Woody's Final 2 Bowl Games

[woodypaige]

On a 12-2 run this week
All I'm going to say is if you guys want to win money the next 2 days, pound Tulsa and Florida. Both win by 10 points or more.:grandmais

The Mac and Big 12 were the most over-rated Conferences in all of College Football this year and the bowl games proved it.

Don't even waste your time reading into line moves and touts picks and other nonsense. Do you really truly think someone's going to give out inside information on who is pounding who. I don't live in Vegas and I know this. One of the biggest scams out in Vegas is people selling inside info, which all he says is them giving you their opinion.


20* Tulsa-2.5

Line opened Ball St-3 and is now Tulsa-2.5 at my book and -3 at others.

This was by far the best season in Ball St History. With that being said, Ball St Head Coach left to go to SD St because he knows this team has no chance of getting any better in the future and getting into a National Championship.
Offensive Coordinator Parrish is their Interim Coach for tonight and was a terrible Coach for Kansas St before going to Ball St. He was one of the worst play callers in all of football.
Besides QB Nate Davis, Ball St main weapon is running back Lewis. Ball St didn't play anyone in Tulsa's caliber this year, so when they get behind Lewis will become less of a factor. Ball St. lost their undefeated season final Championship game to Buffalo 42-24, and will come out flat tonight in my opinion.


Tulsa has the Coaching advantage tonight from an Offensive Coordinator's perspective. Tulsa's Offensive Coordinator Malzahn is Coaching for them tonight and then going to Auburn after the game. Tulsa led the nation in offense, not Oklahoma, averaging 565 yd. per game. QB David Johnson threw 43 td's for 3866 yds. I expect a high powered assault by Tulsa which will be the difference.

The Mac Conference was very poor this year, and the bowls showed that by the teams being killed in all their bowl games. 0-4 so far in the bowls and 0-5 after tonight. We have an unranked favorite over a ranked team

Ncaaf Ytd 71-46-1, +12,443
Had a monster year in college football and will be putting all my plays in here.

25* Florida Gators-3

I posted this back on 12-11 and will have a write-up
Last 5 Bowl Games- Oklahoma 0-5

 

[Johnny~Vegas]

Like Tulsa but Oklahoma will suprise alot of people, im like moneyline on the Sooners!

 

[woodypaige]

Like Tulsa but Oklahoma will suprise alot of people, im like moneyline on the Sooners!

Good Luck to you Johnny:toast:

 

[Coldweather]

Happy New Year my friend. I am very happy that you post in this here site. You make a great contribution to this here site's purpose. Thank you for what you do.

Hope you make football money on both of these selections. You had another great all sports selection season. Good job!


ope: :toast:

 

[woodypaige]

Tulsa was so easy, even a Caveman could have picked this.:drink:
Better Team-Better Coach- Better QB- Better D

Congrats on whoever followed

 

[ZipLock]

Ball St mailed it in after passing on the Boise bowl because they felt disrespected....:lol:

I love the Gators too. GL to us woodrow and nice call tonight!:toast:

 

[woodypaige]

Ball St mailed it in after passing on the Boise bowl because they felt disrespected....:lol:

I love the Gators too. GL to us woodrow and nice call tonight!:toast:

Thanks Pal, just don't put too much on it as anything can happen in a game like this. Learn to watch and enjoy with a chance of making a few dollars.
:toast:

 

[duckhunter]

i like florida also woody, gl2u!

 

[ZipLock]

thanks woody! by the way, I'm 32 and have been on the wagon for over a decade

I found this forum from another site, ironically from a guy boasting about Railbird's NFL picks ope:

 

[woodypaige]

(On a 13-2 run):drink:

Quote:
Originally Posted by woody paige
Ncaaf Ytd 71-46-1, +12,443
Had a monster year in college football and will be putting all my plays in here.

25* Florida Gators-3


Well Rounded teams tend to win national championships over teams that are known for their high powered offense.

Florida's game-plan will be similar to Ohio States vs Texas. They will control the ball with both the run and pass on offense, and let the front seven attack Bradford while their linebackers and secondary will tee off on the receivers when they get the ball.

Florida will dominate on special teams and this will give them excellent field position the whole game. Oklahoma has the 66th ranked defense in college football and will have a hard time at containing Tebow. Freshman Tyrell Pryor exposed Texas defense the whole game, and if not for his lack of experience and poor footwork on his pass attempts, should have beaten the Longhorns highhandedly.
History has shown that high powered offenses with a long layoff before dealing with good defenses tend to lose a little bit of timing and precision.

