Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (14)

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What a GOY last wk! NYG cover in style. Still unbelievable that the line was a mere 3 pts. And the Gmen actually made it closer than it should've been.

Wormy POW now stands at 9-3-1.

The NYJ blew it big time last wk with weather possibly playing a factor with Favre's performance. But, more likely NY took DEN waaay too lightly. After HUGE wins against NE, then TEN, NY played down to DEN. The team is upset, and Mangini probably put them through the grinder this wk in practice. Favre will want to make up for that gm, and Thomas Jones will continue his great play behind one of the better olines in the AFC, and all-pro FB Richardson. The NYJ pass "D" is 2nd worst in the league thanks to their crappy secondary. But HC Singletary is trying to establish the run more, and is keeping Martz's high-flying "O" in check, somewhat. WR's Bruce & Jason Hill aren't Eddie Royal & Marshall, and while Shaun Hill is having a good season, he's no Jay Cutler either. Also, SF's pass "D" isn't much better, as it's the 5th stinkiest. It'll only worsen as they'll try to stop Jones/Washington from continuing their dominance on the ground. With star DB Nate Clements nursing a bad hand, hopefully that bodes well for INT-prone Favre. Cotchery & Coles could go for a homerun or two. SF's good LB's should have their hands full with talented rookie TE Keller. NYJ haven't won on the wesside this season, as they lost to SD & OAK. But Favre is a perfect 6-0 @ SF, with one of those wins coming on a horrendous GB team several yrs ago. I feel motivation will be huge here. NYJ are coming off an embarrassing loss @ home and need to keep their small lead in the AFC East, while SF is simply playing the role of spoiler. On a smaller, but still important note, 36 yr old Isaac Bruce should be returning kicks due to injuries to Rossum, Battle, and Clements. On special teams for NYJ, Washington has been electric on returns, and should be a factor vs a weak SF coverage team. Weather shouldn't be a factor, so I like NY to come out firing here.

NYJ 30
SF 17

BOL all, and as always comments are welcome.
 

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Forgot to add, the line has gone down to 3 1/2, and I'm hoping for it to continue to 3 by sunday. If not, I'd recommend buying the 1/2 pt. Just giving a FG with all the motivation on NYJ's side? That spells value to me.

Here's my other plays as well.

TEN -13 1/2 CLE is 7th worst in run "D", which will add up to TEN pts here with 3rd string QB Dorsey having to throw a lot. Plus, TEN had a long wk to prep. A win here clinches the division for TEN, and CLE is barely treading water.

NYG -7 I'm hoping this line continues to drop, but I'll gladly buy the 1/2 pt to 6 1/2. PHI is much better than WAS, but with projected windy conditions, I see NYG's run gm again punishing an opposing "D". Plus, PHI's "D" isn't as good as WAS's. NYG try to stay 2 gms ahead of CAR & TB for home field.

MIA +1 Sigh. MIA has a lot of injuries, but I still foresee a close gm which MIA thrives in winning. JP may go deep on MIA a few times, but I believe MIA wins the TO battle here, which they've been great at thus far. Also, MIA seems to be able to score whenever they really need to. So on a neutral, indoor field, I see MIA sweeping BUF for the first time since forever.
 

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I really liked NE over SEA, but with the line movement being big over the wk, I'm starting to think this gm is shaping up to be another PIT/SD gm. Esp with the news that Hass isn't going to play, this looks like an ultra trap gm. Tread lightly!

Here's my so-so Teaser for this wk:

IND -1/2
TEN -1
NYJ +9 1/2
MIA +13


Not that confident on it, but still putting it in. BOL all!
 

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need winners Wormy! Right now i have PHILLY, BILLS, and WASH as plays :drink:
dont really like that jets game very much....

GB and CHI should win, but those monday nite fukball teams are funky shit...... cant pull trigger yet
gotta hate jax and hou.....
 

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Brave to go with PHI Bill. Beating a weak road team in ARI was a great bounceback for McNabb, but NYG blew stuff up @ ARI. I don't think they let down vs a heated div rival, @ home.

And even tho I've got MIA up there, you should stick with BUF, cuz with all the MIA injuries, esp to their oline, BUF could smack em in the mouth. I'm very concerned about that gm, but am staying wit da Fins.

