Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (7) GOY

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Another near perfect wk. NE played as expected in Brady’s 1[SUP]st[/SUP] hm gm of the yr, KC dominated a wet day in OAK, NOR barely held on to beat div rival CAR, LAR looked good early but coughed up lead to push in DET, & finally my teaser hit w/no sweat (although BAL/NYG were scoring a bit too much in 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half for my taste).

On to this wk. In a rare midweek post, I saw a GOY potential as well as a Thurs pick & I’m going for it.

POW 3-2-1, Teasers 4-2, Overall 16-10-2.

MIN (-2 ½ @ -115) is off to a torrid start @ 5-0 both SU & ATS. They’re coming off a bye which can act as a momentum killer, just like it did w/their opponent (PHI losing @ DET). But word in MIN is Zimmer is reminding team to stay focused every meeting & they’re having some of their best practices ever. I think being on the rd will only help MIN stay focused since they won’t have the normal distractions of being hm. There’s obviously a very large revenge angle for Sam Bradford returning to the team that supposedly slighted him by trading up to draft rookie phenom Wentz. PHI’s oline & front 7 played exceptional in their 1[SUP]st[/SUP] 4 gms, but the wheels have come off their last 2. Some of it can be attributed to injuries, esp the loss of RT Lane Johnson to suspension last wk. Rookie tackle Vaitai got abused by Kerrigan, allowing 2 sacks & a bunch of hits & hurries. HC Pederson is promising help on the right side, but PHI is not facing WAS again. MIN leads the league in TO differential (+11) & currently have 19 sacks in only 5 gms. To add on more instability for PHI, C Jason Kelce missed practice w/plantar, moving the oline around even more. Kelce will likely play, however the bigger concern is DT Bennie Logan missing this gm w/a groin strain. He is a key piece in stopping the run & was injured vs WAS. PHI struggling vs the run against both DET & WAS (neither known for their strong run gms) should only help Bradford continue his hot performance. McKinnon & Asiata have combined to ably replace AP w/McK between the 20s & Asiata pounding the middle in the redzone. MIN to me is the best team in football rt now. They lost their starting QB, RB, WRs & LT, yet haven’t missed a beat. Their 1[SUP]st[/SUP] 2 gms were struggles vs TEN & GB, but those were w/Shaun Hill @ QB & Bradford’s 1[SUP]st[/SUP] gm respectively. Now that MIN had 2 wks to practice together w/their current squad, esp on “D” where MIN is playing the best of anyone out there (sorry SEA), they will be ready for PHI on both sides of the ball. To add one more advantage to MIN, Bradford has familiarity w/PHI’s playbook where Zimmer has said it’s not that big of a deal (gamesmanship) & Pederson made it a pt to say he didn’t change anything (sure). My only trepidation w/this GOY is over 70% of the public is on MIN early due to PHI’s recent struggles. But w/the advantages MIN’s dominant “D” will have over PHI’s banged up oline, a rookie QB & lack of a run gm, as well as Bradford’s motivation to beat the team that traded him, I strongly feel they’ll comfortably win by over 10.

MIN 27
PHI 13
8 Units

GL to all & comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

1 Unit CHI +7 ½: The big news this wk was GB trading for RB Knile Davis to replace injured Lacy & Starks. However, they were just 2 of 7 Packers that have already been ruled out for tomorrow’s gm. GB will also hobble into their div rivalry w/out 3 of their starting DBs (Randall, Rollins & Shields). This doesn’t bode well w/resurgence of Hoyer & WR Meredith. TE Jared Cook is out & 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] WR Adams is in the concussion protocol (questionable). On a short wk, GB is ripe for an upset against their hated rival, whose only win is against another div foe (DET).

1 Unit Wormy Teaser:

CHI +20 ½
WAS +14
CIN +3
TEN +10 ½
 

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W/pix........good looking POW .......BOL with all your action...........indy
 

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Hey wormy like the plays!!!!! I don't play teasers but the one you have looks like a winner, I am on the fence with the vikings vs eagles game, but after reading your insights makes sense, great information!!! i am goin to look at this game again for sure now !!!


cheers



tsf
 

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W/pix........good looking POW .......BOL with all your action...........indy
Thanks Indy! BOL to you too brother.

