Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (7)

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Well, sometimes you cap gms & have all the advantages your way, & one team completely sabotages your play. CHI played w/a decimated secondary which played rt into ATL's high powered aerial "O" & indeed receivers were getting very open, but decided they didn't feel like catching a lot of balls. Rest of slate did well except for lowly MIA where the coaching staff felt like giving 1 of the best QBs in the league extra time to gash their "D".


POW 4-2, Teasers 2-4, Overall 15-13-1


CLE (-5 1/2) are off a highly emotional win against their 1-sided rival PIT. Focus could be an issue as they enter their cupcake portion of their schedule (JAX, OAK, then TB). I believe that CLE is playing w/such confidence, esp on "O", that they will overcome any lapse in concentration @ JAX. The Jags have been good in spurts w/their switch to Bortles @ QB, but that is where the positives end. They seem to catch a lot of the teams they face off guard early, then fade away as the gm progresses. This is mostly due to a poor "D" (2nd to last in both scoring & passing) & awful run gm. Gerhart is out for this tilt, but it doesn't really matter. Storm Johnson rushed for only 21 yds against TEN (9th worse run "D") & JAX is dead last in run "O". CLE's "D" is bad vs the run, but limited stud Leveon Bell last wk to 82 yds & no TDs. CLE's "D" is dealing w/injuries but do get back key pieces in S Tashaun Gipson & LB Mingo. Terrance West has been given the green light by HC Pettine after a good wk's practice so I expect him to run w/purpose whenever he touches the ball. All-pro C Mack is out for the yr, but veteran G John Greco replaced him last wk admirably. Hoyer believes the zone blocking run scheme will not skip a beat. Tate & Crowell should both see the endzone here, w/Cameron & Hawkins providing 3rd down receptions to keep the chains moving. CLE is very good @ grinding out the clock, but ramping up the pass "O" when they fall behind, which are both bad signs for JAX who are bad @ both keeping opposing "O"s off the field & defending a lead. This is actually a revenge gm for CLE too, as they lost to JAX @ hm last yr 32-28 in a shootout between Henne & Weeden. Personnel @ key positions are different here, but CLE's "O" & "D" were upgraded since that gm, whereas IMO JAX has remained the same. This is a major trap gm for CLE, but I think they have enough fire power & confidence to comeback from any initial JAX push early, as has been the script for JAX.


CLE 27
JAX 17
5 Units


BOL to all, and as always comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:


1 Unit IND -3: IND is easily the hottest team in the NFL rt now, & I think they deliver yet again against a marquee opponent @ hm. CIN's "D" has looked awful since the break & that should continue w/IND off a long wk. AJ Green is out again so it only becomes easier for this bend but not break "D" of IND's, who play faster @ hm.


1 Unit CAR +7 @ -115: GB is dead last in run "D" giving up 7 TDs there as well. Enter Scam Newton & Jonathan Stewart (back from injury) who depend on running the ball to have some semblance of balance on "O". W/Sam Shields out for GB & Tramon Williams nursing a bad ankle, Scam can take some shots downfield w/rookies Kelvin Benjamin (GTD) & Philly Brown. GB will likely win the gm, but I feel CAR will keep this one close & possibly pull off the upset since their "O" has looked better w/oline beginning to gel off a lot of injuries there.


1 Unit MIA +3: Sigh. Here we go again. GB got extremely lucky that MIA coaches grossly mismanaged the final min of the gm. I'm hoping they don't shoot themselves in the foot 2 wks in a row. CHI is a poor hm team & MIA has been a tough rd out.


1 Unit Wormy Teaser:

IND +10
BUF +8
SD +9 1/2
DEN +6


I'm seriously eyeing OAK, NYG, DEN & HOU, & will follow the line movement to help make a decision on those.
 

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I like the card and was very close to playing Cleveland but wanted to keep it at 5 plays today.

I think you will have a big day my friend��
 

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I like the card and was very close to playing Cleveland but wanted to keep it at 5 plays today.

I think you will have a big day my friend��
Thanks United, I sure hope so. Happy birthday bud! I know you're going to have a helluva time in Disney country!
 

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When you look @ JAX's QB stats & see 54% comp rate, 2 sacks, 3 INTs & only 159 yds, you would say the "D" did their job & it was prob another JAX blowout. You would be wrong. Because CLE's QB completed 39% w/not much pressure & his receivers getting open on critical downs & in the endzone. To say Hoyer sabotaged his team is a major understatement. I just needed him to have a slightly below avg gm & CLE would've covered. What makes it more painful is I lost 2 large survivor leagues where BAL, IND & ARI were my other choices beside CLE. Very painful day for me.

Besides CAR, who I said would take advantage of GB's league worst run "D" then proceed to pass 39 times to 25 runs, the rest of my plays did very well (w/DEN outstanding on my teaser). I sure hope the rest of the forum did much better.
 

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Run Tanny Run!!!
Yes Cash! The silver lining in an otherwise dark day was the great performance by MIA in CHI that prompted some infighting in their locker room after gm.

Indeed MIA coaches finally went to the read option a lot more this gm & it worked as we thought. Mixing up the "O" always seems to confuse "D"s, doesn't it? @ JAX next wk. That'll be a huge test to the Phins focus.
 

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