I am on WAS as well! I'm hoping the line continues to climb, which I think it will once afternoon action is over. I'll be playing WAS big in fact if my plays come thru.

I highly recommend my POW, obviously! But, it is one of my weaker ones on the season, as NYJ pass "D" is terrible, and NYJ have floundered on the west side. But as I mentioned, only giving 3 when NY has all the motivation on their side is a good play, IMO.

GL Bill! :toast:
 

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Thanks Wormy! San Fran rammed the bills, but were not that impressive on offense. I would lean to Jets, especially if i can buy to -3, but that might not be possible. Coaching is helping san fran, but they are not there yet....

I think that dallas' little run of covering is over with as pressure and no barber will catch up with them, i am liking pitt 24-10 say....
what do you think?

If i can get 7 or 7.5 i will think of playing the seablowers... what you think there?

Thanks and GL as always Wormy! :toast:

whats your take on the cold game in chi and gb.... that cold just could spell a possible close game....
 

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You know, I like PIT as well. That should be an ugly gm won by the home team. No way DAL gets comfortable at Heinz.

Man, I think if you don't play NE, to stay away from that one. I just see it as a total trap gm for NE. But not enuff to put $ on SEA!

And the weather will help the 2 home teams in CHI & GB. Both HOU & JAX are warm weather teams, and I can't see them being ultra competitive, esp HOU who's 1-5 on the road.

I still think TEN can cover for you, Bill. CLE had issues on "O" with Quinn & Anderson. Now perennial backup Dorsey is throwing to drop-happy Braylon? TEN specializes in stopping the run, so Jamal will be a non-factor, and Dorsey will have to shoulder the load. Plus no Winslow? Yikes.
 

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So far my brain is up to:

1pm
GB
PHIL
4pm
Pitt
Buff
Jets
8pm
Washinton

mnf
TB

you are very wize about seattle, they just suck and dont do shotgun enough... cant quite add chicago yet.... dont care to lay above double digits in nfl, just doesnt usually work out for me....

any totals you like Wormy? :think2:
 

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I don't usually play totals, Bill, but I do like the NYJ o44 1/2, and DAL u38 1/2. The Jets gm has 2 opposing "D"s that cater to the other's "O". And I can't see DAL scoring too much, as PIT won't have to worry about their run gm, so they can blanket TO & Witten. We'll see how well DAL's oline protects Romo, that'll be the main factor. And we all know how bad PIT's "O" can be @ home. Plus the gm is very very important to both teams, so they'll want to play conservative to eke out a win any way possible, which means keep down TO's.

But, that's why I hate playing totals. You just can't know what gameplan and what conditions of the gm will change their offensive & defensive strategies. Totals are a complete crapshoot, unless there's major injuries to starters, like Barber for DAL.
 

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Complete stinker. Wow, I guess the Jets we saw last wk were legit. Jones was contained, but the real story was SF gashing NY's pass "D". It was definitely a learning experience for me, as a lot of the pts I made for a case for SF came to fruition. Sigh. Then to top it off, NYJ also kill my teaser by 1/2 pt. Pathetic.

TEN & MIA did great, but NYG were a victim of crucial dropped passes. Man, Hixon drops a would-be TD catch, and Smith drops a 4th down one. Just a miserable day.

Then WAS plays like expected, even though their "D" did what it had to do. People don't realize how much Campbell, and ultimately Zorn is killing this team. I feel so sorry for WAS's "D". They play incredibly hard, just to have that crap "O" put them back on the field via poor play or TO.

I promise a winner next wk.
 

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crazy week Wormy, alot of people paying the man this week...... didnt think that SF qb could throw all day like that...
Fuked on another ATL game as i had atl +3, and the fukers dont go for it on 4th and 3 with 3 minutes left.... so much for playing to win.
GB just awful in a must win game...
With the bills, nothing helps that offense, D played well enough to win...
Zorn is a fukball, try a blitz someday... maybe go for it once and awhile to try to win the game.
Steelies were the lone bright spot! whoooha

Just the hell with it this weekend :puke1:
 

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No bull Bill! A lot of people I know lost big this sunday. I fear for Bowl season! We'll get it back next wk.
 

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