Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (1)

[WormyPix]

Last yr was a roller coaster for me, but enjoyed another good regular season despite my teasers bringing my total down. Once again I was on wrong side of SB. But we all saw how that could’ve went either way. It is a new yr, which I’m extremely excited to face & see if I can beat the number. 60% to me is unacceptable for a top play and hope to perform better in ’15.

2014 Season: POW 10-7, Teasers 8-9, Overall 46-39-1
2014 Playoffs: POW 0-2, Teasers 1-1, Overall 4-6, Super Bowl 0-1

MIA (-3 1/2) made HUGE improvements this offseason, including addition by subtraction w/the departure of stone-handed & sideline cancer Mike Wallace. That guy stunted Tannehill’s growth for 2 seasons, yet despite that, AND consistent oline troubles, the 4[SUP]th[/SUP] yr QB’s numbers have improved each yr in the league. So if nothing changed, the expectation would be that Tannehill would continue the uptrend. However, things did change w/his best set of “O” weapons to date. Hartline & Wallace are gone, but were replaced w/Kenny Stills, Jordan Cameron, & DeVante Parker. MIA’s oline is back to full health w/Albert set to go @ LT, Ja’Wuan James following up a promising rookie yr @ RT, Pouncey in the middle, & 2 up & coming G’s. Lamar Miller is set to have his best yr, & favorite Tannehill target, Jarvis Landry has impressed in preseason. Now to the “D”. Suh’s impact will be seen. Ends Wake & Vernon combined for 18 sacks last yr, being the focal pt of opposing olines. The starting “D” in 3 preseason gms this yr gave up 3.5 yds per play. Enter the Redskins. RG-Me’s benching has been well documented as he’s replaced by 2-7 starter Kirk Cousins. Morris is a nice RB, but far from dangerous, & WAS’ best weapon DeSean Jackson should be contained by Pro Bowler Brent Grimes. Besides, Cousins will likely be on his back for most of the night as WAS’ rt side of the line is a major weakness, where Suh & Vernon will line up. WAS’ “D” has improved as well, but improving off being the worst is not saying much. Knighton & Goldson are nice players, but they also lost Orakpo. MIA’s “O” should definitely have their way. WAS’ one advantage, hm field, is not an advantage. MIA plays better away from the stifling heat of Florida & close out gms much better in cooler environs. Philbin is 9-6 ATS on the non-div rd. I have not been impressed w/MIA’s coaches, esp “D” coordinator Coyle, so it remains to be seen what they can accomplish w/all this talent.

MIA 31
WAS 13
6 Units

I don’t care for the opener at all, so I will just sit back & enjoy that one.

GL to all & comments are most welcome.

 

[WormyPix]

Honorable Mentions:

1 Unit BUF +2 ½: Man, I really think the crowning of IND is premature. Luck is most certainly the real deal, but his oline, run gm, and esp their “D” is avg @ best. Even when Peyton was there, they made it to the SB only when the “D” was solid (Freeney, Mathis, Sanders, Bethea) & the RB was good (Addai). Then there’s the issue of rd wins. IND does not play the same on the rd. And Ralph Wilson is one of the toughest places to play. BUF’s “D” can be argued to be the best in the NFL, esp w/Rexy calling the shots now. Tyrod Taylor does not inspire thoughts of greatness, but w/ex-SF “O” coordinator Roman forging BUF’s “O”, he is the rt choice @ QB. Remember what he did w/Alex Smith & Kaepernick?

1 Unit ARI -2 ½: The loss of “D” coordinator Bowles is a concern, but Bruce Arians golden touch cannot be denied. ARI’s “D” remains talented, & their “O” seems to lead them to victories whenever Palmer is in there. NOR isn’t a good rd team, & IMHO their “O” & “D” took steps backward this offseason w/key losses beyond just Graham. Rob Ryan needs a talented “D” to succeed. I think ARI opens promising season w/convincing win.

1 Unit SD -3: As much as MIA’s “D” will improve w/Suh, I don’t think DET’s will take an equal step back. Their secondary is still very good, & Ansah & Ngata are no slouches on the line. But Stafford’s record on the rd vs winning teams is atrocious. SD comes into season (again) w/high hopes. Rivers has been signed long term, 1[SUP]st[/SUP] rd pick Melvin Gordon combined w/Woodhead returning are expected to balance the “O”, & I predict Stevie Johnson will make an impact as a slot WR. SD’s “D” also has a lot of talent led by All-pro Weddle. Both teams have remade their olines that underperformed last yr. I’ll give edge to Rivers & the hm team.

2 Unit Wormy Teaser:

GB +6 ½
ARI +10 ½
TEN +16
MIN +10 ½

For my own records, as I think these numbers might not be available anymore.

1 Unit -120 GB o11 wins. Obvious one.
2 Units +115 JAX u5 ½. May regret this one. JAX looked much improved in preseason on both sides of ball.
1 Unit E MIA o9 wins. As written I expect huge strides for my team.
2 Units +120 NYJ u7 ½ wins. May regret this one too as Geno Smith injury actually helped team.
1 Unit +400 MIA AFC East Division Champ. Well, yes, homer pick.

 

[ca$hmoney]

Fins are a gift this week. Got em at 2.5 weeks ago. Here's to making the playoffs and causing some serious damage this season!!:toast::toast:

 

[WormyPix]

Fins are a gift this week. Got em at 2.5 weeks ago. Here's to making the playoffs and causing some serious damage this season!!:toast::toast:

Cash, there's no more excuses for this coaching staff. Did you see the starters play this preseason? Impressive. See you @ the window.

 

[jaxfactor]

Wormy - great to see your picks again! I think your fins are going to win the East this year and it starts with a beat down against Wash on Sunday! Heck, all 3 FL teams could win this weekend which would be a first in a very long time!

