Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (1)

[WormyPix]

Another glorious season is upon us. My POW's have had winning seasons the past 2 years (11-6 in 07, 10-6-1 in 08), but I wasn't happy considering they were my best plays on the week. I hope to improve those #'s. Although, my GOY's went 2-0, so I look forward to finding that gem sometime this yr.

So, let's not waste any further internet space, and dive into my first POW.

I see a lot of RXer's picking SF, which stole my thunder. One would think that the high flying Card's would be a trendy pick vs a vanilla team both on "O" & "D", @ home no less. But, I like the Niners (+7) here. Singletary has simplified both the "O" & "D", and they were in close gms to end last season (including a 5 pt loss @ hot ARI in WK 10). What really stands out with this matchup is the best WR in the game, Fitzgerald. His games vs DB Nate Clements: 3/31/1 & 8/46/1 (rec/yds/TD). Very tame by Fitz standards. Also, I believe SF will be more motivated than ARI. I know ARI wants to prove last yr was no fluke, but history has shown super bowl losers do decline the next yr. NE last yr, CHI in 07, SEA in 06, PHI in 05, etc. And with SF's desire to run the ball more, that should help them manage the clock and keep ARI's "O" on the bench. I believe in Shaun Hill too. He's definitely no star, but he does enough to get first downs, esp with veteran Bruce, upcoming talent Morgan, and now-used Vernon Davis catching balls (not to mention Gore). With Fitz hopefully neutralized by Clements, Boldin nursing a hamstring, and ARI having a poor preseason, SF looks poised to be a great underdog here. I will be putting a little on the ML as well.

SF 23
ARI 20

BOL to all, and have a happy WK 1! As always, comments are welcome.

 

[gynecologist]

I like SF as well.. My favorite selection of the week, I want +7.. Can't find it less than -125, hopefully on FRIDAY I can get some -120 or better..

 

[WormyPix]

No kidding, why the hell is there so much juice on SF? I would think the common bettor would be on ARI. I hope it comes down too, so I can put more on them. GL to us!

 

[WormyPix]

Other plays:

NYJ +4 1/2
CIN -4

NYJ have the supporting cast for Sanchez to succeed. CIN is much improved on "D", which should be enough to hold DEN's anemic "O" @ home.

GL all.

 

[thecruncher]

GL Wormy, hope you have a great season!

 

[WormyPix]

Cruncher, great to see you! GL to you as well, look forward to seeing your opinion on all my POW's!

:toast:

 

[Gravy]

Wormy,Good to see you back this year on the RX and I like your week 1 plays this week and the BOL to you this season !

 

[WormyPix]

Thanks Gravy! Of course, I'll be following you on College side as well! Please don't hesitate to chime in on my pix, even if against! When someone brings out opposite pts, I believe it only improves one's capping.

I squeaked out a win with Clemson tonight, but unfortunately didn't go thru with my plans of taking TEN, and TEN/under tease! Drat it all, I can only hope this means my early NFL instincts are good. We'll see with my real plays this Sunday.

:toast:

 

[Maniax]

i like the niners to cover as well, as do i also like ur cincy play. best of luck this season

 

[MalikSealy]

GL - I will be on the Niners too, didn't realize it was a popular pick, oh well.
Jets worry me a bit, their D is going to be missing a couple key players, especially Pace.

BOL this season

 

[WormyPix]

MANIAX: Thanks ma'man! It's a popular pick here, I hope the ship doesn't sink! GL to you as well.

Malik: Yeah, Gholston starting is a concern, but the guy was still a first rounder, right? Sigh. Hopefully Bart Scott & Rex can bring the beast out of him. Other than that, I'm banking on Revis containing Andre Johnson, and that good run "D" to stop Slaton, to give Dirty Sanchez a chance to win his first NFL gm. Jets still have one of the best olines in the land. BOL to you as well.

 

[WormyPix]

And my Teaser:

MIA +17
BAL Pk
NYJ +17 1/2
NO -1/2

Thanks for the well-wishes fellas. Everyone could use some luck in Week 1!

 

[gynecologist]

GL buddy hope you start out killin it.

 

[billbeater]

San Fran is the right side Wormy! <><> Good Luck! @)

 

[WormyPix]

Gyno: Thanks bro, Week 1 is always scary, which is why I try to keep my plays to a minimum, but I already got 4 of them up! Sigh.

Bill: Beater!! My nipple pinching friend, I hope the off season was great for you. SF getting scary with the line dropping to 6 now. Seems the nation is all over them as well. I never like that. What happened to the ARI love? GL to us!!

 

[WormyPix]

In a day where everyone and their grandmother were winning, I actually lose one gm. Sad. POW cam thru, and teaser, which was my 2nd largest play anyway, so had a good day. Meant to put ML on SF as well, but got too drunk last night. Singletary has this team believing. They played with playoff passion vs ARI. And as suspected, Clements kept Fitz from blowing up, although he had a nice day by normal standards. Sorry about the CIN play, in hindsight it wasn't a smart play. PHI would've been better. BAL was a possible play for me too, but that covered by shear luck.

Tomorrow I'm eating the chalk.

NE -11
SD -10

Big numbers, but 2 "D"s that can make it happen against bad "O"s. Oh yeah, NE & SD's "O"s are pretty decent too. Both gms should see Jamarcus & Edwards on the run for most of the day, and hopefully they both will turn out to be very boring gms by halftime!

GL guys, hope the house takes one more day of beatings!

 

[iamunkn0wn]

great job wormy, im w/ u on the new england -11 perhaps... sf was a knockout...! lets hope we cash on ne tomorrow! gl

 

[WormyPix]

Ah, it was not to be. The House wasn't going to let the public steamroll them all the way!

Honestly, 2 things I screwed up on for Monday plays. First, I didn't realize the leadership lost when Bruschi retired, and Vrabel/Seymour left via trade. This is a really young NE "D", and it showed. Despite BUF's oline making errors of their own, Edwards and Jackson were good enough to keep it close (and should have won).

Then, like Singletary's influence in SF, Cable has his team believing, and playing with a lot of fire. This is definitely not the old Raiders, which I felt anyway, but SD kinda had bad play-calling until the final 2 minutes. Injuries to their oline didn't help either. Plus I didn't know Samson Satele wasn't starting @ center. His mismatch I was expecting with NT Jamal Williams didn't get by Cable apparently, as he started 305 lb Chris Morris instead. I don't think 5 lbs makes that much difference, but Satele was failing in MIA vs 3-4 "D"s. The group did a great job giving Russell time, and opening lanes for Bush/McFadden.

I won't be giving a Monday night pick next week, cuz I'm gonna be cheering hard for da Fins!!