Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (15)

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I was thinking I should change POWs @ the last min, w/a lot of factors lining up well for CLE, but stuck w/the NYJ/HOU Under in bad weather. Everything was shaping up well for that total including Stroud getting hurt, but HOU allowed 16 pts in the 4th to just sneak over the #. Just to irritate me, Davis Mills comes in & goes 4 & out twice on their side of the field, already in FG range for NY. Just unbelievably bad play-calling by HOU when they were already down 24-6 w/6 min left in the gm. Brutal. CAR also looked poised to cover the #, but end up giving up 2 TDs in the 4th off Bryce Young’s TOs to kill that hope & torpedo my Teaser. Thank God they killed my Teaser, because I would’ve been even more upset following MIA’s 1-pt loss to TEN @ hm on MNF. Don’t get me started on that gm. Thankfully CLE held on against JAX, CHI did the same vs DET, & DAL took care of business in their big div win over PHI.

Regular Season POW 5-9, Teasers 6-11, GOY 0-0, Overall 30-40-2 (32-40-2 Undocumented)

TEN -3
is off a huge upset win @ MIA on MNF. Levis led 2 last min TD drives & a 2-pt conversion to beat the hapless Dolphins w/their JV oline in & Tyreek missing several drives. This will do wonders for TEN’s confidence going into a big div gm vs HOU. The big story here is rookie sensation Stroud being out w/a concussion, leading the way for old starter Davis Mills to take the helm. HOU is still in the PO hunt so there’s a lot to play for @ TEN. They will have a tuff hill to climb here w/out their QB, & top 2 WRs in Nico Collins & Tank Dell. Their 3rd WR Noah Brown is questionable & is not certain to play. Along the oline, Fant is @ risk of being inactive & Shaq Mason is also questionable. On “D”, HOU will be w/out another of their rookie sensations in Willie Anderson, & surprise LB Blake Cashman. This doesn’t spell well against King Henry & the Titans “O”. Henry owns HOU’s “D” over his career, which dates back to when JJ Watt was an All-Pro for HOU. He’s run for 115 ypg, @ 6.13 rypc & 12 TDs vs HOU. TEN has its own injuries on “D” most notably Jeffery Simmons, Tart & Peko. However, the backups led the way in MIA, taking advantage of their thin oline, to allow the comeback last wk. So w/Mills leading the “O” & all the holes throughout their lineup, TEN’s injuries should be offset. And Vrabel often has his team ready for any opponent. TEN is 6-4 SU & ATS in the series, & Mills is 1-2 SU vs TEN as a starter.

HOU 13
TEN 24
5 Units


GL to all & comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

1 Unit LAR -6 ½:
WAS off the bye, but I don’t think it matters here. They’ve been absolutely atrocious on “D” & LAR have been taking off on “O”. Stafford & co should have no problems scoring here w/a very balanced “O”, & LA “D” should maintain pressure on Howell who is still the most sacked QB in the league, now w/out RB Robinson.

1 Unit ATL/CAR Under 33: Here I go again. Rain is expected on CAR’s grass field, w/winds @ 17 mph w/gusts up to 29 mph. Bryce Young has been awful in his rookie yr & now must control the ball in bad weather. Ridder & ATL’s run gm should pace here, not taking too many chances thru the air in what should be a field position battle all gm. CAR has the league’s #4 “D” while ATL boasts #11 in yds.

4 Unit GOY Wormy Teaser

ATL +10
TEN +10
SF +1
LAR +6 ½
 

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Wormy, Like the Picks my friend and replied to you so check on that and BOL on Sunday

By the way Im calling it now Tolin is retiring or getting canned at the end of the year and Steelers will go with a rebuilding phase

The team has quit and Tomlin message is getting old and he might have lost the locker room
 

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With Case Keenum starting now for Houston, how's that change your thinking on your POW?
 

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W/Pix.....BOL with all your Sun. action....
on Tenn. with you.....
have a great day.....indy
 

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Wormy, I'm also feelin the Titans pick.
As for your teaser, mine looks like this:
  • DEC 17
    NFL [316] TENNESSEE TITANS +7-120 (B+10)
  • DEC 17
    NFL [321] SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -2-110 (B+10)
  • DEC 17
    NFL [324] LOS ANGELES RAMS +3½-110 (B+10
Good Luck to us!!
 

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Wormy, Like the Picks my friend and replied to you so check on that and BOL on Sunday

By the way Im calling it now Tolin is retiring or getting canned at the end of the year and Steelers will go with a rebuilding phase

The team has quit and Tomlin message is getting old and he might have lost the locker room
I am hearing a lot of PIT fans saying that, but who would be the alternative? That's always a dilemma w/old coaches that are winning but not getting far in POs. Even Belicheat possibly leaving NE after this yr. It's so hard to build a culture, like Reid or Shanahan. That said, sticking w/Trubisky that long was a serious mistake. He's been awful.
 

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With Case Keenum starting now for Houston, how's that change your thinking on your POW?
Just saw that. Keenum has a bit less footage to pull from recently, but the fact he's been an emergency backup all season isn't very comforting. He's almost 36, hasn't started a gm since Jan of 2022 for CLE, & hasn't had meaningful reps until this wk, where he split time w/Mills. As Cashflow said, the missing pieces around him should still hurt his production. The key will be if TEN can stop the run gm, which they do have a lot of dline out here. To cover 3 shouldn't be an issue if Henry continues his dominance over the Texans.
 

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W/Pix.....BOL with all your Sun. action....
on Tenn. with you.....
have a great day.....indy
Thanks Indy! I sure hope I can win out w/POWs to pull even for the season. :clover:
Wormy, I'm also feelin the Titans pick.
As for your teaser, mine looks like this:
  • DEC 17
    NFL [316] TENNESSEE TITANS +7-120 (B+10)
  • DEC 17
    NFL [321] SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -2-110 (B+10)
  • DEC 17
    NFL [324] LOS ANGELES RAMS +3½-110 (B+10
Good Luck to us!!
Nice Lakrfan, that should also have no prob hitting. BOL.
 

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Good luck today Wormy! Hoping TN takes care of business. I’m tailing you GOY teaser as it looks you have a winner here.
 

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Huu, Jax pressure is on! I'm hoping you will be my GL charm this wk. It's nice to see Tart & Autry active for TEN's "D".

Also for anyone that didn't hear yet, Tyreek Hill is out for MIA. W/high winds there, I expect MIA to pound the ground gm w/Mostert & Achane & a lot of pre-snap motion. Thankfully LT Armstead is active, so that helps shore up our shaky oline. "D" takes big hits w/Holland, Elliott & X-man out in the secondary. We'll have to rely heavily on our great dline to stop the run & put pressure on Wilson.
 

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