Hey wormy like the plays!!!!! I don't play teasers but the one you have looks like a winner, I am on the fence with the vikings vs eagles game, but after reading your insights makes sense, great information!!! i am goin to look at this game again for sure now !!!


cheers



tsf
Thanks TSF! Man, that "D" vs a shuffled oline that struggled against WAS? I am wary about how Bradford will truly perform. If he's the type that steps up his gm when he's motivated. It's 2 hot teams starting off similarly, but now going in opposite directions. Lmk what you come up w/your analysis.

Good luck tonight
Thanks XS! My luck is not starting well. Hoyer breaks his damn arm & Barkley comes in to throw 2 pix against a 3rd string secondary. I was really disappointed CHI couldn't move the ball better when Hoyer was in, but missing Jordan Howard was pretty huge too. Just too much for CHI to overcome despite spirited play from their "D".
 

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If your going to have a GOY you might as well have the hottest team in the NFL as your play. And they only have to win by the fg. Philly was one of those hot teams in football only a mere 3 weeks ago. They were perfect a 3-0 and than came the bye. A bye that they didn't want. Since that bye they have gone 0-2, both games on the road. Now Minny at 5-0 had the bye. Once again this bye came with on a nice streak. I don't now how this bye will affect Minny. I don't know how two straight losses on the road to Wash by 7 and Detroit by 1 will affect Philly. My guess is that's why the line is where it is. Kind of funny line considering Minny has beaten everyone comfortably but Green Bay (won by 3).

Definitely not saying I don't think Minny can win the game. Only thinking that it's a matter of time before they lose a game, and this one just might find a very fired up home team with some very rowdy Philly fans. That's why I leaned Minny, but just didn't like the situation.

Best of luck my friend and I will be rooting for the Vikes for you.
 

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If your going to have a GOY you might as well have the hottest team in the NFL as your play. And they only have to win by the fg. Philly was one of those hot teams in football only a mere 3 weeks ago. They were perfect a 3-0 and than came the bye. A bye that they didn't want. Since that bye they have gone 0-2, both games on the road. Now Minny at 5-0 had the bye. Once again this bye came with on a nice streak. I don't now how this bye will affect Minny. I don't know how two straight losses on the road to Wash by 7 and Detroit by 1 will affect Philly. My guess is that's why the line is where it is. Kind of funny line considering Minny has beaten everyone comfortably but Green Bay (won by 3).

Definitely not saying I don't think Minny can win the game. Only thinking that it's a matter of time before they lose a game, and this one just might find a very fired up home team with some very rowdy Philly fans. That's why I leaned Minny, but just didn't like the situation.

Best of luck my friend and I will be rooting for the Vikes for you.
Thanks buddy! That's all I can ask.

I believe MIN off the bye will be very different from PHI due to veterans all over the roster, as well as a seasoned HC (Zimmer over Pederson). Most would agree that PHI's "D" was playing uncharacteristically to start the yr. However, MIN's "D" has been fairly dominant (when healthy) over the past 3 yrs & was a mere chip shot FG away from beating the Seachickens last yr & would've had a great chance to beat CAR to go to the SB! Amazing what 1 play can mean to an entire season.
 

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Wormy, BOL on your Vikings pick today just a game im not in love with
 

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Wormy, BOL on your Vikings pick today just a game im not in love with
I know, not a lot of people into this one! I think my capping is sound, so unless PHI plays the gm of its life, MIN should cover w/ease. But we both know this NFL!

BOL to you too buddy. Go Bengals!
 

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So some good news for inactives today. DT Bennie Logan is out for PHI, and WR Stefon Diggs is back for MIN. Hopefully this means MIN's run gm will have some success on the rd, which would be huge.
 

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So some good news for inactives today. DT Bennie Logan is out for PHI, and WR Stefon Diggs is back for MIN. Hopefully this means MIN's run gm will have some success on the rd, which would be huge.


Vikings should do well now with that news I would think Diggs is a big boost for them on offense
 

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Well Dexter, looks like MIN was not interested in winning this one. Rust off a bye is one thing, but the silly TOs in this one is mind numbing. Every advantage was w/MIN here, yet 3 fumbles & 2 pix blew all of that up. Disgraceful. "D" did their job.
 

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