Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (11)

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Sigh. What did I tell everyone about Lamar? This guy is a killer when on the move & completely limited when he throws. Now, this inexplicable comeback loss to CLE wasn’t all on him, because BAL’s “D” loves to hit cruise control often when they have a lead. But his 2 pix & inefficiency in 2nd half when BAL’s run gm stalled, were squarely on his shoulders. This is why I have a difficult time playing BAL. They’re a well-coached team w/a solid “D” & great run gm, but if either of those fail, Lamar will not come to the rescue. Teaser & rest of plays hit, of course. This is definitely one of the worst POW starts of my time posting @ this fine forum.

Regular Season POW 3-6, Teasers 3-6, GOY 0-0, Overall 15-25-2 (17-25-2 Undocumented)

DET -8
is 7-2 atop the NFC North, & if they take care of business @ hm against the 3-7 Bears, & PHI loses @ KC on MNF, they would be tied for the NFC #1 seed. The tiebreaker (beside H2H) is div record, so beating CHI adds more fuel to this fire. Fields returns for this div rivalry, but will it really matter? That only makes DET’s “D” more focused on CHI’s ground gm than the pass. CHI’s “D” has been steadily improving, but that’s against the likes of Bryce Young, Derek Carr, & O’Connell (they gave up almost 300 yds & 3 TDs to Herbert in their recent stretch). I believe DET comes into this gm motivated as MIN isn’t far behind in the div. DET just so happens to dominate the North, more than the White Walkers. DET is 11-0 ATS in the div. Oppositely, CHI is 0-6 ATS in div gms. DET is also 5-0 ATS vs losing teams. This all adds up to DET beats the teams they’re supposed to & CHI loses the gms they’re supposed to. The line is a bit high, but after facing the dynamic LAC’s “O”, this will be a relief. RB Kahlil Herbert returns for CHI, but he will have major rust to shake off, & Foreman is nursing a bad ankle. Former CHI RB Montgomery will complement the surging Gibbs in the backfield, to help Goff, St Brown, & LaPorta keep this score out of reach. Fields will be forced to throw to keep up, w/a bad thumb on his throwing hand.

CHI 16
DET 30
5 Units


GL to all & comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

1 Unit MIA -13 ½:
Huu, what a line. However, O’Connell is a rookie QB, on the rd, in hot & humid MIA, where they’re 4-0 SU & ATS this yr. This now healthy “D” will be a problem for LAV’s “O”. Tua & MIA’s “O” should get their act back together & blow out yet another bad team.

1 Unit NYG +9: Going out on a limb as NYG has won this tilt more often than not (7-2-1 SU, 8-2 ATS, w/6 of those wins as a dog). WAS has actually looked very good since trading away their top-2 dlinemen, but that unit is still very susceptible to both the pass & run.

1 Unit LAC -3: Another heavy fav, but I just don’t buy Jordan Love & this GB team’s resurrection. Beating up on LAR w/Rypien @ QB & keeping it close @ PIT w/Pickett, has me seeing this could get ugly fast if GB doesn’t control the gm early.

3 Unit Wormy Teaser

LAC +10
MIA -½
DAL +2 ½
SF +1
 

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W. Pix.....solid looking plays buddy......BOL.....
on Mia. and NYG with you....
may add Det. and maybe LAC as well.......indy
 

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Thank you Gravy Train, Indy & Jax!!

Sorry about the bad beat w/BAL last wk. I'm sure you were all (except Gravy, he went the rt way) counting that as a win after 1st half. Sigh.
 

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Adding:
1 Unit PHI/KC Under 45 1/2:
Saw light rain, w/winds 14 mph & gusts reaching as high as 25 mph. Could end up being nothing, but these 2 "D"s, plus their limitations on "O", should put this gm Under even w/out weather considerations. Esp w/this being a SB rematch, the "D"s will be fired up.
 

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Did anyone else feel that Goff was trying to lose the gm? If he had just a decent gm, DET would've romped. And adding more salt to the wound, Fields fumbles into endzone on final play & his RT kicks ball OB for a safety. Otherwise Hutchinson likely would've fallen on ball for TD to cover. Ouch.
 

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