Ohio St is hardly as explosive as Florida. Florida will score early and often. Shit even Missouri scored 41 on Oklahoma. Oklahoma will eventually get their offense going, but it will be too late as Florida will already be ahead. Games like these are won in the trenches of the offense and defensive line.

Once again Chokelahoma with the help of Coach "Little Game" Stoops, will fade away in another BCS Bowl Blunder and extend his BCS no show record to 0-5 in a row. Florida will win this game by 10-17 points.


There also isn’t a better known myth than the Heisman Trophy jinx.

Both are big parts of Thursday night’s BCS national championship game between Oklahoma and Florida, because it will feature two members of the exclusive Heisman Club: Sooner quarterback Sam Bradford and Gator quarterback Tim Tebow. It will also be Bradford’s duty to reverse the curse that Heisman Trophy winners have carried into the title game.

Since the BCS/Bowl Coalition era began in 1992, Heisman Trophy winners are 9-9 in bowl games. Ten of those bowls were national championship games. The Heisman winner was on the winning team four times. And when competing against a team led by a another Heisman contender, Heisman winners have fared less well.

Florida 42 Chokelahoma 21:toast:

 

[krk1030]

Love the Gators, comparable on offense, worlds better at defense, special teams, and the biggest advantage of all coaching.

 

[DIRTYDOG1]

:howdy:Hello Woody...

Good posting on your part as I am in total agreement with regard to Florida being the right side in this contest, however, I don't like the idea of being on the same side as "Joe Public" and that is the case in this contest as the number opened with Florida installed as a 3 point favorite but is now Gators -5 or -5.5 depending on where you look and by game time will probably be Florida -6 or maybe even -6.5.

As a side note the O/U on this contest opened somewhere between the numbers of 72 or 73 depending on where you looked, "Joe Public" as well as alot of folks on here appear to be anticipating a much lower than expected scoring game as evidenced by the O/U number falling to its current mark of 69.5...

...although I grabbed Florida at -3.5 earlier on when that number was still available, if this number moves to Florida -6 by game time you can bet your ass that I am grabbing the 6 points with Oklahoma as a means of attempting to hit the middle (and collecting on both bets ) if the Gators win by 4 or 5 points.

I did not play the O/U total on this affair in the early going as I wanted to see which way the number would move, the value is now clearly on the OVER as the odds maker set the number between 72 and 73 but that number has since been bet down by as many as 3.5 points from the opening number which conseqently is the same amount of points moved but the direct opposite of the line movement that took place with the side of Florida -3.5...

...it was the sharps that banged this line in the early going which caused it to move from Florida -3 to -3.5 and then to -4, however, it is now the "Joe Public" bettors that is causing the line to push up even higher.

Its going to be interesting to see what the books do with this current line of Florida -5 or -5.5 as they are not stupid and know that the sharps are sitting with baded breath waiting for the number to move to Florida -6 in order to bang it for the middle...

My numbers and ratings for this contest produced a final projected score of Florida 45-31 which of course is a 14 point Florida win and 76 total points scored, I may or may not buy back my original bet if the number goes to +6 and try to hit the middle, however, regardless of that I am DEFINATELY going to place a wager on the OVER as soon as I see the first 69 come out because that would give me a 7 point overlay by my numbers.

Both offenses are going to be able to move the ball in this contest, most believe that the Florida defense will be the reason the Gators win when the smoke clears and I agree with that as the Florida D should be able to stop the Okie offense more than visa versa and/or force a Sooner FG here
and there which of course is a 4 point difference instead of scoring a TD each time...

...however, what I don't agree with is the thought process by alot of folks that Oklahoma is NOT going to be able to put points up on the Florida defense at all...

...I personally think that Florida's defensive numbers are a bit skewed by the fact that they played against soooo many sub par passing offenses in the SEC this season as evidenced by the fact that six of the twelve SEC teams ranked in the bottom 23 in terms of total offense, meanwhile, six of the Big 12's teams ranked in the top 12 in total offense.

Needless to say, I believe we will indeed see some fireworks in this contest, by the way, you might like to know that Florida averaged 45 points per game against teams they played this year that in turn went on to play in bowl games, a peek at Oklahoma's stat sheet reveals that the Sooners have FAILED to cover 27 of their last 34 outings ATS when they allow their opponents to score 27 or more points in a contest.

