Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (16)

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My POW is officially cursed. Most that read my posts know I will admit when my capping was wrong, or when I get lucky when I win, & try to learn from my mistakes. TEN really struggled for most of the gm w/DeMeco Ryans having a great gameplan to stop Henry & let Levis beat them. That’s fine, but where TEN was supposed to dominate was against grandpa Case Keenum & his patchwork receiving corp. They did do that for the most part, but when it mattered most, when TEN was up by 8 in the final minutes of the gm, they gave up a crazy TD-drive & 2-pt conversion to force OT. There I knew I would likely push as a best case, & lose outright as worst case. Local boy Ka’imi Fairbairn’s 54-yd FG sealed that deal. Teaser GOY & rest of slate thankfully hit w/out much stress, as well as Thurs nighter w/LAR cruising over NOR to maintain their PO push.

Regular Season POW 5-10, Teasers 7-11, GOY 1-0, Overall 34-41-2 (36-41-2 Undocumented)

MIA -1 ½
is #2 in the AFC & still 3 gms up on BUF for the East. DAL is also #2 in their conf, & currently leading their East by tiebreaker w/PHI. Huge gm for both teams, w/2 narratives both are trying the shake as well. DAL is 7-0 @ hm, but 3-4 on the rd w/precipitous drops in performance on both sides of the ball. Even @ the hapless NYG & CAR, it was the “D” that lifted DAL to those 2 blowouts. For MIA, they are 0-3 vs winning teams losing to BUF, KC & PHI. Those 3 losses were away gms w/a few critical reasons why they couldn’t pull out the win. Against BUF, Fangio for some reason put Kader Kohou on an island w/Diggs & he predictably got torched all gm. In Germany, Tyreek’s 60-yd fumble return TD was the difference there. And PHI’s gm was extremely 1-sided w/the officials, highlighted by the awful DPI AND facemask missed call in the 3rd that would’ve made it 1st & goal on the 6 for MIA. Anyway, enough lamenting by me, for this tilt it is all about the battle in the trenches. Huge news out of DAL w/All-World LT Tyron Smith doubtful for the gm, & All-World RG Martin questionable w/a bad quad. I often mention the heat & humidity in MIA gms for cold weather teams, but this now becomes exacerbated w/those injuries. Dak relies heavily on having enough time to find open receivers. MIA’s relentless pass rush led by Chubb will have an early Christmas dinner here. MIA’s run “D” has also improved, so w/out that to balance the gm, Dak will be under pressure all gm. MIA’s oline also has injuries, but what else is new. Tua still has the quickest release in the league for that reason. I feel MIA will run w/Mostert & Achane (DAL DT Hankins out) to keep pressure off Tua, who will take a few deep shots when it presents itself. DAL’s LBs struggle against pre-snap motion, which is MIA’s specialty. This could be a homer call, but I really see MIA dominating this gm, esp w/those key oline injuries for DAL. Tyreek is expected to play. And if X-man Howard goes, that’s him & Ramsey on Lamb & Cooks. Excellent matchups all around.

DAL 16
MIA 27
6 Units


Hope everyone has a fun Christmas & comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

1 Unit CIN -2 ½:
Revenge gm for Browning & CIN. In his 1st start of his career, he got contained by PIT’s “D” to lose 10-16. Rain is expected in PIT, so it will come down to the ground gm where Chase Brown has been electric for CIN, while Mixon does his usual grinding up the middle. They should make up for missing Ja’Marr Chase, who hasn’t been targeted much since Browning took over anyway.

1 Unit LAC +12 ½: BUF absolutely should blow the doors off LAC here, but history has shown BUF’s tendency to take the foot off the pedal against lesser foes. Now they travel cross-country against a team that just fired their HC & GM last wk, in La-La Land. BUF could SU lose this if they’re not careful.

1 Unit MIN +3: Big div matchup for both teams as DET vies to keep hold of the North & MIN chases a WC spot. DC Flores is 2-0 vs Goff, forcing 5 TOs & only 1 TD for Goff while he was in LA. Goff has always struggled against the blitz anyway, & now must overcome this demon. I think MIN continues their recent “D” dominance & Mullins does enough w/Ty Chandler, Jefferson & Addison to squeak out the win.

1 Unit SF -5 ½: SF “D” should be able to contain Lamar here because they’re a smart “D” that should limit his running, as well as Gus Edwards or Justice Hill. Scoring on BAL’s great “D” will be a challenge, but CMC, Deebo & Kittle are just too much to handle for everyone. If SF gets down, I do worry about Purdy who typically doesn’t do well from behind (which is rare).

2 Unit Wormy Teaser

IND +15 ½
CLE +10 ½
TB +14
SF +7
 

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W/Pix....
here's to a solid and profitable weekend buddy.....
BOL with all your action....on Mia. and SF with you.....
you and your family have a great Christmas weekend....indy
 

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Wormy,BOL on your picks as I like alot of those myself and Merry Christmas my friend
 

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W/Pix....
here's to a solid and profitable weekend buddy.....
BOL with all your action....on Mia. and SF with you.....
you and your family have a great Christmas weekend....indy
Thanks Indy! Merry Christmas to you & yours as well my friend.
 

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Wormy,BOL on your picks as I like alot of those myself and Merry Christmas my friend
Excellent news! I see Pocic is back for CLE. GL on GOY & DEN! This will be Zappe's 1st time in the thin air, so we'll see how his passes look.

Merry Christmas to you & yours Gravy Train. Here's to a big bag of gifts from Santa tonight. :cheers:
 

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Merry Christmas Wormy!! Good luck today!
Merry Christmas Jax. It's great to see the holiday spirit on a site dedicated to something a bit less wholesome.

Goes to show that no matter the circumstances, there is always good reason to be joyful & thankful. BOL my friend!
 

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