Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (8)

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When you look @ JAX's QB stats & see 54% comp rate, 2 sacks, 3 INTs & only 159 yds, you would say the "D" did their job & it was prob another JAX blowout. You would be wrong. That’s because CLE's QB completed only 39% w/not much pressure & his receivers getting open on critical downs & in the endzone. To say Hoyer sabotaged his team is a major understatement. I just needed him to have a slightly below avg gm & CLE would've covered. Besides CAR, who I said would take advantage of GB's league worst run "D" then proceed to pass 39 times to 25 runs, the rest of my plays did very well. Hope to get off the POW schneid here.

POW 4-3, Teasers 3-4, Overall 18-15-1

MIA (-6) is off an impressive win @ CHI that prompted locker room infighting for da Bears. The highlight was again Ryan Tannehill who has been very efficient since the “O” has incorporated more read option & Wallace not dropping as much balls. The oline has been very strong too as evidenced by Lamar Miller’s emergence @ RB. When Pouncey returned from injury, MIA moved him to RG & kept Satele @ C. A lot of nice runs by Tanny & Miller have come on the rt side, w/1[SUP]st[/SUP] rd pick Ja’Wuan James doing well @ RT as well. Fellow rookie Jarvis Landry emerging as a fav target, combined w/TE Clay looking healthier, have also contributed to MIA’s “O” success. Enter JAX, who are also off a big win (their 1[SUP]st[/SUP]), & riding a nice high. CLE however sabotaged themselves last wk as they went away from the run gm thinking Hoyer could take advantage of a poor pass “D”. But JAX forced 3 sacks & an INT, & contained CLE’s vaunted run gm. MIA is running such a balanced “O” rt now that I don’t believe they make the same mistake as CLE. Miller & Thomas will get their yds, which will set up MIA’s passing gm nicely. MIA’s receivers are head & shoulders better than CLE’s (& PIT’s for that matter) so I see them having much better success thru the air. Through in JAX’s injuries to “D” captain Posluszny (on IR), CB Alan Ball & his backup Alan Gratz, & times won’t be any easier vs MIA’s streaking “O”. MIA’s “D” is currently 4[SUP]th[/SUP] in total yds & 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] against the pass. So I don’t think Bortles’ struggles are going to improve here. Denard Robinson’s good gm last wk brings hope to JAX’s “O”, but since the return of S Reshad Jones, MIA’s run “D” has gotten much better. MIA’s “O” & “D” IMHO are both better than CLE, TEN & PIT’s, JAX’s last 3 opponents where they were very competitive. If MIA limits the TO’s, this will be an easy blowout.

MIA 27
JAX 6
5 Units

BOL to all, and as always comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

4 Units DET -3 @ -120: A somewhat co-POW, I decided to go w/MIA instead because of their injury advantage & the major time difference DET & ATL will need to deal w/in London (9:30 am ET kickoff). This could lead to sloppy play on both sides. Can it get any sloppier? ATL’s troubles on both sides of the ball are well documented, which can be directly traced to their oline injuries & a non-existent pass rush. Stafford has also been very sloppy w/no run gm & no Megatron. CJ is unlikely to play, as well as Reggie Bush, but w/Golden Tate’s emergence & even signs of life on the other side w/last wk’s hero Corey Fuller, DET should mount enough “O” to take this by a TD or more. ATL has 4 starting olinemen on IR & will start undrafted rookie James Stone @ C. He will be facing Suh & Fairley on the interior. It doesn’t get better along the trenches for ATL as Ends Ansah & Jones are no slouches. In a battle between 1[SUP]st[/SUP] rounders, Ansah & LT Matthews could end up being the biggest mismatch along the line. That great dline only bolsters a fairly decent secondary, w/S Glover Quin leading the way w/a INT in each of their last 2 gms. As bad as ATL’s “D” has been, Stafford might look like a decent QB this wk. I just don’t see many ways ATL comes out of this on top, esp considering a hm gm turned into a FAR away gm @ 9:30 in the morning. That’s 3:30 am here in Hawaii & I’m actually considering waking up to watch this. Although DVR seems mighty tempting…

1 Unit IND -3 1/2: Scary gm for me as Luck doesn’t do very well in cold weather, but he’s been so hot (along w/that aggressive “D”) that I have a hard time seeing this go any other way. That hook might get me here, but I’m looking @ a 4-7 pt win for the red hot Colts.

3 Unit Wormy Teaser:

SEA +8
BAL +11 1/2
ARI +11
GB +15 1/2

Looking @ GB for night gm but I’ll wait to see how I fare over the day.
 

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I would think their the beat team in Florida and sure hope they can put back to back games together. I have to admit I didn't look at this game.

On the Colt's game: Pitt has only allowed one 300 game passer so far this season. Wayne is out for the Colt's. Which not only means a top notch go to player out, but a chance for the defense to concentrate more on Hilton. Richardson is also nicked up but going to play. Now with all that going down and a fav on the road in a tough place to play, I still think they are the better team. Just got a bad feeling that they are going to let down and Pitt will play well at home as Houston gave them new life on PT. I'll be rooting for the Colt's!

good luck my friend, Wormy Pix
 

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I knew it. Should be a blowout...it better be a blowout!! They can't handle the read option!!
 

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I would think their the beat team in Florida and sure hope they can put back to back games together. I have to admit I didn't look at this game.

On the Colt's game: Pitt has only allowed one 300 game passer so far this season. Wayne is out for the Colt's. Which not only means a top notch go to player out, but a chance for the defense to concentrate more on Hilton. Richardson is also nicked up but going to play. Now with all that going down and a fav on the road in a tough place to play, I still think they are the better team. Just got a bad feeling that they are going to let down and Pitt will play well at home as Houston gave them new life on PT. I'll be rooting for the Colt's!

good luck my friend, Wormy Pix
I hear ya bud. I started capping IND first because that one stood out. Then remembered Luck's early performances w/cold hands, Wayne being out, & Bradshaw potentially carrying the whole gm, which I don't think he can handle anymore. But, seeing HOU give the gm away to PIT & they being on a short wk, I put a small one on your Colts.

MIA is well adept @ beating themselves, so I'm definitely not overconfident here. But if MIA (& officials) call a clean gm, & Tannehill doesn't do a Hoyer impersonation, this should be no sweat for the Phins.

I'll stop by your most popular thread & see what ya got. Thanks United!
 

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I knew it. Should be a blowout...it better be a blowout!! They can't handle the read option!!
Ca$hmoney thinking, "Watch this fool have Miami as his Pick of the Week." Clicks on thread. "I KNEW IT!"

Lol, HOMER!! Let's get this CASH!!!
 

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Good luck today Wormy- being a Jags fan, I believe you have that game capped right on the money- except Jax should score at least 17... I'm thinking 27-17 or so. Loss of key defensive players will hurt Jax today.
 

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Good Luck. I really like MIA today.
 

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Good luck today Wormy- being a Jags fan, I believe you have that game capped right on the money- except Jax should score at least 17... I'm thinking 27-17 or so. Loss of key defensive players will hurt Jax today.
I thought about you last wk, you must've been thrilled! I'm hoping your boys help me out this wk!
Good Luck. I really like MIA today.
Slurve, I sure hope Phins take this one big. I wake up this morning to see DET down 8 in the 4th & I'm already in the hole! BOL to us!
 

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