Take care and be well my friend

Dirtydog

:wink::wink:

 

[DIRTYDOG1]

Originally Posted by DIRTYDOG1 ...although I grabbed Florida at -3.5 earlier on when that number was still available, if this number moves to Florida -6 by game time you can bet your ass that I am grabbing the 6 points with Oklahoma as a means of attempting to hit the middle (and collecting on both bets ) if the Gators win by 4 or 5 points.

Man-O-man this line is getting out whack, here it is only 3:25 pm est and the spread has already moved to Florida -6 and the O/U total is now down to 69...

...as mentioned in my original posting above, I already have the Florida Gators -3.5 was waiting to see if the line moved to -6 (which it has!), as a means of attempting to smack the "Middle" I am grabbing Oklahoma +6 spot (although I still like Florida!)...

...and since I like the OVER in this contest and have even MORE Value now since the number is now down to 69, I am going to play Oklahoma +6 and OVER 69 in a parlay that if it hits will make me even with my original wager on Florida -3.5...

...there is of course the chance that I could lose both of my wagers (Florida -3.5 and the Parlay on Okie & OVER 69), but there is ALSO the chance of smacking both which is the reason we call it gambling I suppose!!

Take care and be well my friends

Dirtydog

:wink:

 

[woodypaige]

Just as Tulsa went from -3 to +3, the same is happening to the Gators.
If the line were to go to 6.5, 7, it would be a great opportunity to get a middle. But I personally think the line won't matter in this game tonight.
Either Florida wins by 10 or more or loses straight up, so I'm sticking to my guns and cheering the Gators on.

Chomp- Chomp

 

[michaelj]

same here woody.g.l on this game.

 

[shootsmokey]

public wins tonite good luck Woody!!!! florida D is a winner!!

 

[Duce15]

Love the Gators, comparable on offense, worlds better at defense, special teams, and the biggest advantage of all coaching.

idiot

 

[awmllc2000]

Gl to you woody.

 

[TheBud]

BOL Wood!

 

[woodypaige]

(On a 13-2 run):drink:

Quote:
Originally Posted by woody paige
Ncaaf Ytd 71-46-1, +12,443
Had a monster year in college football and will be putting all my plays in here.

25* Florida Gators-3


Well Rounded teams tend to win national championships over teams that are known for their high powered offense.

Florida's game-plan will be similar to Ohio States vs Texas. They will control the ball with both the run and pass on offense, and let the front seven attack Bradford while their linebackers and secondary will tee off on the receivers when they get the ball.

Florida will dominate on special teams and this will give them excellent field position the whole game. Oklahoma has the 66th ranked defense in college football and will have a hard time at containing Tebow. Freshman Tyrell Pryor exposed Texas defense the whole game, and if not for his lack of experience and poor footwork on his pass attempts, should have beaten the Longhorns highhandedly.
History has shown that high powered offenses with a long layoff before dealing with good defenses tend to lose a little bit of timing and precision.

Ohio St is hardly as explosive as Florida. Florida will score early and often. Shit even Missouri scored 41 on Oklahoma. Oklahoma will eventually get their offense going, but it will be too late as Florida will already be ahead. Games like these are won in the trenches of the offense and defensive line.

Once again Chokelahoma with the help of Coach "Little Game" Stoops, will fade away in another BCS Bowl Blunder and extend his BCS no show record to 0-5 in a row. Florida will win this game by 10-17 points.


There also isn’t a better known myth than the Heisman Trophy jinx.

Both are big parts of Thursday night’s BCS national championship game between Oklahoma and Florida, because it will feature two members of the exclusive Heisman Club: Sooner quarterback Sam Bradford and Gator quarterback Tim Tebow. It will also be Bradford’s duty to reverse the curse that Heisman Trophy winners have carried into the title game.

Since the BCS/Bowl Coalition era began in 1992, Heisman Trophy winners are 9-9 in bowl games. Ten of those bowls were national championship games. The Heisman winner was on the winning team four times. And when competing against a team led by a another Heisman contender, Heisman winners have fared less well.

Florida 42 Chokelahoma 21:toast:

Never a doubt was I worried at the half. I knew Meyer would out coach Stoops the second half and shut down the run. Choklahoma and Stoops now 0 fer his last half dozen bowl games:toast:
Congrats Gator Fans