @ the line. Result? Utter domination over the best QB in the league & the former undefeated Packers. DEN’s secondary is special. They have the best CB tandem in the league in Talib & Harris, & TJ Ward & Roby only add more ball hawks & run stuffers on the field. DEN will have no problems stuffing IND’s below avg run gm, so it will be all up to Luck. TY Hilton is currently a GTD but unlikely to play w/a foot sprain. W/out Dorsett, that leaves Andre, Moncrief & Whalen for DEN’s talented DBs. Even if Hilton plays, he will not be @ full speed. Luck has been a TO machine this yr, & has magically been able to light up the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half to keep gms close or win in the case vs TEN. That shouldn’t happen here. Peyton is taking much better care of the ball & I see Luck turning it over a few times in this one the way he’s had to sling it so far. McManus will have his shares of FGs, but w/addition of Vernon Davis, I see DEN’s redzone “O” improving slightly, even if Davis is used as a decoy. CJ Anderson will have an easier time running here, & w/Vontae Davis covering Demaryius, I can see Sanders having a monster gm. IND had a player’s only meeting this wk, which is always a sign of dysfunction on the team, & there’s word that Pagano is not having the final say on personnel matters on the field. So one team is still struggling to find cohesion & identity, while the other is fine-tuning there’s. Could get backdoored here as DEN is notorious for that in recent yrs, but I have faith in Wade Phillips & DEN’s #5 scoring “D” in the 4[SUP]th[/SUP] Q (5.1 ppg) & #1 passing “D” for 1[SUP]st[/SUP] downs (52%). IND also off a short wk in a physical gm @ CAR.

DEN 30
IND 20
4 Units

GL to all & comments are most welcome.


Excellent breakdown of the game.

Indy D kept them in the game last week. The turnovers mainly by Luck once again killed the Colts. IF, (the biggest 2 letter word in the dictionary), he doesn't turn it over it will be a close game. Just a very strange line, considering the direction that these two teams are heading I thought it would be a td spot. I got one of those weird feelings about this game. There is no way I could bet the Colt's with the current QB play, but after the way Denver looked last week against GB how can you not take them against this Colt team. I'm going to watch this one for now and see how the first two sets of results play out. I may end up with a tease on this one.

Good luck Wormy Pix
 

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On Denver also (-3 -110) lets get it! Go Dee!
YES! You were on them early. Think your team gets it done today. BOL.
Great looking card Worm!!
Thanks Jax! I hope we both fare great today! :toast:
We need a fins victory today wormy. Gotta get back to .500 if we stand any chance at a playoff push
Cash, what a typical roller coaster ride MIA is. They can so easily win this one, but Tannehill has been dreadful @ BUF. Can he possibly turn it around here?
 

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Thanks United.

TY Hilton is now a "longshot" to play, so Luck is really going to need to lean on Gore & TEs. DEN has #4 run "D" however. Perhaps Chud uses this gm to work out kinks in his "O" in anticipation of bye wk & taking the AFC South? You're smart to stay away from playing your team. I have difficulty separating emotions from the Dolphins, that's for sure!
 

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