Let's have a great season brother!!

 

[ca$hmoney]

Cash, there's no more excuses for this coaching staff. Did you see the starters play this preseason? Impressive. See you @ the window.

Yeah boy!! Offense looks sharp and our dline looks nasty. I felt bad for Matty Ice. He took a couple of shots from our boys!!

 

[United]

If RG was named the starter I was going to play Miami. I still lean Miami but Wash will be a much better team offensively with Cousins at the helm. I really do think Miami has a shot at a pretty good season this year.

Good luck this season my WP!

 

[Gravy]

Wormy, Good to see you back again my friend for another season and BOL on your picks this year !

 

[WormyPix]

Wormy - great to see your picks again! I think your fins are going to win the East this year and it starts with a beat down against Wash on Sunday! Heck, all 3 FL teams could win this weekend which would be a first in a very long time!

Let's have a great season brother!!

No kidding! I like JAX for sure, but feel Mariota has the edge over Winston for now. Mike Evans playing or not is a huge factor.

BOL my friend & here's to a profitable season. :toast:

 

[WormyPix]

If RG was named the starter I was going to play Miami. I still lean Miami but Wash will be a much better team offensively with Cousins at the helm. I really do think Miami has a shot at a pretty good season this year.

Good luck this season my WP!

I don't know United, RG3 at least as escapability. Cousins will be sacked hard & often. RG3 could end up playing by the end!

It's great when you stop by bud, keep up the great work!

 

[WormyPix]

Wormy, Good to see you back again my friend for another season and BOL on your picks this year !

Gravy! At what pt are we going to give this up? NEVER!!! Lol.

Please stop by my threads whenever you can. Love the camaraderie here. Also love your Packers to get to SB as well. I'm predicting a MIA/GB SB! MIA would need a high seed to do it though, so I definitely don't have $ on that happening!

 

[billbeater]

WORMY my Brother!!!! Great to see You alive and posting!!!!
I have nothing to bitch about either, look great!!!
The very Best of Luck to You this 2015 Season!!!!!
k:k:k:
:chest:

 

[WormyPix]

WORMY my Brother!!!! Great to see You alive and posting!!!!
I have nothing to bitch about either, look great!!!
The very Best of Luck to You this 2015 Season!!!!!
k:k:k:
:chest:

LOL, Beater! Always a pleasure! Hope you can stop by a lot this yr to talk football. Let's get the man!

 

[indiana]

W/pix..........good looking play.............BOL with your action this week end...........indy

 

[billbeater]

Im not very confident putting Tennessee in your teaser action... They cud go down 24-3 or the like.... Too many unknowns there i think..
But I strongly Urge you to unload a 10 or 20 unit play on the Viking$ late Monday Nite
Cousins is the only thing holding that Mia spread at 3.5 or 4... Miami shud do good things, so the divison title is very possible!
GL as always bud!

w-thumbs!^
Hey are you doing college foots in the college forum btw?
Yeah, its time to Rip the man's colon apart again!

 

[varkeyboy]

Yeah boy!! Offense looks sharp and our dline looks nasty. I felt bad for Matty Ice. He took a couple of shots from our boys!!

What totals u riding this weekend??? Post in "favorite total" thread......

 

[WormyPix]

Im not very confident putting Tennessee in your teaser action... They cud go down 24-3 or the like.... Too many unknowns there i think..
But I strongly Urge you to unload a 10 or 20 unit play on the Viking$ late Monday Nite
Cousins is the only thing holding that Mia spread at 3.5 or 4... Miami shud do good things, so the divison title is very possible!
GL as always bud!

w-thumbs!^
Hey are you doing college foots in the college forum btw?
Yeah, its time to Rip the man's colon apart again!

Been watching Mariota & Winston in preseason, & Marcus has looked much more comfortable, esp after making mistakes. Winston looks like he presses when things aren't going well. TB's "D" is ok, but far from world beaters, so I feel TEN is balanced enough to win this one SU. Cousins is 2-7 as a starter & has a career 77 QBR, so I don't know how much he really improves this "O". I suppose just his teammates actually liking him is an instant upgrade!

Love MIN on MNF, & will put a play if I don't get raped Sunday! I really believe Harbaugh hid a lot of deficiencies on "O" w/his play calling & design (along w/Greg Roman) that it will show this season. Combined w/all their losses on "D", SF is in for tuff sledding in '15. Really think Bridgewater is really being over-touted here, but he will improve from last yr. AP & Charles Johnson will be huge factors for MIN.

No college for me. I barely have time for my NFL studies. So if you have any money plays in CFB, lmk!!

 

[WormyPix]

W/pix..........good looking play.............BOL with your action this week end...........indy

Hey Indy! Thanks buddy, BOL to you as well.

 

[WormyPix]

WTH, Adding:

1 Unit MIN -2 1/2: A lot of folks are high on MIN this yr due to Bridgewater's ascension late last yr & return of AP. A lot of folks are low on SF due to losing half their "D" & "O", not to mention SB HC Harbaugh. I don't think you can just replace players like Patrick Willis, Aldon Smith, Borland & Justin Smith. Most notably Harbaugh & Roman hid a lot of deficiencies on "O" & now they don't have Crabtree, Gore & Iupati. SF may be able to turn things around later in the season, but rt now they'll have a lot of growing to do, while MIN is ready to take center stage. SF wasn't very good @ their new stadium going 2-6 ATS including loss to terrible CHI team in Levi's opener & a 3pt loss to STL as a 10 1/2 pt fav. This is the same STL team that MIN blew out @ STL 34-6 in Wk 1.

 

[uscmd]

Wormy, my friend..........what a difference a yr makes.

Leading off with buf, arz, sd and min. I like all 4.

BOL! :toast: